{"id":12266,"date":"2018-10-22T01:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-10-21T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/swarma.org\/%e7%94%a8%e4%b9%90%e9%ab%98%e7%a7%af%e6%9c%a8%e7%bb%99%e4%bd%a0%e7%9a%84%e5%ae%9d%e5%ae%9d%e8%ae%b2%e6%87%82%e8%b4%9d%e5%8f%b6%e6%96%af%e5%ae%9a%e7%90%86\/"},"modified":"2018-12-04T15:03:01","modified_gmt":"2018-12-04T07:03:01","slug":"%e7%94%a8%e4%b9%90%e9%ab%98%e7%a7%af%e6%9c%a8%e7%bb%99%e4%bd%a0%e7%9a%84%e5%ae%9d%e5%ae%9d%e8%ae%b2%e6%87%82%e8%b4%9d%e5%8f%b6%e6%96%af%e5%ae%9a%e7%90%86","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=12266","title":{"rendered":"\u7528\u4e50\u9ad8\u79ef\u6728\u7ed9\u4f60\u7684\u5b9d\u5b9d\u8bb2\u61c2\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"bpp-post-content\">\n<section class=\"XiGuaChajian\"><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma6-1540213207.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<section class=\"\">\n<section><span><strong><span>\u5bfc\u8bed<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section>\n<section>\n<section>\n<p><span>\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7406\u8bba\u662f\u6570\u5b66\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u800c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u53bb\u7406\u89e3\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u7740\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e50\u9ad8\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u53bb\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u5b83\u5230\u5e95\u5728\u8bb2\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6545\u4e8b\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span>\u7f16\u8bd1\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7ec4<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span>\u6765\u6e90\uff1acountbayesie<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span>\u539f\u9898\uff1aBayes&#8217; Theorem with Lego<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: bold;line-height: 1.6em\">\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;font-size: medium\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px;font-size: medium\">\n<section>\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u5173\u4e8e\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"font-size: medium\">\n<\/section>\n<\/h2>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7406\u8bba\u7b80\u5355\u6765\u8bf4\u5c31\u662f\u4e0b\u9762\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7b49\u5f0f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma10-1540213208.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u672c\u8eab\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u90a3\u4e48\u53ef\u6015\uff0c\u5b83\u751a\u81f3\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u6c42\u548c\u53f7\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u516c\u5f0f\u7684\u80cc\u540e\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u5230\u5e95\u662f\u4e2a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6545\u4e8b\uff1f\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u7528\u4e00<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5806\u4e50\u9ad8\u79ef\u6728\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u6765\u63a2\u7d22\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7406\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong><span>\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u9762\u79ef\u4e3a6*10\u7684\u4e50\u9ad8\u79ef\u6728\u62fc\u56fe\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u628a\u5b83\u5047\u8bbe\u6210\u4e50\u9ad8\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0b\u6709\u84dd\u8272\u3001\u7ea2\u8272\u3001\u9ec4\u8272\u7684\u4e50\u9ad8\u79ef\u6728\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u9ec4\u8272\u7684\u79ef\u6728\u5728\u7ea2\u8272\u548c\u84dd\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u63a5\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7740\u7528\u66f4\u6570\u5b66\u5316\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u8fd9\u5806\u79ef\u6728\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u4ece\u6982\u7387\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5728\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u5e95\u5c42\uff0c\u670960\u5757\u5c0f\u79ef\u6728\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u84dd\u827240\u5757\uff0c\u7ea2\u827220\u5757\uff0c\u7528\u6982\u7387\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u79ef\u6728\u4e3a\u84dd\u8272\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4ee5\u53ca\u79ef\u6728\u4e3a\u7ea2\u8272\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8868\u793a\u6210\u4ee5\u4e0b\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma7-1540213208.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u7684\u52a0\u548c\u4e3a1\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma2-1540213208.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u548c\u84dd\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ec4\u6210\u6574\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u53bb\u54ea\u91cc\u4e86\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" height=\"573px\" width=\"592px\" style=\"text-align: center\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma8-1540213208-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u770b\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u56fe\u7247\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a6*10\u7684\u79ef\u6728\u62fc\u56fe\u4e2d\u968f\u673a\u53d6\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u79ef\u6728\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u79ef\u6728\u662f\u9ec4\u8272\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img class=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma6-1540213209.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u5c06P(\u9ec4\u8272)\u4e0eP(\u7ea2\u8272)\u3001P(\u84dd\u8272)\u7684\u6982\u7387\u76f8\u52a0\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u4f60\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d85\u8fc71\u7684\u503c\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e0b\u9762\u8981\u4e48\u662f\u84dd\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u8981\u4e48\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\uff0c\u800c\u53d6\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u4e0e\u5b83\u5904\u5728\u7ea2\u8272\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4\u8fd8\u662f\u84dd\u8272\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4\u6709\u5173\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u628a\u8fd9\u79cd\u6982\u7387\u53eb\u505a\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u7528P\uff08\u9ec4\u8272|\u84dd\u8272\uff09\u8868\u793a\u5728\u84dd\u8272\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0b\u53d6\u51fa\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: bold;line-height: 1.6em\">\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;font-size: medium\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px;font-size: medium\">\n<section>\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u901a\u8fc7\u770b\u56fe\u7b97\u51fa\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h2>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" height=\"auto\" width=\"598px\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma2-1540213209.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center\"><span> <strong><\/strong><\/span><span><strong>\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center\"><span><strong>\u89e3\u51b3\u7ea2\u8272\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0b\u53d6\u51fa\u9ec4\u8272\u4e50\u9ad8\u7684\u6982\u7387<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center\"><span><strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u6211\u4eec\u600e\u6837\u624d\u80fd\u7b97\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387\u5462\uff1f\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u7b97\u51faP(\u9ec4\u8272|\u7ea2\u8272)\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6216\u8bb8\u4f1a\u7ecf\u5386\u51e0\u6b65\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<ol class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: lower-alpha\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;margin-bottom: 5px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5c06\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u548c\u84dd\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u5206\u5f00<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;margin-bottom: 5px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u6211\u4eec\u5f97\u5230\u9762\u79ef\u4e3a2*10\u7684\u7ea2\u8272\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;margin-bottom: 5px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0a\uff0c\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u67094\u5757<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;margin-bottom: 5px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5c06\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u548c\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u5206\u5f00<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;margin-bottom: 5px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u8ba1\u7b97\u51faP(\u9ec4\u8272 | \u7ea2\u8272) = 4\/20<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5f88\u68d2\uff0c\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\u6211\u4eec\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u4e86\u7ed9\u5b9a\u7ea2\u8272\u6982\u7387\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0b\uff0c\u53d6\u51fa\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4e8b\u4ef6\u548c\u6761\u4ef6\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u8ba1\u7b97\u5728\u53d6\u51fa\u7684\u79ef\u6728\u662f\u9ec4\u8272\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0b\u65b9\u79ef\u6728\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u8ba1\u7b97P\uff08\u7ea2\u8272|\u9ec4\u8272\uff09\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" height=\"177px\" style=\"width: 541.778px\" width=\"296px\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma4-1540213209.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center\"><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\">\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7740\u89c2\u5bdf\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u4e0b\u7684\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u901a\u8fc7\u770b\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fe\uff0c\u4f60\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u80fd\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4e00\u5171\u67096\u5757\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d2\u5757\u4e0b\u9762\u662f\u84dd\u8272\uff0c4\u5757\u4e0b\u9762\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u53d6\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u4e0b\u9762\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u662f4\/6\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u601d\u8003\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e5f\u5c31\u606d\u559c\u4f60\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u5730\u72ec\u81ea\u7684\u63a2\u7d22\u4e86\u4e00\u904d\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: bold;line-height: 1.6em\">\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;font-size: medium\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px;font-size: medium\">\n<section>\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u5b66\u8ba1\u7b97\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"font-size: medium\">\n<\/section>\n<\/h2>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5982\u4f55\u7528\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u8868\u8fbe\u6765\u91cd\u590d\u6211\u4eec\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u76f8\u6bd4\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\u662f\u7b80\u5355\u800c\u4e25\u8c28\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u76f4\u89c9\u5728\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u603b\u662f\u8df3\u8dc3\u7684\u3002\u4ece\u76f4\u89c9\u5230\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u8d39\u4e9b\u529f\u592b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><span><\/span><\/p>\n<ol class=\"list-paddingleft-2\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u9996\u5148\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u7740\u7528\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u201c\u4e00\u5171\u67096\u5757\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002\u63a8\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u7528\u901a\u8fc7\u4ee5\u4e0b\u8ba1\u7b97\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong class=\"ql-author-3721150\">\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e2a\u6570 = P(\u9ec4\u8272) * \u603b\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6570\u91cf = 1\/10*60 = 6<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u63a5\u7740\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u5f97\u5230\u201c\u5176\u4e2d4\u5757\u5e95\u4e0b\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ed3\u8bba\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u7b2c\u4e00\u6211\u4eec\u5148\u7b97\u51fa\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u8ddf\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\u76f8\u540c\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong class=\"ql-author-10904246\">\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e2a\u6570 = P(\u7ea2\u8272) * \u603b\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6570\u91cf = 1\/3*60 = 20<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u77e5\u9053P\uff08\u9ec4\u8272|\u7ea2\u8272)\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u5e95\u5c42\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u53d6\u51fa\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong class=\"ql-author-3721150\">\u5728\u9ec4\u8272\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e2a\u6570 =<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong class=\"ql-author-3721150\">P(\u9ec4\u8272|\u7ea2\u8272) * \u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e2a\u6570 = 1\/5*20 = 4<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u6700\u540e\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u4e0a\u662f\u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;margin-bottom: 5px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong class=\"ql-author-3721150\">P(\u7ea2\u8272|\u9ec4\u8272) = \u5728\u9ec4\u8272\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e2a\u6570 \/ \u9ec4\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e2a\u6570 = 4\/6<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u4e0d\u8fc7\u8fd9\u8fd8\u4e0d\u592a\u50cf\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u518d\u91cd\u5199\u68b3\u7406\u4e00\u904d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">P(\u7ea2\u8272|\u9ec4\u8272) = P(\u9ec4\u8272|\u7ea2\u8272) * \u7ea2\u8272\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u4e2a\u6570 \/ P(\u9ec4\u8272) * \u603b\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6570\u91cf<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">P(\u7ea2\u8272|\u9ec4\u8272) = P(\u9ec4\u8272|\u7ea2\u8272)* P(\u7ea2\u8272) * \u603b\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6570\u91cf \/ P(\u9ec4\u8272) * \u603b\u79ef\u6728\u7684\u6570\u91cf<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u6700\u7ec8\u6211\u4eec\u5f97\u5230\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">P(\u7ea2\u8272|\u9ec4\u8272) = P(\u9ec4\u8272|\u7ea2\u8272)* P(\u7ea2\u8272) \/ P(\u9ec4\u8272\uff09<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: bold;line-height: 1.6em\">\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;font-size: medium\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px;font-size: medium\">\n<section>\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u56de\u987e\u4e00\u4e0b<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"font-size: medium\">\n<\/section>\n<\/h2>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u4e24\u70b9\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u6982\u5ff5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406\u662f\u670d\u4ece\u76f4\u89c9\u7684\u3002<\/span><span>\uff08\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u662f\u7528\u6570\u5b66\u8bed\u8a00\u91cd\u5199\u4e86\u4e00\u904d\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76f4\u89c9\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u3002\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u5316\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\u3002<\/span><span>\uff08\u63a8\u51fa\u6700\u7ec8\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u591a\u51e0\u6b65\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u8868\u8fbe\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u597d\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5b83\u628a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76f4\u89c9\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u63a8\u7406\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u4e86\u65e2\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u8ddf\u76f4\u89c9\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\uff0c\u53c8\u80fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u6709\u6548\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u53bb\u89e3\u51b3\u90a3\u4e9b\u6bd4\u4e50\u9ad8\u79ef\u6728\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\">\u5982\u679c\u60f3\u4e86\u89e3\u66f4\u591a\u5173\u4e8e\uff0c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b9a\u7406\u548c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c2\u770b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e16\u5b50\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: circle\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span>Learn aboutBayesian Priors with Han Solo<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span>https:\/\/www.countbayesie.com\/blog\/2015\/2\/18\/hans-solo-and-bayesian-priors<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span>UnderstandBayes&#8217; Factor and Bayesian Reasoningby exploring a classic episode of the Twilight Zone<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span>https:\/\/www.countbayesie.com\/blog\/2016\/3\/16\/bayesian-reasoning-in-the-twilight-zone<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span>Use Bayes&#8217; Theorem to reason about theprobability that your friends are really allergic to gluten<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em\"><span>https:\/\/www.countbayesie.com\/blog\/2016\/1\/22\/why-you-should-believe-your-friends-claims-about-food-allergies<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\">\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\"><span>\u7ffb\u8bd1\uff1a\u6587\u96f7<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\"><span>\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u738b\u6021\u853a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\"><span>\u539f\u6587\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\"><span>https:\/\/www.countbayesie.com\/blog\/2015\/2\/18\/bayes-theorem-with-lego<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section>\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247488271&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=20689b1abce4206f93ea759ad0081cc3&amp;chksm=e8944982dfe3c094e1ee64941a9cf2e8e7cb34a21b73d27a49db9bb3a39e854cb9549c1e7644&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><strong>\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7f51\u7edc\u4e4b\u7236\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u771f\u6b63\u6559\u4f1a\u673a\u5668\u7406\u89e3<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486582&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=66495443a4d88ec62da54a4384223f29&amp;chksm=e89456fbdfe3dfedd3cb6a858dfe708e042b366d8076e955724ef3de95a65ca88648e92b6f44&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><strong>\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5982\u4f55\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50\u2014\u2014\u4e09\u79cd\u6982\u7387\u7406\u8bba<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486927&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=8a0443c6635a5f1b52a610927b655070&amp;chksm=e8945742dfe3de549ff6f8ee0308e192f3a88548f61b0da538bb4e27349d42ffa08df58b3342&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><strong>\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u9608\u503c\u4e0e\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u4e2d\u201c\u6f0f\u6d1e\u201d<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247487542&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=85da3a2ed679a2e35dfd971a2fac4f61&amp;chksm=e8944abbdfe3c3ad9027dd30c03f6e22a0408859a720efe700517b90a67fa9b5e104986aad82&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><strong>\u590d\u6742\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5bf9\u4fe1\u606f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u505a\u51fa\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u7814\u7a76<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247487778&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c2e77ec93213c4c63f57a777ff10e368&amp;chksm=e8944bafdfe3c2b9d66544dafe7403159473e8c94fd3bc513f5300c353bcec49c0c0b69797af&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px\"><strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 2em\">\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px\">\n<section>\n<section><strong><\/p>\n<p><span><strong>\u63a8\u8350\u4f1a\u8bae<span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-align: center\">\u6b63\u503c\u8457\u540d\u57ce\u5e02\u5b66\u8005\u3001\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u524d\u4efb\u6240\u957f Geoffrey West \u6559\u6388\u6765\u534e\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u6e05\u534e\u5927\u5b66\u51ef\u98ce\u516c\u76ca\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u4e0e\u51ef\u98ce\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff0c\u9080\u8bf7\u591a\u4f4d\u5b66\u754c\u5927\u5496\uff0c\u4e8e10\u670826\u65e5\u4e3e\u529e\u4e00\u573a\u9ad8\u7aef\u95ed\u95e8\u5b66\u672f\u7814\u8ba8\u4f1a\uff0c\u63a2\u8ba8\u57ce\u5e02\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684Scaling Law\u3002\u4f1a\u8bae\u8bed\u8a00\u4e3a\u82f1\u6587\u3002\u73b0\u5f00\u653e10\u4f4d\u73b0\u573a\u5e2d\u4f4d\u7684\u62a5\u540d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e3a\u90ae\u4ef6\u7533\u8bf7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-align: center\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-align: center\">\u6709\u610f\u5411\u7684\u8bf7\u770b\u8be6\u60c5\uff1a<a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247492151&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=637c71aebeb421d02126c16310d92e40&amp;chksm=e897b8badfe031ac680e33c8fa6be3d32bffa22c885b7992dab270efbb44d0bc2d11cfd66df7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u524d\u6240\u957f\u3001\u300a\u89c4\u6a21\u300b\u4f5c\u8005Geoffrey West\u9ad8\u7aef\u95ed\u95e8\u5b66\u672f\u7814\u8ba8\uff0c10\u4e2a\u53c2\u4f1a\u540d\u989d\u5f00\u653e\u7533\u8bf7\uff01<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-align: center\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-align: center\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-align: center\"><\/span><\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<p><span>\u96c6\u667aAI\u5b66\u56ed\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>https:\/\/campus.swarma.org<\/span><\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\">\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em\">\n<hr \/>\n<div class=\"post-image\"><img class=\"__bg_gif\" width=\"100%\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px;height: auto !important;width: 64px !important\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma7-1540213209.gif\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/div>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em\">\n<section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px\">\n<section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;font-size: 15px\">\n<section>\n<p><strong><span>\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em\">\n<h1 style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong><strong><span><span>\u25c6<\/span><span>\u25c6<\/span><span>\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n<p><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px\">\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px\"><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px\">\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section>\n<div class=\"post-image\"><img class=\"\" width=\"auto\" style=\"height: auto !important;width: auto !important\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/swarma8-1540213210.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\" \/><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px\">\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<blockquote class='keep-source'>\n<p>\u539f\u6587\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff08                         \u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8                      \uff09\uff1a<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?timestamp=1540213204&amp;src=3&amp;ver=1&amp;signature=rQjKHDtT12rEfIsxpCOjIviOYpCoZbmdFtN0U0sSA4rvLesVBF0A8ZfgAWRpPWPHrLp21HqjywsxiTmkbJiQWgYIGXvk47wtCC6UkPMTJPUkpqxVvm3or7PwWkD8TCcWe*Ip3y1FgRfCmgY3Tx0MLpPU8KpaqagsJnRvtZf2zk4=\">\u96c6\u667a<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bfc\u8bed \u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7406\u8bba\u662f\u6570\u5b66\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u800c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u53bb\u7406\u89e3\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u7740\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e50\u9ad8\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u53bb\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u5b83\u5230\u5e95\u5728\u8bb2\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6545\u4e8b\uff1f \u7f16\u8bd1\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7ec4 \u6765\u6e90\uff1acountbayesie \u539f\u9898\uff1aBayes&#8217; Theorem with Lego&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12269,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[22],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12266"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12266\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12266"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=12266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}