{"id":21409,"date":"2020-10-23T22:59:54","date_gmt":"2020-10-23T14:59:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=21409"},"modified":"2020-10-23T22:59:54","modified_gmt":"2020-10-23T14:59:54","slug":"physics-reports%e9%87%8d%e7%a3%85%e7%bb%bc%e8%bf%b0%ef%bc%9a%e7%bb%9f%e8%ae%a1%e7%89%a9%e7%90%86%e5%92%8c%e5%a4%8d%e6%9d%82%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e7%90%86%e8%ae%ba%e5%9c%a8%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e7%b3%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=21409","title":{"rendered":"Physics Reports\u91cd\u78c5\u7efc\u8ff0\uff1a\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u548c\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7406\u8bba\u5728\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u63a2\u7d22"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system<\/span><\/p>\n

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https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0370157320303458<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u5176\u4e2dN= (a, b, c, …); H = (A, S).  N\u4ee3\u8868\u751f\u6001\u5708\uff0cH \u4ee3\u8868\u4eba\u7c7b\u56e0\u7d20\uff1ba <\/span>(atmosphere\uff0c\u5927\u6c14\u5708)<\/span>\uff0cb<\/span> (biosphere\uff0c\u751f\u7269\u5708)<\/span>\uff0cc <\/span>(cryosphere\uff0c\u51b0\u51bb\u5708) <\/span>\u7b49\u3002A<\/span> (anthroposphere) <\/span>\u6cdb\u6307\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u751f\u547d\u548c\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u603b\u548c\uff0cS\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u9898<\/span> (global subject) <\/span>\u7684\u6d8c\u73b0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u7684\u63d0\u51fa\u4e3a\u4eba\u4eec\u540e\u8005\u4ece\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\u7406\u89e3\u201c\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u201d\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7406\u8bba\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u5730\u9707\u662f\u5730\u7403\u8868\u5c42\u6216\u8868\u5c42\u4e0b\u7684\u632f\u52a8\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5730\u9762\u9707\u52a8\uff0c\u53ef\u7531\u81ea\u7136\u73b0\u8c61\u5982\u5730\u58f3\u8fd0\u52a8\u3001\u706b\u5c71\u6d3b\u52a8<\/span>\u53ca\u9668\u77f3\u649e\u51fb\u5f15\u8d77\uff0c\u4ea6\u53ef\u7531\u4eba\u4e3a\u6d3b\u52a8\u5982\u5730\u4e0b\u6838\u8bd5\u9a8c\u9020\u6210\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u707e\u5bb3\u6027\u5730\u9707\u90fd\u7531\u5730\u58f3\u7684\u7a81\u7136\u8fd0\u52a8\u6240\u9020\u6210\u3002\u5730\u9707\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u6db5\u76d6\u5ca9\u77f3\u5708\u53ca\u6c34\u5708\u2500\u2500\u5f53\u5730\u9707\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fde\u5e26\u5f15\u53d1\u5730\u8868\u65ad\u88c2\u3001\u5927\u5730\u9707\u52a8\u3001\u571f\u58e4\u6db2\u5316\u3001\u5c71\u5d29\u3001\u4f59\u9707\u3001\u6d77\u5578\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u706b\u5c71\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u53ca\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u5730\u9707\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5730\u58f3\u5728\u677f\u5757\u8fd0\u52a8\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7d2f\u79ef\u5e94\u529b\uff0c\u5f53\u5730\u58f3\u65e0\u6cd5\u7ee7\u7eed\u7d2f\u79ef\u5e94\u529b\u65f6\uff0c\u5730\u58f3\u4f1a\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u91ca\u653e\u51fa\u5730\u9707\u6ce2\uff0c\u4f7f\u5730\u9762\u53d1\u751f\u9707\u52a8\u3002\u5730\u9707\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u5404\u7c7b\u5efa\u7b51\u7269\u5012\u584c\u548c\u635f\u574f\uff0c\u8bbe\u5907\u548c\u8bbe\u65bd\u635f\u574f\uff0c\u4ea4\u901a\u3001\u901a\u8baf\u4e2d\u65ad\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7531\u6b64\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u706b\u707e\u3001\u7206\u70b8\u3001\u761f\u75ab\u3001\u6709\u6bd2\u7269\u8d28\u6cc4\u6f0f\u3001\u653e\u5c04\u6027\u6c61\u67d3\u3001\u573a\u5730\u7834\u574f\u7b49\u9020\u6210\u4eba\u755c\u4f24\u4ea1\u548c\u8d22\u4ea7\u635f\u5931\u7684\u707e\u5bb3\u3002\u5730\u9707\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee5\u6765\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u57fa\u4e8e\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5730\u53d1\u5c55\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u521b\u65b0\u578b\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e76\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u7814\u7a76\u590d\u6742\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc<\/span>\uff08climate network\uff0c\u89c1\u56fe4\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u6e17\u6d41\u76f8\u53d8\u7406\u8bba<\/span>\uff08percolation theory\uff0c\u89c1\u56fe5\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u5206\u6790<\/span>\uff08tipping points analysis\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u71b5\u548c\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span>\uff08entropy and complexity\uff09<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u5728\u590d\u6742\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u5e94\u7528<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u65b9\u9762\uff1a\uff081\uff09\u7ed3\u5408\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u71b5\u7406\u8bba\u7b49\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u521b\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u65b0\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u2014\u2014System Sample Entropy\uff0c\u4ece\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e\u4f20\u7edf\u6c14\u5019\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u5168\u65b0\u89c6\u89d2\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u96be\u4ee5\u653b\u514b\u7684\u201c\u6625\u5b63\u9884\u6d4b\u969c\u788d\u201d\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e3a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6709\u6548\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u4e3a\u7406\u89e3\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u7269\u7406\u673a\u5236\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u601d\u8def\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u6846\u67b6\u548c\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u4ee5\u62d3\u5c55\u5230\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u3002\uff082\uff09\u57fa\u4e8e\u6e17\u6d41\u76f8\u53d8\u548c\u7f51\u7edc\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u70ed\u5e26\u533a\u57df\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u6d41<\/span>\uff08Hadley cell\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u518d\u5206\u6790\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u7406\u8bba\u9884\u8a00\u4e0d\u7b26\u7684\u96be\u9898\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u70ed\u5e26\u533a\u57df\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u6d41\u7684\u4e8c\u7ef4\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u7406\u8bba\u6846\u67b6\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u70ed\u5e26\u533a\u57df\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u6d41\u7684\u52a8\u529b<\/span>\u5b66\u6f14\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u68c0\u6d4b\u5176\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\uff083\uff09\u57fa\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u7406\u8bba\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u957f\u65f6\u9ad8\u6548\u9884\u6d4b\u5370\u5ea6\u5b63\u98ce\u964d\u3002\u96e8\u91cf\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1b\uff084\uff09\u57fa\u4e8e\u591a\u5c42\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u539f\u7406\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1b\uff085\uff09\u5229\u7528\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u6df1\u5165\u7406\u89e3\u6781\u7aef\u964d\u96e8\u7684\u5168\u7403\u5206\u5e03\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u5173\u8054\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u57fa\u4e8e\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u548c\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u578b\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e76\u6210\u529f\u5730\u8fd0\u7528\u5230\u590d\u6742\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u589e\u8fdb\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5927\u5927\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u80fd[6]\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u56fe5\uff1a\u4e8c\u7ef4\u683c\u70b9\u6a21\u578b\u8fb9\u6e17\u6d41\u793a\u610f\u56fe[6]\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

[1] W. Steffen, K. Richardson, J. Rockstr.m, H.J. Schellnhuber, O.P. Dube, S. Dutreuil, T.M. Lenton, J. Lubchenco, The emergence and evolution of earth system science, Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 1 (1) (2020) 54\u201363.<\/span><\/p>\n

[2] H.J. Schellnhuber, \u2018Earth system\u2019 analysis and the second copernican revolution, Nature 402 (6761) (1999) C19\u2013C2.<\/span><\/p>\n

[3] T.A. Carleton, S.M. Hsiang, Social and economic impacts of climate, Science 353 (6304) (2016).<\/span><\/p>\n

[4] T.M. Lenton, J. Rockstr.m, O. Gaffney, S. Rahmstorf, K. Richardson, W. Steffen, H.J. Schellnhuber, Climate tipping points \u2014 too risky to bet against, Nature 575 (2019).<\/span><\/p>\n

[5] T. Nocke, S. Buschmann, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan, H.-J. Schulz, C. Tominski, Review: visual analytics of climate networks, Nonlinear Process Geophys. 22 (5) (2015).<\/span><\/p>\n

[6] J. Fan, J. Meng, J. Ludescher, X. Chen, Y. Ashkenazy, J. Kurths, S. Havlin, H. J. Schellnhuber, Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system, Physics Reports, (2020).<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u76f4\u64ad\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a\u5468\u4e8c<\/span><\/strong>\uff0810\u670827\u65e5\uff09 19:00-20:00<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u96c6\u667a\u6591\u56fe\u6536\u5f55\u6765\u81ea Nature\u3001Science <\/em>\u7b49\u9876\u520a\u53caarXiv\u9884\u5370\u672c\u7f51\u7ad9\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7b49\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u6bcf\u5929\u6301\u7eed\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u626b\u7801\u5373\u53ef\u83b7\u53d6\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org
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