{"id":23244,"date":"2021-01-13T18:47:49","date_gmt":"2021-01-13T10:47:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=23244"},"modified":"2021-01-13T18:47:49","modified_gmt":"2021-01-13T10:47:49","slug":"%e5%a4%8d%e6%9d%82%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e8%af%bb%e4%b9%a6%e4%bc%9a%e5%90%af%e5%8a%a8%e6%8b%9b%e5%8b%9f%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%80%e8%b5%b7%e6%8e%a2%e7%b4%a2%e9%9d%9e%e5%9d%87%e8%a1%a1%e7%9a%84%e3%80%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=23244","title":{"rendered":"\u590d\u6742\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8\u62db\u52df\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u63a2\u7d22\u975e\u5747\u8861\u7684\u3001\u6f14\u5316\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u5178\u578b\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c<\/p>\n

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\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u53d1\u8d77\u4eba<\/p>\n

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\u4e2a\u4eba\u9875\u9762\uff1ahttps:\/\/sss.bnu.edu.cn\/tabid\/47\/ArticleID\/54\/frtid\/128\/Default.aspx \u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u652f\u6301\u8001\u5e08\uff1a\u674e\u7ea2\u521a\u3001\u738b\u6709\u8d35\u3001\u9648\u6e05\u534e\u3001\u5f20\u6c5f\u3001\u5468\u6d9b\u3001\u5415\u7433\u5a9b\u3001\u674e\u777f\u742a <\/p>\n


<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n


\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u7684\u76ee\u7684<\/p>\n

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\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u53c2\u4e0e\u65b9\u5f0f\u53ca\u65f6\u95f4<\/p>\n

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\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b65\uff1a\u4fe1\u606f\u586b\u5199\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4f1a\u5f39\u51fa\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u8bfe\u7a0b\u8d2d\u4e70\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u63d0\u4ea4\u4fdd\u8bc1\u91d1299\u5143\u3002\uff08\u8d2d\u8bfe\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u63d0\u4ea4\u4fdd\u8bc1\u91d1\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u9000\u8d39\u6761\u4ef6\u540e\u53ef\u9000\u8d39\uff09\u3002\uff08\u53e6\u6709\u79ef\u5206\u5145\u503c\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u53ef\u83b7\u8d60\u72ec\u5bb6\u590d\u6742\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u77e5\u8bc6\u5361\u7247\uff0c\u8be6\u60c5\u89c1\u6587\u672b\uff09
\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b65\uff1a\u6dfb\u52a0\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u5fae\u4fe1\uff0c\u62c9\u5165\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u8ba8\u8bba\u7fa4\uff08\u9700\u9075\u5b88\u7fa4\u89c4\uff09\u3002 \u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5bf9\u6bcf\u6b21\u5206\u4eab\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u8fdb\u884c\u5f55\u5236\uff0c\u526a\u8f91\u540e\u53d1\u5e03\u5728\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5b98\u7f51\uff0c\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u4ed8\u8d39\u62a5\u540d\u6210\u5458\u548c\u96c6\u667aVIP<\/a>\u6210\u5458\uff08\u8be6\u60c5\u89c1\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4e4b\u590f\uff0c\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u5145\u503c\uff0cVIP \u9996\u53d1\uff01<\/a>\uff09\u53ef\u4ee5\u89c2\u770b\u5f55\u64ad\u3002  <\/p>\n


\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u8bba\u6587\u6e05\u5355<\/p>\n



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\uff0814\uff09\u8ba1\u7b97\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\uff1a\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d41\u52a8\u6a21\u5f0f
\uff0815\uff09\u8ba1\u7b97\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff08\u4e09\uff09\uff1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u5c31\u4e1a
 \u626b\u63cf\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801\uff0c\u83b7\u53d6\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u8bba\u6587\u6e05\u5355\uff0c\u540e\u7eed\u4f1a\u5728\u96c6\u667a\u6591\u56fe\u505a\u66f4\u65b0 \uff081\uff09\u5bf9\u4f20\u7edf\u4e3b\u6d41\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7684\u53cd\u601d \u8fd9\u4e09\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u90fd\u662f\u5199\u4e8e2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u6df1\u523b\u5730\u51b2\u51fb\u4e86\u4e3b\u6d41\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\u3002 Dirk Helbing, Stefano Balietti. Fundamental and real-world challenges in economics. Science and culture 76.9-10 (2010).
https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1680262
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u53cd\u601d\u4f20\u7edf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u5f31\u70b9\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\u5f85\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4ece\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u5438\u7eb3\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u547c\u5401\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5408\u4f5c Paul Krugman. How did economists get it so wrong? The New York Times. 2009, 9.
https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/09\/06\/magazine\/06Economic-t.html
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u4fdd\u7f57\u00b7\u514b\u9c81\u683c\u66fc\u5728 2009 \u5e74\u53d1\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u4ee3\u6742\u5fd7\u4e0a\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u6279\u5224\u4f20\u7edf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0e\u7814\u7a76 David Colander, Hans F\u00f6llmer, Armin Haas, Michael Goldberg, Katarina Juselius, Alan Kirman, Thomas Lux, Brigitte Sloth. The financial crisis and the systemic failure of academic economics. Kiel Working Papers. 2009, 6:427-436.
https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1355882
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u6307\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u7814\u7a76\u91cd\u70b9\u8fdb\u884c\u91cd\u5927\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9700\u8981\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u5957\u9053\u5fb7\u51c6\u5219\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u8ba9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4ea4\u6d41\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u548c\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u8bef\u7528\u3002 \uff082\uff09\u201c\u590d\u6742\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u201d\u7684\u63d0\u51fa W. Brian Arthur. Complexity economics: a different framework for economic thought. SFI Working Paper. 2013, 3.\uff08\u4e66\u7c4d\uff09
https:\/\/books.google.com\/books?id=AOxjBAAAQBAJ
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u5e03\u83b1\u6069\u00b7\u963f\u745f\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u601d\u60f3\u65b0\u6846\u67b6\u6240\u505a\u7684\u8d21\u732e\uff0c\u4e2d\u5fc3\u601d\u60f3\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5904\u4e8e\u5747\u8861\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u975e\u5e38\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u8bfb\u7684\u4e66\u7c4d\u3002
 W. Brian Arthur. Complexity and the economy. Science. 1999, 2(284):107-109.
https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/284\/5411\/107.abstract
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https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2292370
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u6574\u4e2a\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u53cd\u601d\u5176\u57fa\u672c\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u5176\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u5229\u7528\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7406\u8bba\u8fdb\u884c\u6539\u8fdb\u3002 Stefano Battiston, J. Doyne Farmer, Andreas Flache, Diego Garlaschelli, Andrew G. Haldane, Hans Heesterbeek, Cars Hommes, Carlo Jaeger, Robert May, Marten Scheffer. Complexity theory and financial regulation. Science. 2017, 351(6275):818-819.
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https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/p\/wop\/safiwp\/96-12-093.html
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https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/460685a
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u63d0\u51fa\u591a\u4e3b\u4f53\u5efa\u6a21\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5f15\u5bfc\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002 W. Brian Arthur. Out-of-equilibrium economics and agent-based modeling. Handbook of Computational Economics. 2005.
https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S1574002105020320
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u975e\u5747\u8861\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0e\u591a\u4e3b\u4f53\u5efa\u6a21\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u624b\u518c\u3002 \uff084\uff09\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc Matthew Elliott, Benjamin Golub, Matthew O. Jackson. Financial networks and contagion. AER, 2014, 104(10) 3115\u20133153.
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https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/325\/5939\/422.abstract
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https:\/\/advances.sciencemag.org\/content\/6\/34\/eaba4934.abstract
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u666e\u904d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u5728\u6bcf\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u91cd\u590d\u4e0a\u6f14\uff1f\u5982\u679c\u5b58\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u6f14\u5316\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4e3a\u66f4\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u3001\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7ef4\u62a4\u548c\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u53d1\u5c55\u9884\u6d4b\u63d0\u4f9b\u53c2\u8003\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u4f7f\u7528 1998 \u5230 2013 \u5e74\u6240\u6709\u884c\u4e1a\u8d85\u8fc7 1 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u56fd\u5de5\u4eba\u5728\u5185\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5355\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u786e\u5b9e\u91cd\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u7684\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u5373\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u8fbe\u5230 120 \u4e07\u540e\u5411\u521b\u65b0\u578b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8f6c\u578b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e34\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5bfc\u51fa\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u57ce\u5e02\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u8868\u793a\u4e3a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7c7b\u522b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5206\u4e3a\u4e24\u7c7b\uff0c\u4e00\u7c7b\u662f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4e9a\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\u5c0f\u57ce\u5e02\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u4e00\u7c7b\u662f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8d85\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u73b0\u5206\u6570\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u53d1\u73b0\u975e\u8d38\u6613\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u66f4\u660e\u663e\u3002 Park, Jaehyuk, et al. “Global labor flow network reveals the hierarchical organization and dynamics of geo-industrial clusters.” Nature communications 10.1 (2019): 1-10.
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https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41567-018-0204-y\/
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u9884\u6d4b GDP \u589e\u957f\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u901a\u5e38\u6781\u5176\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u578b\u5e76\u4e0d\u603b\u662f\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u6742\u6027\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5b83\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u6765\u6784\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u6570\u636e\u8981\u6c42\u65b9\u9762\u4f4e\u4e8e\u6807\u51c6\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8981\u6c42\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u9884\u6d4b\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5176\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86 IMF \u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u4e94\u5e74\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u5c06\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u770b\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8c\u7ef4\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u7531\u4eba\u5747 GDP \u548c\u5065\u5eb7\u5ea6\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5065\u5eb7\u5ea6\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4f7f\u7528\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u8bef\u5dee\u4e00\u822c\u662f\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\uff0c\u4e0e IMF \u9884\u6d4b\u8bef\u5dee\u65e0\u5173\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u8be5\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u51fa\u5230\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u8865\u5145\u6807\u51c6\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002   \uff088\uff09\u5c42\u7ea7\u7ed3\u6784 Simon H.A. (1991) The Architecture of Complexity. In: Facets of Systems Science. International Federation for Systems Research International Series on Systems Science and Engineering, vol 7. Springer, Boston, MA. 
https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-1-4899-0718-9_31
https:\/\/link.springer.com\/chapter\/10.1007\/978-1-4899-0718-9_31
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u8d6b\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u897f\u8499\u7684\u6587\u96c6\uff0c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u67b6\u6784\uff0c\u53d1\u5e03\u5728 Facets of Systems Science\u3002\u6587\u96c6\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e8620\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u8ba8\u8bba\u63d0\u51fa\u53d1\u5c55\u201c\u4e00\u822c\u7cfb\u7edf\u7406\u8bba\u201d\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u4ece\u7269\u7406\u3001\u751f\u7269\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7279\u6709\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u4e2d\u62bd\u8c61\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5c06\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6240\u6709\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u867d\u7136\u76ee\u6807\u503c\u5f97\u79f0\u8d5e\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5177\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5171\u540c\u7684\u975e\u5e73\u51e1\u6027\u8d28\u3002\u6bd4\u55bb\u548c\u7c7b\u6bd4\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u5e2e\u52a9\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8bef\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6240\u6355\u6349\u5230\u7684\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\u662f\u663e\u8457\u7684\u8fd8\u662f\u8868\u9762\u7684\u3002 Perry Mehrling. The inherent hierarchy of money[C]. In: Lance Taylor, Armon Rezai,Thomas Michl, (eds.). Proceedings of Social Fairness and Economics: economic essays in the spirit of Duncan Foley, chapter 21, 394\u2013404. London and New York: Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, 2013: 394\u2013404.
\u4f5c\u8005 Perry G. Mehrling\u4e3b\u9875\uff1ahttp:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/perry\/\u4e66\u7c4d PDF \u5730\u5740\uff1ahttp:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/perry\/files\/2019\/04\/Mehrling_P_FESeminar_Sp12-02.pdf\uff08\u4e66\u7c4d\uff09
https:\/\/www.taylorfrancis.com\/chapters\/inherent-hierarchy-money-perry-mehrling\/e\/10.4324\/9780203109502-34
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1aPerry Mehrling \u7684\u4e66\u7c4d \u91d1\u94b1\u7684\u5185\u5728\u5c42\u6b21\uff0c\u4ece\u4fe1\u7528\u5230\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u5c42\u6b21\u3001\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u7684\u5c42\u6b21\u7b49\u3002 \uff089\uff09\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u5316\u2014\u2014\u6280\u672f\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u3001\u81ea\u50ac\u5316\u7f51\u7edc\u3001\u591a\u6837\u6027\u3001\u6a21\u5757\u5316 Arthur, W. Brian, and Wolfgang Polak. “The evolution of technology within a simple computer model.” Complexity 11.5 (2006): 23-31.
http:\/\/tuvalu.santafe.edu\/~wbarthur\/Papers\/AP-Complexity.pdf
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u5173\u4e8e\u6280\u672f\u6f14\u5316\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u6a21\u578b Arthur, W. Brian. “The structure of invention.” Research policy 36.2 (2007): 274-287.
http:\/\/tuvalu.santafe.edu\/~wbarthur\/Papers\/Invention-Arthur.pdf
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u7ed3\u6784 Hordijk, Wim. “Autocatalytic sets: From the origin of life to the economy.” BioScience 63.11 (2013): 877-881.
https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/bioscience\/article\/63\/11\/877\/2389920
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u81ea\u50ac\u5316\u7f51\u7edc\uff1a\u4ece\u751f\u7269\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e Napolitano, Lorenzo, et al. “Technology networks: the autocatalytic origins of innovation.” Royal Society open science 5.6 (2018): 172445.
https:\/\/royalsocietypublishing.org\/doi\/10.1098\/rsos.172445
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u6280\u672f\u7684\u81ea\u50ac\u5316\u7f51\u7edc Youn, Hyejin, et al. “Invention as a combinatorial process: evidence from US patents.” Journal of the Royal Society interface 12.106 (2015): 20150272.
https:\/\/royalsocietypublishing.org\/doi\/full\/10.1098\/rsif.2015.0272
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u5b9e\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6280\u672f\u521b\u65b0 Kim, Daniel, et al. “Technological novelty profile and invention\u2019s future impact.” EPJ Data Science 5.1 (2016): 1-15.
https:\/\/epjdatascience.springeropen.com\/articles\/10.1140\/epjds\/s13688-016-0069-1
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u4e0a\u7bc7\u7684\u540e\u7eed\u7814\u7a76
 Bettencourt, Lu\u00eds MA, Horacio Samaniego, and Hyejin Youn. “Professional diversity and the productivity of cities.” Scientific reports 4 (2014): 5393.
https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/srep05393
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u5173\u4e8e\u4e13\u4e1a\u591a\u6837\u6027 Youn, Hyejin, et al. “Scaling and universality in urban economic diversification.” Journal of The Royal Society Interface 13.114 (2016): 20150937.
https:\/\/royalsocietypublishing.org\/doi\/full\/10.1098\/rsif.2015.0937
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https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/icc\/article-abstract\/11\/5\/895\/774881
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u5e02\u573a\u5177\u6709\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u5185\u5728\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u73b0\u8c61\u5f88\u96be\u7528\u7406\u6027\u9884\u671f\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5747\u8861\u4ef7\u683c\u5f62\u6210\u673a\u5236\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8be5\u89c4\u5219\u57fa\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8ba2\u5355\u3002\u63a2\u7d22\u4e86\u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u8ddf\u968f\u4e24\u79cd\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u7ed3\u679c\u3002 Andrew W. Lo. The adaptive markets hypothesis: market efficiency from an evolutionary perspective. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2004, 31(1): 21-44.
https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=602222
Lo, Andrew W. The adaptive markets hypothesis. The Journal of Portfolio Management 30.5 (2004): 15-29.
https:\/\/jpm.pm-research.com\/content\/30\/5\/15.abstract
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u5e02\u573a\u5047\u8bf4\u7531\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81\uff08Andrew Lo\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u534f\u8c03\u57fa\u4e8e\u6709\u6548\u5e02\u573a\u5047\u8bf4\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u884c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u8be5\u7406\u8bba\u5c06\u8fdb\u5316\u539f\u5219\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u548c\u81ea\u7136\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u91d1\u878d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0e\u884c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u7edf\u4e00\u3002\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u884c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6d3e\u7684\u5b66\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u7406\u6027\u51b3\u7b56\u7684\u53cd\u4f8b\uff1a\u635f\u5931\u538c\u6076\uff0c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u81ea\u4fe1\uff0c\u53cd\u5e94\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u884c\u4e3a\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0e\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2a\u4f53\u90fd\u4e0d\u65ad\u9002\u5e94\u53d8\u5316\u73af\u5883\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u76f8\u534f\u8c03\u3002 \uff0811\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1a\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u3001\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u53ca\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u98ce\u9669 \uff08\u4e0a\uff09 Luca Riccetti, A. Russo, M. Gallegati. Leveraged Network-Based Financial Accelerator. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 37(8), 1626-1640 (2103).
https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/S0165188913000419?via%3Dihub
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u4e8e\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u52a0\u901f\u5668\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u9075\u5faa\u52a8\u6001\u5747\u8861\u7406\u8bba\u6784\u5efa\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u878d\u8d44\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u5f97\u5230\u5982\u4e0b\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u5982\u679c\u6760\u6746\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u98ce\u9669\u589e\u52a0\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u987a\u5468\u671f\u6760\u6746\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\uff1b\u4e09\u662f\u987a\u5468\u671f\u6760\u6746\u4f1a\u524a\u5f31\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u6548\u5e94\uff1b\u56db\u662f\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u60f3\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5148\u68c0\u67e5\u94f6\u884c\u7cfb\u7edf\u662f\u5426\u8d44\u672c\u5145\u8db3\uff1b\u4e94\u662f\u94f6\u884c\u50a8\u5907\u91d1\u7387\u589e\u52a0\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6269\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u50a8\u5907\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u94f6\u884c\u7cfb\u7edf\u62b5\u5fa1\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002 B. Bernanke, M. Gertler. Agency costs, net worth and business fluctuations, American Economic Review, 79 (1989), 14-31(1989).
https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/1804770?seq=1
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u672c\u00b7\u4f2f\u5357\u514b\u548c\u9a6c\u514b\u00b7\u683c\u7279\u52d2\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u4ee3\u7406\u6210\u672c\u3001\u51c0\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e0e\u5546\u4e1a\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u6269\u5c55\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u65b0\u53e4\u5178\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u673a\u5236\u4e3a\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\u7684\u51c0\u8d44\u4ea7\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6295\u878d\u8d44\u4ee3\u7406\u6210\u672c\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4e1a\u52a1\u597d\u8f6c\uff0c\u51c0\u8d44\u4ea7\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4ee3\u7406\u6210\u672c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u653e\u5927\u4e1a\u52a1\u597d\u8f6c\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u52a0\u901f\u5668\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u51c0\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\uff08\u5982\u503a\u52a1\u7d27\u7f29\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002 B. Bernanke, M. Gertler. Financial fragility and economic performance. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 105 (1990), 87-114
https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/qje\/article-abstract\/105\/1\/87\/1928534
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u672c\u00b7\u4f2f\u5357\u514b\u548c\u9a6c\u514b\u00b7\u683c\u7279\u52d2\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d8\u73b0\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u542b\u4e49\u90fd\u77e5\u4e4b\u751a\u5c11\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u7528\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578b\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6216\u8005\u8106\u5f31\u6027\uff0c\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4f4e\u51c0\u503c\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd9\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8d56\u5916\u90e8\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4ee3\u7406\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u3002\u4ee3\u7406\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u5bfc\u81f4\u4f4e\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u4f4e\u6548\u7387\u3002\u5bf9\u6297\u91d1\u878d\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u4ee5\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\u7ef4\u6301\u6216\u589e\u52a0\u6f5c\u5728\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\u51c0\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u3002 \uff0812\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1a\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u3001\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u53ca\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u98ce\u9669\uff08\u4e0b\uff09
Nicholas Beale, David G. Rand, Heather Battey, Karen Croxson, Robert M. Maye, and Martin A. Nowak. Individual versus systemic risk and the Regulator\u2019s Dilemma[J]. PNAS. 2011, 108(31):12647-12652.
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\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u4e2a\u4f53\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u7cfb\u7edf\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u76d1\u7ba1\u8005\u7684\u4e24\u96be\u56f0\u5883\u30022007-2009\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6027\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u66b4\u9732\u4e86\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u5f31\u70b9\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u91d1\u878d\u6539\u9769\u63d0\u6848\u90fd\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u76d1\u7ba1\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u5173\u6ce8\u6574\u4f53\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u5065\u5168\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5355\u4e2a\u673a\u6784\u7684\u5065\u5168\u6027\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u76d1\u7ba1\u8005\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u7279\u6b8a\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u4e2a\u4f53\u94f6\u884c\u5e0c\u671b\u6301\u6709\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u5206\u914d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8003\u8651\u907f\u514d\u591a\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u7834\u4ea7\u800c\u5728\u6700\u80fd\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u914d\uff0c\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6563\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u81ea\u8eab\u7834\u4ea7\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u94f6\u884c\u90fd\u4ee5\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5206\u6563\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u591a\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u5012\u95ed\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5c31\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u968f\u7740\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u540c\u65f6\u5012\u95ed\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6df7\u4e71\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5c06\u4e0d\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5730\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u591a\u91cd\u6545\u969c\u7684\u9884\u671f\u7cfb\u7edf\u6210\u672c\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u98ce\u9669\u655e\u53e3\u548c\u591a\u6837\u6027\u4e24\u4e2a\u5168\u5c40\u53d8\u91cf\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u76d1\u7ba1\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6fc0\u52b1\u94f6\u884c\u589e\u52a0\u591a\u6837\u6027\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7cfb\u7edf\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002 Minsky, H. P. (1992). The financial instability hypothesis. The Jerome Levy Economics Institute Working Paper, (74). https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2139\/ssrn.161024
https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=161024
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u4ece\u5b9e\u8bc1\u548c\u7406\u8bba\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u63a2\u7d22\u91d1\u878d\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u5047\u8bbe Jianxi Gao, B. Barzel, Albert-L\u00e1szl\u00f3 Barab\u00e1si. Universal resilience patterns in complex networks. Nature volume 536, page238(2016)
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\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u8bc6\u522b\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u7ef4\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u63a7\u5236\u548c\u72b6\u6001\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u63a8\u5bfc\u51fa\u6709\u6548\u7684\u4e00\u7ef4\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\uff0c\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u591a\u7ef4\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u5206\u6790\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5206\u6790\u6846\u67b6\u53ef\u4ee5\u7cfb\u7edf\u5730\u5206\u79bb\u51fa\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u548c\u62d3\u6251\u5b66\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u5c06\u4e0d\u540c\u7f51\u7edc\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5206\u89e3\u4e3a\u5355\u4e00\u7684\u901a\u7528\u97e7\u6027\u51fd\u6570\u3002\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u679c\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u80fd\u591f\u589e\u5f3a\u6216\u51cf\u5f31\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u9632\u6b62\u751f\u6001\u3001\u751f\u7269\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u5bfc\u8bbe\u8ba1\u80fd\u591f\u5e94\u5bf9\u5185\u90e8\u6545\u969c\u548c\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6280\u672f\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002 F. Morone, G. Del Ferraro, Hern\u00e1n A. Makse. The k-core as a predictor of structural collapse in mutualistic ecosystems. Nature Physics volume 15, 95\u2013102(2019).
https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41567-018-0304-8
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https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/ncomms14416
https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/ncomms14416
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