{"id":18265,"date":"2020-02-03T19:27:59","date_gmt":"2020-02-03T11:27:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=18265"},"modified":"2020-02-03T19:27:59","modified_gmt":"2020-02-03T11:27:59","slug":"%e4%bf%a1%e6%81%af%e5%85%ac%e5%bc%80%ef%bc%8c%e5%88%86%e5%9d%97%e9%9a%94%e7%a6%bb-%e5%9f%ba%e4%ba%8e%e4%bf%a1%e6%81%af%e6%89%a9%e6%95%a3%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b0%e5%9e%8b%e8%82%ba%e7%82%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=18265","title":{"rendered":"\u4fe1\u606f\u516c\u5f00\uff0c\u5206\u5757\u9694\u79bb\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u65b0\u578b\u80ba\u708e\u7f51\u7edc\u4f20\u64ad\u6a21\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='wxsyncmain'>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\" data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"562\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"342\" data-ratio=\"0.6086956521739131\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"690\" style=\"width: 562px;height: 342px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-95d1e735b1c9ffb8140cf78c71464efd.jpeg\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;text-align: justify;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1172402\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-left: 1em;color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.4;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"padding: 0.2em 0.5em;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-weight: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;border-radius: 0.3em;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u5bfc\u8bed<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: -0.7em;color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-size: 1em;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);border-radius: 0.4em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding: 1.4em 1em 1em;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 1em;font-weight: inherit;text-align: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u5728\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5728\u589e\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u4e0e\u75ab\u60c5\u6269\u6563\u4e4b\u95f4\u6709\u4f55\u5173\u8054\uff1f\u6765\u81ea\u963f\u91cc\u5df4\u5df4\u5546\u5b66\u9662\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u5f20\u5b50\u67ef\u7b49\u4eba\u5206\u6790\u4e86 1 \u6708 1 \u65e5 -1 \u6708 31 \u7684\u8206\u60c5\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u786e\u8bca\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u4e8c\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u57fa\u4e8e\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u7406\u8bba\u4e3a\u75ab\u60c5\u9632\u63a7\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u4f50\u8bc1\u4e86\u4fe1\u606f\u516c\u5f00\u3001\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4eba\u7fa4\u5206\u533a\u5757\u9694\u79bb\u7b49\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u4e00\u3001\u5f15\u8a00<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b80\u79f0\u65b0\u578b\u80ba\u708e\uff09\u5728\u6b66\u6c49\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u5e76\u968f\u7740\u6625\u8fd0\u5927\u6f6e\u8fc5\u901f\u8513\u5ef6\u6210\u5168\u56fd\u6027\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u3002\u800c\u968f\u7740\u65b0\u578b\u80ba\u708e\u7684\u6269\u6563\uff0c\u5404\u7c7b\u76f8\u5173\u4fe1\u606f\u4e5f\u5982\u6f6e\u6c34\u822c\u6d8c\u6765\u3002\u8fd9\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u5708\u91cc\u6bcf\u5929\u90fd\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u6709\u5173\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u771f\u6b63\u6b22\u8fce\u5b83\u4eec\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6d88\u606f\u91cc\u5305\u542b\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u4e3b\u8981\u5206\u4e3a\u4ee5\u4e0b\u51e0\u7c7b\uff1a<\/span><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff081\uff09\u75ab\u60c5\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5c55\u6001\u52bf\u901a\u62a5\uff1b<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff082\uff09\u75ab\u60c5\u76f8\u5173\u6551\u52a9\u3001\u5904\u7406\u60c5\u51b5\uff1b<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff083\uff09\u5bf9\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u8bc4\u5224\u548c\u8ba8\u8bba\uff1b<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff084\uff09\u4e0e\u75ab\u60c5\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8c23\u8a00\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6d77\u91cf\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u4e95\u55b7\u5982\u540c\u4e00\u628a\u53cc\u5203\u5251\u3002\u4ece\u5229\u5904\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u5b83\u9884\u793a\u7740\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7a7a\u524d\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002\u800c\u4ece\u5f0a\u5904\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4fe1\u606f\u6ee1\u5929\u98de\uff0c\u8ba9\u6c11\u4f17\u4e0d\u77e5\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u3001\u5f92\u589e\u7126\u8651\u4e0e\u6050\u614c\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4fe1\u606f\u771f\u5047\u4e0d\u5b9a\uff0c\u8f9f\u8c23\u65b0\u95fb\u52aa\u529b\u6d88\u706d\u7740\u5c42\u51fa\u4e0d\u7a77\u7684\u8c23\u8a00\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e72\u6270\u9879\uff0c\u6781\u5927\u5730\u4f24\u5bb3\u4e86\u5927\u4f19\u6297\u51fb\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u70ed\u60c5\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u7f51\u7edc\u4fe1\u606f\u7814\u7a76\u65b0\u578b\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u7f51\u4e0a\u4e0e\u672c\u6b21\u75ab\u60c5\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u5168\u5a92\u4f53\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u6765\u6e90\u6db5\u76d6\u4e862020\u5e741\u67081\u65e5-31\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\u6765\u81ea\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u9053\u3001\u5fae\u535a\u3001\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\u3001\u8bba\u575b\u3001\u5404\u5927\u5ba2\u6237\u7aef\u7b49\u5a92\u4f53\u5171\u8ba1720\u591a\u4e07\u6761\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86\u540c\u671f\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\u6001\u52bf\u3002\u5982\u56fe1 \u6240\u793a\uff0c\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u4e0e\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\u4e8c\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u6709\u7740\u660e\u663e\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u9884\u793a\u7740\u901a\u8fc7\u7f51\u7edc\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\u6001\u52bf\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><img data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"434\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"266\" data-ratio=\"0.62421875\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"width: 434px;height: 271px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-2ee2a6565472dd087e299e4a976b342b.jpeg\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;text-align: justify;\">\u56fe1\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><strong style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;text-align: justify;\">2020\u5e741\u67081\u65e5-31\u65e5\u5168\u56fd\u786e\u8bca\u75c5\u4f8b\u548c\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u5bf9\u6bd4\u56fe<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u65b0\u578b\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u548c\u7f51\u7edc\u4fe1\u606f\u8206\u60c5\u7684\u5730\u7406\u5206\u5e03\u60c5\u51b5\uff08\u5982\u56fe2\u6240\u793a\uff09\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u6700\u591a\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5176\u5b9e\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u75ab\u60c5\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff08\u5982\u6e56\u5317\u7701\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u75ab\u533a\u65e0\u6687\u5904\u7406\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5317\u4eac\u5e02\u3001\u4e0a\u6d77\u5e02\u548c\u5e7f\u4e1c\u7701\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4e00\u7ebf\u7701\u5e02\uff08\u8fd9\u51e0\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u5f62\u52bf\u4f9d\u7136\u4e25\u5cfb\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u8f83\u4e8e\u6e56\u5317\u7701\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"562\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"290\" data-ratio=\"0.5144817073170732\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"2624\" style=\"width: 564px;height: 290px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-42c41e42152b1f321de42f71e752db22.jpg\"  \/><\/section>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: center;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">\u56fe2\uff1a\u622a\u6b621\u670831\u65e5\u5168\u56fd\u786e\u8bca\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u548c\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u5730\u7406\u5206\u5e03\u56fe<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u7d2f\u8ba1\u91cf\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u89c2\u5bdf\u4e86\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u53731\u670826\u65e5-31\u65e5\u8fde\u7eed\u51e0\u5929\u7684\u5f53\u5929\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u589e\u91cf\uff08\u5982\u56fe3\u6240\u793a\uff09\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u6e56\u5317\u7701\u7684\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u4ecd\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u51e0\u4e2a\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u7684\u591a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u6269\u6563\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u5f53\u5730\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"553\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"739\" data-ratio=\"1.33515625\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"width: 553px;height: 739px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-97663ed3f315a7ddb4f0fa881b01f5dc.jpeg\"  \/><\/section>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: center;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">\u56fe3\uff1a1\u670826\u65e5-31\u65e5\u5168\u56fd\u8206\u60c5\u5f53\u65e5\u4fe1\u606f\u5730\u7406\u5206\u5e03\u56fe<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\">\u4e8c\u3001\u57fa\u4e8e\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u7f51\u7edc\u4f20\u64ad\u6a21\u578b<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4e24\u70b9\u542f\u53d1\uff1a<\/span><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff081\uff09\u7f51\u7edc\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u53cd\u6620\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6001\u52bf\uff1b<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff082\uff09\uff08\u6b63\u9762\uff09\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5e2e\u52a9\u4eba\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u65b0\u578b\u80ba\u708e\uff0c\u5e76\u79ef\u6781\u505a\u597d\u9632\u8303\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u63a5\u89e6\u5230\u6240\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u5458\uff08\u5373\u6709\u9650\u63a5\u89e6\u8303\u56f4\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5728\u4eba\u7fa4\u6784\u5efa\u4e0a\u6211\u4eec\u9009\u7528\u4e86\u4f20\u7edf\u7f51\u7edc\u6a21\u578b\u2014\u2014BA\u7f51\u7edc\uff08\u5373\u65e0\u6807\u5ea6\u7f51\u7edc\uff09\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u4ee5\u4e0a\u51e0\u70b9\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8003\u8651\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u57fa\u4e8e\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u4f20\u64ad\u7684SEIR\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2dS\u4e3a\u5065\u5eb7\u4eba\u7fa4\uff0cE\u4e3a\u5904\u4e8e\u6f5c\u4f0f\u671f\u7684\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u7fa4\uff0cI\u4e3a\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u7fa4\uff0cR\u4e3a\u6062\u590d\u4eba\u7fa4\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u6f5c\u4f0f\u671f\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e5f\u6709\u611f\u67d3\u6613\u611f\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u80ba\u708e\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u4fe1\u606f\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5728\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u4f20\u64ad\u5f00\u6765\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53c8\u5c06\u4eba\u7fa4\u5206\u4e3a\u6709\u75be\u75c5\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\uff08A\uff09\u548c\u65e0\u75be\u75c5\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\uff08U\uff09\u3002\u65e0\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u7f51\u7edc\u5a92\u4ecb\u6216\u53e3\u53e3\u76f8\u4f20\u5f97\u77e5\u75ab\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6210\u4e3a\u6709\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u3002\u6709\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u6613\u611f\u8005\uff08S<sup><span style=\"font-size: 12.5px;\">A<\/span><\/sup>\uff09\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u51cf\u5c11\u51fa\u884c\u3001\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u3001\u81ea\u6211\u9694\u79bb\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d17\u624b\u6d88\u6bd2\u7b49\u884c\u4e3a\u51cf\u5c11\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u6709\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u611f\u67d3\u8005\uff08I<sup>A<\/sup>\uff09\u4f1a\u88ab\u9694\u79bb\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u5176\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e5f\u4f1a\u76f8\u5e94\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u6a21\u578b\u67b6\u6784\u5982\u56fe4\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.47833935018050544\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"554\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-957c0dc4d216682d8e8927ee6e06d787.png\"  \/><\/section>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;text-align: center;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: center;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">\u56fe4\uff1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u7f51\u7edc\u4f20\u64ad\u6a21\u578b\u793a\u610f\u56fe<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u7b26\u53f7\u89e3\u91ca\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><br  \/><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">\u03b2&nbsp;:&nbsp;\u6613\u611f\u8005\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">\u03b7&nbsp;:&nbsp; \u6f5c\u4f0f\u671f\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u7684\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">\u03bc&nbsp;: \u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6062\u590d\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u03b3&nbsp;:&nbsp;\u6709\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u6613\u611f\u8005\u611f\u67d3\u6982\u7387\u51cf\u5c11\u56e0\u5b50<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">\u03b3\u2081 : \u6709\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u611f\u67d3\u522b\u4eba\u6982\u7387\u6709\u6548\u56e0\u5b50<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">\u03b3\u2082 : \u6709\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u6f5c\u4f0f\u8005\u611f\u67d3\u522b\u4eba\u6982\u7387\u6709\u6548\u56e0\u5b50<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">\u03b3\u2083 : \u65e0\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u6f5c\u4f0f\u7740\u611f\u67d3\u522b\u4eba\u6982\u7387\u6709\u6548\u56e0\u5b50<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">\u03b1 : \u65b0\u578b\u80ba\u708e\u76f8\u5173\u4fe1\u606f\u4f20\u64ad\u7387<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">N\uff1a\u7f51\u7edc\u89c4\u6a21\u603b\u6570\uff08\u5373\u4eba\u6570\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">( b<sub>ij&nbsp;<\/sub>)<sub>NxN\uff1a<\/sub>\u4fe1\u606f\u4f20\u64ad\u5c42\u7f51\u7edc\u90bb\u63a5\u77e9\u9635<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 15px;\">( b<sub>ij&nbsp;<\/sub>)<sub>NxN<\/sub>\uff1a\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u5c42\u7f51\u7edc\u90bb\u63a5\u77e9\u9635<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;color: rgb(154, 154, 154);font-size: 15px;white-space: normal;text-align: left;line-height: 2em;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5177\u4f53\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7565\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u51fa\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u65f6\u7684\u6709\u6548\u611f\u67d3\u9608\u503c&nbsp;<\/span><em><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u03b2&nbsp;<\/span><sup>c<\/sup>\/\u03bc&nbsp;<\/em><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff08\u6ce8\uff1a\u5f53\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u6709\u6548\u4f20\u64ad\u7387\u8fbe\u5230\u6216\u8005\u5927\u4e8e\u8be5\u503c\u65f6\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u4f1a\u5728\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0a\u6301\u7eed\u4f20\u64ad\u5e76\u53d1\u751f\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b\u5219\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4f20\u64ad\u4e14\u9010\u6e10\u6d88\u4ea1\uff09\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u8ba1\u7b97\u77e9\u9635 H=[1-(1-\u03b3)<em>p<sub style=\"white-space: normal;\">i<\/sub><sup style=\"white-space: normal;\">A&nbsp;<\/sup><\/em>]<em>bji&nbsp;<\/em>\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u95ee\u9898\uff0c<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.4540540540540541\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"185\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-3da487999631def8fb90817e4cbce959.png\"  \/><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\">\uff081\uff09<\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-ratio=\"0.7546875\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-e0177a48bb3c92b256f0f7695015823a.jpg\"  \/><\/section>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: center;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\u56fe5\uff1a\uff08A\uff09\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u9608\u503c\u4e0e\u968f\u7740\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u516c\u4f17\u91c7\u53d6\u81ea\u6211\u4fdd\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\u6982\u7387\u7684\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: center;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\uff08B\uff09R0 \u968f\u7740\u516c\u4f17\u91c7\u53d6\u81ea\u6211\u4fdd\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\u6982\u7387\u7684\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u56fe5A\u663e\u793a\u4e86\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u9608\u503c&nbsp;<em>\u03b2&nbsp;<sup style=\"white-space: normal;\">c<\/sup>\/\u03bc&nbsp;<\/em>\u4e0e\u968f\u7740\u8206\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u516c\u4f17\u91c7\u53d6\u81ea\u6211\u4fdd\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\u6982\u7387\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c<strong>\u516c\u4f17<\/strong><strong>\u81ea\u6211\u4fdd\u62a4\u610f\u8bc6\u8d8a\u5f3a\u70c8\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u8d8a\u96be\u7206\u53d1\u3002<\/strong>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c<\/span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\u4e5f\u8868\u660e\uff1a\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u9608\u503c\u548c\u4eba\u7fa4\u89c4\u6a21\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u52a0\u5927\u4fe1\u606f\u516c\u5f00\u548c\u5ba3\u4f20\u529b\u5ea6\u5916\uff0c\u5c06\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4eba\u7fa4\u5206\u533a\u5757\u9694\u79bb\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u964d\u4f4e\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3010<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6210\u6587\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u5f97\u77e5\u5df2\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u53bf\uff08\u767e\u4e07\u7ea7\u4eba\u53e3\uff09\u7531\u4e8e\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u6781\u4e3a\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u9632\u8303\u5c01\u95ed\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u76f8\u90bb\u5730\u533a\u75ab\u60c5\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u51fa\u73b0\u4efb\u4f55\u7591\u4f3c\u75c5\u4f8b\u3011\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5730\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u57fa\u672c\u518d\u751f\u6570<em style=\"white-space: normal;\">R<\/em><sub>0<\/sub>\uff08\u6ce8\uff1a<em style=\"white-space: normal;\">R<\/em><sub>0&nbsp;<\/sub>\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f20\u67d3\u8005\u5176\u5e73\u5747\u60a3\u75c5\u671f\u5185\u53ef\u6240\u4ee5\u4f20\u67d3\u7684\u4eba\u6570\uff09\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.17118997912317327\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"479\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-2689c754f8a203d2e1ae5833b6f123c5.png\"  \/><span style=\"font-size: 12px;text-align: center;\">\uff082\uff09<\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c<em>S<sup style=\"white-space: normal;\">U<\/sup>&nbsp;<\/em>\u4e3a\u65e0\u75ab\u60c5\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c<em>S<sup style=\"white-space: normal;\">A<\/sup>&nbsp;<\/em>\u4e3a\u6709\u75ab\u60c5\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e[1]\u4e2d\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u4f30\u8ba1\u57fa\u672c\u518d\u751f\u6570\u3002\u56fe5B\u663e\u793a\u4e86<em style=\"white-space: normal;\">R<\/em><sub>0<\/sub>&nbsp;\u968f\u7740\u516c\u4f17\u91c7\u53d6\u81ea\u6211\u4fdd\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\u6982\u7387\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u56fe\u4e2d\u7d2b\u8272\u865a\u7ebf\u4e3a<em style=\"white-space: normal;\">R<\/em><sub>0<\/sub> =1\uff0c\u5373\u75ab\u60c5\u4e0d\u518d\u6269\u6563\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u4e3a\u5343\u4e07\u7ea7\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u4e2d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u81ea\u6211\u4fdd\u62a4\u610f\u8bc6\u6982\u7387\u8fbe\u5230\u57280.5\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u75ab\u60c5\u5173\u6ce8\u5ea6\u57280.9\u4ee5\u4e0a\u65f6\uff1b\u6216\u8005\u81ea\u6211\u4fdd\u62a4\u610f\u8bc6\u6982\u7387\u57280.75\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u75ab\u60c5\u5173\u6ce8\u5ea6\u57280.7\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u5c06\u6781\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u6291\u5236\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u8513\u5ef6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u4e09\u3001\u7ed3\u8bba<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u672c\u6587\u4ece\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u5168\u56fd\u7f51\u7edc\u8206\u60c5\u548c\u75ab\u60c5\u6269\u6563\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u542f\u53d1\u5f97\u51fa\u75ab\u60c5\u9632\u63a7\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u548c\u6a21\u578b\u8bc1\u660e\uff1a<strong>\u5927\u529b\u5ba3\u4f20\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u4fe1\u606f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u5927\u4f17\u63d0\u9ad8\u9632\u8303\u610f\u8bc6\uff0c\u52a0\u5f3a\u81ea\u6211\u9632\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\uff1b<\/strong><strong>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u91c7\u53d6\u5316\u6574\u4e3a\u96f6\uff0c\u5c06\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4eba\u53e3\u5206\u6210\u5c0f\u533a\u57df\u8fdb\u884c\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c \u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5730\u6709\u6548\u7f13\u89e3\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/strong>\u7531\u4e8e\u672c\u6587\u6210\u6587\u65f6\u95f4\u4ed3\u4fc3\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u6b63\u5728\u5206\u6790\u5f53\u4e2d\uff0c<strong>\u540c\u65f6\u6a21\u578b\u4e5f\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5f97\u5230\u4fee\u6b63\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c2\u8003\u540e\u671f\u66f4\u52a0\u6b63\u5f0f\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u8bba\u6587\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\"><strong>\u7279\u522b\u81f4\u8c22\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u611f\u8c22\u6e05\u535a\u5927\u6570\u636e\u63d0\u4f9b\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6301\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5317\u4eac\u4ea4\u901a\u5927\u5b66\u95eb\u5c0f\u52c7\u6559\u6388\u7684\u5b9d\u8d35\u610f\u89c1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\"><strong><br  \/><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><strong style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;\">\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\uff1a<\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;\">[1] Tang, B., Wang, X., Li, Q., Bragazzi, N. L., Tang, S., Xiao, Y., &amp; Wu, J. (2020). Estimation of the Transmission Risk of 2019-nCov and Its Implication for Public Health Interventions. <em>Available at SSRN 3525558<\/em>.<\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"562\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"205\" data-ratio=\"0.33515625\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"width: 578px;height: 194px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-9100aa2d9856b5ba30ceaf98af26a316.jpeg\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<blockquote class=\"js_blockquote_wrap\" data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\" data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"22\" data-source-title=\"\">\n<section class=\"js_blockquote_digest\">\n<section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u5f20\u5b50\u67ef\u3001\u8a79\u79c0\u79c0\u3001\u845b\u4f26\u3001\u97e6\u8def<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u5f20\u5e0c\u598d&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247501101&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ec85aab40ea9ee3b236627b05ed94f2d&amp;chksm=e8979fa0dfe016b66e237fb9baab9e30b542dcf21a5bc0a178df7fd1ab95b3a9aa3642d6ab1c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6269\u6563\u4fe1\u606f\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u7ba1\u5236\u3001\u81ea\u6211\u9694\u79bb\uff0c\u54ea\u4e2a\u66f4\u80fd\u904f\u5236\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\uff1f<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247501032&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b89b7f9bd11177b8c128361f33a131b7&amp;chksm=e8979e65dfe0177364713c43b91429f6b9abf997f7208673a681b1e14476aee4d63cc3e120ad&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u9632\u63a7\u529b\u5ea6\u591a\u5927\u624d\u80fd\u904f\u5236\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">&nbsp;\u7f51\u7edc\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u63a8\u6f14\u7ed9\u4f60\u7b54\u6848<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247501015&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=623f6c1409e98b7acf228a1437b12704&amp;chksm=e8979e5adfe0174c53b1b2cdb3a68ad6b643f5b419083485b7d2e6282c01fe6aa06d92e65c40&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u75c5\u6bd2\u6269\u6563\u8fd9\u4e48\u5feb\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4ece\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u89c6\u89d2\u770b\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247499422&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b95d2d77836175153ef99967ee8f2345&amp;chksm=e897a413dfe02d055e54fae64443e55edbbb1549edb379027c8ea2a27f2b904a2b6b333d4aa5&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 14px;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Nature\u5b50\u520a\uff1a\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u5982\u4f55\u901a\u8fc7\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u51b2\u51fb\u4f01\u4e1a\u7f51\u7edc<\/strong><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247487778&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c2e77ec93213c4c63f57a777ff10e368&amp;chksm=e8944bafdfe3c2b9d66544dafe7403159473e8c94fd3bc513f5300c353bcec49c0c0b69797af&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/span><\/strong><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1398939\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"\u6536\u85cf\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1345806\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<hr style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\"  \/>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;\"><img data-ratio=\"0.9191011235955057\" data-type=\"gif\" data-w=\"445\" width=\"100%\"  style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px;height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 64px !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-9066d979e007d780535aa6d868fad30e.gif\"  \/><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;font-size: 15px;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"line-height: 25.6px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org<br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<h1 style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-weight: 400;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 14px;white-space: pre-wrap;color: rgb(0, 112, 192);line-height: 25.6px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"line-height: 28px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(61, 170, 214);font-size: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><span style=\"color: rgb(255, 76, 0);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 128, 255);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: rgb(61, 170, 214);\">\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"  \/><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 20px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto;padding: 10px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;width: 180px;border-width: 2px;border-style: dashed;border-color: rgb(132, 132, 132);line-height: normal;\"><img data-copyright=\"0\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"156\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"156\" data-ratio=\"1\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1125\"  style=\"height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 156px !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/wxsync-2020-02-f152a057a269bd919e06a90af1f22f75.jpg\"  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"text-align: left;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\ud83d\udc47\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u66f4\u591a\u8bba\u6587\u4fe1\u606f<\/span><br  \/><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bfc\u8bed \u5728\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5728\u589e\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4fe1\u606f\u6269\u6563\u4e0e\u75ab\u60c5\u6269\u6563\u4e4b\u95f4\u6709\u4f55\u5173\u8054\uff1f\u6765\u81ea\u963f\u91cc\u5df4\u5df4\u5546\u5b66\u9662\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u5f20\u5b50\u67ef\u7b49\u4eba\u5206\u6790\u4e86 1 \u6708 1 \u65e5 -1 \u6708 31 \u7684\u8206\u60c5\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u786e\u8bca\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u4e8c\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u57fa\u4e8e\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u7406\u8bba\u4e3a\u75ab\u60c5\u9632\u63a7\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u4f50\u8bc1\u4e86\u4fe1\u606f&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18255,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18265"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18265\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/18255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18265"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=18265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}