{"id":14301,"date":"2019-01-09T01:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-01-08T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/swarma.org\/6e3bf039f8\/"},"modified":"2019-01-23T10:45:32","modified_gmt":"2019-01-23T02:45:32","slug":"6e3bf039f8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=14301","title":{"rendered":"2030\u5e74\u6c14\u5019\u5371\u673a\uff1fNature\u520a\u6587\u8b66\u544a\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u662f\u771f\u7684\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u8054\u76df<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u7f16\u8bd1\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7ec4<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90\uff1aNature<\/span><\/p>\n

\u539f\u9898\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Global warming will happen faster than we think<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u8b66\u793a\uff1a\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u9891\u53d1<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u8fce\u63a5\u201c\u65b0\u5f02\u5e38\u201d\u5427\uff01\u5c31\u4eca\u5e74\u56f0\u6270\u52a0\u5dde\u7684\u81f4\u547d\u91ce\u706b\uff0c\u52a0\u5dde\u5dde\u957f Jerry Brown \u4e8e\u6708\u524d\u5bf9\u8bb0\u8005\u53d1\u51fa\u4e00\u58f0\u611f\u53f9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u662f\u5bf9\u7684\u3002\u52a0\u5dde\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u5371\u673a\u6253\u7834\u4e86\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u548c\u706b\u707e\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002\u5176\u4f59\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u4e5f\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u57282018\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u300a\u201c\u67f3\u53f6\u52002030\u5012\u8ba1\u65f6\u201d2018\u5e74\u5065\u5eb7\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u79f0\uff1a2017\u5e74\u76f4\u9762\u706b\u707e\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u8f832000\u5e74\u591a\u51fa1.57\u4ebf\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\u62a5\u544a\u9898\u76ee\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

The 2018 report of theLancetCountdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u62a5\u544a\u94fe\u63a5\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(18)32594-7\/fulltext<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u81f4\u547d\u91ce\u706b\u8086\u8650\u52a0\u5dde | \u6765\u6e90\uff1aGene Blevins\uff0c\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u73af\u5883\u707e\u5bb3\u53ea\u4f1a\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u5f53\u7136\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u79d1\u5b66\u793e\u533a\u4e5f\u5728\u8bd5\u56fe\u63d0\u4f9b\u5efa\u8bbe\u6027\u610f\u89c1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

2018\u5e7410\u6708\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u5bb6\u5c0f\u7ec4\uff08IPCC\uff09\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u300a\u52a0\u901f\u53d8\u6696\u300b<\/span>\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u5347\u6e291.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u524d\u6b62\u6b65\uff0c\u548c\u5982\u4f55\u51cf\u7f13\u53d8\u6696\u6b65\u4f10\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u62a5\u544a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u672a\u6765\u5f88\u53ef\u6015\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u5730\u7403\u5347\u6e292\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff082015\u5e74\u5df4\u9ece\u6c14\u5019\u534f\u8bae\u4e2d\u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u8ba4\u540c\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u9650\u5236<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u7f3a\u6c34\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u5c06\u662f1.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u3002\u989d\u5916\u7684\u53d8\u6696\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8ba9\u8d85\u8fc715\u4ebf\u4eba\u9677\u5165\u6781\u7aef\u708e\u70ed\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6570\u4ebf\u4eba\u5c06\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u50cf\u759f\u75be\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\u62a5\u544a\u9898\u76ee\uff1aGlobal Warming of 1.5 \u00baC<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u62a5\u544a\u94fe\u63a5\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/sr15\/<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u62a5\u544a\u56fe2\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u548c\u5371\u5bb3<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\uff1a\u4e00\u8f86\u8d85\u901f\u884c\u9a76\u7684\u706b\u8f66<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h1>\n

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\u6700\u65b0\u7684 IPCC \u4e13\u9898\u62a5\u9053\u8fd8\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u4ecd\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u901f\u3002\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u5f97\u5230\u6539\u5584\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u6c14\u5019\u5faa\u73af\u51cf\u5f31\uff1a\u8fd93\u4e2a\u8d8b\u52bf\u5171\u540c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u768420\u5e74\u5185\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u9891\u7387\u5c06\u4f1a\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8d85\u51fa\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd2030\u5e74\u5c31\u4f1a\u5347\u6e29\u8d85\u8fc71.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4e13\u9898\u62a5\u9053\u300a\u52a0\u901f\u53d8\u6696\u300b\u4e2d\u9884\u671f\u76842040\u5e74\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u62df\u793e\u533a\u66f4\u5173\u6ce8\u6c14\u5019\u7684\u957f\u671f\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u5747\u52bf\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6293\u4f4f\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u6700\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u6025\u5267\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u901f\u53d8\u6696 | \u6765\u6e90\uff1aRef. 1\/GISTEMP\/IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (2014)<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u65f6\u95f4\u4e5f\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u60f3\u8c61\u5f97\u8981\u5c11\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u8981\u6295\u8d44\u5e76\u5236\u5b9a\u65b9\u6848\uff1a\u4fdd\u536b\u5bb6\u56ed\u4e0d\u53d7\u6d2a\u6c34\u548c\u706b\u707e\u4fb5\u6270\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u4eba\u4eec\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6e29\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u548c\u8d2b\u56f0\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u68ee\u6797\u548c\u519c\u7530\u62b5\u5fa1\u5e72\u65f1\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u9884\u9632\u6d2a\u6d9d\u707e\u5bb3\u3002\u5feb\u901f\u53d8\u6696\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u8981\u5236\u5b9a\u51cf\u6392\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5982\uff0c\u63a7\u5236\u71c3\u7164\u3001\u7532\u919b\u548c\u6c22\u6c1f\u70c3\uff08HFC\uff09\u6c14\u4f53\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u5de5\u7a0b\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u5e73\u6d41\u5c42\u91ca\u653e\u53cd\u5c04\u7c92\u5b50\u906e\u9633\uff0c\u7ed9\u5730\u7403\u964d\u6e29\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u6c14\u5019\u5b66\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u63d0\u4f9b\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u6240\u9700\u7684\u4f9d\u636e\u548c\u672a\u676525\u5e74\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e94\u5f53\u5efa\u8bae\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u9650\u5236\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u6392\u653e\u7269\uff0c\u6765\u8fbe\u5230\u6700\u5927\u9650\u5ea6\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u6548\u76ca\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u68c0\u6d4b\u54ea\u79cd\u7b56\u7565\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u6700\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u884c\u653f\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u9650\u5236\u5f80\u5f80\u8ba9\u62bd\u8c61\u7684\u201c\u7406\u60f3\u201d\u653f\u7b56\u96be\u4ee5\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5347\u6e29\u52a0\u901f\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u53d1\u52a8\u673a<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u6709\u4e09\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5c06\u8fdc\u8d85 IPCC \u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u9053\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/h1>\n

\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u6392\u653e\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u591a\u3002\u57282017\u5e74\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u7684\u6392\u653e\u9884\u8ba1\u8d85\u8fc7370\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u8fd9\u662fIPCC \u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6392\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u672a\u676525\u5e74\uff0c\u6bcf\u5341\u5e74\u4f1a\u5347\u6e290.25\u52300.32\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e21\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c14\u6e29\u589e\u957f\uff08\u6bcf\u5341\u5e740.2\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f IPCC \u5728\u4e13\u9898\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u6cbb\u7406\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u8d85\u51fa IPCC \u548c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6c14\u5019\u5206\u6790\u5458\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u57282014\u52302016\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u53d1\u7535\u53827%\u523014%\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u786b\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u4e3b\u6d41\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u5bf9\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u548c\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u662f\u4ef6\u597d\u4e8b\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u786b\u9178\u76d0\u3001\u785d\u9178\u76d0\u548c\u6709\u673a\u5316\u5408\u7269\u7684\u6c14\u6eb6\u80f6\uff08aerosols\uff09\u4f1a\u53cd\u5c04\u9633\u5149\u3002\u6c14\u6eb6\u80f6\u5c4f\u969c\u8ba9\u5168\u7403\u964d\u6e29\u4e86\u5927\u69820.7\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>BiznesAlert<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6709\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u81ea\u7136\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u4e0e\u201c<\/span>\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5e74\u4ee3\u9645\u632f\u8361<\/span>\u201d\u7684\u7f13\u6162\u6c14\u5019\u5faa\u73af\u76f8\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5faa\u73af\u8c03\u8282\u4e86\u8d64\u9053\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u548c\u5317\u7f8e\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u3002\u4e0e\u4e4b\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u6d77\u6d0b\u6f02\u6d6e\u7269\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c<\/span>\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7684\u7ecf\u5411\u7ffb\u8f6c\u73af\u6d41\uff0c\u5373<\/span>\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u6df1\u5c42\u6c34\u548c\u8868\u5c42\u6c34\u7684\u6df7\u5408\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u81ea2004\u5e74\u8d77\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u66f4\u591a\u70ed\u91cf\u505c\u7559\u5728\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u50cf\u8fc7\u53bb\u90a3\u6837\u8fdb\u5165\u6df1\u6d77\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e09\u80a1\u529b\u91cf\u5f7c\u6b64\u52a0\u5f3a\u3002\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e2d\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u5347\u9ad8\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u628a\u5347\u6e291.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u7684\u65e5\u671f\u63d0\u524d\u52302030\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5347\u6e292\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u7684\u65e5\u671f\u63d0\u524d\u52302045\u5e74\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u66f4\u5feb\u3002\u52a0\u4e0a\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u6c14\u6e29\u81ea\u7136\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u52302025\u5e74\u7a81\u78341.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u81f3\u5c11\u670910%\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c IPCC \u516c\u5e03\u76842030\u5e74\u7a81\u78341.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ec5\u670917%\uff0c2052\u5e74\u624d\u8fbe\u523083%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\n

\n
\n
<\/p>\n

\u5e94\u5bf9\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u56db\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h1>\n

\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u4ece4\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u53cd\u601d\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\u3001\u76ee\u6807\u548c\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u6c14\u5019<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/h2>\n

\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5e94\u8be5\u8ba9IPCC\u53d1\u5e03\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e13\u9898\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u63a5\u4e0b\u676525\u5e74\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7387\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u5e94\u8be5\u8d85\u8d8a\u7269\u7406\u79d1\u5b66\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u8bc4\u4f30\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5229\u76ca\u96c6\u56e2\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u7ef4\u6301\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5e94\u8be5\u6539\u8fdb\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u63cf\u8ff0\u8fd125\u5e74\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6d0b\u6d41\u3001\u5927\u6c14\u548c\u81ea\u7136\u5468\u671f\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u91cf\u5316\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bc1\u636e\u5f88\u96be\u641c\u96c6\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u66f4\u5229\u4e8e\u8bc4\u4f30\u771f\u5b9e\u6c14\u5019\u7684\u5371\u9669\u548c\u63d0\u51fa\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u53cd\u601d\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6807<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/h2>\n

\u50cf1.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5347\u6e29\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u89c6\u4e3a\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5f80\u5f80\u88ab\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7269\u7406\u4e0a\u9650\u3002IPCC\u4e13\u9898\u62a5\u9053\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u201c\u8d1f\u6392\u653e\u6280\u672f\u201d\uff08\u5438\u6536\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u6e29\u8d8a\u63a5\u8fd1\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u8d8a\u96be\u8fbe\u5230\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u5728\u7eb8\u4e0a\u8c03\u6574\u6a21\u578b\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u5b9e\u65bd\u5f88\u56f0\u96be\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5fc5\u987b\u6743\u8861\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5730\u7403\u7684\u7269\u7406\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5fc5\u987b\u5206\u6790\u6210\u672c\u3001\u6536\u76ca\u548c\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u3002\u5df4\u9ece\u6c14\u5019\u534f\u5b9a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5fc5\u987b\u8003\u8651\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d6\u820d\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u7eb2\u9886\u6765\u6307\u5f15\u8bc4\u4f30\u73b0\u5b9e\u653f\u7b56\u5bf9\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5ba2\u89c2\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u4f1a\u63a8\u8fdb\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u653f\u6cbb\u4e89\u8bae\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u9650\u5236\u5347\u6e29\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u9700\u8981\u548c\u5404\u56fd\u9650\u6392\u63aa\u65bd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u77db\u76fe\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u53d6\u820d\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u5fc5\u987b\u901a\u8fc7\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u6e20\u9053\uff1a\u56fd\u5bb6\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u3001\u5730\u65b9\u6027\u5408\u4f5c\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u673a\u6784\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8bbe\u8ba1\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u7b56\u7565<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/h2>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5feb\u901f\u9002\u5e94\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u5230\u4e86\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u9700\u8981\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u505a\u51fa\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u5bf9\u53bf\u57df\u3001\u57ce\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5c40\u90e8\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4fe1\u606f\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u7ed3\u5408\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u8bc4\u4f30\u548c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u5bf9\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u8d22\u4ea7\u635f\u5931\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u53d8\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u201c\u5927\u6570\u636e\u201d\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u9700\u8981\u7406\u89e3\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u548c\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u4e2d\u7684\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u50cf\u52a0\u5dde\u8fd9\u6837\u79ef\u6781\u5236\u5b9a\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e5f\u4f1a\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5bf9\u6781\u7aef\u708e\u70ed\u3001\u706b\u707e\u548c\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u4e4b\u7c7b\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u8ba4\u77e5\u3002\u57ce\u5e02\u89c4\u5212\u3001\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u519c\u4e1a\u548c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u670d\u52a1<\/span>\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u548c\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u4eba\u58eb\u5fc5\u987b\u8054\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5b9e\u9645\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0e\u8ba1\u5212\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u7b56\u7565\u5fc5\u987b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5feb\u901f\u8c03\u6574\u3002\u9488\u5bf9\u6700\u574f\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u548c\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7406\u89e3\u5feb\u901f\u5e94\u5bf9\u7684\u7b56\u7565<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/h2>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6c14\u5019\u8bc4\u4f30\u5fc5\u987b\u8003\u8651\u964d\u4f4e\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u6700\u5feb\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u964d\u4f4e\u4e59\u70f7\u3001\u7164\u70df(\u6216\u70ad\u9ed1)\u548c<\/span>\u6c22\u6c1f\u70c3\u7684<\/span>\u6392\u653e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e09\u79cd\u201c\u8d85\u7ea7\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u201d\u6bcf\u5428\u9020\u6210\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u768425\u5230\u6570\u5343\u500d\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u5bff\u547d\uff08atmospheric lifetimes\uff09\u5f88\u77ed\uff0c\u7164\u70df\u662f\u51e0\u5468\uff0c\u7532\u70f7\u548c\u6c22\u6c1f\u70c3\u662f\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u51cf\u5c11\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u7684\u6392\u653e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba9\u672a\u676525\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u901f\u5ea6\u51cf\u534a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u4eca\u5e749\u6708\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u53ec\u5f00\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u884c\u52a8\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd40%\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5dde\u957f\u8054\u76df\uff0c\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u52302030\u5e74\u5c06\u7532\u70f7\u3001<\/span>\u6c22\u6c1f\u70c3\u548c\u70df\u5c18\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u51cf\u5c1140 – 50%\u7684\u8def\u7ebf\u56fe\u30022016\u5e74\u300a<\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u8bae\u5b9a\u4e66>\u57fa\u52a0\u5229\u4fee\u6b63\u6848\u300b\u5373\u5c06\u57289\u5e741\u6708\u751f\u6548\uff0c\u8ba1\u5212\u5728\u672a\u676530\u5e74\u5185\u5c06<\/span>\u6c22\u6c1f\u70c3\u6392\u653e\u51cf\u5c1180%\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n

\u62a5\u544a\u6807\u9898\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

From SLCP Challenge to Action: A Roadmap for Reducing Short-lived Climate Pollutants to Meet the Goals of the Paris Agreement<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

\u62a5\u544a\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.usclimatealliance.org\/slcp-challenge-to-action<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u62a5\u544a\u56fe1\uff1a\u77ed\u5bff\u547d\u6c14\u5019\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\uff08SLCP\uff09\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u7684\u597d\u5904<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5e94\u6025\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u6c14\u5019\u5de5\u7a0b\u65b9\u6848\u5e94\u8be5\u6446\u5728\u684c\u9762\u4e0a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u771f\u7684\u6076\u5316\u4e86\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u5fc5\u987b\u76f4\u63a5\u4ece\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u5927\u91cf\u63d0\u53d6\u8fc7\u5269\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u3002\u751a\u81f3\uff0c\u66f4\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u63aa\u65bd\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5411\u5927\u6c14\u6ce8\u5165\u6c14\u6eb6\u80f6\uff0c\u50cf\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u592a\u9633\u8f90\u5c04\u5bf9\u5730\u7403\u7684\u52a0\u70ed\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b9\u6848\u6781\u5177\u4e89\u8bae\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u610f\u6599\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u540e\u679c\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6539\u53d8\u964d\u96e8\u89c4\u5f8b\u4f1a\u4f7f\u70ed\u5e26\u5730\u533a\u66f4\u52a0\u5e72\u71e5\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u8be5\u65b9\u6848\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\uff0c\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u5728\u6d4b\u8bd5\u548c\u6280\u672f\u51c6\u5907\u65b9\u9762\u8fdb\u884c\u6295\u8d44\uff08\u76ee\u524d\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\uff09\u3002\u5426\u5219\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e86\u89e3\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u4eba\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f00\u5c55\u4e0d\u9002\u5b9c\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u5de5\u7a0b\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5df2\u7ecf\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u201c\u6c14\u5019-\u653f\u7b56\u201d\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u6846\u67b6\uff1a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5047\u88c5\u91cd\u89c6\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u65e5\u5b50\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u3002\u4e25\u8083\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u5fc5\u987b\u66f4\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u77ed\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u548c\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u540c\u65f6\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u5371\u5bb3\uff0c\u4e5f\u8981\u8003\u8651\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u9009\u9879\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aYangyang Xu, Veerabhadran Ramanathan & David G. Victor<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7ffb\u8bd1\uff1aElena<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5ba1\u6821\uff1a\u674e\u5468\u56ed<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u6768\u6e05\u6021<\/span><\/p>\n

\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-018-07586-5<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u6392\u9664\u7532\u919b\u7b49\u975e\u81ea\u7136\u56e0\u7d20\u540e\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u957f\u5bff<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u4eba\u7c7b\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u98ce\u529b\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Science\uff1a\u6d41\u611f\u6765\u88ad\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u8d8a\u5927\u8d8a\u5b89\u5168<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u57ce\u5e02\u71b5\uff1a\u4f60\u7684\u8bd7\u548c\u8fdc\u65b9\uff0c\u90fd\u6709\u4eba\u5728\u8d1f\u91cd\u524d\u884c<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/p>\n

\u96c6\u667aAI\u5b66\u56ed\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/campus.swarma.org<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

\u25c6<\/span>\u25c6<\/span>\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n

\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\"\u96c6\u667a\"<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u539f\u6587\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff08\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\uff09\uff1a\u96c6\u667a<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u8054\u76df \u5bfc\u8bed \u78b3\u6392\u653e\u3001\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u5347\u6e29\u5468\u671f\u8fd9\u4e09\u65b9\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u5171\u540c\u52a0\u901f\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\uff1f \u7f16\u8bd1\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7ec4 \u6765\u6e90\uff1aNature \u539f\u9898\uff1a Global warming will happen faster than we think \u8b66\u793a\uff1a\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u9891\u53d1 \u51c6\u5907\u597d\u8fce\u63a5\u201c\u65b0\u5f02…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14304,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[17],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14301"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14301"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14301\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14304"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14301"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=14301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}