{"id":18717,"date":"2020-03-15T21:35:37","date_gmt":"2020-03-15T13:35:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=18717"},"modified":"2020-03-19T19:50:00","modified_gmt":"2020-03-19T11:50:00","slug":"pnas%e5%89%8d%e6%b2%bf%ef%bc%9a%e5%8e%84%e5%b0%94%e5%b0%bc%e8%af%ba%e7%8e%b0%e8%b1%a1%e5%a4%a7%e6%a6%82%e7%8e%87%e5%b0%86%e5%9c%a82020%e4%b8%8b%e5%8d%8a%e5%b9%b4%e7%88%86%e5%8f%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=18717","title":{"rendered":"PNAS\u524d\u6cbf\uff1a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u5927\u6982\u7387\u5c06\u57282020\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u7206\u53d1"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wxsyncmain\">\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\" data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-ratio=\"0.5625\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-c8844108d618ccc96479eae0bffb302c.jpeg\"><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1172402\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-left: 1em;color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.4;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"padding: 0.2em 0.5em;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-weight: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;border-radius: 0.3em;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u5bfc\u8bed<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: -0.7em;color: rgb(105, 13, 3);font-size: 1em;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);border-radius: 0.4em;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding: 1.4em 1em 1em;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 1em;font-weight: inherit;text-align: inherit;text-decoration: inherit;border-color: rgb(105, 13, 3);overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">\u81ea1900\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u53d1\u751f\u4e8630\u8d77\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u6ce2\u8328\u5766\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u5b5f\u541b\u548c\u6a0a\u4eac\u82b3\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u9648\u6653\u677e\u6559\u6388\u4ee5\u53ca\u5408\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u71b5\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002<\/span>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u521a\u521a\u5230\u6765\u76842020\u5e74\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e0b\u6587\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684 System Sample Entropy \u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u5c06\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u5728\u672c\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u518d\u6b21\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u5e76\u53d1\u5c55\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u7b49\u5f3a\u5ea6\u751a\u81f3\u9ad8\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u672c\u6587\u662f\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u8fd9\u7bc7 PNAS \u8bba\u6587\u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">\u6211\u4eec\u9080\u8bf7\u8bba\u6587\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f5c\u8005\u6a0a\u4eac\u82b3\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u57283\u670821\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u516d\uff0919:00-20:00 \u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u573a\u516c\u5f00\u76f4\u64ad\uff0c\u89e3\u8bfb\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u3002\u6587\u672b\u6709\u76f4\u64ad\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u4ea4\u6d41\u7fa4\u5165\u53e3\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-croporisrc=\"https:\/\/mmbiz.qlogo.cn\/mmbiz_png\/wibWV1DB7tWIJ4QicPoncPjox1jzYXnDXCsLfXlYfLuo5bVWsLYV0HoTAnJG0BenVIa8nm4WcTYLaKB5tGkib0vJw\/0?wx_fmt=png\" data-cropx1=\"0\" data-cropx2=\"886\" data-cropy1=\"56.75444839857651\" data-cropy2=\"621.1459074733095\" data-ratio=\"0.6376975169300225\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"886\" style=\"width: 562px;height: 358px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-1624dc68a892eeee44ca82a2e49bc164.jpeg\"><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"js_blockquote_wrap\" data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\" data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"143\" data-source-title=\"\">\n<section class=\"js_blockquote_digest\">\n<section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1a<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<h1 style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">Complexity-based approach for El Ni\u00f1o magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier<\/span><\/h1>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/117\/1\/177.short<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u4e00. \u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5468\u671f\u6027\u6c14\u5019\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6307\u8d64\u9053\u4e1c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6c34\u6bcf\u9694\u6570\u5e74\u5c31\u4f1a\u5f02\u5e38\u5347\u6e29\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf2-7\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa-\u5357\u65b9\u632f\u8361\u73b0\u8c61\uff08El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0 ENSO\uff09\u662f\u8d64\u9053\u9644\u8fd1\u4e1c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6c34\u8868\u9762\u6e29\u5ea6\u548c\u6d77\u98ce\u5468\u671f\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u662f\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa-\u5357\u65b9\u632f\u8361\u73b0\u8c61\u4e2d\u7684\u5347\u6e29\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8be5\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u673a\u5236\u76ee\u524d\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u6709\u591a\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4e0e\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8d64\u9053\u4e0a\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u6d41\u2014\u6c83\u7279\u73af\u6d41\u2014\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u6709\u5173\u3002\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa-\u5357\u65b9\u6d9b\u52a8\u73b0\u8c61\u4e2d\u7684\u4f4e\u6e29\u9636\u6bb5\u79f0\u4e3a\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u5728\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e0e\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u7684\u4e2d\u95f4\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4f4e\u538b\u548c\u4e1c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u9ad8\u538b \uff08\u6216\u6c83\u7279\u73af\u6d41\uff09\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u6d77\u98ce\u81ea\u4e1c\u5411\u897f\u5c06\u4e1c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8868\u9762\u6e29\u6696\u7684\u6d77\u6c34\u548c\u7a7a\u6c14\u81ea\u4e1c\u5411\u897f\u5439\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4f4e\u5c42\u7684\u4f4e\u6e29\u6d77\u6c34\u5411\u4e0a\u7ffb\u6d8c\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u4e1c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8868\u9762\u6d77\u6c34\u6e29\u5ea6\u8f83\u4f4e\u3002\u800c\u5728\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u53d1\u751f\u524d\uff0c\u8d64\u9053\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8868\u9762\u897f\u98ce\u51cf\u5f31\u6216\u8f6c\u5411\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e1c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6c34\u6e29\u5ea6\u53d8\u9ad8\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5bfc\u81f4\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u5728\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u70ed\u5e26\u964d\u6c34\u548c\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u6d41\u7684\u6b63\u5e38\u89c4\u5f8b\u88ab\u6253\u4e71\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5f15\u53d1\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7531\u6765\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u201c\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u201d\u4e00\u8bcd\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u8bed\uff0c\u539f\u610f\u4e3a\u201c\u5723\u5a74\u201d\u300219\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\uff0c\u5728\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u5384\u74dc\u591a\u5c14\u548c\u79d8\u9c81\u7b49\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u8bed\u7cfb\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u6e14\u6c11\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6bcf\u9694\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u4ece10\u6708\u81f3\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u76843\u6708\u4fbf\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u80a1\u6cbf\u6d77\u5cb8\u5357\u79fb\u7684\u6696\u6d41\uff0c\u4f7f\u8868\u5c42\u6d77\u6c34\u6e29\u5ea6\u660e\u663e\u5347\u9ad8\u3002\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e1c\u5cb8\u672c\u6765\u76db\u884c\u7684\u662f\u79d8\u9c81\u5bd2\u6d41\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5bd2\u6d41\u79fb\u52a8\u7684\u9c7c\u7fa4\u4f7f\u79d8\u9c81\u6e14\u573a\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u56db\u5927\u6e14\u573a\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u80a1\u6696\u6d41\u4e00\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u6027\u559c\u51b7\u6c34\u7684\u9c7c\u7c7b\u5c31\u4f1a\u5927\u91cf\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u4f7f\u6e14\u6c11\u4eec\u906d\u53d7\u706d\u9876\u4e4b\u707e\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u65f6\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u524d\u540e\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u906d\u53d7\u5929\u707e\u800c\u53c8\u65e0\u53ef\u5948\u4f55\u7684\u6e14\u6c11\u5c06\u5176\u79f0\u4e3a\u4e0a\u5e1d\u4e4b\u5b50\u2014\u2014\u5723\u5a74\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5b9a\u4e49\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u9891\u7387\u5e76\u4e0d\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u8be5\u73b0\u8c61\u4e00\u822c\u6bcf\u96942\u81f37\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u53ef\u957f\u8fbe18\u4e2a\u6708\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u6c14\u6d77\u6d0b\u7ba1\u7406\u5c40\uff08NOAA\uff09\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c \u5982\u679c\u6d77\u6d0b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u6307\u6570\uff08Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index2\uff09\u8d85\u8fc70.5oC\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6301\u7eed\u81f3\u5c11\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8be5\u4e8b\u4ef6\u79f0\u4e3a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08El Ni\u00f1o Episodes\uff09\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6d77\u6d0b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u6307\u6570\u4f4e\u4e8e -0.5oC\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6301\u7eed\u81f3\u5c11\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8be5\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4f1a\u79f0\u4e3a\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08La Nina Episodes\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.7706855791962175\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"423\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-8b4ce3676a42c9ea47d7d2dac4ac9b30.png\"><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);text-align: justify;\">\u56fe1\uff1a\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u683c\u5c40\uff1a\u897f\u90e8\u7684\u6696\u6c60\u9a71\u52a8\u6df1\u5c42\u5927\u6c14\u5bf9\u6d41\u3002\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u7ef4\u57fa\u767e\u79d1<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.7688787185354691\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"437\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-feaee2d43706ac4a0a0d7dff395991ae.png\"><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: justify;\">\u56fe2\uff1a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\uff1a\u6696\u7684\u6d77\u6c34\u548c\u5927\u6c14\u5bf9\u6d41\u5411\u4e1c\u79fb\u52a8\u3002\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u7ef4\u57fa\u767e\u79d1<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u4e8c. \u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">1. \u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/strong>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u5e76\u7834\u574f\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u67d0\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u906d\u53d7\u5f3a\u70c8\u66b4\u96e8\u3001\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u6781\u70ed\u6216\u6781\u51b7\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u52a8\u7269\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u66b4\u53d1\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4eba\u755c\u5171\u60a3\u75be\u75c5\u548c\u98df\u6e90\u6027\u75be\u75c5\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u690d\u7269\u75c5\u866b\u5bb3\u548c\u68ee\u6797\u706b\u707e\u7b49\u3002\u5728\u4ee5\u5f80\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\uff0c\u67d0\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u4ee5\u6e14\u4e1a\u4e3a\u751f\u7684\u4eba\u53d7\u5230\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u81ea1950\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u5bf9\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u53ca\u5176\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5177\u6709\u591a\u6837\u6027\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u7279\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u5c31\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\u9884\u6d4b\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u96be\u5ea6\u3002\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f83\u660e\u786e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5305\u62ec\u5370\u5ea6\u5c3c\u897f\u4e9a\u548c\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u5317\u90e8\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u7f8e\u4e1c\u5357\u90e8\uff0c\u8d64\u9053\u975e\u6d32\u4e1c\u90e8\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5357\u90e8\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u6613\u5bfc\u81f4\u6696\u51ac\uff0c\u5357\u65b9\u6613\u51fa\u73b0\u66b4\u96e8\u6d2a\u6d9d\uff0c\u5317\u65b9\u6613\u51fa\u73b0\u9ad8\u6e29\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c\u4e1c\u5317\u6613\u51fa\u73b0\u51b7\u590f\u3002\u6bd4\u8d77\u5355\u7eaf\u7684\u6c14\u6e29\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5f15\u53d1\u5371\u9669\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff081\uff09\u53f0\u98ce\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u70ed\u5e26\u98ce\u66b4\uff08\u53f0\u98ce\uff09\u7684\u4ea7\u751f\u6b21\u6570\u53ca\u5728\u6211\u56fd\u6cbf\u6d77\u767b\u9646\u6b21\u6570\u5747\u8f83\u6b63\u5e38\u5e74\u4efd\u5c11\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff082\uff09\u590f\u5b63\u98ce\u8f83\u5f31\uff0c\u5b63\u98ce\u96e8\u5e26\u504f\u5357\uff0c\u4f4d\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u90e8\u6216\u957f\u6c5f\u4ee5\u5357\u5730\u533a\u3002\u5317\u65b9\u5730\u533a\u590f\u5b63\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u73b0\u5e72\u65f1\u3001\u9ad8\u6e29\uff0c\u5357\u65b9\u6613\u53d1\u751f\u4f4e\u6e29\u3001\u6d2a\u6d9d\u3002\u8fd1\u767e\u5e74\u6765\u6211\u56fd\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u6d2a\u6c34\uff0c\u59821931\u5e74\u30011954\u5e74\u548c1998\u5e74\u957f\u6c5f\u4e2d\u4e0b\u6e38\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6d2a\u6c34\uff0c\u90fd\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u6b21\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\uff083\uff09\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u53d1\u751f\u540e\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u5317\u65b9\u5730\u533a\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u73b0\u6696\u51ac\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\">2. \u5bf9\u4eba\u7c7b\u548c\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u751f\u6001\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5730\u8bf4\uff0c\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u4e0d\u540c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u964d\u96e8\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\uff1b\u51cf\u5c11\u519c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u5efa\u7b51\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u6d3b\u52a8\uff1b\u9020\u6210\u98df\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\uff1b\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u8d56\u8fdb\u53e3\u98df\u54c1\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u8d2b\u7a77\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f15\u53d1\u793e\u4f1a\u52a8\u8361\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u51b2\u51fb\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u975e\u71c3\u6599\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5374\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/span>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5065\u5eb7\uff1a&nbsp;<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e0e\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u6709\u5173\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0e\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u53d1\u75c5\u7387\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u6709\u5173\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u5468\u671f\u4e0e\u868a\u5b50\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u589e\u52a0\u6709\u5173\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u759f\u75be\uff0c\u767b\u9769\u70ed\u548c\u88c2\u8c37\u70ed\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u759f\u75be\u6076\u6027\u5faa\u73af\u73b0\u5df2\u4e0e\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u6709\u5173\u3002\u66b4\u96e8\u548c\u6d2a\u6c34\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4e1c\u5357\u90e8\u7684\u6e29\u5e26\u5730\u533a\u7206\u53d1\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u7531\u868a\u5b50\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u5373\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u8111\u708e\uff08Murray Valley\u8111\u708e\uff0cMVE\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6709\u5173\u3002\u57281997-98\u5e74\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u80af\u5c3c\u4e9a\u4e1c\u5317\u90e8\u548c\u7d22\u9a6c\u91cc\u5357\u90e8\u51fa\u73b0\u7279\u5927\u964d\u96e8\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u88c2\u8c37\u70ed\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u7206\u53d1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u4e09. \u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u7684\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u707e\u5bb3\u5747\u6709\u9884\u5146\u610f\u4e49\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5bf9\u5b83\u7684\u9884\u62a5\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u6c14\u5019\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u5185\u5bb9\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u53ca\u65e9\u5e76\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f3a\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bf9\u9884\u9632\u6216\u964d\u4f4e\u5176\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u519c\u4e1a\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u635f\u5931\u610f\u4e49\u91cd\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5c06\u5e2e\u52a9\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u673a\u6784\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u6625\u5b63\u9884\u6d4b\u969c\u788d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u76ee\u524d\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ea\u80fd\u5728\u63d0\u524d6\u4e2a\u6708\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7ed9\u51fa\u6bd4\u8f83\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\uff0c\u6625\u5b63\u9884\u6d4b\u969c\u788d\uff08\u5373\u65e0\u6cd5\u5728\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u6625\u5b63\u6216\u66f4\u65e9\u7ed9\u51fa\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\uff09\u3002\u56fe3\u663e\u793a\u4e8618\u4e2a\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u548c8\u4e2a\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\uff0c \u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u5728\u6625\u5b63\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u90fd\u4e27\u5931\u4e86\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;text-indent: 0em;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.5\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"756\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-e8fc75b91e6b7e8cf97b4053c6c22c5b.png\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 13px;text-align: justify;\">\u56fe3\uff1a\u4f20\u7edf\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\u793a\u610f\u56fe\u3002\u6765\u6e90\u4e8eNOAA<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong>\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u514b\u670d\u4e0a\u9762\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u6625\u5b63\u9884\u6d4b\u969c\u788d\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u6ce2\u8328\u5766\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u56e2\u961f-\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u7528\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u2014\u5373\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u5c06\u8282\u70b9\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u7f51\u683c\u4e2d\u7684\u7ad9\u70b9\uff1b\u6839\u636e\u4e24\u4e2a\u7ad9\u70b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u6570\u636e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5bf9\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u76f8\u4f3c\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5b9a\u4e49\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u8fb9\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u4e00\u79cd\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u4e86\u89e3\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u7a7a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6f14\u5316\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u76ee\u524d\u57fa\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f00\u59cb [3, 4, 5], \u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u8d85\u8fc789%\u3002\u8fdc\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u4e14\u8be5\u7cfb\u5217\u65b9\u6cd5\u6210\u529f\u7684\u5bf92014-2016\u548c2018-2019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6210\u529f\u7684\u9884\u8b66\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong>\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u867d\u7136\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u514b\u670d\u6625\u5b63\u9884\u6d4b\u969c\u788d\u6210\u529f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u81f3\u4eca\u6ca1\u6709\u529e\u6cd5\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u9884\u6d4b\u5176\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002\u800c\u9884\u6d4b\u5f3a\u5ea6\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u66f4\u591a\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u6d2a\u6c34\uff0c\u5e72\u65f1\u6216&nbsp;\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u98ce\u66b4\uff09\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u9020\u6210\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u6ce2\u8328\u5766\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u5b5f\u541b\u548c\u6a0a\u4eac\u82b3\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u9648\u6653\u677e\u6559\u6388\u4ee5\u53ca\u5408\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u71b5\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6 [6]\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8bba\u6587\u5df2\u5728\u7ebf\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u77e5\u540d\u671f\u520a\u7f8e\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u9662\u520aPNAS\uff08https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/117\/1\/177.short\uff09\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u514b\u670d\u4e86\u957f\u4e45\u4ee5\u6765\u56f0\u6270\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u201c\u6625\u5b63\u9884\u6d4b\u969c\u788d\u201d&nbsp;\uff0c\u5c06\u5bf9\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u63d0\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8be5\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u57fa<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e8e\u4fe1\u606f\u71b5\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u2014\u2014System Sample Entropy\u2014\u2014\u7528\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u533a\u57df\uff08Nino 3.4\uff09\u8fd1\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u7a7a\u6c14\u6216\u6d77\u8868\u6e29\u5ea6\u7684\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u6e29\u5ea6\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u65e0\u5e8f\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0d\u540c\u5730\u70b9\u6e29\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u540c\u6b65\u6027\u6216\u76f8\u5e72\u6027\uff09\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86Nino 3.4\u533a\u57df\u6e29\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u4e0e\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u5f3a\u5ea6\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u975e\u5e38\u5f3a\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u5e74\u5185\uff081\u67081\u65e5-12\u670831\u65e5\uff09Nino 3.4\u533a\u57df\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e0b\u4e00\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4eec\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u57fa\u4e8e\u6bcf\u5e74Nino 3.4 \u533a\u57df\u6e29\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u7684\u5927\u5c0f\uff08\u7531\u8be5\u533a\u57df System Sample Entropy \u91cf\u5316\uff09\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u6765\u5e74\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u53d1\u751f\u53ca\u5176\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8be5\u65b9\u6cd5\u76ee\u524d\u6210\u529f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e861984\u81f32019\u5e74\u671f\u95f410\u4e2a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\u76849\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u5e74\u4efd\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca24\u4e2a\u6ca1\u6709\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\u5f53\u4e2d\u768421\u4e2a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5bf9\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u5f3a\u5ea6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u8bef\u5dee\u4ec5\u4e3a0.23\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5bf9\u4e8e\u521a\u521a\u5230\u6765\u76842020\u5e74\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u6587\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684System Sample Entropy\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u5c06\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u5728\u672c\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u518d\u6b21\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u5e76\u53d1\u5c55\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u7b49\u5f3a\u5ea6\u751a\u81f3\u9ad8\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u5f3a\u5ea6\u4e3a1.48+-0.25\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff08\u56fe4\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u56db. \u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\uff0c\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u9891\u7e41\u3002\u5982\u679c\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e0e\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e5f\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u5267\u70c8\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u4e25\u91cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u540e\u679c\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u8f6c\u6696\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u5927\u5168\u7403\u53d7\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u603b\u9762\u79ef\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u5bf9\u5929\u6c14\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u5f53\u524d\u66f4\u4e25\u91cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.7473544973544973\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"756\" style=\"\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-cfba154b372f876774cf8bd3f160398b.jpg\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);text-align: justify;\">\u56fe4\uff1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u71b5\u7406\u8bba\u63d0\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002\u6765\u6e90[6]<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\"><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;\"><strong>\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: left;width: 660.994px;\">\n<section style=\"padding-left: 4px;display: inline-block;width: 660.994px;height: 360px;vertical-align: top;overflow-y: auto;\">\n<section style=\"overflow-x: hidden;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[1]. https:\/\/baike.baidu.com\/item\/\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[2]. Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index (ONI) [3 month running mean of ERSST.v4 SST anomalies in the Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region (5oN-5oS, 120o-170oW)]<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[3]. J. Ludescher et al., Improved El Nin\u02dc o forecasting by cooperativity detection. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 110, 11742\u201311745 (2013).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[4]. J. Meng, J. Fan, Y. Ashkenazy, S. Havlin, Percolation framework to describe El Nin\u02dc o conditions. Chaos 27, 035807 (2017).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[5]. J. Meng, J. Fan, Y. Ashkenazy, A. Bunde, S. Havlin, Forecasting the magnitude and onset of El Nin\u02dc o based on climate network. New J. Phys. 20, 043036 (2018).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">[6]. J. Meng, J. Fan, et al, Complexity-based approach for El Nino magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 117, 177-183 (2020).<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"margin-top: 3px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\">\n<section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\">\uff08\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u53ef\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ed1\u52a8\uff09<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"js_blockquote_wrap\" data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\" data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"11\" data-source-title=\"\">\n<section class=\"js_blockquote_digest\">\n<section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u6a0a\u4eac\u82b3<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u5f20\u723d<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u76f4\u64ad\u9884\u544a\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u96c6\u667a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eb2\u8ff0\u8bba\u6587\u6545\u4e8b<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;\">\u6211\u4eec\u9080\u8bf7\u5230\u8bba\u6587\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f5c\u8005\u6a0a\u4eac\u82b3\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u516d\uff083 \u6708 21 \u65e5\uff0919:00-20:00\uff0c\u505a\u5ba2\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8 B \u7ad9\u76f4\u64ad\u95f4\uff0c\u4ece\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\uff0c\u4e3a\u4f60\u89e3\u8bfb\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u3002<\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-ratio=\"0.2984375\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"text-align: center;width: 525px;height: 157px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-3196af15395f8d1a1bba437b8fa0aac6.jpg\"><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u76f4\u64ad\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px;\">\u5468\u516d\uff083\u670821\u65e5\uff09 19:00-20:00<\/span>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u76f4\u64ad\u901a\u9053\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8 B \u7ad9\u76f4\u64ad\u95f4\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">https:\/\/live.bilibili.com\/8091531<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u53c2\u4e0e\u65b9\u5f0f\uff1a<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u70b9\u51fb\u4e0b\u65b9\u56fe\u7247\uff0c\u957f\u6309\u626b\u7801\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801\u52a0\u5165\u76f4\u64ad\u4ea4\u6d41\u7fa4\u3002\u6216\u626b\u7801\u52a0\u5c0f\u52a9\u624b\u5fae\u4fe1\uff0c\u7559\u8a00\u201c\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u76f4\u64ad\u201d\uff0c\u62c9\u4f60\u8fdb\u7fa4\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;\">\n<section style=\"padding-right: 8px;padding-left: 8px;font-size: 16px;\">\n<section style=\"transform: rotate(0deg);\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\">\n<section style=\"\">\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 50%;padding-right: 5px;\">\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-right: 0%;margin-left: 0%;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\">\n<section style=\"vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;\"><img data-ratio=\"1.2935185\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"vertical-align: middle;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-a79e4d2dd65d96a4b8251d522a56733b.jpeg\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 50%;padding-left: 5px;\">\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-right: 0%;margin-left: 0%;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\">\n<section style=\"vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;\"><img data-ratio=\"1.2952128\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"752\" style=\"vertical-align: middle;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-9068f78395d6779f7adb9666a7c392b4.jpeg\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\">&nbsp;<\/section>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\">\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247496081&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ca27aab4414df1bfb4cce62d44fa7dcf&amp;chksm=e897ab1cdfe0220a9a6892979b02007c236cab9b662f01d25736f8e6e4afc7dedac4a9c32b6d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4e1c\u8fb9\u65e5\u51fa\u897f\u8fb9\u96e8\uff1a\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u7684\u957f\u7a0b\u5173\u8054\u4e0e\u8d85\u6307\u6570\u5206\u5e03<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247495932&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=ee1f07d4a50c6a75d3387d0c70e20e90&amp;chksm=e897aa71dfe02367ffc43be660fe13378e85a14dfcce747daf01cf99c4767e4679af54feebbb&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u829d\u52a0\u54e5-50\u2103\u6781\u5bd2\u3001\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u706b\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u65e0\u96ea\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u5f02\u5e38\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6280\u672f\u5947\u70b9\u7684\u5148\u5146\uff01<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247495309&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=eb46a3a29ed05d63fb9233be428b7e6f&amp;chksm=e897b400dfe03d1694d0ad60e711a8d99dc652354a2d996f4cac96158b4c9dbaaf8ac91fe13f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">2030\u5e74\u6c14\u5019\u5371\u673a\uff1fNature\u520a\u6587\u8b66\u544a\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u662f\u771f\u7684\uff01<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247487778&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=c2e77ec93213c4c63f57a777ff10e368&amp;chksm=e8944bafdfe3c2b9d66544dafe7403159473e8c94fd3bc513f5300c353bcec49c0c0b69797af&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 14px;text-decoration: underline;\"><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1398939\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"\u6536\u85cf\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1345806\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<hr style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;\"><img data-ratio=\"0.9191011235955057\" data-type=\"gif\" data-w=\"445\" width=\"100%\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px;height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 64px !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-9066d979e007d780535aa6d868fad30e.gif\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;line-height: 25.6px;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;font-size: 15px;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"line-height: 25.6px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org<br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;outline: none medium;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<h1 style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-weight: 400;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 14px;white-space: pre-wrap;color: rgb(0, 112, 192);line-height: 25.6px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"line-height: 28px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(61, 170, 214);font-size: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><span style=\"color: rgb(255, 76, 0);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 128, 255);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: rgb(61, 170, 214);\">\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 20px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto;padding: 10px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;width: 180px;border-width: 2px;border-style: dashed;border-color: rgb(132, 132, 132);line-height: normal;\"><img data-copyright=\"0\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"156\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"156\" data-ratio=\"1\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1125\" style=\"height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 156px !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/wxsync-2020-03-f152a057a269bd919e06a90af1f22f75.jpg\"><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: left;\">\ud83d\udc47\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\u62a5\u540d\u5468\u516d\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8bba\u6587\u89e3\u8bfb<\/span><span style=\"text-align: justify;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bfc\u8bed \u81ea1900\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u53d1\u751f\u4e8630\u8d77\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u6ce2\u8328\u5766\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u5b5f\u541b\u548c\u6a0a\u4eac\u82b3\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u9648\u6653\u677e\u6559\u6388\u4ee5\u53ca\u5408\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u71b5\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u521a\u521a\u5230\u6765\u76842020\u5e74\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e0b\u6587\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684 System Sample Entropy \u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u9884\u6d4b\u5384&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18707,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18717"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18717"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18717\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/18707"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18717"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=18717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}