{"id":21149,"date":"2020-09-24T21:33:14","date_gmt":"2020-09-24T13:33:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=21149"},"modified":"2020-09-24T21:33:14","modified_gmt":"2020-09-24T13:33:14","slug":"%e5%80%9f%e5%8a%a9%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e6%8e%a8%e6%96%ad%ef%bc%8c%e6%9b%b4%e9%b2%81%e6%a3%92%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%ba%e5%99%a8%e5%ad%a6%e4%b9%a0%e6%9d%a5%e4%ba%86%ef%bc%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=21149","title":{"rendered":"\u501f\u52a9\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u66f4\u9c81\u68d2\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6765\u4e86\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u672c\u6587\u57fa\u4e8e\u51ef\u98ce\u7814\u8bfb\u8425\u90ed\u82e5\u57ce\u7684\u5206\u4eab\uff0c\u4ece\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u6982\u8ff0\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u8054\u3002\u90ed\u82e5\u57ce\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e9a\u5229\u6851\u90a3\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u7efc\u8ff0\u201cA Survey of Learning Causality with Data:Problems and Methods<\/em>\u201d\u5bf9\u8be5\u8bdd\u9898\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u7684\u8bb2\u89e3\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u81ea9\u670820\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u65e5\uff09\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u5317\u4eac\u667a\u6e90\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u8fd8\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6709\u5173\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6709\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u540c\u5b66\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u53c2\u52a0\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u8fce\u63a5\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u65b0\u65f6\u4ee3\u3002\u8be5\u6587\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u90ed\u82e5\u57ce<\/span>\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5728\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u671f\u95f4\u518d\u8be6\u7ec6\u5177\u4f53\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u4ecb\u7ecd\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e3b\u9898<\/span><\/span>\u7cfb\u5217\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u8be6\u60c5\u4e0e\u53c2\u4e0e\u65b9\u5f0f\u89c1\u6587\u672b\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


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1. \u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0e\u6df7\u6742\u56e0\u7d20\u504f\u5dee<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u63cf\u8ff0\u5f0f\u6216\u9884\u6d4b\u5f0f\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u6d89\u53ca\u5bf9\u6570\u636e\u672c\u8eab\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u7136\u800c\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5217\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\u4e0a\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u80fd\u591f\u57fa\u4e8e\u66f4\u5c11\u7684\u5148\u9a8c\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u5883\u754c\u57fa\u4e8e\u5927\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ece\u4e2d\u5b66\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u5730\u5224\u522b\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4f46\u4e3a\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u63a2\u7d22\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u53ea\u4f7f\u7528\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u90a3\u80fd\u62ff\u5230\u7684\u53ea\u662f\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u4ee5\u53ca\u8054\u5408\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u6240\u793a\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4eba\u5728\u5403\u836f\u6216\u6ca1\u5403\u836f\u65f6\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u800c\u8981\u60f3\u63a8\u65ad\u51fa\u5403\u836f\u548c\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\u4e4b\u95f4\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u6210\u662f\u6839\u636e\u6982\u7387\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e73\u5747\u5e72\u9884\u5f71\u54cd<\/span>\uff08ATE average treatment effect\uff09<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u56fe1 \u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5b9e\u4f8b<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u4e3a\u4e86\u786e\u4fdd\u8be5\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u53ef\u89e3\u7684\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5047\u8bbe\u8be5\u95ee\u9898\u4e2d\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u540c\u65f6\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u548c\u539f\u56e0\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u90fd\u5df2\u88ab\u89c2\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e14\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u57280\u52301\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe<\/span>\uff08Strong ignorability\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u53ea\u6709\u7ed9\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u5e72\u9884\u4e0b\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e0d\u540c\u5e72\u9884\u4e0b\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe2 \u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe\u793a\u610f\u56fe\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5e72\u6270\u53d8\u91cfc\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u901a\u5e38\uff0c\u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe\u662f\u5f88\u96be\u5728\u771f\u5b9e\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\u6ee1\u8db3\u7684\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9690\u542b\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5373\u5047\u8bbe\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u8fc7\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u63d0\u53d6\u9690\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u4f7f\u5f97\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6df7\u6742\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0d\u53ef\u88ab\u89c2\u5bdf\u65f6\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u63a7\u5236\u9690\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u6765\u5c06\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u53d8\u4e3a\u53ef\u89e3\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u56fe3 \u52a0\u5165\u9690\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u56e0\u679c\u56fe\uff0c\u56fe\u4e2d\u7684z\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\u83b7\u5f97<\/span><\/section>\n

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2. \u4e09\u7c7b\u5224\u522b\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u7b2c\u4e00\u7c7b\u5224\u65ad\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc,\u540c\u65f6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe\u6ee1\u8db3\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u65b9\u6cd5\u901a\u8fc7\u9690\u542b\u5c42\u63d0\u53d6\u51fa\u7684\u8868\u5f81\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u6df7\u6742\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u4e4b\u540e\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0d\u540c\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0b\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u5c06\u9690\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5206\u522b\u8fdb\u884c\u6620\u5c04\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f97\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u5e72\u9884\u4e0b\u7684\u635f\u5931\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u4ee5\u4ee3\u8868\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
           <\/span>\u56fe4 CRFNet \u7f51\u7edc\u7ed3\u6784\u56fe[1]<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7c7b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u6c42\u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe\u6ee1\u8db3\uff0c\u4f46\u5047\u8bbe\u53d8\u91cf\u95f4\u72ec\u7acb\u540c\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u5176\u4ee3\u8868\u662f\u56e0\u679c\u6548\u5e94\u53d8\u5206\u81ea\u7f16\u7801\u5668<\/span>\uff08CEVAE\uff09<\/span>[2]\u3002\u8be5\u65b9\u6cd5\u5728\u5047\u8bbe\u9690\u53d8\u91cfz\u7b26\u5408\u9ad8\u65af\u5206\u5e03\u65f6\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6700\u5c0f\u5316\u539f\u56e0x\u548c\u7ed3\u679cy\u7684\u7ecf\u8fc7\u81ea\u7f16\u7801\u5668\u63d0\u53d6\u7279\u5f81\u540e\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6df1\u5ea6\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u8868\u5f81\u9690\u53d8\u91cfz\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u53ef\u4f9d\u636e\u5b66\u5230\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u505a\u53cd\u4e8b\u5b9e\u63a8\u65ad\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u7b2c\u4e09\u7c7b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u6811\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe\u6ee1\u8db3\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u56e0\u679c\u968f\u673a\u68ee\u6797\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5b66\u4e60\u5982\u4f55\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u53d8\u91cf\u6240\u5904\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u5212\u5206\uff0c\u9010\u6e10\u5730\u4ece\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u5f97\u5230\u5177\u4f53\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f30\u8ba1\u5f02\u8d28\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u6765\u95f4\u63a5\u5730\u8bc4\u4ef7\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u5728\u793e\u4ea4\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\uff0c\u76f8\u4e92\u6709\u8054\u7cfb\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u4f17\u591a\u672a\u88ab\u89c2\u6d4b\u5230\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u4e0a\uff0c\u6709\u7740\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u540c\u8d28\u6027<\/span>\uff08homophily\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u4f7f\u7528\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u8fdb\u884c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u4e2d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u8003\u8651\u793e\u4ea4\u7f51\u7edc\u95f4\u7684\u8fde\u63a5\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u5f3a\u5ffd\u7565\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0d\u6ee1\u8db3\u65f6\uff0c\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u9690\u53d8\u91cf\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe6 \u57fa\u4e8e\u56fe\u5377\u79ef\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u63d0\u53d6\u793e\u4ea4\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u7ed3\u5408\u539f\u6570\u636e\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u4f7f\u7528\u8868\u5f81\u5e73\u8861\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e73\u8861\u5e72\u9884\u4e0e\u5426\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0b\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u6df7\u6742\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u5e03[3]\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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3. \u65e0\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u9009\u62e9\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\uff1f\u6216\u8005\u95ee\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u6307\u6807\u80fd\u591f\u907f\u514d\u8fc7\u62df\u5408\uff1f\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u56de\u7b54\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u4e0b\u56fe\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u770b\u51fa\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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           <\/span>\u56fe7 \u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65advs\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60 \u5bf9\u6bd4\u56fe [5]<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u5de6\u56fe\u7684\u4e4c\u9e26\uff0c\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u788e\u77f3\u653e\u5165\u74f6\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u559d\u5230\u6c34\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u7406\u89e3\u4e86\u8fd9\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u800c\u53f3\u56fe\u7684\u9e66\u9e49\uff0c\u8bad\u7ec3\u8005\u9700\u8981\u7684\u662f\u5176\u5b66\u4f1a\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u8003\u5bdf\u7684\uff0c\u5374\u53ea\u662f\u5176\u6a21\u4eff\u4eba\u7c7b\u8bed\u53e5\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u800c\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u56e0\u679c\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u540c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9e66\u9e49\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u505a\u51fa\u4f7f\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u5374\u6ca1\u6709\u8003\u8651\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u548c\u6700\u7ec8\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e4b\u95f4\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\u56e0\u679c\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5f53\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u5206\u5e03\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5219\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\u62df\u5408\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u5de5\u4e1a\u754c\u4f7f\u7528\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6765\u63d0\u5347\u5546\u54c1\u603b\u9500\u91cf<\/span>\uff08GMV\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u5728\u7b97\u6cd5\u5f00\u53d1\u65f6\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u662f\u79bb\u7ebf\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u53ca\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u5728\u7b97\u6cd5\u4e0a\u7ebf\u540e\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u65f6\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u6311\u6218\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u7b97\u6cd5\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8868\u73b0\u548c\u516c\u53f8\u5546\u4e1a\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u5757<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u63a8\u8350\u7cfb\u7edf\uff09<\/span>\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8868\u73b0\u53ef\u80fd\u5e76\u4e0d\u80fd\u4f7f\u516c\u53f8\u76c8\u5229\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u540c\u65f6\u5bfc\u81f4\u5176\u4ed6\u6a21\u5757<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u641c\u7d22\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u4f7f\u7528\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u6807\u7b7e\u8bad\u7ec3\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6b63\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0a\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u504f\u5dee\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u65e0\u504f\u5dee\u5730\u5229\u7528\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u641c\u96c6\u5230\u7684\u6570\u636e\u53bb\u79bb\u7ebf\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\u8bad\u7ec3\u65b0\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u679c\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u4e2d\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u53c8\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u65e0\u504f\u5dee\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
<\/span><\/section>\n

\u56fe8 \u79bb\u7ebf\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u5728\u7ebf\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4e0e\u771f\u5b9e\u5546\u4e1a\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u548c\u8054\u7cfb [5]<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f7f\u7528\u5728\u7ebf\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u6d4b\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7528\u6237\u7684\u4f53\u9a8c\u9020\u6210\u5f71\u54cd\u3002A\/B\u6d4b\u8bd5\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7528\u6237\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5c55\u793a\u754c\u9762\u3002\u800c\u65e0\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5219\u662f\u4e0d\u8fdb\u884c\u5728\u7ebf\u8bc4\u6d4b\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u7b97\u6cd5\u5728\u79bb\u7ebf\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u6765\u4f30\u8ba1\u5176\u5728\u771f\u5b9e\u5546\u4e1a\u573a\u666f\u4e2d\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
  <\/span><\/section>\n
<\/span><\/section>\n
\u56fe9 \u5f71\u54cd\u7528\u6237\u70b9\u51fb\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u5305\u542b\u5c55\u793a\u65b9\u5f0f\u548c\u7528\u6237\u559c\u597d<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u641c\u7d22\u4e2d\uff0c\u6392\u5728\u524d\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u88ab\u70b9\u51fb\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u7528\u6237\u70b9\u51fb\u7f51\u7ad9\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u5148\u51b3\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u7528\u6237\u770b\u5230\u7f51\u7ad9\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8fd8\u559c\u6b22\u7f51\u7ad9\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6392\u5e8f\u7b97\u6cd5\u5bf9\u7f51\u7ad9\u7684\u8bc4\u5206\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u8003\u8651\u5f53\u524d\u7f51\u9875\u6392\u540d\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u5728\u8bc4\u4f30\u65f6\u6709\u504f\u3002\u7136\u800c\u63a8\u8350\u7b97\u6cd5\u771f\u6b63\u60f3\u63d0\u53d6\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u7528\u6237\u559c\u597d\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u800c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u641c\u7d22\uff0c\u7535\u5546\u7f51\u7ad9\u7684\u641c\u7d22\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u4ee5\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7684\u7f51\u683c\u5448\u73b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u7535\u5546\u641c\u7d22\u6570\u636e\u5448\u73b0\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u504f\u5dee\u4e0e\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u7f51\u9875\u641c\u7d22\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u4e3a\u6b64\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u7528\u503e\u5411\u6027\u5f97\u5206<\/span> (Inverse Propensity Scoring) <\/span>\u6765\u5bf9\u6807\u7b7e\u8fdb\u884c\u52a0\u6743\u3002\u53bb\u6821\u6b63\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u504f\u5dee\u524d\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u6839\u636e\u79bb\u7ebf\u6570\u636e\u6216\u8005\u5728\u7ebf\u968f\u673a\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u8bc4\u4f30\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6807\u7b7e<\/span>\uff08\u70b9\u51fb\u6216\u8005\u8d2d\u4e70\uff09<\/span>\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u503e\u5411\u6027\u5f97\u5206\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u89e6\u5c4f\u4e2d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7528\u6237\u5bf9\u5c55\u793a\u7684\u8fd9\u51e0\u9879\u90fd\u4e0d\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u5219\u4e0d\u4f1a\u770b\u5b8c\u800c\u4f1a\u76f4\u63a5\u6ed1\u52a8\u6362\u4e00\u5c4f\uff1b\u5bf9\u5c4f\u5e55\u4e2d\u95f4\u5c55\u793a\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\u5c55\u793a\uff0c\u7528\u6237\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u80fd\u505c\u7559\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u800c\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u9645\u6570\u636e\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u5bf9\u5c55\u793a\u4f4d\u7f6e\u4e3a\u7684\u4e2d\u95f4\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u504f\u597d\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5728\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u9488\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528Inverse Propensity Score IPS \u8fdb\u884c\u6743\u91cd\u518d\u5206\u914d\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
<\/p>\n

4. \u5982\u4f55\u5b66\u4e60\u4e0d\u540c\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u7684\u76f8\u540c\u7279\u5f81<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e\u6807\u7b7e\u548c\u5f85\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u4f2a\u5173\u8054\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u4e2d\u9a86\u9a7c\u7684\u56fe\u7247\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u6c99\u6f20\u4e2d\uff0c\u800c\u7f8a\u7684\u56fe\u7247\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u8349\u539f\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u8bad\u7ec3\u51fa\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f1a\u5c06\u6c99\u6f20\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u5f53\u6210\u9a86\u9a7c\u7684\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u8fd9\u5e76\u975e\u662f\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u5c06\u7279\u5f81\u5206\u4e3a\u4e24\u7c7b\uff0c\u4e00\u7c7b\u4e3a\u56e0\u679c\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u4e00\u7c7b\u4e3a\u4f2a\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u56e0\u679c\u7279\u5f81\u80fd\u591f\u8de8\u8d8a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7c7b\u578b\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\u8fc1\u79fb\u3002\u800c\u540e\u8005\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u6570\u636e\u6240\u5c5e\u8303\u7574\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u800c\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u53d6\u51fa\u56e0\u679c\u7279\u5f81\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6cdb\u5316\u80fd\u529b\u66f4\u5f3a\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u662f\u5426\u627e\u5230\u4ee3\u8868\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u8bad\u7ec3\u597d\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\u5206\u4e3a\u662f\u5426\u5177\u6709\u5f02\u5206\u6b65\u53ef\u6cdb\u5316\u6027<\/span>\uff08OOD \uff1aout of distribution \uff09<\/span>\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u4ece\u591a\u4e2a\u6765\u6e90\u6536\u96c6\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u540c\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e14\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u636e\u548c\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5219\u79f0\u6a21\u578b\u5177\u6709OOD\u6cdb\u5316\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
<\/span><\/section>\n
\u56fe10 \u56e0\u679c\u4e0d\u53d8\u7279\u5f81\u793a\u610f\u56fe<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u56fe\u4e2d\u6570\u636eE\uff0c\u7ecf\u7531\u56e0\u679c\u7279\u5f81Xc<\/sup>\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u5206\u7c7b\u6807\u7b7eY\uff0c\u800cX<\/span>s<\/sup>\u4e3a\u4f2a\u76f8\u5173\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u5728\u6570\u636eE\u7684\u8303\u7574\u6539\u53d8\u65f6\uff0c\u7ed9\u5b9aE\u662fXc<\/sup>\u548cXs<\/sup>\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u90fd\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u800c\u7ed9\u5b9aXc<\/sup>\u5f97\u51fa\u6807\u7b7eY\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5c06Xc<\/sup>\u79f0\u4e3a\u8868\u5f81\u4e86\u56e0\u679c\u8054\u7cfb\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u8bba\u6587[4]\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684IRM\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8be6\u8ff0\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u6355\u6349\u56e0\u679c\u4e0d\u53d8\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u8be5\u6587\u5728\u4e8c\u5206\u7c7b\u95ee\u9898\u4e2d\uff0c\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u548c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u4e2d\uff0c\u52a0\u5165\u4e86\u989c\u8272\u548c\u6807\u7b7e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4f2a\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u5f97\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u548c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e4b\u95f4\u989c\u8272\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u76f8\u53cd\u3002\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u4e2d\u5de6\u8fb9\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u4e2d\uff0c\u76f8\u540c\u6807\u7b7e\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u56fe\u7247\u591a\u4e3a\u7eff\u8272\uff0c\u800c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u56fe\u7247\u4e3a\u7ea2\u8272\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8eIRM\uff0c\u5176\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u548c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u5206\u7c7b\u51c6\u786e\u5ea6\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4f20\u7edf\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e86\u53bb\u6389\u989c\u8272\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e72\u6270\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u7406\u60f3\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
<\/span><\/section>\n
\u56fe11 \u989c\u8272\u5448\u4e0d\u540c\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u548c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u636e\u96c6<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0cIRM\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u6b63\u5219\u9879\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u80fd\u591f\u5b66\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u9ad8\u7ef4\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e14\u5728\u4f18\u5316\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u989d\u5916\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
<\/p>\n

5. \u603b\u7ed3<\/p>\n

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\u800c\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\u4e0a\uff0c\u5373\u901a\u8fc7\u5bfb\u627e\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u95f4\u63a5\u5730\u5bfb\u627e\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u53ca\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ad8\u7ef4\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3001\u65f6\u5e8f\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u5904\u7406\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u73af\u72b6\u7ed3\u6784\u7b49\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5f00\u653e\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u540c\u6837\u53d1\u6e90\u4e8e\u7edf\u8ba1\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\uff0c\u6ce8\u5b9a\u5b58\u5728\u53ef\u501f\u9274\u4e4b\u5904\u4e0e\u66f4\u591a\u503c\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

[<\/span>1] <\/span>Johansson, Fredrik, Uri Shalit, and David Sontag. “Learning representations for counterfactual inference.” International conference on machine learning. 2016.<\/span><\/p>\n

[2<\/span>] <\/span>Louizos, Christos, et al. “Causal effect inference with deep latent-variable models.” Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 2017.<\/span><\/p>\n

[3<\/span>] <\/span>Guo, Ruocheng, Jundong Li, and Huan Liu. “Learning individual causal effects from networked observational data.” In Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, pp. 232-240. 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n

[4<\/span>] <\/span>Arjovsky, Martin, L\u00e9on Bottou, Ishaan Gulrajani, and David Lopez-Paz. “Invariant risk minimization.” arXiv preprint arXiv:1907.02893 (2019)<\/span><\/p>\n

[5<\/span>] <\/span>Wang, Zenan, Xuan Yin, Tianbo Li, and Liangjie Hong. “Causal Meta-Mediation Analysis: Inferring Dose-Response Function From Summary Statistics of Many Randomized Experiments.” In Proceedings of the 26th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining, pp. 2625-2635. 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n

[6<\/span>] <\/span>Guo, Ruocheng, et al. “A survey of learning causality with data: Problems and methods.” ACM Computing Surveys (CSUR) 53.4 (2020): 1-37.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5927\u6570\u636e\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u573a\u53d8\u9769\u2014\u2014\u56e0\u679c\u9769\u547d\u6b63\u5728\u915d\u917f\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u878d\u5408\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\u548c\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u800c\u6784\u5efa\u51fa\u6765\u7684Causal AI\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u5960\u5b9a\u5f3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u57fa\u77f3\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u5317\u4eac\u667a\u6e90\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff0c\u9080\u8bf7\u4e86\u4e00\u6279\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0eCasual AI\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8005\uff0c\u5f00\u5c55\u4e3a\u671f2-3\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u7cfb\u5217\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff0c\u7814\u8bfb\u7ecf\u5178\u548c\u524d\u6cbf\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u5e76\u5c1d\u8bd5\u96c6\u4f53\u64b0\u5199\u4e00\u90e8\u4e66\u7c4d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e8b\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3001\u5e94\u7528\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u62a5\u540d\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0e\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>9\u670820\u65e5\u8d77\uff0c\u6bcf\u5468\u65e5\u665a19:00-21:00\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u7ea62-3\u4e2a\u6708<\/span><\/section>\n
\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u7ebf\u4e0a\u95ed\u95e8\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff1b\u6536\u8d39-\u9000\u6b3e\u7684\u4fdd\u8bc1\u91d1\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1b\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u6210\u5458\u8ba4\u9886\u89e3\u8bfb\u8bba\u6587<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8d39\u7528\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>299\/\u4eba<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e Causal AI \u7cfb\u5217\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a | \u4f17\u5305\u51fa\u4e66<\/a><\/section>\n


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\u76ee\u524d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7150\u4f59\u4eba\u7684\u6d77\u5185\u5916\u9ad8\u6821\u79d1\u7814\u9662\u6240\u7684\u4e00\u7ebf\u79d1\u7814\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u4e00\u7ebf\u4ece\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u53c2\u4e0e\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u4e5f\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e3b\u9898\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u5c31\u5feb\u52a0\u5165\u6211\u4eec\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u56fe\u7075\u5956\u5f97\u4e3bJudea Pearl \u667a\u6e90\u5927\u4f1a\u6f14\u8bb2\uff1a\u4ece\u201c\u5927\u6570\u636e\u9769\u547d\u201d\u5230\u201c\u56e0\u679c\u9769\u547d\u201d<\/strong><\/a>
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\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org
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\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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