{"id":21803,"date":"2020-11-07T22:58:08","date_gmt":"2020-11-07T14:58:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=21803"},"modified":"2020-11-07T22:58:08","modified_gmt":"2020-11-07T14:58:08","slug":"%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e6%98%af%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e6%8e%a8%e6%96%ad-%e9%9b%86%e6%99%ba%e7%99%be%e7%a7%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=21803","title":{"rendered":"\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad | \u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='wxsyncmain'>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\" data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1172402\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"562\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"843\" data-ratio=\"0.66640625\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"width: 578px;height: auto !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-9c31a32c8f9e10bfd0ab94b519bc7a78.jpeg\"  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u201c\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u7cbe\u9009\u201d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u671f\u4e13\u680f\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u4e3a\u5927\u5bb6\u63a8\u9001\u590d\u6742\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u6982\u5ff5\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7684\u5f00\u6e90\u79d1\u5b66\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u5e0c\u671b\u6253\u9020\u590d\u6742\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u6700\u5168\u9762\u7684\u767e\u79d1\u5168\u4e66\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u3001\u70ed\u7231\u77e5\u8bc6\u6574\u7406\u548c\u5206\u4eab\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u52a0\u5165\uff01<\/span><br  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u672c\u6587\u662f\u5bf9\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u4e2d\u201c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u201d\u8bcd\u6761\u7684\u6458\u5f55\uff0c\u53c2\u8003\u8d44\u6599\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u8bcd\u6761\u8bf7\u53c2\u9605\u767e\u79d1\u8bcd\u6761\u539f\u6587\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-id=\"85410\" data-tools=\"135\u7f16\u8f91\u5668\" style=\"max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.54px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"margin: 10px auto;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-width=\"65%\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-left: 2px;max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);width: 361.39px;height: 5px;text-align: center;color: inherit;background-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 3px;margin-left: 3px;padding: 20px;max-width: 100%;box-shadow: rgb(227, 223, 223) 0px 0px 4px;background-color: rgb(254, 254, 254);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u76ee\u5f55<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-style=\"color: inherit; box-sizing: border-box;line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify;\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;color: inherit;letter-spacing: 0.54px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e00\u3001<\/strong><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e8c\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e09\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u56db\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9886\u57df<strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.54px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e94\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u516d\u3001\u76f8\u5173\u8d44\u6e90\u63a8\u8350<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(131, 13, 0);color: inherit;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e03\u3001\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u8bcd\u6761\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u62db\u52df<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: left;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e00\u3001\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\uff1f<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad Causal inference&nbsp; <\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u67d0\u4e00\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u5f97\u51fa\u5173\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u8054\u7cfb\u7ed3\u8bba\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u4e0e\u5173\u8054\u63a8\u65ad Inference of association \u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u533a\u522b\u5728\u4e8e\u524d\u8005\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u5f53\u539f\u56e0\u6539\u53d8\u65f6\u7ed3\u679c\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u5b9a\u4e49<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u88ab\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li style=\"font-style: italic;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\">\u63a8\u8bba\u5f97\u51fa\u201c\u67d0\u4e8b\u662f\uff08\u6216\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\uff09\u5176\u4ed6\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-style: italic;\">\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u786e\u5b9a\u539f\u56e0\u4e0e\u6548\u679c\u7684\u5171\u53d8\u6027\uff08<\/span><em style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\">&nbsp;covariation<\/em><span style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\">\uff09<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\">\uff0c\u524d\u56e0\u540e\u679c\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6392\u9664\u5176\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6216\u591a\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u901a\u5e38\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u662f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u8bf4\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u8fdb\u884c\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\u6765\u9a8c\u8bc1\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u63a8\u65ad\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5224\u65ad\u6570\u636e\u662f\u7531\u5076\u7136\u6027\uff08\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u5316\uff09\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u786e\u5b9e\u76f8\u5173\uff08\u5e76\u6d4b\u91cf\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u7684\u5f3a\u5f31\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u56e0\u679c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8fd8\u9700\u4f7f\u7528\u5176\u4ed6\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u63a8\u65ad\u5176\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u6846\u67b6\u6709<strong>\u7ed3\u6784\u65b9\u7a0b\u6a21\u578b<\/strong> structural equation modeling \u548c<strong>Rubin\u56e0\u679c\u6a21\u578b <\/strong>Rubin causal model\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p line=\"Viel\" linespacing=\"115\" style=\"margin: 0pt 8px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0em;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 11pt;color: rgb(73, 73, 73);line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<h1 style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;max-width: 100%;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e8c\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h1>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\"><\/span><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66 epidemiology <\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7814\u7a76\u7279\u5b9a\u751f\u7269\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u548c\u75be\u75c5\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a8\u65ad\u539f\u56e0\u548c\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u66b4\u9732\u4e8e\u5371\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u548c\u611f\u67d3\u75be\u75c5\u4e4b\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u5173\u8054\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u76f8\u5173\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u56e0\u679c\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\"><\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u8fd0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u6536\u96c6\u5371\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u548c\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5224\u5b9a\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u81ea19\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c<strong>\u79d1\u8d6b\u6cd5\u5219 Koch&#8217;s postulates <\/strong>\u5c31\u88ab\u7528\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u4e00\u79cd\u5fae\u751f\u7269\u662f\u5426\u662f\u5f15\u8d77\u67d0\u79cd\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u75c5\u56e0\u3002\u572820\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c<strong>\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u798f\u5fb7\u00b7\u5e0c\u5c14\u51c6\u5219 Bradford Hill criteria <\/strong>\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u7528\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u5fae\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6807\u51c6\u4e0d\u662f\u786e\u5b9a\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5206\u5b50\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\uff08molecular epidemiology\uff09\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u5219\u90fd\u662f\u5728\u751f\u7269\u5206\u5b50\u6c34\u5e73\u5c55\u5f00\u7814\u7a76\u7684\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u9057\u4f20\u5b66\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u751f\u7269\u6807\u5fd7\u7269\u662f\u5224\u65ad\u539f\u56e0\u6216\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u65b0\u5174\u7684\u5206\u5b50\u75c5\u7406\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66 molecular pathological epidemiology\uff08MPE\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u4ea4\u53c9\u5b66\u79d1\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u8d8b\u52bf\u662f\u786e\u5b9a\u201c\u66b4\u9732\u201d\u5bf9\u4e8e\u75c5\u53d8\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6216\u7ec6\u80de\u5185\u5206\u5b50\u75c5\u7406\u5b66\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u5c06\u66b4\u9732\u8ff9\u8c61\u4e0e\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u5206\u5b50\u75c5\u7406\u7279\u5f81\u8054\u7cfb\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u7279\u5b9a\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u56fa\u6709\u7279\u5f81\u3001\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u539f\u7406\u7b49\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u75be\u75c5\u8868\u73b0\u578b\u53ca\u5176\u4e9a\u578b\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u751f\u7269\u533b\u5b66\u548c\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u4e2a\u4f53\u5316\u533b\u7597\u548c\u7cbe\u51c6\u533b\u7597\u7b49\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;max-width: 100%;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);font-size: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e09\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u57fa\u4e8eX\u548cY\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u72ec\u7acb\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u8054\u5408\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u67d0\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u5728X\u2192Y\u548cY\u2192X\u65b9\u5411\u4e0a\u7684\u8bc1\u636e<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u4e0d\u5bf9\u79f0\u6027\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u57fa\u4e8e\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u7406\u8bba<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u6a21\u578b<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u548c\u566a\u58f0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u6a21<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u578b<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u6a21\u578b<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e24\u4e2a\u540c\u65f6\u8f93\u51fa X \u548c Y \u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u672a\u538b\u7f29\u7684Y\u5b58\u50a8Y\u548cX\u7684\u538b\u7f29\u578b&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u672a\u538b\u7f29\u7684X\u5b58\u50a8X\u548cY\u7684\u538b\u7f29\u578b&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6700\u77ed\u7684\u6b64\u7c7b\u7a0b\u5e8f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u672a\u538b\u7f29\u7684\u5b58\u50a8\u53d8\u91cf\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u8d77\u8ba1\u7b97\u53d8\u91cf\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u566a\u58f0\u6a21\u578b<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5f15\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u566a\u58f0\u9879\uff0c\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u4e0b\u9762\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u5047\u8bbe Y \u2192 X \u4e14\u5177\u6709\u566a\u58f0 E \u7684\u566a\u58f0\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u52a0\u6027\u566a\u58f0 Additive noise\uff1aY=F(X)+E<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7ebf\u6027\u566a\u58f0 Linear noise\uff1aY=pX+qE<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u540e\u7f6e Post-non-linear\uff1aY=G(F(X)+E)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5f02\u65b9\u5dee\u566a\u58f0 Heteroskedastic noise\uff1aY=F(X)+E.G(X)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u529f\u80fd\u6027\u566a\u58f0 Functional noise\uff1aY=F(X,E)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6a21\u578b\u5747\u57fa\u4e8e\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"list-style-type: disc;\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">Y \u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u539f\u56e0&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">X \u548c E \u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u5171\u540c\u7684\u539f\u56e0&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u539f\u56e0\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u673a\u5236<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u76f4\u89c2\u5c42\u9762\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u4ece\u8054\u5408\u5206\u5e03 P\uff08\u8d77\u56e0 , \u7ed3\u679c\uff09\u5230 P\uff08\u8d77\u56e0\uff09* P\uff08\u7ed3\u679c | \u8d77\u56e0\uff09\u7684\u62c6\u5206\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u603b\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4ece&nbsp;P\uff08\u8d77\u56e0 , \u7ed3\u679c\uff09\u5230 P\uff08\u7ed3\u679c\uff09* P\uff08\u8d77\u56e0 | \u7ed3\u679c\uff09\u7684\u62c6\u5206\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u201c\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u201d\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u5728\u76f4\u89c9\u4e0a\u5f88\u5438\u5f15\u4eba\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e94\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u7cbe\u786e\u5b9a\u4e49\u5b83\u5374\u5e76\u4e0d\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u7ec4\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5c1d\u8bd5\u4ece\u5927\u91cf\u6807\u8bb0\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u53d1\u73b0\u56e0\u679c\u7684\u201c\u8db3\u8ff9\u201d\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u80fd\u9884\u6d4b\u51fa\u66f4\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;max-width: 100%;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u56db\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u901a\u5e38\u901a\u8fc7\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u6765\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;\">\u6709\u51e0\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u6765\u4ece\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u4e2d\u9274\u522b\u51fa\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6839\u636e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba\uff08\u5982\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff09\u6784\u5efa\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u786e\u5b9a\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7814\u7a76\u964d\u96e8\u4e0e\u5546\u54c1\u672a\u6765\u4ef7\u683c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u7406\u8bba\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u964d\u96e8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f71\u54cd\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c<strong>\u5de5\u5177\u53d8\u91cf instrumental variables\uff08IV\uff09<\/strong>\u6280\u672f\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5f15\u5165\u5176\u4ed6\u5df2\u77e5\u4e0d\u53d7\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u6765\u6d88\u9664\u4efb\u4f55\u9006\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6839\u636e\u65f6\u95f4\u5148\u540e\uff0c\u6765\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u504f\u76f8\u5173\uff08partial correlations\uff09\u662f\u5bf9\u79f0\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ec5\u4ec5\u57fa\u4e8e\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u6765\u786e\u5b9a\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6982\u7387\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u5728\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0a\u539f\u56e0\u5fc5\u987b\u5148\u4e8e\u5176\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4f7f\u7528\u8f83\u65e9\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u4f5c\u4e3a\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5e76\u5f00\u53d1\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u8ba1\u91cf\u68c0\u9a8c\u65b9\u6cd5\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c<strong>\u683c\u5170\u6770\u56e0\u679c\u68c0\u9a8c Granger-causality tests<\/strong>\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u7b2c\u56db\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u5305\u62ec\u4e86\u5176\u4ed6\u56de\u5f52\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u6df7\u6dc6\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u56de\u5f52\u9879\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u7684\u865a\u5047\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u4f7f\u7528\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6837\u672c\u548c\u4ea4\u53c9\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u6765\u68c0\u67e5\u5728\u56de\u5f52\u4e2d\u672a\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u95f4\u662f\u5426\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u53ef\u4ee5\u6392\u9664\u7531\u5de7\u5408\u9020\u6210\u800c\u975e\u53cd\u6620\u5b9e\u9645\u5185\u5728\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u906d\u53d7\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u56f0\u6270\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5982\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff0c\u539f\u5219\u4e0a\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5305\u62ec\u6240\u6709\u6df7\u6dc6\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6a21\u578b\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u73b0<strong>\u5171\u56e0\u8c2c\u8bef common-cause fallacy\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6d3b\u52a8\u5df2\u7ecf\u63a8\u5e7f\u81f3\u4f7f\u7528\u81ea\u7136\u5b9e\u9a8c\u548c\u51c6\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\u8bbe\u8ba1\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u865a\u5047\u76f8\u5173 spurious correlations \u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<h1 style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;max-width: 100%;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e94\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h1>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u503e\u5411\u7528\u5b9a\u91cf\u6846\u67b6\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u6846\u67b6\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\u30021994\u5e74\uff0cGary King\u3001Robert Keohane \u548cSidney Verba \u5408\u8457\u7684\u300a\u8bbe\u8ba1\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u95ee\u5377\u300b\u5bf9\u653f\u6cbb\u79d1\u5b66\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002King\u3001Keohane\u548cVerba\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u7f29\u5199\u4e3a KKV\uff09\u5efa\u8bae\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u540c\u65f6\u91c7\u7528\u5b9a\u91cf\u548c\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u7edf\u8ba1\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u66f4\u6e05\u695a\u5730\u4e86\u89e3\u4ed6\u4eec\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5355\u4f4d\u3002\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u91c7\u7528 Donald Rubin \u5f00\u53d1\u7684<strong>\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\u6846\u67b6<\/strong>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u63a8\u65ad\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u9002\u5f53\u5e94\u7528\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u63a8\u65ad\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u4e89\u8bba\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u5bf9\u7814\u7a76\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u5bf9\u5e7f\u6cdb\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6301\u6279\u8bc4\u6001\u5ea6\u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u6280\u672f\u6027\u5730\u201c\u7be1\u6539\u201d P \u503c\uff0c\u5728\u865a\u5047\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u4e3b\u5f20\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u7814\u7a76\u4e4b\u524d\u9884\u6ce8\u518c preregister \u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c31\u4e0d\u4f1a\u65e0\u610f\u4e2d\u8fc7\u5206\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e00\u9879\u4e0d\u53ef\u590d\u5236\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u53d1\u73b0\u5e76\u975e\u6700\u521d\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u5374\u5728\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5177\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u5185\u90e8\u5173\u4e8e\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u548c\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u6027\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u6709\u65f6\u662f\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\u6846\u67b6\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u91cd\u70b9\u4ecd\u7136\u653e\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u63a8\u8bba\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\u5bb6\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u4f7f\u7528\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u65b0\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u6df7\u5408\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u6df7\u5408\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u6301\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u66f4\u9002\u5408\u4e0d\u540c\u4e3b\u4f53\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u5bb6 Herbert Smith \u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5bb6 James Mahoney \u3001 Gary Goertz \u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5bb6 Paul Holland \u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\uff0cPaul Holland \u57281986\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u540d\u4e3a\u300a\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u548c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u300b\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7edf\u8ba1\u63a8\u65ad\u66f4\u9002\u5408\u4e8e\u8bc4\u4f30\u201c\u539f\u56e0\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u201d\uff08effects of causes\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u201c\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u201d\uff08causes of effects\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5f62\u5f0f\u5316\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u8fc7\u7a0b\u8ffd\u8e2a\u548c\u6a21\u7cca\u96c6\u7406\u8bba\uff09\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u67d0\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u5185\u8bc6\u522b\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u6216\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u4e4b\u95f4\u6bd4\u8f83\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u63a8\u65ad\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u6f5c\u5728\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u6216\u6df7\u6dc6\u53d8\u91cf\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u7edf\u8ba1\u63a8\u65ad\u9002\u7528\u6027\u7684\u8bfe\u9898\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<h1 style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;max-width: 100%;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u516d\u3001\u76f8\u5173\u8d44\u6e90\u63a8\u8350<\/strong><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h1>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 15px;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247518709&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=801e98285ad903a5e0abb1f4ae1a9a9d&amp;chksm=e897d378dfe05a6e4fdd97d189237020589669a6b5e750063f2b9e56bb3d951d573e6dd533b3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e Causal AI \u7cfb\u5217\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a | \u4f17\u5305\u51fa\u4e66<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><br  \/><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-decoration: none;\">Judea Pearl \u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f53\u4e0b\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u573a\u6539\u53d8\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u65b0\u9769\u547d &#8212; \u201d\u56e0\u679c\u9769\u547d\u201c\u3002\u56e0\u679c\u9769\u547d\u548c\u4ee5\u6570\u636e\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u9769\u547d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u5927\u6570\u636e\u9769\u547d\u5176\u4e0d\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5b83\u4ee5\u79d1\u5b66\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u6d89\u53ca\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u5230\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u3001\u673a\u5236\u7684\u6cdb\u5316\uff0c\u518d\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u5f52\u56e0\u548c\u516c\u5e73\u6027\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u54f2\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u521b\u9020\u6027\u548c\u81ea\u7531\u610f\u5fd7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-decoration: none;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-decoration: none;\"><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\">\u4e8e\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e Causal AI \u7684\u7cfb\u5217\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff0c\u7814\u8bfb\u786c\u6838\u8bba\u6587\u4e66\u7c4d\uff0c\u5206\u4eab\u5b66\u754c\u524d\u6cbf\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u5e76\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u6b21\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u7814\u8ba8\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><em><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u70b9\u51fb\u56fe\u7247\u5373\u53ef\u67e5\u770b\u66f4\u591a\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u6709\u5173\u4fe1\u606f&#8230;..<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247518709&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=801e98285ad903a5e0abb1f4ae1a9a9d&amp;chksm=e897d378dfe05a6e4fdd97d189237020589669a6b5e750063f2b9e56bb3d951d573e6dd533b3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" textvalue=\"\u4f60\u5df2\u9009\u4e2d\u4e86\u6dfb\u52a0\u94fe\u63a5\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"js_jump_icon h5_image_link\" data-positionback=\"static\" style=\"top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-ratio=\"0.74875\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"800\" style=\"margin: 0px;height: auto !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-c9293396f18c0922281764721def3f48.jpeg\"  \/><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u8bfe\u7a0b\u63a8\u8350<\/span><\/strong><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5982\u4f55\u5c06\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\u4e0e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u5f00\u53d1\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08XAI\uff09\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u662f\u8fc8\u5411\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd2.0\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6b65\u9aa4\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u4e13\u9898\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff0c\u6765\u8bd5\u56fe\u627e\u5230\u56de\u7b54\u4e0a\u8ff0\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"562\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"272\" data-ratio=\"0.48348106365834004\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1241\" style=\"height: 272px;width: 563px;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-43204ef9a7a986db0d7991cd6c6578b1.png\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4e66\u7c4d\u63a8\u8350<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><em>\u300a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48:\u5173\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b0\u79d1\u5b66\u300b<\/em><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u672c\u4e66\u4e2d\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6743\u5a01\u4e13\u5bb6 Judea Pearl \u53ca\u5176\u540c\u4e8b\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u9769\u547d\u7a81\u7834\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u8ff7\u96fe\uff0c\u5398\u6e05\u4e86\u77e5\u8bc6\u7684\u672c\u8d28\uff0c\u786e\u7acb\u4e86\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7814\u7a76\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u63a2\u7d22\u4e2d\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><em style=\"white-space: normal;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u70b9\u51fb\u56fe\u7247\u5373\u53ef\u67e5\u770b\u66f4\u591a<\/span><\/em><\/span><em style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u300a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48:\u5173\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b0\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u6709\u5173<\/em><em style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4fe1\u606f&#8230;..<\/em><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247500020&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7cef5358569c9d9a2983a3b65ff7d331&amp;chksm=e8979a79dfe0136fe46239c480ed103924b01e09cfe4c764ca6219d075a4638dcb1c2be408e9&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" textvalue=\"\u4f60\u5df2\u9009\u4e2d\u4e86\u6dfb\u52a0\u94fe\u63a5\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"js_jump_icon h5_image_link\" data-positionback=\"static\" style=\"top: auto;left: auto;margin: 0px;right: auto;bottom: auto;\"><img class=\"rich_pages js_insertlocalimg\" data-ratio=\"0.6\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1000\" style=\"margin: 0px;height: auto !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-a187d1ca114a66bd79c8050dda142538.jpeg\"  \/><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;line-height: 1.75em;\" data-content-utf8-length=\"1\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<h1 style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;max-width: 100%;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4e03\u3001\u767e\u79d1\u9879\u76ee\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u62db\u52df<\/strong><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h1>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4f5c\u4e3a\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u9879\u76ee\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u5185\u5bb9\u7531<strong>\u5609\u6811\u3001Zc1234567\u3001\u8584\u8377<\/strong>\u53c2\u4e0e\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4f4d\u4f5c\u8005\u548c\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u51c6\u5907\u4e86\u4e13\u5c5e\u7b80\u4ecb\u548c\u4e2a\u4eba\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u4e3b\u9875\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u606f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bbf\u95ee\u5176\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e3b\u9875\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><img class=\"rich_pages\" data-ratio=\"0.5555555555555556\" data-s=\"300,640\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"900\" style=\"height: auto !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-96a62292ad1641ec07d2bdfec113a955.png\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5185\u5bb9\u90fd\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u505a\u8fd9\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u8d77\u70b9\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6765\u81ea\u4e0d\u540c\u5b66\u79d1\u548c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u7acb\u8d77\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u6548\u7684\u767e\u79d1\u56e2\u961f\uff0c\u5206\u914d\u6709\u5ba1\u6821\u3001\u7ffb\u8bd1\u3001\u7f16\u8f91\u3001\u5ba3\u4f20\u7b49\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u79c9\u6301\uff1a\u77e5\u8bc6\u4ece\u6211\u800c\u6765\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u5230\u6211\u4e3a\u6b62\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\uff0c\u8ba4\u771f\u8d1f\u8d23\u7f16\u64b0\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u8bcd\u6761\u3002<\/span><br  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u4ece\u590d\u6742\u6027\u77e5\u8bc6\u51fa\u53d1\u4e0e\u4f19\u4f34\u540c\u884c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6211\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u52a0\u5165\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56e2\u961f\uff0c\u4f7f\u767e\u79d1\u8bcd\u6761\u5185\u5bb9\u5f97\u5230\u6269\u5145\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4f4d\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u76f8\u5e94\u5956\u52b1\u4e0e\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e3b\u9875\u4e0e\u8d21\u732e\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u80fd\u591f\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a2\u7d22\u590d\u6742\u4e16\u754c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u6b22\u8fce\u626b\u63cf\u4e0b\u65b9\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801\u6dfb\u52a0\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1\u56e2\u961f\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><img data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"562\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"313\" data-ratio=\"0.5555555555555556\"  data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"900\" style=\"width: 465px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;height: auto !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-3cac07b086d8f2e9da14ec14f8fb2cfa.png\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<blockquote data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\" data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"14\" data-source-title=\"\" style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1<\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u66fe\u7965\u8f69<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"t4\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-top: 20px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-preserve-color=\"t\" data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;max-width: 100%;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mid=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;max-width: 100%;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247501861&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=344edc5208443dbcfffeccfe6331161d&amp;chksm=e89792a8dfe01bbe35784ad44678cabcdcda28ad72d5396520f4441a3e6c1e2943223f937430&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" hasload=\"1\" style=\"color: var(--weui-LINK);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: var(--weui-LINK);text-decoration: underline;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u6df7\u6c8c\u7406\u8bba | \u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1<\/strong><\/span><\/a><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247500020&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=7cef5358569c9d9a2983a3b65ff7d331&amp;chksm=e8979a79dfe0136fe46239c480ed103924b01e09cfe4c764ca6219d075a4638dcb1c2be408e9&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: var(--weui-LINK);text-decoration: underline;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u56e0\u679c\u4e4b\u7bad\u6307\u5411\u4f55\u65b9\uff1f| \u56fe\u7075\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u73c0\u5c14\u7684\u300a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u300b<\/strong><\/span><\/a><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247501532&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=4fa3c95542c5b2d83c20c7ab00408519&amp;chksm=e8979c51dfe01547e75346171474de779319fd11b6867491e98a9a6f7a4cd943a21908cb5912&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" hasload=\"1\" style=\"color: var(--weui-LINK);-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: var(--weui-LINK);text-decoration: underline;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5143\u80de\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\uff1f| \u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1<\/strong><\/span><\/a><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247500394&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=06c5c3579b538ff8d960af0db6edbba5&amp;chksm=e89798e7dfe011f1a01f720f6d0bf67486534a51ca23a1912864d7302e1c80eabcdef7df7f34&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: var(--weui-LINK);text-decoration: underline;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">Science\u7ecf\u5178\u8bba\u6587\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u6d4b\u590d\u6742\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: var(--weui-LINK);text-decoration: underline;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247506966&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4a77e194848fde84154ee906826e0fb5&amp;chksm=e897869bdfe00f8d638a21570f9d11786f8d5bdff359731ecb608bd490227e759c437278634b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u56e0\u679c\u89c2\u5ff5\u65b0\u9769\u547d\uff1f\u4e07\u5b57\u957f\u6587\uff0c\u89e3\u8bfb\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u6697\u56e0\u679c<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247502752&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4ceaf4f227a4f7065b3cd256a2022552&amp;chksm=e897912ddfe0183b570a12e6b40212e33b76a95c54abe6e10afe7069acb9f6236bd39ccf8cda&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" textvalue=\"\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" tab=\"innerlink\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;color: var(--weui-LINK);text-decoration: underline;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);cursor: pointer;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-left: 8px;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<hr style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><img data-ratio=\"0.9191011235955057\" data-type=\"gif\" data-w=\"445\" width=\"100%\" class=\"__bg_gif\"  style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 64px !important;height: auto !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-f8813a24c65fe26cf82889d1466d1718.gif\"  \/><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;line-height: 25.6px;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;line-height: 25.6px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1398939\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"\u6536\u85cf\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"1345806\" data-mpa-color=\"null\" data-mpa-category=\"fav\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;line-height: 25.6px;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"5969\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;line-height: 25.6px;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template-id=\"83535\" data-mpa-color=\"#ffffff\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;outline: none medium;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;line-height: 25.6px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8QQ\u7fa4\uff5c877391004<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\u53ca\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cswarma@swarma.org<br 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!important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;max-width: 100%;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 20px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto;padding: 10px;max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;width: 180px;border-width: 2px;border-style: dashed;border-color: rgb(132, 132, 132);line-height: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><img data-copyright=\"0\" data-cropselx1=\"0\" data-cropselx2=\"156\" data-cropsely1=\"0\" data-cropsely2=\"156\" data-ratio=\"1\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1125\"  style=\"box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 156px !important;height: auto !important;\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/wxsync-2020-11-8d63ba433b859b930f684933c607651c.jpeg\"  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><br mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;\"><span style=\"max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px;text-align: left;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word 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