{"id":10730,"date":"2018-08-31T01:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-30T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=10730"},"modified":"2018-12-05T13:54:37","modified_gmt":"2018-12-05T05:54:37","slug":"%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba%ef%bc%9a21%e7%af%87%e9%a1%b6%e5%88%8a%e7%a4%be%e4%bc%9a%e7%a7%91%e5%ad%a6%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87%e4%bb%85%e6%9c%8913%e7%af%87%e5%8f%af%e4%bb%a5%e5%a4%8d%e7%8e%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=10730","title":{"rendered":"\u5371\u673a\uff1a21\u7bc7\u9876\u520a\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8bba\u6587\u4ec5\u670913\u7bc7\u53ef\u4ee5\u590d\u73b0"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"bpp-post-content\">\n<section class=\"mpa-template\"><\/section>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<section class=\"\">\n<p><span><strong><span><strong>\u5bfc\u8bed<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section>\n<section>\n<section>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><span>\u5728\u53d1\u8868\u4e8eNature Human Behaviour\u4e00\u9879\u6700\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8bd5\u56fe\u590d\u73b0\u5728\u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u768421\u9879\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u4f46\u4ec5\u4ec5\u590d\u73b0\u4e86\u5176\u4e2d\u768413\u9879\u3002\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u53ef\u590d\u73b0\u6027\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u4eba\u5458\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\uff1a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u53ef\u9760\u7684\uff1f\u5982\u4f55\u63d0\u9ad8\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>1.\u590d\u73b0\u5371\u673a\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u96be\u4ee5\u590d\u73b0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<p style=\"text-align: left;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><span>\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u662f\u5b9e\u8bc1\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u57fa\u77f3\uff0c\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u5757\u57fa\u77f3\u73b0\u5728\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u677e\u52a8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">8\u670827\u65e5\uff0cNature\u5b50\u520a Nature Human Behaviour \u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u753140\u591a\u4f4d\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u56e2\u961f\uff08The Social Sciences Replication Project\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u653e\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u679a\u70b8\u5f39\u2014\u2014\u4ed6\u4eec\u91cd\u590d\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e862010\u5e74\u52302015\u53d1\u8868<\/span><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u5728Nature\u548cScience\u4e0a\u768421\u9879\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u5176\u4e2d8\u9879\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u8bba\u65e0\u6cd5\u590d\u73b0\u3002<\/strong><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u5927\u6253\u6298\u6263\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><strong><span>\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aEvaluating the replicability of social science experiments inNatureandSciencebetween 2010 and 2015<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><span>https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41562-018-0399-z#ref-CR41<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u5728\u590d\u73b0\u8fd921\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u65f6\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8005\u4eba\u6570\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u76845\u500d\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u572821\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u67098\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u65e0\u6cd5\u91cd\u73b0\u3002\u800c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u4ee5\u91cd\u73b0\u768413\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u8bba\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6548\u529b\u53ea\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u539f\u59cb\u8bba\u6587\u768475%\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u53d1\u8868\u5728Nature\u4e0a\u76844\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u67093\u4e2a\u65e0\u6cd5\u590d\u73b0\uff0c\u53d1\u8868\u5728Science\u4e0a\u768417\u4e2a\u7814\u7a76\u670910\u4e2a\u65e0\u6cd5\u590d\u73b0\u3002\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u4e4b\u4e00Michael Kirchler\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u8981\u6c42\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u5177\u6709\u5f88\u5f3a\u7684\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5728\u51fa\u7248\u524d\u505a\u4e00\u6b21\u590d\u73b0\u5e76\u4e0d\u5f88\u96be\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5728\u672a\u80fd\u590d\u73b0\u76848\u4e2a\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u521b\u65b0\u6027\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6bd4\u59822011\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u5728Science\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u58f0\u79f0\u6570\u5b57\u641c\u7d22\u5f15\u64ce\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u8bb0\u5fc6\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u5728\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0a\u641c\u7d22\u5230\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u53cd\u5f88\u96be\u53bb\u8bb0\u4f4f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ed3\u8bba\u66fe\u7ecf\u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5a92\u4f53\u9f13\u5439\u8bf4\u641c\u7d22\u5f15\u64ce\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u5378\u8f7d\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u201c\u8c37\u6b4c\u6548\u5e94\u201d\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u590d\u73b0\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u73b0\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u6548\u5e94\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5df2\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u5b58\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7684\u504f\u5dee\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>2.\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u8fd140%\u90fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u590d\u73b0<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5728\u521d\u6b65\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff08\u56fea\uff09\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u53d1\u73b0\u91cd\u590d\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e2d\u670912\u4e2a\u5728\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u4e0a\u4e0e\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u4e00\u81f4\u3002 \u5728\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff08\u56feb\uff09\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7edf\u8ba1\u6548\u529b\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff0c21\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u670913\u4e2a\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6548\u679c\u4e0e\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u663e\u8457\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u5373\u6ca1\u6709\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0e\u539f\u7814\u7a76\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma6-1535720407.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u5f20\u56fe\u662f\u590d\u73b0\u6548\u679c\u88ab\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u590d\u73b0\u6548\u679c\u662f1\uff0c\u5219\u8bf4\u660e\u590d\u73b0\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7684\u6548\u5e94\u4e0e\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5b8c\u5168\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u4e3ar\uff0c\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u4e3a95%\uff0c\u5373P\u503c\u5c0f\u4e8e0.05\u65f6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u663e\u8457\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u800c\u5728\u7ed3\u5408\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u590d\u73b0\u7814\u7a76\u6548\u5e94\u5927\u5c0f\u7684\u835f\u8403\u5206\u6790\uff08mate analysis\uff0c\u5bf9\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u518d\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u68c0\u6d4b\u5176\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u6d4b\u5b9a\u5176\u6548\u679c\u91cf\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c21\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u670916\u9879\u5728\u5143\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u4e0e\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u5728\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u4e0a\u6709\u663e\u8457\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\uff0c\u89c1\u56fec\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u835f\u8403\u5206\u6790\u5047\u5b9a\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u53d7\u5230\u671f\u520a\u53d1\u8868\u7b49\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u662f\u8fc7\u4e8e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u671f\u7684Nature Human Behaviour\u4e2d\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u67098\u7bc7\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u91cd\u590d\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e76\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u6ca1\u6709\u590d\u73b0\u6210\u529f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u539f\u56e0\u3002 \u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u590d\u73b0\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5047\u9633\u6027\uff08False Positive\uff09\u7684\u3002<span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u5047\u9633\u6027\u7ed3\u679c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u975e\u771f\u5b9e\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8bb8\u591a\u5047\u9633\u6027\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e5f\u88ab\u5306\u5306\u91c7\u7eb3\u53d1\u8868\uff1f\u8be5\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u5b58\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7684\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6570\u636e\u8bef\u62a5\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u9ad8\u4f30\u771f\u9633\u6027\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u66f4\u6df1\u5c42\u6b21\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u79d1\u7814\u4eba\u5458\u5728\u8bba\u6587\u53d1\u8868\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u538b\u529b\u3002\u79d1\u7814\u4eba\u5458\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8981\u8003\u8651\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u63d0\u9ad8\u8bba\u6587\u53ef\u590d\u73b0\u6027\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u72ec\u521b\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\u5047\u9633\u6027\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5b66\u754c\u7684\u540e\u7eed\u7814\u7a76\u5f62\u6210\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\u751a\u81f3\u4f1a\u6ce2\u53ca\u5230\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u6c11\u751f\u4e0a\u3002<span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u7531\u6b64\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u8d28\u7591\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u53c8\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u5371\u673a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>3.\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u5176\u5b9e\u7531\u6765\u5df2\u4e45<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p>\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u5371\u673a\uff08Repoducibility Crisis\uff09\u4e0d\u662f\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8ba9\u5b66\u754c\u5934\u75bc\u7684\u8001\u5927\u96be\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Nature\u6742\u5fd7\u66fe\u7ecf\u9488\u5bf91576\u540d\u79d1\u7814\u4eba\u5458\u505a\u8fc7\u4e00\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c90%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u8868\u793a\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u5b58\u5728\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u5371\u673a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5230\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u5730\u6b65\u3002\u5176\u4e2d70%\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u66fe\u7ecf\u8bd5\u56fe\u91cd\u73b0\u5176\u4ed6\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5374\u4ee5\u5931\u8d25\u544a\u7ec8\u3002\u66f4\u96be\u8fc7\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6709\u8fc7\u534a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8005\uff0c\u8fde\u81ea\u5df1\u66fe\u7ecf\u505a\u8fc7\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u590d\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>2015\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u9879\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3aRPP\uff08The Reproducibility Project: Psychology\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5bf9\u9876\u7ea7\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u671f\u520a\u57282008\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u7684100\u4e2a\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5b9e\u9a8c\u505a\u4e86\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u5176\u4e2d\u4ec5\u670939\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u88ab\u6210\u529f\u590d\u73b0\uff0c61\u4e2a\u90fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u91cd\u73b0\u3002\u8fd9\u7ed9\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4e43\u81f3\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u6572\u4e86\u4e00\u8bb0\u8b66\u949f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>2016\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u65e8\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u53ef\u590d\u73b0\u6027\u7684\u9879\u76eeEERP\uff08the Experimental Economics Replication Project\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5c1d\u8bd5\u590d\u73b018\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u53ea\u670911\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u4e0e\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u76f8\u540c\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u5185\u7684\u8fd9\u4e24\u9879\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u590d\u73b0\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u5177\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u9ad8\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u6548\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u6807\u51c6\u4e0a\u4ecd\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u662f\u5b9e\u9a8c\u89c4\u6a21\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u591f\u5927\uff0c\u6837\u672c\u504f\u5dee\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u4e86\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e24\u9879\u590d\u73b0\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u68c0\u9a8c\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\uff08\u6bd4\u8f83p\u503c\uff09\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\uff0c\u5728 Nature Buman Behaviour \u7684\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4eba\u5458\u7528\u4e86\u6bd4\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u66f4\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u6d88\u9664\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u504f\u8bef\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>4.\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u4e0d\u591f\uff0cP\u503c\u6765\u51d1\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p>\u201c\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\u201d\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u4e2a\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u5b83\u5e38\u5e38\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u671f\u520a\u3002\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\u7684\u6d4b\u91cf\u6307\u6807\u662fP\u503c\u3002\u5728\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5982\u679cP\u503c\u5c0f<span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u4e8e0.05\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u5c31\u8bf4\u660e\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" style=\"width: 403px;height: 288px\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma8-1535720407.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u6bd4\u5982\u5728\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u836f\u662f\u5426\u8d77\u4f5c\u7528\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u60a3\u6709\u8be5\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u88ab\u8bd5\u5206\u4e3a\u4e24\u7ec4\uff0c\u4e00\u7ec4\u670d\u7528\u836f\u7269\u836f\u7269\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u7ec4\u670d\u7528\u5b89\u6170\u5242\u836f\u4e38\uff0c\u770b\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\u88ab\u8bd5\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u75c7\u72b6\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u5982\u679c\u670d\u836f\u7ec4\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u75c7\u72b6\u6bd4\u5b89\u6170\u5242\u7ec4\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u75c7\u72b6\u66f4\u597d\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u4e3a\u8fd9\u836f\u7269\u662f\u6709\u7528\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u6b63\u662f\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8bd5\u56fe\u8bc1\u660e\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5047\u8bbe\u2014\u2014\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ed3\u679c\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u504f\u5dee\uff08\u6bd4\u5982\u8bef\u8bca\u3001\u836f\u7269\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff09\u5bf9\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u8bba\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4f1a\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\uff08null hypothesis\uff09\u201d\u2014\u2014\u5047\u8bbe\u670d\u836f\u7269\u4eba\u5458\u4e0e\u5b89\u6170\u5242\u7ec4\u4eba\u5458\u75c7\u72b6\u53d8\u5316\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u4e0e\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u5bf9\u7acb\u7684\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbe(H1)\uff0c\u5219\u662f\u670d\u836f\u7269\u4eba\u5458\u4e0e\u5b89\u6170\u5242\u7ec4\u4eba\u5458\u75c7\u72b6\u53d8\u5316\u660e\u663e\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u5982\u679c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\u670d\u836f\u7ec4\u5408\u5b89\u6170\u673a\u7ec4\u75c7\u72b6\u53d8\u5316\u786e\u5b9e\u663e\u8457\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u5c31\u88ab\u8bc1\u4f2a\u4e86\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">P\u503c\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u662f\u5728\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0c\u73b0\u6709\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u53d1\u751f\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/strong><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u5728\u91cd\u590d\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5982\u679cP\u503c\u5f88\u5c0f\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5f97\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76f8\u540c\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6b21\u6570\u5c31\u5f88\u5c11\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u662f\u5f88\u5c0f\u7684\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u8bf4\u660e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6570\u636e\u7684\u968f\u673a\u6027\u5f15\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5f88\u5c0f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u4f46\u8fd9\u53ea\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7ed3\u679c\u5177\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u610f\u4e49\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u663e\u793a\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u800c\u975e\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u8bf4\u660e\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u8bba\u7684\u6548\u5e94\u5927\u5c0f\uff0c\u5373\u836f\u7269\u529f\u6548\u5982\u4f55\u3002\u88ab\u8bc1\u4f2a\u7684\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0d\u80fd\u80fd\u8bf4\u660e\u836f\u7269\u6539\u5584\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u8bf4\u660e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5f97\u662f\u5426\u826f\u597d\u3001\u63a7\u5236\u5f97\u5230\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5426\u88ab\u4eba\u4e3a\u8c03\u63a7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u6c38\u8fdc\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b8c\u5168\u6392\u9664\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u4e3a\u771f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u4eec\u7528P\u503c\u5c0f\u4e8e0.05\u4f5c\u4e3a\u95e8\u69db\u3002P\u503c\u5c0f\u4e8e0.05\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd9\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6392\u9664\u7684\u5c0f\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>5.\u201c\u4e07\u6076\u7684P\u503c\u201d\uff0c<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u662f\u7f29\u5c0f\u52300.005\u8fd8\u662f\u5f7b\u5e95\u653e\u5f03<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma6-1535720407.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px\">\u62dc\u6258\u8ba9\u6211\u7684P\u503c\u518d\u5c0f\u4e00\u70b9 | by Martin Rezny<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>20\u4e16\u7eaa20\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8d39\u5e0c\u5c14\uff08Rondld Fisher\uff09\u9996\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528P\u503c\uff0c\u672c\u610f\u662f\u7528\u6765\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u6570\u636e\u662f\u5426\u503c\u5f97\u66f4\u6df1\u5165\u662f\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u5176\u601d\u8def\u662f\u5148\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u9879\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5426\u968f\u673a\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u60f3\u8981\u63a8\u7ffb\u7684\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u3002P\u503c\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u6210\u529f\u8bc1\u660e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0d\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u540e\u6765\u8005\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u5bf9P\u503c\u7684\u8bef\u7528\uff0c\u9010\u6e10\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u201cP\u503c\u5c0f\u4e8e0.05\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u7ed3\u679c\u5373\u53ef\u89c6\u4e3a\u663e\u8457\u201d\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u63d0\u9ad8\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e25\u8c28\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u6848\u662f\uff0c\u628a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u5177\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\u7684\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u4eceP&lt;0.05\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230P&lt;0.005\u30022013\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u5728PNAS\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5bb6Johnson \u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u201c0.05\u7684P\u503c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u4e3a\u771f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f5%\u201d\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5f53P=0.05\u65f6\uff0c\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u4e3a\u771f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u53ef\u8fbe\u523025%-30%\u4e4b\u9ad8\u3002\u8fd9\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u4e0a\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u662f\u5c0f\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e86\u3002Johnson\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u662f\u628ap\u5c0f\u4e8e0.05\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u6709\u542f\u53d1\u6027\u201d\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u8fbe\u5230\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e25\u683c\u76840.005\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u7684\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma10-1535720408.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u6837\u63d0\u9ad8\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\u7684\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u4f1a\u8feb\u4f7f\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u91c7\u7528\u66f4\u4e25\u8c28\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u60f3\u53d1\u8868\u201c\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u201d\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u8fd9\u5f80\u5f80\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u500d\u589e\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7ecf\u8d39\u548c\u4eba\u529b\u6709\u9650\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f88\u56f0\u96be\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u51fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u79d1\u7814\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u8d1f\u8d23\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5f00\u59cb\u8003\u8651\u65b0\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>6.\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u68c0\u9a8c\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\u65b9\u6cd5<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p>\u5982\u4f55\u4ece\u968f\u673a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\u533a\u5206\u51fa\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6548\u5e94\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u53e4\u8001\u7684\u8bdd\u9898\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e3a\u6b64\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u6570\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u3002P\u503c\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\u5b83\u6ca1\u6709\u6293\u4f4f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff1a<strong>\u6211\u4eec\u771f\u6b63\u9700\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u7684\u5e76\u975e\u662f\u5728\u6548\u5e94\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u65f6\u89c2\u6d4b\u5230\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5728\u89c2\u6d4b\u5230\u73b0\u8c61\u65f6\u6548\u5e94\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u66ff\u4ee3\u7684\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/strong>\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u6982\u7387\u662f\u540e\u9a8c\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u4e4b\u540e\u6c42\u7684\u53cd\u5411\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4efb\u610f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u5047\u8bbeH\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u636e\u4e00\u6b21\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6536\u96c6\u5230\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff08Data\uff09\u6765\u68c0\u6d4b\u67d0\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\u4e3a\u771f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u7528\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\u6765\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\u8868\u793a\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u8ba1\u7b97\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u6a21\u578b\u5047\u8bbeH\u4e3a\u771f\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u5c31\u7b49\u4e8e\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u5047\u8bbeH\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u51fa\u73b0\u5f53\u524d\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6570\u636edata\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u4e0e\u6a21\u578bH\u4e3a\u771f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u7684\u4e58\u79ef\uff0c\u518d\u9664\u4ee5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6570\u636edata\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\uff08\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578bH0\uff09\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\u8868\u793a\u6570\u636e\u66f4\u65b0\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578bH0\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u5373\u540e\u9a8c\u6982\u7387\uff1a<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" style=\"width: 261px;height: 68px\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma6-1535720408.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6240\u8c13\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6839\u636e\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5bf9\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\uff08\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578bH0\uff09\u548c\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbe\uff08\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578bH1\uff09\u7684\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u636e\u6570\u636e\u5f97\u5230\u96f6\u5047\u8bbeH0\u548c\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbeH1\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u7528\u9664\u6cd5\u6bd4\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5927\u5c0f\uff1a<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" style=\"width: 290px;height: 54px\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma1-1535720408.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u4e2d\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" style=\"width: 177px;height: 57px\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma6-1535720408-1.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p>BF10\u4ee3\u8868\u6a21\u578b\u5047\u8bbeH1\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b\u5047\u8bbeH0\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7684\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u3002\u5982\u679cBF10=30\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5728\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbeH1\u4e3a\u771f\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u51fa\u73b0\u5f53\u524d\u6570\u636e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u662f\u96f6\u5047\u8bbeH0\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u51fa\u73b0\u5f53\u524d\u6570\u636e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u768430\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u662f\u5f53\u524d\u6570\u636e\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0e\u5bf9\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u652f\u6301\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002<strong>\u533a\u522b\u4e8eP\u503c\u5206\u6790\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u662f\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\uff0c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u662f\u6570\u636e\u5bf9\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u57288\u670827\u65e5\u7684\u8fd9\u7bc7Nature Human Behaviour\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u4f7f\u7528\u96f6\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff08p&lt;0.05\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u663e\u8457\u6027\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma4-1535720408.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u8ba4\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u4e3a1\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e1\u8868\u793a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u96f6\u5047\u8bbeH0\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e1\u8868\u793a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbeH1\u6709\u5229\u3002\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u5927\u4e8e10\uff0c\u5219\u8bf4\u660e\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbeH1\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd921\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u590d\u73b0\u4e2d\uff0c\u67099\u9879\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u67094\u9879\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u6709\u4e2d\u7b49\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u67098\u9879\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u80cc\u9053\u800c\u9a70\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5176\u4e2d4\u9879\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u539f\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u6709\u5f3a\u70c8\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4f7f\u7528\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u67098\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u590d\u73b0\u7ed3\u679c\u5f88\u7cdf\u7cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6587\u7ae0\u662f\u5f88\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u3002\u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u5c1a\u4e14\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u96be\u514d\u8ba9\u4eba\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u4ea7\u751f\u7591\u8651\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>7.\u96be\u4ee5\u590d\u73b0\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u5c31\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u548c\u65e0\u7528\u7684\u5417\uff1f<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p>\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u518d\u5ea6\u66dd\u51fa\u53ef\u590d\u73b0\u6027\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b64Science\u6742\u5fd7\u7684\u540d\u8a89\u526f\u4e3b\u7f16BarBara Basny\u8868\u793a\uff0c<strong>\u672a\u80fd\u590d\u73b0\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u8fd9\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u89c4\u5219\uff08protocol\uff09\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u6837\u672c\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u5f02\u3002<\/strong>Science\u662f\u670d\u52a1\u4e8e\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u8bfb\u8005\u7684\uff0c\u520a\u8f7d\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u6807\u51c6\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u6280\u672f\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u5bfb\u627e\u6709\u7a81\u7834\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u590d\u73b0\u662f\u5f88\u9057\u61be\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u79d1\u5b66\u8fd0\u884c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff1a\u5b83\u5728\u5f80\u524d\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u505a\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u4e0d\u662f\u6bcf\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u5728\u51fa\u7248\u65f6\u90fd\u5f88\u5b8c\u7f8e\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Nature \u6742\u5fd7\u5219\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u58f0\u660e\u79f0\uff0c\u5b83\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e0e\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u30022013\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8be5\u671f\u520a\u8981\u6c42\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u4ea4\u4e00\u4efd\u6e05\u5355\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u548c\u5206\u6790\u90fd\u6709\u6240\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u63d0\u9ad8\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u5462\uff1fNature\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u671f\u520a\u3001\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u548c\u7ecf\u8d39\u8d44\u52a9\u8005\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u79d1\u7814\u5df2\u7ecf\u5982\u6b64\u8270\u96be\u201d\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u627f\u62c5\u968f\u65f6\u88ab\u63a8\u7ffb\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u63d0\u9ad8\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u96be\u9898\uff0c\u63d0\u5347P\u503c\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u7528\u5176\u4ed6\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u66ff\u4ee3\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u662f\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u6837\u672c\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u90fd\u96be\u4ee5\u89e3\u51b3\u6240\u6709\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u771f\u7684\u662f\u5371\u673a\u5417\uff1f\u6216\u8005\u53ea\u662f\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u7684\u5e38\u6001\uff1f\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1f\u6b22\u8fce\u5728\u7559\u8a00\u533a\u4ea4\u6d41\u4f60\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u53c2\u8003\u8d44\u6599<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: disc;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<li>\n<p>\u53d1\u8868\u5728 Nature Human Behaviour \u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41562-018-0399-z#ref-CR41<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">Nature Human Behaviour \u5bf9\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u8bc4\u8bbahttps:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41562-018-0398-0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px\">Science \u5bf9\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/news\/2018\/08\/generous-approach-replication-confirms-many-high-profile-social-science-findings<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5\u7684\u62a5\u9053\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/speaking-of-science\/wp\/2018\/08\/27\/researchers-replicate-just-13-of-21-social-science-experiments-published-in-top-journals\/?noredirect=on&amp;utm_term=.1db0c58f4e64<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">2017\u5e74Nature\u8d28\u7591P\u503c\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff1anaturehttp:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/big-names-in-statistics-want-to-shake-up-much-maligned-p-value-1.22375<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px\">\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u56e0\u5b50\u53ca\u5176\u5728JASP\u4e2d\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\uff1ahttp:\/\/chinaxiv.org\/abs\/201709.00120<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6\">\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247490361&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=156280dbd39bb971257d432a02843b72&amp;chksm=e89441b4dfe3c8a23b191d11f594a33e0b32f92d133102be90af36807e0255b03329483fb7dc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px\"><strong>\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u8fd0\u52a8\u548c\u97f3\u4e50\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u6709\u8ff9\u53ef\u5faa\u5417\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247490330&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=9c7f284f930ae76dfd3d73b84ab7599c&amp;chksm=e8944197dfe3c881aceed470045b7d64240cf2d2542469806631eb5d95d9e6bd13fedfb9c3aa&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px\"><strong>\u8bcd\u5d4c\u5165\u5982\u4f55\u6355\u6349\u6587\u5316\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7684\u5fae\u5999\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247490142&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=6153a2720dbdbade88e030c1a960f66e&amp;chksm=e89440d3dfe3c9c5a07831fc2729a7f14824c4935c738e01ca4fab9e97876424a03ff86afbb3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px\"><strong>Nature\u4eba\u7c7b\u884c\u4e3a: \u7fa4\u4f53\u95f4\u7684\u5f31\u7ebd\u5e26\u5982\u4f55\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5408\u4f5c<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247489348&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b4f71eb0a0d9b675d68e16fa987b9252&amp;chksm=e8944dc9dfe3c4df0654988dc5140d07482e0f2cc0e6f576e576fea188b4ae1b48f1edee468c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\">Nature \uff1a\u521b\u4f5c\u9ad8\u5cf0\u671f\uff0c\u5c31\u8be5\u8d81\u70ed\u6253\u94c1<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma10-1535720408-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;text-align: center\"><img class=\"__bg_gif\" width=\"100%\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px;height: auto !important;width: 64px !important\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma6-1535720408.gif\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px\">\n<section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;font-size: 15px\">\n<section>\n<p><strong><span>\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c292641157<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em\">\n<h1 style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-weight: 400;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong><strong><span><span>\u25c6<\/span><span>\u25c6<\/span><span>\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n<p><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px\">\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px\"><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px\">\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section>\n<div class=\"post-image\"><img class=\"\" width=\"auto\" style=\"height: auto !important;width: auto !important\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma0-1535720408.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px\">\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<blockquote class='keep-source'>\n<p>\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a                         \u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8                      <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bfc\u8bed \u5728\u53d1\u8868\u4e8eNature Human Behaviour\u4e00\u9879\u6700\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8bd5\u56fe\u590d\u73b0\u5728\u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u768421\u9879\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u4f46\u4ec5\u4ec5\u590d\u73b0\u4e86\u5176\u4e2d\u768413\u9879\u3002\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u53ef\u590d\u73b0\u6027\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u4eba\u5458\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\uff1a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u53ef\u9760\u7684\uff1f\u5982\u4f55\u63d0\u9ad8\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\uff1f 1.\u590d\u73b0\u5371\u673a\uff1a \u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u96be\u4ee5\u590d\u73b0 &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10731,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[22],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10730"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10730"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10730\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10743,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10730\/revisions\/10743"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10730"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=10730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}