{"id":19697,"date":"2020-05-17T18:48:51","date_gmt":"2020-05-17T10:48:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=19697"},"modified":"2020-05-17T18:48:51","modified_gmt":"2020-05-17T10:48:51","slug":"%e4%bb%8a%e6%99%9a8%e7%82%b9%e7%9b%b4%e6%92%ad-%e6%94%80%e7%99%bb%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb%e4%b9%8b%e6%a2%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=19697","title":{"rendered":"\u4eca\u665a8\u70b9\u76f4\u64ad | \u6500\u767b\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u4e4b\u68af"},"content":{"rendered":"
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5\u670817\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u65e5\uff0920:00-22:00\uff0c\u96c6\u667a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u81ea\u52a8\u5efa\u6a21\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u5c06\u8fdb\u884c\u65b0\u4e00\u671f\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u5206\u4eab\u76f4\u64ad\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u6500\u767b\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u4e4b\u68af<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


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\u8fd0\u7528\u60f3\u8c61\u80fd\u529b\u53d1\u6398\u548c\u5229\u7528\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u800c\u4f20\u7edf\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u8bed\u8a00\u96be\u4ee5\u8868\u8ff0\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5c40\u9650\u4e86\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u4eba\u7c7b\u5bf9\u81ea\u8eab\u667a\u80fd\u751f\u6210\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u3002<\/span>Judea Pearl \u4ece\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u884c\u52a8\u548c\u60f3\u8c61\u80fd\u529b\u51fa\u53d1\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u79d1\u5b66\u8868\u8fbe\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\u4f53\u7cfb\u548c\u7cfb\u7edf\u67b6\u6784\uff0c\u4e3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6500\u767b\u201d\u76f8\u5173-\u5e72\u9884-\u53cd\u4e8b\u5b9e\u201d\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u4e4b\u68af\u5960\u5b9a\u4e86\u57fa\u7840\u3002<\/span>
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\u672c\u6b21\u9886\u8bfb Judea Pearl \u7684\u79d1\u666e\u65b0\u4e66\u300a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1a\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b0\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\uff0c\u8ddf\u968f Pearl \u7684\u811a\u6b65\u6500\u767b\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u4e4b\u68af\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u53cd\u601d\u548c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u4e5f\u52fe\u52d2\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u84dd\u56fe\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u672c\u6b21\u5bfc\u8bfb\u65e8\u5728\u7528\u6d53\u7f29\u7684\u4e00\u5c0f\u65f6\u5c55\u73b0 Judea Pearl \u7ed8\u5236\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u84dd\u56fe\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d77\u70b9\uff0c\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u5171\u540c\u62e5\u62b1\u56e0\u679c\u9769\u547d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u76f4\u64ad\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8 B \u7ad9\u76f4\u64ad\u95f4<\/span><\/section>\n


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\ud83d\udc40\u5173\u6ce8B\u7ad9\u4e3b\u64ad\u201c\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u201d<\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
\u4e0d\u9519\u8fc7\u6bcf\u4e00\u573a\u96c6\u667a\u91cd\u78c5\u76f4\u64ad<\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
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\u76f4\u64ad\u65f6<\/strong>\u95f4 \uff1a20:00-22:00<\/strong><\/section>\n

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\u63d0\u524d\u51c6\u5907\u5de5\u4f5c\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5173\u4e8e\u5206\u4eab\u4f1a\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u6709\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u5404\u4f4d\u4f5c\u5982\u4e0b\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

1. \u4e00\u5f20\u7eb8\u3001\u4e00\u652f\u7b14<\/span><\/p>\n

2. \u8003\u8651\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e86\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u60f3\u91cd\u65b0\u6765\u8fc7\u6216\u8005\u91cd\u65b0\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5982\u540e\u6094\u7684\u3001\u80fd\u505a\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u7684……Whatever\uff1b<\/span><\/p>\n

\u56de\u5fc6\u4e0b\u5f53\u65f6\u4e3b\u4eba\u516c\uff08\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\uff09\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u5b83\uff08\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u597d\uff09\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u4e3b\u8bb2\u4eba\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u767d\u695a<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u4e3b\u8bb2\u4eba\u63a8\u8350\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

2011\u5e74\u56fe\u7075\u5956\u6388\u4e88 Judea Pearl \u5148\u751f\uff0c\u9881\u5956\u7406\u7531\u662f\u5c06\u6982\u7387\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\u5f15\u5165 AI\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u201c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7f51\u7edc\u201dPearl \u5728 1990 \u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\u90fd\u4e00\u5ea6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u6982\u7387\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u201d Pearl \u7684\u53cd\u601d\uff0c\u662f\u8ba9\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u6700\u4f1f\u5927\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u5982\u4f55\u80fd\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u4e8b\u4e1a\u7684\u5dc5\u5cf0\u4e4b\u5904\u505a\u5230\u614e\u601d\u548c\u81ea\u6211\u5426\u5b9a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u4e00\u5b9a\u6709\u7740\u66f4\u6df1\u9083\u66f4\u672c\u8d28\u7684\u8ffd\u6c42\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u65e0\u6bd4\u631a\u7231\u3002<\/span>\u4eba\u662f\u6700\u96be\u88ab\u8bf4\u670d\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u81ea\u5df1\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u5c31\u5f88\u96be\u3002<\/span>\u518d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u8bf4\u670d\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u627f\u8ba4\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u66f4\u96be\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u8981\u8bf4\u5728\u522b\u4eba\u8fd8\u5728\u5531\u8bf5\u4ed6\u7684\u8d5e\u6b4c\u65f6\uff0c\u52c7\u6562\u5730\u627f\u8ba4\u4ece<\/span>\u5916\u754c\u770b\u6765\u81ea\u5df1\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u6210\u5c31\u662f\u4e0d\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u3002<\/span>\u80fd\u505a\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u6216\u8005\u79d1\u5b66\u6210\u5c31\u6709\u591a\u4e48\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\uff1f<\/span>\u6211\u90fd\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ef\u4ee5\u79f0\u5f97\u4e0a\u2014\u2014\u4f1f\u5927\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u76f8\u5173\u9605\u8bfb\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u56e0\u679c\u4e4b\u7bad\u6307\u5411\u4f55\u65b9\uff1f| \u56fe\u7075\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u73c0\u5c14\u7684\u300a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u300b<\/a><\/p>\n

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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u4f5c\u8005\u90ed\u745e\u4e1c\u66fe\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u505a\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u89e3\u8bfb\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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https:\/\/pattern.swarma.org\/path?id=9<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5df2\u89e3\u8bfb\u8fc7\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u548c\u89c6\u9891\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u89c6\u9891\u8d44\u6599\uff1a
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<\/strong>https:\/\/campus.swarma.org\/course\/1399<\/strong><\/span>
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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1a<\/p>\n

Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods<\/p>\n

\u8bba\u6587\u8be6\u60c5\uff1a<\/p>\n

https:\/\/pattern.swarma.org\/paper?id=3c75ecc8-55e3-11ea-bf1e-0242ac1a0005<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u7b80\u8bc4\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u4e24\u4e2a\u76f8\u5173\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u65b9\u5411\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u662f\u5426\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u4e92\u53cd\u9988\u662f<\/span>\u5f88\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u30022003 \u8d1d\u5c14\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u514b\u83b1\u592b\u00b7\u683c\u5170\u6770\uff08Clive Granger\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u53cd\u9988\u4e0e\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6a21<\/span>\u578b\u4e0e\u8c31\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u51fd\u6570\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4ea4\u53c9\u8c31\uff08cross spectra\uff09\u548c\u90e8\u5206\u4ea4\u53c9\u8c31\u6709\u5173\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ece\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u4e8c\u53d8\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u5165\u624b\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u5e76\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u53cd\u9988\u7684\u53ef\u6d4b\u6027\u5b9a\u4e49\u3002\u8be5\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u968f\u673a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u8c31\u8868\u793a\uff08spectral representation\uff09\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u673a\u5236\u53ef\u4ee5\u5206\u89e3\u4e3a\u4e24\u4e2a\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5176\u4ea4\u53c9\u8c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u4e24\u4e2a\u4ea4\u53c9\u8c31\u4e4b\u548c\uff0c\u4e14\u5176\u4e2d\u6bcf\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u4e0e\u53cd\u9988\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5355\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u8fd8\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u77ac\u65f6\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u8868\u793a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6784\u9020\u4e86\u56e0\u679c\u6ede\u540e\u548c\u56e0\u679c\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u5ea6\u91cf\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8be5\u95ee\u9898\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u8bb0\u5f55\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u8f83\u6162\u6216\u53ef\u80fd\u672a\u4f7f\u7528\u8db3\u591f\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u53d8\u91cf\u800c\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u8c31\u65b9\u6cd5\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u5efa\u7acb\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u6a21\u578b\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u8fd8\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u4e09\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u8fc7\u90e8\u5206\u4ea4\u53c9\u8c31\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u80fd\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7814\u7a76\u8fdb\u884c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u5e7f\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
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    https:\/\/campus.swarma.org\/course\/1383<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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    \u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

    Detecting Causality in Complex Ecosystems<\/span><\/h2>\n

    \u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

    https:\/\/pattern.swarma.org\/paper?id=fa40bc0c-0b3c-11ea-b5df-0242ac1a0005<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

    \u7b80\u8bc4\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u8bc6\u522b\u56e0\u679c\u7f51\u7edc\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u3001\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u76d1\u7ba1\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u63d0\u51fa\u6709\u6548\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u7ba1\u7406\u5efa\u8bae\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u72b6\u6001\u7a7a\u95f4\u91cd\u6784\u7684\u533a\u5206\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u5b83\u6269\u5c55\u5230\u4e0d\u53ef\u5206\u79bb\u7684\u5f31\u8fde\u901a\u52a8\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u683c\u5170\u6770\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u8303\u5f0f\u6ca1\u6709\u6db5\u76d6\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u901a\u8fc7\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u4e0e\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u57fa\u672c\u65b9\u7a0b \/ \u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u53ef\u4ee5\u68c0\u9a8c\u6211\u4eec\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\uff09\u548c\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u5b9e\u9645\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u6c99\u4e01\u9c7c-\u9cc0\u9c7c-\u6e29\u5ea6\u95ee\u9898\u6765\u8bf4\u660e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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    \u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

    \u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org
    <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n

    \u25c6 <\/span>\u25c6 <\/span>\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n

    \u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


    <\/p>\n

    \u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

    \n

    <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

    \u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


    <\/p>\n


    <\/p>\n

    \ud83d\udc47\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u66f4\u591a\u8bba\u6587\u4fe1\u606f<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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