{"id":19436,"date":"2020-04-30T13:10:59","date_gmt":"2020-04-30T05:10:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=19436"},"modified":"2020-04-30T13:10:59","modified_gmt":"2020-04-30T05:10:59","slug":"%e5%a4%8d%e6%9d%82%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e5%85%88%e9%a9%b1%e7%bd%97%e4%bc%af%e7%89%b9%c2%b7%e6%a2%85%e5%8e%bb%e4%b8%96%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%80%e7%94%9f%e8%b7%a8%e8%b6%8a%e6%95%b0%e7%90%86%e3%80%81%e7%94%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=19436","title":{"rendered":"\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u5148\u9a71\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u53bb\u4e16\uff0c\u4e00\u751f\u8de8\u8d8a\u6570\u7406\u3001\u751f\u6001\u548c\u590d\u6742\u6027"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
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\u82f1\u56fd\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u52a8\u7269\u5b66\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u5b66\u987e\u95ee\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u725b\u6d25\u52cb\u7235\uff08Robert May, Baron May of Oxford\uff09\uff0c1936-2020<\/span><\/p>\n

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<\/section>\n


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\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u5728\u536b\u62a5\u53d1\u5e03\u8ba3\u544a\u79f0\uff1a\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u52a8\u7269\u5b66\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u5b66\u987e\u95ee\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u52cb\u7235\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u7537\u7235\uff08Robert May, Baron of Oxford\uff09<\/strong>\u4e8e\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f4 2020 \u5e74 4 \u6708 28 \u65e5\u901d\u4e16\uff0c\u4eab\u5e74 84 \u5c81\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u725b\u6d25\u4e8e 1936 \u5e74 1 \u6708 8 \u65e5\u751f\u4e8e\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6089\u5c3c\u5e02\u3002\u4ed6\u66fe\u5c31\u8bfb\u4e8e\u6089\u5c3c\u7537\u5b50\u9ad8\u4e2d\uff0c\u540e\u8fdb\u5165\u6089\u5c3c\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u4e60\u5316\u5b66\u5de5\u7a0b\u548c\u7406\u8bba\u7269\u7406\u5b66\uff0c\u4e8e 1956 \u5e74\u83b7\u5f97\u7406\u5b66\u5b66\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002\u5e76\u4e8e 1959 \u5e74\u5728\u6089\u5c3c\u5927\u5b66\u83b7\u5f97\u7406\u8bba\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u56e0\u5176\u5b66\u672f\u6210\u5c31\u548c\u9886\u5bfc\u529b\uff0c\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u66fe\u4e8e 1995-2000 \u671f\u95f4\u62c5\u4efb\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u5b66\u987e\u95ee\uff0c\u4e8e 2000-2005 \u62c5\u4efb\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3002\u5e76\u4e8e 2001 \u5e74\u53d7\u5c01\u4e3a\u52cb\u7235\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u91ce\u86ee\u751f\u957f\u7684 r \u578b\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/h4>\n

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\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u501f\u7528\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u79f0\u81ea\u5df1\u4e3a\u201cr-\u9009\u62e9\u201d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff1a\u6b63\u5904\u53d1\u5c55\u65e9\u671f\uff0c\u8015\u8018\u90a3\u4e9b\u7f8e\u597d\u3001\u7b80\u5355\u4e14\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u81ea\u6211\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u7684\u60ca\u4eba\u8457\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u6070\u5982\u5176\u5206\u5730\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u4ed6\u5728\u57fa\u7840\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u5e94\u7528\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u7684\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6daf\u2014\u2014\u5728\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u5929\u4f53\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u7406\u8bba\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u3001\u79cd\u7fa4\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u3001\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u90fd\u6709\u503c\u5f97\u77a9\u76ee\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u6c42\u5b66\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u5148\u5b66\u5316\u5b66\uff0c\u540e\u8f6c\u5411\u6570\u5b66\u548c\u7269\u7406\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002\u5728\u5b66\u672f\u751f\u6daf\u65e9\u671f\uff0c\u4ed6\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5c06\u6570\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u81ea\u7136\u7fa4\u843d\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u3002\u6b64\u540e\u4ed6\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u6df7\u6c8c\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u6210\u578b\u3002\u53c8\u5c06\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8fc1\u79fb\u5230\u4eba\u7c7b\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u7814\u7a76\u4e0a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u6df7\u6c8c\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7814\u7a76\u5148\u9a71<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/h4>\n

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\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u4e8e1976\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u77e5\u540d\u8bba\u6587 Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics \u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5355\u5cf0\u6620\u8c61\uff08logistic map\uff0c\u53c8\u79f0\u903b\u8f91\u6620\u5c04\uff09<\/strong>\u3002\u5355\u5cf0\u6620\u8c61\u662f\u7531\u7b80\u5355\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u65b9\u7a0b\u4ea7\u751f\u6df7\u6c8c\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u8303\u4f8b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u5bf9\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u79cd\u7fa4\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u6269\u5c55\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u6070\u5f53\u53d6\u503c\u5c31\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u6df7\u6c8c\u73b0\u8c61\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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logistics map \u65b9\u7a0b
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logistics map \u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u5206\u5c94<\/span><\/strong><\/span>
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\u7406\u8bba\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u7684\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u5b66\u8005<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/h4>\n

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\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u66f4\u4f7f\u4ed6\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u7406\u8bba\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u4e00\u4ee3\u5b97\u5e08\uff0c\u300a\u7406\u8bba\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u2014\u2014\u539f\u7406\u53ca\u5e94\u7528\u300b\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u8457\u4f5c\u3002\u6df7\u6c8c\u3001\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u7b49\u6982\u5ff5\u5c31\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u4ed6\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u88ab\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u7406\u8bba\u751f\u6001\u5b66\uff1a\u539f\u7406\u53ca\u5e94\u7528\uff08\u7b2c3\u7248<\/span><\/strong>\uff09\u53ca\u82f1\u6587\u539f\u7248<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u4ed6\u57fa\u4e8e\u968f\u673a\u77e9\u9635\u7406\u8bba\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u7269\u79cd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7a33\u5b9a\u5171\u5b58\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u8d8a\u4f4e\uff0c\u6311\u6218\u4e86\u65e9\u671f\u5173\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u76f4\u89c2\u8ba4\u8bc6\u3002\u8fd9\u5f00\u542f\u4e86\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u754c\u7684\u201c\u591a\u6837\u6027-\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u201d\u4e4b\u4e89\uff0c\u5e76\u6301\u7eed\u81f3\u4eca\u3002
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\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u662f\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u79d1\u5b66\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u957f\u671f\u6210\u5458\u548c\u524d\u4efb\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3002\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u8d1f\u8d23\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u526f\u9662\u957f\u8a79\u59ae\u5f17\u00b7\u9093\u6069\uff08Jennifer Dunne\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u201c\u867d\u7136\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u4e0d\u662f\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u5e2e\u52a9\u521b\u5efa\u4e86\u901a\u5411\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u73af\u5883\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

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\u5173\u5fc3\u516c\u4f17\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u5bb6<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/h4>\n

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\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a2a\u8de8\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u6570\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5929\u624d\uff0c\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u5728\u5b66\u672f\u754c\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u70ed\u5fc3\u4e8e\u9762\u5411\u516c\u4f17\u505a\u79d1\u5b66\u666e\u53ca\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u79d1\u666e\u6587\u7ae0\u66fe\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u3001\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u300b\u4e0a\u3002\u4e5f\u66fe\u901a\u8fc7\u4ed6\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u4e13\u4e1a\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u8bae\u9898\u5efa\u8a00\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u751a\u81f3\u5c06\u751f\u6001\u539f\u7406\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff0c\u4e3a 2008 \u5e74\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u5efa\u7acb\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5982\u679c\u8981\u95ee\u4e00\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5982\u4f55\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e\u793e\u4f1a\u8d21\u732e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u5c31\u662f\u7edd\u4f73\u7684\u4f8b\u8bc1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u56e0\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u725b\u6d25\u52cb\u7235\u7684\u5353\u8d8a\u79d1\u5b66\u6210\u5c31\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u8d21\u732e\uff0c\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u725b\u6d25\u52cb\u7235\u4e8e2007\u5e74\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u7531\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u9881\u53d1\u7684\u79d1\u666e\u5229\u5956\u7ae0\u3002\u79d1\u666e\u5229\u5956\u7ae0\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u53e4\u8001\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u5956\u7ae0\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u66fe\u6709\u725b\u987f\u3001\u7231\u4f0a\u65af\u5766\u3001\u8fbe\u5c14\u6587\u3001\u95e8\u6377\u5217\u592b\u7b49\u4eba\u83b7\u5f97\u8fc7\u6b64\u5956\u9879\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u53c2\u8003\u8d44\u6599\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/science\/2020\/apr\/29\/robert-may-former-uk-chief-scientist-led-chaos-theory-lord-dies-aged-84<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Robert_May,_Baron_May_of_Oxford<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u6df7\u6c8c\u7406\u8bba | \u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/section>\n
\u4e0d\u7528\u7e41\u7410\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u9884\u6d4b\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/section>\n
\u8d39\u6839\u9c8d\u59c6\u5e38\u6570\u548c\u6df7\u6c8c\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027<\/span><\/strong><\/a>
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\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n


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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org
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\u25c6 <\/span>\u25c6 <\/span>\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n

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\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


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\ud83d\udc47\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3Robert May\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u7814\u7a76<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u82f1\u56fd\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u52a8\u7269\u5b66\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u5b66\u987e\u95ee\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u725b\u6d25\u52cb\u7235\uff08Robert May, Baron May of Oxford\uff09\uff0c1936-2020 \u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u5728\u536b\u62a5\u53d1\u5e03\u8ba3\u544a\u79f0\uff1a\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u52a8\u7269\u5b66\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u5b66\u987e\u95ee\u3001\u524d\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u6885\u52cb\u7235\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u7537\u7235\uff08Rob…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19431,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19436"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19436"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19436\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/19431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19436"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=19436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}