{"id":18233,"date":"2020-01-31T17:10:12","date_gmt":"2020-01-31T09:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=18233"},"modified":"2020-01-31T17:10:12","modified_gmt":"2020-01-31T09:10:12","slug":"%e6%89%a9%e6%95%a3%e4%bf%a1%e6%81%af%e3%80%81%e4%ba%a4%e9%80%9a%e7%ae%a1%e5%88%b6%e3%80%81%e8%87%aa%e6%88%91%e9%9a%94%e7%a6%bb%ef%bc%8c%e5%93%aa%e4%b8%aa%e6%9b%b4%e8%83%bd%e9%81%8f%e5%88%b6%e7%97%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=18233","title":{"rendered":"\u6269\u6563\u4fe1\u606f\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u7ba1\u5236\u3001\u81ea\u6211\u9694\u79bb\uff0c\u54ea\u4e2a\u66f4\u80fd\u904f\u5236\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='wxsyncmain'>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\" data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"562\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"322\" data-ratio=\"0.4953125\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"width: 578px;height: 286px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-c7fb5034ec84ebd347ea22c3a3bed63d.jpeg\"  \/><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\"><\/span><\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1172402\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-left: 1em;color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.4;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"padding: 0.2em 0.5em;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-weight: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;border-radius: 0.3em;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u5bfc\u8bed<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: -0.7em;color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-size: 1em;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);border-radius: 0.4em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding: 1.4em 1em 1em;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 1em;font-weight: inherit;text-align: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"min-height: 1em;text-indent: 0em;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 10px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;font-weight: inherit;text-align: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u6269\u6563\uff0c\u65b0\u95fb\u5404\u7c7b\u62a5\u9053\u7684\u6251\u9762\u800c\u6765\u663e\u7136\u5df2\u7ecf\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u8bfb\u8005\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u8fc7\u8f7d\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: inherit;text-align: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">\u672c\u6587\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5bf9\u4fe1\u606f\u4e0e\u884c\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u9886\u57df\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5e76\u5c31\u6b64\u95ee\u9898\u8fdb\u884c\u603b\u7ed3\u4e0e\u5c55\u671b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u968f\u7740\u8fd1\u671f\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u5404\u7c7b\u4fe1\u606f\u5982\u6f6e\u6c34\u822c\u6d8c\u6765\uff0c\u800c\u8fc7\u591a\u8d44\u8baf\u5219\u4f1a\u8ba9\u8bfb\u8005\u611f\u5230<strong>\u4fe1\u606f\u8fc7\u8f7d\uff08information overload\uff09<\/strong>\u3002\u8fc7\u8f7d\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u4e2d\u5927\u591a\u5e26\u6709\u60c5\u7eea\u6307\u5411\uff0c\u4f1a\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u611f\u5230\u540c\u60c5\u75b2\u52b3\u3002\u76f8\u4fe1\u4f60\u7ecf\u8fc7\u8fde\u7eed\u591a\u5929\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u8f70\u70b8\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4fe1\u606f\u8fc7\u8f7d\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4f46\u5173\u4e8e\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u4e0e\u884c\u4e3a\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u7814\u7a76\u503c\u5f97\u6df1\u5165\u63a2\u7d22\u3002\u75be\u75c5\u4e0e\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u79f0\u4e3a<strong>\u75be\u75c5-\u884c\u4e3a\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\uff08disease\u2013behavior dynamics\uff09<\/strong>\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u3001\u884c\u4e3a\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u5b66\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u4ea4\u53c9\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u6982\u8ff0\u76f8\u5173\u9886\u57df\u7684\u591a\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u6b64\u5c55\u671b\u8bba\u6587\u80cc\u540e\u8fd8\u5b58\u5728\u54ea\u4e9b\u503c\u5f97\u63a2\u7d22\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">1.\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u75ab\u60c5\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u4fe1\u606f\u4f20\u64ad\u548c\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u4f17\u591a\u9884\u6d4b\u60a3\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6ca1\u6709\u8003\u8651\u5230\u793e\u4ea4\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0a\u75af\u4f20\u7684\u9632\u63a7\u4fe1\u606f\u4f1a\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u6709\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u8003\u8651\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u5728\u4e0d\u91c7\u53d6\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u3002\u8fd9\u65e2\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5bf9\u771f\u5b9e\u60a3\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7ba1\u63a7\u63aa\u65bd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6307\u5bfc\u2014\u2014\u6700\u5e94\u8be5\u624d\u53bb\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" data-ratio=\"0.6123456790123457\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"810\" height=\"386\" style=\"width: 434px;height: 265px;\" width=\"630\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-9366e9d1f488c26d31feda38dc9cb7d8.jpg\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;text-align: justify;\">\u56fe1\uff1a\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u4e0e\u884c\u4e3a\u4e4b\u95f4\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u793a\u610f\u56fe<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">2015 \u5e74\u4e00\u7bc7\u540d\u4e3a\u300aCoupled disease\u2013behavior dynamics on complex networks\uff1aA review\u300b\u7684\u7efc\u8ff0\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u75be\u75c5\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4e0e\u4eba\u7c7b\u884c\u4e3a\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u56de\u8def\u3002\u5982\u4e0a\u56fe\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u901a\u8fc7\u793e\u4ea4\u538b\u529b\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u8fde\u63a5\u7684\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u53c8\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u3002\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u548c\u4eba\u7c7b\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e24\u8005\u7531\u6b64\u76f8\u4e92\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u5bf9\u793e\u4ea4\u884c\u4e3a\u5efa\u6a21\u65f6\uff0c\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u662f<strong>\u57fa\u4e8e\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u65b9\u6cd5\uff08rule-based modeling\uff09<\/strong>\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8bbe\u5b9a\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u6216\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u901f\u7387\u4f1a\u53d8\u4f4e\u3002\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u7531Hagerstrand\u57281967\u5e74\u63d0\u51fa<strong>\u5e73\u5747\u4fe1\u606f\u57df\uff08mean information field\uff09<\/strong>\uff0c\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u4eba\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u5728\u4f20\u64ad\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u91c7\u53d6\u67d0\u4e2a\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5468\u56f4\u7684\u4eba\u91c7\u53d6\u8be5\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u662f\u5426\u8fbe\u5230\u9600\u503c\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u65b9\u6cd5\u5305\u62ec<strong>\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e3b\u4f53\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\uff08agent based modeling\uff09<\/strong>\uff0c<strong>\u7f51\u683c\u7f51\u7edc\uff08lattice network\uff09<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5bf9\u201c\u75be\u75c5-\u884c\u4e3a\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u201d\u9886\u57df\u66f4\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u53c2\u8003\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"js_blockquote_wrap\" data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\" data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"133\" data-source-title=\"\">\n<section class=\"js_blockquote_digest\">\n<section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">Coupled disease\u2013behavior dynamics on complex networks\uff1aA review<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S1571064515001372<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote class=\"js_blockquote_wrap\" data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\" data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"197\" data-source-title=\"\">\n<section class=\"js_blockquote_digest\">\n<section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">Coupling infectious disease, human preventive behaviour, and networks &#8211; A conceptual framework for epidemic modeling<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/S0277953611006551<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">2.\u75be\u75c5\u4fe1\u606f\u4e5f\u6709\u201c\u8fc7\u72b9\u4e0d\u53ca\u201d\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u8fc7\u91cf\u4fe1\u606f\u4f1a\u59a8\u788d\u75ab\u60c5\u63a7\u5236<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u52a0\u6df1\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u907f\u514d\u75be\u75c5\u5728\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f[3-7]\u7684\u6587\u732e\u6240\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u5171\u540c\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002\u4f46\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cd\u76f4\u89c9\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\u662f\uff0c\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u8fc7\u72b9\u4e0d\u53ca\u201d\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u3002<\/span><br  \/><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u57282020\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d[1]\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5c06\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5206\u4e3a\u5168\u5c40\u6027\u7684\u548c\u5730\u533a\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u5728\u6a21\u62df\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u53d1\u73b0\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672c\u8eab\u4f20\u64ad\u80fd\u529b\u4e2d\u7b49\u7684\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5927\u4f17\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u964d\u4f4e\u6700\u7ec8\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u4f46\u540c\u65f6\u8be5\u6587\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c<strong>\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u968f\u7740\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5c31\u4f1a\u968f\u4e4b\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u8ba4\u8bc6\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u7684\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6700\u4f4e\u3002<\/strong>\u5728\u57fa\u4e8e\u8c37\u6b4c\u6d41\u611f\u641c\u7d22\u91cf\u771f\u5b9e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u8bba\u6587[2]\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u591f\u51cf\u5c11\u75be\u75c5\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u5728[8]\u4e2d\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u4e09\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u7ed3\u6784\uff08\u968f\u673a\u7f51\u7edcGe\uff0c\u5c0f\u4e16\u754c\u7f51\u7edcGw\uff0c\u65e0\u6807\u5ea6\u7f51\u7edcGs\uff09\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8eSIR\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u67d3\u7387\u4e0e\u5927\u4f17\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" data-croporisrc=\"https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/mmbiz_png\/wibWV1DB7tWJQAr4trFHXW8iauwYN5mQY3dvRkrML6WNIiceOl5kzeporszw0miaibgm5libl7LWRSia62GNmJqZcHcyg\/640?wx_fmt=png\" data-cropx1=\"0\" data-cropx2=\"565.4978902953586\" data-cropy1=\"0\" data-cropy2=\"379.11181434599155\" data-ratio=\"0.6707964601769911\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"565\" height=\"367\" style=\"text-align: center;width: 446px;height: 299px;\" width=\"565\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-f73dd8e762ad8d1dcb85e848f69e4d31.jpg\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u56fe 2\uff1a\u4e0d\u540c\u7f51\u7edc\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0b\uff0c\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6bd4\u4f8b\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u53d8\u5316[8]<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5982\u56fe 2 \u6240\u793a\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u6a21\u62df\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8ba4\u77e5\u540e\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u67d3\u7387\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u52a0\u6df1\u5927\u4f17\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4f7f\u5f97\u611f\u67d3\u7387\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u5230\u8fbe\u5f97\u66f4\u665a\uff08\u4f20\u64ad\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u4e45\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u611f\u67d3\u7387\u5cf0\u503c\u4f1a\u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a8\u51fa\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u60a3\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4f1a\u6765\u5f97\u66f4\u665a\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u524d\u671f\u4f20\u64ad\u7387\u7684\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u603b\u7684\u60a3\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">3.\u5728\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u5f15\u5165\u6f5c\u4f0f\u671f\u56e0\u7d20<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u75c5\u6bd2\u5b58\u5728\u8f83\u957f\u7684\u6f5c\u4f0f\u671f\uff0c\u4e14\u8f7b\u75c7\u75c5\u60a3\u7f3a\u5c11\u660e\u663e\u75c7\u72b6\uff0c\u53ea\u4f7f\u7528\u4f20\u7edf\u7684SIR\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f1a\u96be\u4ee5\u8003\u8651\u5230\u6f5c\u4f0f\u75c5\u60a3\u4ee5\u53ca\u8f7b\u75c7\u60a3\u8005\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8005[9]\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86 SAUIS \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u72b6\u6001 U \u548c A \u3002\u5176\u4e2d U \u4ee3\u8868\u65e0\u660e\u663e\u4e34\u5e8a\u75c7\u72b6\uff0c\u6709\u4f20\u67d3\u6027\u7684\u60a3\u8005\uff0cA\u4ee3\u8868\u8be5\u60a3\u8005\u662f\u5426\u77e5\u9053\u81ea\u5df1\u60a3\u75c5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" data-ratio=\"0.45930232558139533\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1032\" height=\"474\" style=\"width: 496px;height: 228px;\" width=\"1032\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-e1f2489f4935c01259bece70bb3db9cd.png\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px;text-align: justify;\">\u56fe 3\uff1a\u8003\u8651\u75c5\u6bd2\u6f5c\u4f0f\u671f\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64adSAUIS\u6a21\u578b[9]<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5982\u4e0a\u56fe\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u5728 SAUIS\u6a21\u578b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a2\u8ba8\u75be\u75c5\u53d8\u5f02\u540e\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u7387beta\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u5bc6\u5ea6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span><img data-croporisrc=\"https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/mmbiz_png\/wibWV1DB7tWJQAr4trFHXW8iauwYN5mQY3kTASFnAzKiaBlDpb0Hx5XGuWmrdEIXOt4Nov3ujc0PIooESsbbmqyWw\/640?wx_fmt=png\" data-cropx1=\"0\" data-cropx2=\"703\" data-cropy1=\"13.893280632411066\" data-cropy2=\"233.40711462450594\" data-ratio=\"0.3129445234708393\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"703\" style=\"width: 506px;height: 158px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-c183d0ad4c1906338b28be55a579a71b.jpeg\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: justify;\">\u56fe 4\uff1a\u75be\u75c5\u8bca\u65ad\u548c\u65e0\u660e\u663e\u75c7\u72b6\u60a3\u8005\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e0e\u75be\u75c5\u6700\u7ec8\u4f20\u64ad\u5bc6\u5ea6\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u793a\u610f\u56fe[9]<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u75c5\u60a3\u7684\u8bca\u65ad\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff08\u56fe 4 \u5de6\uff09\u548c\u75c5\u60a3\u4e2d\u65e0\u660e\u663e\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff08\u56fe 4 \u53f3\uff09\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5bf9\u65e0\u5178\u578b\u75c7\u72b6\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8bca\u65ad\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u5bc6\u5ea6\uff08\u56fe\u4e2d\u7eb5\u8f74\uff09\u8d8a\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u65e0\u660e\u663e\u75c5\u60a3\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u5bc6\u5ea6\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e14\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\u3002\u56fe\u4e2d\u7684\u6a2a\u8f74\u6307<strong>\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7387\uff08variability measure\uff09<\/strong>\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u5bc6\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5927\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8be5\u6a21\u62df\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5728\u4f30\u8ba1\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u60a3\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u65f6\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u65e0\u660e\u663e\u75c7\u72b6\u60a3\u8005\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f97\u51fa\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u7814\u7a76[10]\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86 UAU-SEIS \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u5143\u7f51\u7edc\uff08multiplex network\uff09\u4e0a\uff0c\u8003\u5bdf\u4e86\u65e0\u5178\u578b\u75c7\u72b6\u60a3\u8005\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h4 style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/span><\/h4>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">4.\u964d\u4f4e\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u5f88\u591a\uff0c<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u5982\u4f55\u8bc4\u4f30\u5f71\u54cd\u5927\u5c0f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u76f8\u6bd42003\u524d\u7684 SARS \u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u4ea4\u901a\u541e\u5410\u91cf\u548c\u7ebf\u8def\u4ea4\u53c9\u5bc6\u96c6\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u6709\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u901a\u8fc7\u5207\u65ad\u8fdc\u8ddd\u79bb\u5ba2\u8fd0\u4ea4\u901a\uff0c\u80fd\u5728\u591a\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4f20\u64ad\uff1f\u8fd9\u662f\u8bba\u6587[11]\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"text-align: center;\">&nbsp;<img data-croporisrc=\"https:\/\/mmbiz.qlogo.cn\/mmbiz_png\/wibWV1DB7tWJQAr4trFHXW8iauwYN5mQY3BUzkZ1ZPMMKib6C35oCrm0dAqWeLpedA3rIyXicBjiaJosiaLp6hJhYIdw\/0?wx_fmt=png\" data-cropx1=\"21.172932330827066\" data-cropx2=\"506.8270676691729\" data-cropy1=\"41.02255639097744\" data-cropy2=\"330.8270676691729\" data-ratio=\"0.5979381443298969\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"485\" style=\"height: 194px;text-align: center;white-space: normal;width: 322px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-508ce49fbfe6c4661e68967915384ca1.jpeg\"  \/>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">\u56fe 5\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\">\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7f51\u7edc\u793a\u610f\u56fe[11]<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8003\u8651\u8282\u70b9\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u56fe\u4e2d\u8282\u70b9\u95f4\u8fde\u63a5\u8fb9\u7684\u7c97\u7ec6\u4ee3\u8868\u51fa\u884c\u5230\u8fbe\u6240\u9700\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u800c\u901a\u8fc7\u6a21\u62df\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u51fa\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u4f20\u64ad\u7387\u7684\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u5404\u81ea\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff0c\u5f53\u5c0f\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c<strong>\u76f8\u53d8\uff08phase transition\uff09<\/strong>\u4f1a\u4f7f\u75be\u75c5\u4ece\u4f20\u64ad\u72b6\u6001\u8fc5\u901f\u53d8\u4e3a\u505c\u6b62\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" data-croporisrc=\"https:\/\/mmbiz.qlogo.cn\/mmbiz_png\/wibWV1DB7tWJQAr4trFHXW8iauwYN5mQY3Le1YjPx87u1O7M7fiaAEsmkqlptiaNd7sx0BN0r5oyaY680G2zqgXA1Q\/0?wx_fmt=png\" data-cropx1=\"12\" data-cropx2=\"472\" data-cropy1=\"22\" data-cropy2=\"327\" data-ratio=\"0.6608695652173913\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"460\" height=\"290\" style=\"width: 407px;height: 305px;\" width=\"395\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-a79bc630b0e7c8a4c144ab60927ba5f6.png\"  \/><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);text-align: justify;\">\u56fe 6\uff1aSIR\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5eb7\u590d\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e0e\u5207\u65ad\u4ea4\u901a\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u793a\u610f\u56fe[11]<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u56fe\u4e2d\u7684\u84dd\u8272\u548c\u7ea2\u8272\u4ee3\u8868\u4e24\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7387\uff08\u84dd\u8272\u8f83\u5927\uff09\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u542f\u793a\u662f\u5207<strong>\u65ad\u8fdc\u7a0b\u4ea4\u901a\uff0c\u786e\u5b9e\u662f\u6709\u6548\u679c\u7684\uff0c\u4e14\u6709\u9650\u5ea6\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u5c31\u8db3\u591f\u4e86\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u9488\u5bf9\u964c\u751f\u7684\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u6478\u7740\u77f3\u5934\u8fc7\u6cb3\u662f\u7b26\u5408\u5b9e\u4e8b\u6c42\u662f\u7cbe\u795e\u7684\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u91c7\u53d6\u968f\u673a\u5316\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u53bb\u5c1d\u8bd5\u54ea\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u76f8\u5bf9\u66f4\u597d\u3002\u8bba\u6587[12]\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5e76\u8bc4\u4f30\u901a\u8fc7\u968f\u673a\u5316\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u8be5\u6587\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u89c2\u5bdf\u968f\u673a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5bf9\u5e72\u9884\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff08\u964d\u4f4e\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7387\uff09\u8fdb\u884c\u5ba2\u89c2\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">5.\u603b\u7ed3\u4e0e\u5c55\u671b<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u6d41\uff0c\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d1f\u53cd\u9988\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u6548\u7387\uff1b\u800c\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6050\u614c\u548c\u7fa4\u4f53\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u65e0\u660e\u663e\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u60a3\u8005\u7684\u957f\u8ddd\u79bb\u8fc1\u5f99\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5e26\u6765\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u6b63\u53cd\u9988\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u52a0\u5267\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8fd9\u6b63\u662f\u4e3a\u4f55\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u4e13\u5bb6\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u5c01\u57ce\u5bf9\u63a7\u5236\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u6709\u591a\u5927\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u662f\u76f8\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u7684\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u8003\u91cf\u7684\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u96be\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u672c\u6587\u6982\u8ff0\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u8bfb\u8005\u80fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6587\u732e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u8005\uff0c\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u8fdb\u884c\u5efa\u6a21\uff0c\u5bf9\u63a7\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u548c\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u8fdb\u884c\u5efa\u6a21\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u7559\u8a00\u5206\u4eab\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;\">\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/strong>\uff1a<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<section style=\"transform: rotate(0deg);\">\n<section style=\"text-align: justify;width: 578px;\">\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;overflow-y: auto;height: 300px;width: 578px;\">\n<section style=\"overflow-x: hidden;\">\n<section>\n<section style=\"padding: 0.1em 0.3em;display: inline-block;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);line-height: 1.1;\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[1] Li, M., Wang, M., Xue, S. and Ma, J. The influence of awareness on epidemic spreading on random networks.&nbsp;Volume 486,&nbsp;7 February 2020, 110090.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[2] Wang, W., Liu, Q., Cai, S., Tang, M., Braunstein, L. and Stanley, H. Suppressing disease spreading by using information diffusion on multiplex networks. 2016,&nbsp;Scientific Reports&nbsp;volume&nbsp;6, Article&nbsp;number:&nbsp;29259.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[3]&nbsp;Franco Bagnoli, Pietro Li\u00f2, and Luca Sguanci.&nbsp;Risk perception in epidemic modeling. 2007,&nbsp;Phys. Rev. E&nbsp;76, 061904&nbsp;.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[4] Ferguson\uff0c N. Capturing human behaviour.&nbsp;2007, Nature 446\uff0c733-733.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[5] Kitchovitch\uff0c S.\uff0c Li\u00f3\uff0c P.\uff0c 2010. Risk perception and disease spread on social networks. 292 Procedia Computer Science 1\uff0c 2345-2354.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[6] Hiroshi Nishiura.&nbsp;Time variations in the transmissibility of pandemic influenza in 308&nbsp;Prussia,&nbsp;Germany,&nbsp;from 1918-19. Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 4\uff0c 1-9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[7] Meloni, S., Perra, N., Arenas, A., G\u00f3mez, S., Moreno, Y. and Vespignani, A. , 2011.&nbsp;Modeling human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of infectious diseases. Scientific Reports 1\uff0c 62.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[8] Azizi, A., Montalvo, C., Espinoza, B., Kang, Y. and Castillo-Chavez, C. Epidemics on networks: Reducing disease transmission using health emergency declarations and peer communication.,Volume 5,&nbsp;2020, Pages 12-22.<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[9] Zhang, H., Xie, J., Chen, H., Liu, C. and Small,.&nbsp;Impact of asymptomatic infection on coupled disease-behavior dynamics in complex networks. 2016.&nbsp;EPL (Europhysics Letters),&nbsp;Volume 114,&nbsp;Number 3.<\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[10] Shi, T., Long, T., Pan, Y., Zhang, W., Dong, C. and Yin, Q.&nbsp;Effects of asymptomatic infection on the dynamical interplay between behavior and disease transmission in multiplex networks.&nbsp;Volume 536<span style=\"font-size: 13px;font-family: NexusSans, Arial, Helvetica, &quot;Lucida Sans Unicode&quot;, &quot;Microsoft Sans Serif&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, STIXGeneral, &quot;Cambria Math&quot;, &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: center;\">,&nbsp;15 December 2019, 121030.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: NexusSans, Arial, Helvetica, &quot;Lucida Sans Unicode&quot;, &quot;Microsoft Sans Serif&quot;, &quot;Segoe UI Symbol&quot;, STIXGeneral, &quot;Cambria Math&quot;, &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;, sans-serif;text-align: center;font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[11] Perez, I., Trunfio, P., La Rocca, C. and Braunstein, L. Controlling distant contacts to reduce disease spreading on disordered complex networks. 2019. arXiv.org.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[12]&nbsp;Daniel J. Eck,&nbsp;Olga Morozova,&nbsp;Forrest W. Crawford.&nbsp;Randomization for the direct effect of an infectious disease intervention in a clustered study population. 2018.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff08\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u53ef\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ed1\u52a8\uff09<\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<blockquote class=\"js_blockquote_wrap\" data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\" data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"17\" data-source-title=\"\">\n<section class=\"js_blockquote_digest\">\n<section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u90ed\u745e\u4e1c<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5ba1\u6821\uff1a\u5218\u57f9\u6e90<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u5f20\u723d<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247501032&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b89b7f9bd11177b8c128361f33a131b7&amp;chksm=e8979e65dfe0177364713c43b91429f6b9abf997f7208673a681b1e14476aee4d63cc3e120ad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u9632\u63a7\u529b\u5ea6\u591a\u5927\u624d\u80fd\u904f\u5236\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">&nbsp;\u7f51\u7edc\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u63a8\u6f14\u7ed9\u4f60\u7b54\u6848<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247501015&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=623f6c1409e98b7acf228a1437b12704&amp;chksm=e8979e5adfe0174c53b1b2cdb3a68ad6b643f5b419083485b7d2e6282c01fe6aa06d92e65c40&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u75c5\u6bd2\u6269\u6563\u8fd9\u4e48\u5feb\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4ece\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u89c6\u89d2\u770b\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247499422&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b95d2d77836175153ef99967ee8f2345&amp;chksm=e897a413dfe02d055e54fae64443e55edbbb1549edb379027c8ea2a27f2b904a2b6b333d4aa5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Nature\u5b50\u520a\uff1a\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u5982\u4f55\u901a\u8fc7\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u51b2\u51fb\u4f01\u4e1a\u7f51\u7edc<\/strong><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247487778&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c2e77ec93213c4c63f57a777ff10e368&amp;chksm=e8944bafdfe3c2b9d66544dafe7403159473e8c94fd3bc513f5300c353bcec49c0c0b69797af&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/span><\/strong><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1398939\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"\u6536\u85cf\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1345806\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<hr style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\"  \/>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;\"><img data-ratio=\"0.9191011235955057\" data-type=\"gif\" data-w=\"445\" width=\"100%\"  style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px;height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 64px !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-9066d979e007d780535aa6d868fad30e.gif\"  \/><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;font-size: 15px;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"line-height: 25.6px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org<br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<h1 style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-weight: 400;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 14px;white-space: pre-wrap;color: rgb(0, 112, 192);line-height: 25.6px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"line-height: 28px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(61, 170, 214);font-size: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><span style=\"color: rgb(255, 76, 0);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 128, 255);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: rgb(61, 170, 214);\">\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  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