{"id":19668,"date":"2020-05-15T19:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-05-15T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=19668"},"modified":"2020-05-15T19:00:00","modified_gmt":"2020-05-15T11:00:00","slug":"%e4%b8%bacovid-19%e5%bb%ba%e6%a8%a1-%e5%a4%9a%e5%ad%a6%e7%a7%91%e8%a7%86%e8%a7%92%e7%9c%8b%e6%96%b0%e5%86%a0%e7%96%ab%e6%83%85%e4%bc%a0%e6%92%ad%e4%b8%8e%e9%98%b2%e6%8e%a7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=19668","title":{"rendered":"\u4e3aCOVID-19\u5efa\u6a21\u2014\u2014\u591a\u5b66\u79d1\u89c6\u89d2\u770b\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u4f20\u64ad\u4e0e\u9632\u63a7"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u591a\u540d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e8e5\u67086\u65e5\u5728 Nature Reviews Physics \u4e0a\u7684\u53d1\u8868\u8bc4\u8bba\u6587\u7ae0 Modelling COVID-19\uff0c\u8be5\u6587\u56de\u987e\u4e86\u81ea\u75ab\u60c5\u53d1\u751f\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u754c\u5728\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u5efa\u6a21\u65b9\u9762\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


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Modelling COVID-19<\/span><\/section>\n
\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n
https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s42254-020-0178-4<\/span>
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\u56fe1\uff1aAlessandro Vespignani\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e1c\u5317\u5927\u5b66\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u5b66\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e3b\u4efb<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u8ba1\u7b97\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\uff08computational epidemiology\uff09\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7279\u6b8a\u4e4b\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a\u5b58\u5728\u65e0\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u201c\u548c\u5e73\u65f6\u671f\u201d<\/strong>\u4e0e\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u8513\u5ef6\u7684\u6218\u201c\u75ab\u201d\u65f6\u671f<\/strong>\u7684\u533a\u522b\u3002\u5728\u201c\u6218\u65f6\u201d\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u5904\u7406\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6709\u9650\u3001\u73af\u5883\u6301\u7eed\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e14\u8981\u4f5c\u51fa\u5927\u91cf\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u6b64\u5916\u8981\u505a\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u6218\u672f\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u505a\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u4e3a\u65b0\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u4f20\u6765\uff0c\u540e\u4e00\u5929\u5c31\u8981\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9762\u5bf9\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u57fa\u7840\u7814\u7a76\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6311\u6218\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u5371\u6025\u65f6\u523b\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e5f\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak<\/span><\/section>\n
https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/368\/6489\/395<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u56fe2\uff1a\u7530\u6000\u7389\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u526f\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u9a6c\u4e01\u5b66\u8005\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5916\u90e8\u4e13\u5bb6\uff08\u5de6\u56fe\uff09\uff1bChristopher Dye\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u524d\u6218\u7565\u4e3b\u4efb\uff0ccoronavirusexplained.UKRI.org \u7f51\u7ad9\u7f16\u8f91\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u52a8\u7269\u5b66\u8bbf\u95ee\u5b66\u8005\uff08\u53f3\u56fe\uff09<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


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2020\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u4ece\u6b66\u6c49\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u4e86\u5168\u56fd\uff0c\u5f53\u52a1\u4e4b\u6025\u5c31\u662f\u627e\u5230\u80fd\u963b\u6b62\u6216\u51cf\u7f13\u75ab\u60c5\u8513\u5ef6\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u4ece\u5bf9\u7167\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6216\u8005\u4e34\u5e8a\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u53bb\u5224\u65ad\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u80fd\u4f9d\u8d56\u6570\u5b66\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8981\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u9632\u75ab\u63aa\u65bd\u8fdb\u884c\u7cbe\u51c6\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3001\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8981\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u8868\u5f81\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u7279\u5f81\uff1b\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u5efa\u6a21\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\uff1b\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u2014\u2014\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u8fd0\u8f93\u65c5\u5ba2\u8fbe30\u4ebf\u4eba\u6b21\u7684\u6625\u8fd0\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u7ed3\u5408\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5145\u7684\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u8fc1\u79fb\u548c\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u9632\u75ab\u653f\u7b56\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u6765\u6784\u5efa\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/span>     <\/span><\/p>\n

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\u56fe3\uff1a\u4e0e2017\u5e74\u30012018\u5e74\u6625\u8282\u671f\u95f4\u79bb\u6c49\u4eba\u6570\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c2020\u5e74\u7684\u5c01\u57ce\u63aa\u65bd\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u975e\u5e38\u660e\u663e<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/03\/30\/science.abb6105<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u56fe5\uff1aJames O. Lloyd-Smith \u7f8e\u56fd\u52a0\u5229\u798f\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u4e0e\u8fdb\u5316\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u7cfb\u6559\u6388<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n


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\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u548c\u4ee5\u524d\u66b4\u53d1\u8fc7\u7684SARS\u3001MERS\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u5176\u4f20\u64ad\u603b\u662f\u5305\u542b\u7740\u8d85\u7ea7\u4f20\u64ad\u8005\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u75c5\u60a3\u80fd\u628a\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\u7ed9\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u3002R0<\/sub>\u7528\u6765\u8868\u793a\u5728\u81ea\u7136\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u60a3\u8005\u5e73\u5747\u80fd\u628a\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u67d3\u7ed9\u51e0\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u4e5f\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u57fa\u672c\u518d\u751f\u6570\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5728\u751f\u7269\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5076\u53d1\u56e0\u7d20\uff0cR0<\/sub>\u4f1a\u5728\u4e2a\u4f53\u4e0a\u4ea7\u751f\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51fa\u73b0\u8d85\u7ea7\u4f20\u64ad\u8005\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u5728\u8bf8\u591a\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4e0a\u90fd\u662f\u5b58\u5728\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6709\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0cSARS\u3001MERS\u4ee5\u53ca\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u66b4\u53d1\u90fd\u662f\u7531\u4ece\u672a\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4ece\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u7ed9\u5b9a\u4e00\u4e2aR0<\/sub>\uff0c\u8d85\u7ea7\u4f20\u64ad\u8005\u8d8a\u591a\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u65b0\u7684\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u4f20\u67d3\u4eba\u6570\u8f83\u5c11\uff08\u56e0\u4e3a\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u503cR0<\/sub>\u662f\u56fa\u5b9a\u7684\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e2a\u4f53\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u94fe\u6761\u88ab\u5207\u65ad\u3002\u4e0e\u5e73\u5747\u4f20\u64ad\u4eba\u6570\u5dee\u5f02\u4e0d\u5927\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u6848\u4f8b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u65b9\u5f0f\u9020\u6210\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u66f4\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u5177\u6709\u66b4\u53d1\u6027\u3002<\/strong>\u5f53\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u91cf\u8f83\u5c11\u65f6\uff08\u75ab\u60c5\u521d\u671f\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u75ab\u60c5\u57fa\u672c\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u671f\uff09\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4eba\u7fa4\u6ca1\u6709\u514d\u75ab\u80fd\u529b\u4ecd\u662f\u6613\u611f\u4eba\u7fa4\uff0c\u9884\u9632\u524d\u6587\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u66b4<\/span>\u53d1<\/span>\u5f0f\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u6848\u4f8b\u5c31\u5c24\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u5404\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u963b\u65ad\u793e\u533a\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b98\u5458\u5fc5\u987b\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u75ab\u60c5\u8f93\u5165\u5df2\u7ecf\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2a\u522b\u7684\u7a81\u53d1\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u901f\u5ea6\u4ecd\u7136\u60ca\u4eba\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u7814\u7a76\u8d85\u7ea7\u4f20\u64ad\u75c5\u4f8b\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u6765\u8d21\u732e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u4f20\u64ad\u6848\u4f8b\u90fd\u6d89\u53ca\u4e86\u5176\u4ed6\u4f20\u64ad\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u7a7a\u6c14\u4f20\u64ad\u3002\u4ece\u590d\u6742\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5907\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u63a8\u6d4b\u4f20\u64ad\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8981\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6280\u672f\u6311\u6218\u3002\u68b3\u7406\u751f\u7269\u95f4\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5dee\u5f02\u548c\u52a8\u6001\u793e\u4f1a\u7f51\u7edc\u5bf9\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u6570\u5b66\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4e2d\u5c1a\u672a\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u4f20\u64ad\u75c5\u4f8b\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7ed9\u51fa\u6709\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u9884\u9632\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u7f13\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/nature04153<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

The role of superspreading in Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) transmission <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/26132768<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u56fe6\uff1aRosalind M. Eggo\uff0c\u4f26\u6566\u536b\u751f\u548c\u70ed\u5e26\u533b\u5b66\u9662\u6570\u5b66\u5efa\u6a21\u5e08<\/span><\/strong><\/span>
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\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\uff0cSARS-CoV-2\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u75c5\u539f\u4f53\u3002\u5b83\u5177\u5907\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u7279\u5f81\u4e3a\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u5efa\u6a21\u8005\u6240\u5173\u6ce8\uff1a\u9ad8\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e0e\u4eba\u9645\u95f4\u4f20\u64ad\u6548\u7387\u3002\u968f\u7740\u75ab\u60c5\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u5efa\u6a21\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u4e0d\u53ef\u4f30\u4ef7\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u65e8\u5728\u4e3a\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u5b9e\u65f6\u7684\u53c2\u8003\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5907\u9009\u7684\u9632\u75ab\u653f\u7b56\u80fd\u8d77\u5230\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u7ed9\u4e00\u79cd\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u9632\u75ab\u63aa\u65bd\u505a\u4e86\u5efa\u6a21\uff1a\u5bc6\u5207\u63a5\u89e6\u8005\u7684\u8ffd\u8e2a\u4e0e\u9694\u79bb\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u9632\u75ab\u63aa\u65bd\u4e2d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u53d1\u73b0\u75c5\u60a3\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u63a5\u89e6\u8005\u5e76\u4e14\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u75c7\u72b6\u5c31\u5c06\u5176\u9694\u79bb\uff08\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u53ef\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u6bcf\u4e2a\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u9020\u6210\u7684\u65b0\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u91cf\uff08\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u518d\u751f\u6570\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u56fe7\uff1a\u4ece\u611f\u67d3\u5230\u53d1\u75c5\u9694\u79bb\u6a21\u578b\u793a\u610f\u56fe\uff0c\u5728\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u7684\u63a5\u89e6\u8ffd\u8e2a\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u75ab\u60c5\u5931\u63a7\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u7f3a\u5c11\u9694\u79bb\u548c\u963b\u6b62\u75c5\u6bd2\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u901a\u8fc7\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9e\u65f6\u83b7\u5f97\u75be\u75c5\u4e0e\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u6709\u7528\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u9700\u8981\u9694\u79bb\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u63a5\u89e6\u8005\u5e76\u4ee5\u6b64\u6765\u63a7\u5236\u75ab\u60c5\u66b4<\/span>\u53d1<\/span>\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u50cf\u6f5c\u4f0f\u671f\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u80fd\u529b\u53c2\u6570\u6211\u4eec\u5374\u6ca1\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u52a0\u4ee5\u63a8\u65ad\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u80fd\u591f\u770b\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002\u5728\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u4fe1\u606f\u5f97\u4ee5\u8865\u5168\u540e\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u53c2\u8003\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/langlo\/article\/PIIS2214-109X(20)30074-7\/fulltext<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Effectiveness of airport screening at detecting travellers infected with novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.eurosurveillance.org\/content\/10.2807\/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.5.2000080<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u56fe8\uff1aMunik Shrestha\uff0c\u4e1c\u5317\u5927\u5b66\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u535a\u58eb\u540e\u3001\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u5458\uff0c\u4e8e\u65b0\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u5927\u5b66\u83b7\u5f97\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\uff08\u5de6\u56fe\uff09\uff1bSamuel V. Scarpino\uff0c\u4e1c\u5317\u5927\u5b66\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u6d77\u6d0b\u548c\u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u548c\u5065\u5eb7\u79d1\u5b66\uff08\u53f3\u56fe\uff09<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n


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\u5f53\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u6d88\u9632\u4eba\u5458\u6b63\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u63a7\u52362019\u5e74\uff0d2020\u5e74\u6fb3\u6d32\u4e1b\u6797\u5927\u706b\u65f6\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b63\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5feb\u901f\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u4ece\u5c40\u90e8\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u66b4<\/span>\u53d1<\/span>\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7528\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u706b\u707e\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u6709\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u4eba\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u4e0e\u706b\u52bf\u548c\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u5c0f\u7684\u9690\u60a3\u5c31\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u917f\u6210\u707e\u96be\u6027\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6311\u6218\u5c31\u5728\u4e8e\u6b64\uff1a\u968f\u673a\u6027\u3001\u6307\u6570\u7206\u70b8\u3001\u4e0d\u8fde\u7eed\u76f8\u53d8\uff08\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece0\u77ac\u95f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u65e0\u7a77\u5927\uff09\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4f9d\u7167\u6307\u6570\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u96be\u4ee5\u89c2\u6d4b\u7684\u7f55\u89c1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/span>
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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19 <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/32205458<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Epidemiological data from the COVID-19 outbreak, real-time case information <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41597-020-0448-0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u56fe10\uff1aBernardo Gutierrez\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u751f\u7269\u7cfb\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u3001\u5723\u5f17\u6717\u897f\u65af\u79d1\u57fa\u591a\u5927\u5b66\u5ba2\u5ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\uff08\u5de6\u56fe\uff09\uff1bMoritz U. G. Kraemer\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3001\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u5bb6\u3001Open COVID-19 Data Working Group\u521b\u59cb\u4eba<\/strong>
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\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb\u75ab\u60c5\u66b4<\/span>\u53d1<\/span>\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f17\u5305\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fd0\u4f5c\u7684Open COVID-19 Data Working Group\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u83b7\u53d6\u6570\u636e\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u6848\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e86\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee5\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5316\u56e2\u961f\u624b\u5de5\u6574\u7406\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u683c\u5f0f\u7f16\u8f91\u6570\u636e\u3002\u8be5\u683c\u5f0f\u80fd\u5728\u5355\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7684\u5c42\u9762\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u75c5\u4f8b\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u3001\u65c5\u884c\u4fe1\u606f\u5386\u53f2\u548c\u9ad8\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u7684\u5730\u7406\u5206\u5e03\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5b9e\u65f6\u7b5b\u9009\u5404\u79cd\u4fe1\u606f\u6e90\u4fdd\u969c\u4e86\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u6210\u4e3a\u75ab\u60c5\u76d1\u6d4b\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u8be5\u5c0f\u7ec4\u901a\u8fc7Google Sheets\u548cGithub\u5171\u4eab\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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Github\uff1ahttps:\/\/github.com\/beoutbreakprepared\/nCoV2019<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/368\/6490\/493<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Open access epidemiological data from the COVID-19 <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/laninf\/article\/PIIS1473-3099(20)30119-5\/fulltext<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n
Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China <\/span><\/section>\n
https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41591-020-0822-7<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587<\/span>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020 <\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.eurosurveillance.org\/content\/10.2807\/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000044<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u4ee5\u4e0a\u662f\u5bf9\u8fd9\u7bc7Nature Reviews Physics\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u5168\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\u4e0e\u56fe\u793a\u8865\u5145\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5177\u5907\u76f8\u5173\u4e13\u4e1a\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u613f\u610f\u5e2e\u52a9\u5927\u5bb6\u6df1\u5ea6\u89e3\u8bfb\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u8bf7\u626b\u7801\u62a5\u540d\u300c\u6211\u8981\u8bb2\u300d<\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u534f\u52a9\u4f60\u5c55\u5f00\u4e00\u6b211\u5c0f\u65f6\u7684\u7ebf\u4e0a\u89e3\u8bfb\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u96c6\u667a\u5e73\u53f0\u516c\u5f00\u76f4\u64ad\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5bf9\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u53c2\u4e0e\u7ebf\u4e0a\u89e3\u8bfb\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4e0e\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u4ea4\u6d41\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u8bf7\u626b\u7801\u62a5\u540d\u300c\u6211\u8981\u542c\u300d<\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u4e3a\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u79ef\u6512\u4eba\u6c14\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u626b\u7801\u767b\u5f55\u96c6\u667a\u6591\u56fe\u62a5\u540d\u300c\u6211\u8981\u542c\u300d\u6216\u300c\u6211\u8981\u8bb2\u300d\u3002\u96c6\u667a\u6591\u56fe\u662f\u7531\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u53d1\u8d77\u3001\u4ee5\u590d\u6742\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u4e3a\u4e3b\u9898\u7684\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5b66\u4e60\u793e\u533a\uff0c\u627f\u8f7d\u4e86\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u89e3\u8bfb\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n


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\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Nature\uff1a\u6784\u5efa\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u86cb\u767d\u8d28\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u6f5c\u5728\u7279\u6548\u836f\u7f29\u5c0f\u81f369\u79cd<\/span><\/strong><\/a>
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Science \u6700\u65b0\uff1a\u65c5\u884c\u63a7\u5236\u600e\u6837\u5f71\u54cd\u9650\u5236\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u901f\u5ea6\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/a>
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Barab\u00e1si\u7ec4\u6700\u65b0\uff1a\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u5927\u5e45\u7f29\u5c0f\u65b0\u51a0\u7279\u6548\u836f\u641c\u7d22\u8303\u56f4\u81f381\u79cd<\/a>
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\u5251\u6865\u5927\u5b66\u6700\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\uff1a\u57fa\u56e0\u7f51\u7edc\u5206\u6790\u63ed\u793a\u5317\u7f8e\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u5dee\u5f02<\/a>
<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/section>\n

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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org
<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u25c6 <\/span>\u25c6 <\/span>\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n

\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


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