{"id":29064,"date":"2021-09-27T21:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-09-27T13:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=29064"},"modified":"2021-09-27T21:55:00","modified_gmt":"2021-09-27T13:55:00","slug":"%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e6%98%af%e6%8a%80%e6%9c%af%e5%a5%87%e7%82%b9-%e9%9b%86%e6%99%ba%e7%99%be%e7%a7%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=29064","title":{"rendered":"\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u6280\u672f\u5947\u70b9 | \u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u6280\u672f\u5947\u70b9 Technological singularity\u2014\u2014\u7b80\u79f0\u5947\u70b9 Singularity<\/span>\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u70b9\u3002\u5728\u8be5\u65f6\u95f4\u70b9\u4e0a\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u7684\u589e\u957f\u53d8\u5f97\u4e0d\u53ef\u63a7\u5236\u548c\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u8f6c\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4eba\u7c7b\u6587\u660e\u53d1\u751f\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u89c1\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/span>\u6839\u636e\u5947\u70b9\u5047\u8bf4\uff08\u4e5f\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8 intelligence explosion\uff09\u6700\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u7248\u672c\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u4f53\u7ec8\u5c06\u8fdb\u5165\u4e00\u79cd\u81ea\u6211\u5b8c\u5584\u5faa\u73af\u7684\u5931\u63a7\u53cd\u5e94 runaway reaction\u201d\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u3001\u66f4\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u4e16\u4ee3\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u201c\u7206\u70b8\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u4ea7\u751f\u4e00\u79cd\u5728\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u8fdc\u8d85\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u3002<\/span>
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I. J.\u53e4\u5fb7\u7684\u201c\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8\u201d\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u5c06\u89e6\u53d1\u4e00\u4e2a\u5947\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u201c\u5947\u70b9\u201d\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u548c\u672f\u8bed\u662f\u7531Vernor Vinge\u5728\u4ed61993\u5e74\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u300a\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u6280\u672f\u5947\u70b9 The Coming Technological Singularity\u300b\u4e2d\u5f97\u5230\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u6587\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u4eba\u7c7b\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u7ec8\u7ed3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u65b0\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u81ea\u6211\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u4e0d\u53ef\u601d\u8bae\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5728\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u8fdb\u6b65\u3002\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5947\u70b9\u53d1\u751f\u57282005\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u62162030\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4f1a\u611f\u5230\u60ca\u8bb6\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u65af\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u970d\u91d1 Stephen Hawking\u548c\u57c3\u9686\u00b7\u9a6c\u65af\u514b Elon Musk\u7b49\u516c\u4f17\u4eba\u7269\u5bf9\u5b8c\u5168\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u4eba\u7c7b\u706d\u7edd\u8868\u793a\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/span>\u5947\u70b9\u7684\u540e\u679c\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5229\u76ca\u6216\u4f24\u5bb3\u4e00\u76f4\u5b58\u5728\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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2012\u5e74\u52302013\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0cNick Bostrom\u548c Vincent c. M\u00fcller\u5bf9\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u56db\u6b21\u8c03\u67e5\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08artificial general intelligence\uff0cAGI\uff09\u57282040\u5e74\u81f32050\u5e74\u88ab\u6210\u529f\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f30\u8ba1\u7684\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u4e3a50%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8\u662f\u6784\u5efa\u901a\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd artificial general intelligence(AGI)<\/span>\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/span>\u5728\u6280\u672f\u5947\u70b9\u5b9e\u73b0\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0cAGI\u5c06\u80fd\u591f\u8fdb\u884c\u9012\u5f52\u5f0f\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u8fed\u4ee3\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4<\/span>\u4eba\u5de5\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd artificial superintelligence(ASI)<\/span>\u7684\u8fc5\u901f\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u3002<\/span><\/h2>\n


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1965\u5e74\uff0cI. J. Good\u66fe\u63a8\u6d4b\u901a\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8\u3002\u4ed6\u5bf9\u8d85\u4eba\u7c7b\u673a\u5668 superhuman machines\u53ca\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\u771f\u7684\u88ab\u53d1\u660e\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u8bdd\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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    \u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u628a\u8d85\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u673a\u5668\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u8fdc\u8d85\u65e0\u8bba\u591a\u4e48\u806a\u660e\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u6240\u6709\u667a\u529b\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u673a\u5668\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u667a\u529b\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e00\u53f0\u8d85\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bbe\u8ba1\u51fa\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u673a\u5668\uff1b\u90a3\u4e48\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u201c\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8\u201d\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u5c06\u8fdc\u8fdc\u843d\u540e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u53f0\u8d85\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u9879\u53d1\u660e\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u673a\u5668\u8db3\u591f\u6e29\u987a\u5e76\u80fd\u591f\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u63a7\u5236\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u8bdd\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    <\/section>\n
    \u53e4\u5fb7\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a\u968f\u7740\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5236\u9020\u51fa\u4e00\u53f0\u6bd4\u4eba\u7c7b\u66f4\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u673a\u5668\uff1b\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d85\u4eba\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u62e5\u6709\u6bd4\u73b0\u5728\u4eba\u7c7b\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u89e3\u51b3\u548c\u53d1\u660e\u521b\u9020\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u53f0\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u968f\u540e\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e00\u53f0\u529f\u80fd\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u673a\u5668\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u91cd\u5199\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8f6f\u4ef6\u6765\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u667a\u80fd\uff1b\u8fd9\u53f0\uff08\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\uff09\u673a\u5668\u63a5\u7740\u7ee7\u7eed\u8bbe\u8ba1\u529f\u80fd\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u673a\u5668\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u7c7b\u63a8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9012\u5f52\u5f0f\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u5b8c\u5584\u7684\u8fed\u4ee3\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u5728\u7269\u7406\u5b9a\u5f8b\u6216\u7406\u8bba\u8ba1\u7b97\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0a\u9650\u4e4b\u5185\u53d1\u751f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8d28\u53d8\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


    <\/span><\/h2>\n
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    <\/p>\n

    \n
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    <\/section>\n

    <\/section>\n
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    <\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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    \u5176\u4ed6\u8868\u73b0\u5f62\u5f0f<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

    \n

    <\/section>\n
    <\/strong>
    <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


    <\/p>\n

    \u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u51fa\u73b0<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    \u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u8d85\u667a\u80fd\u6216\u8d85\u4eba\u667a\u80fd\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5047\u60f3\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u4f53\u3002\u5b83\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8d85\u8fc7\u6700\u806a\u660e\u3001\u6700\u6709\u5929\u8d4b\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u5927\u8111\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u3002\u201c\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u201d\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6307\u8fd9\u79cd\u667a\u80fd\u4f53\u6240\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u6216\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc John von Neumann\uff0cVernor Vinge\u548c Ray Kurzweil\u4ece\u6280\u672f\u521b\u9020\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6982\u5ff5\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u5f88\u96be\u6216\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u9884\u6d4b\u4eba\u7c7b\u5728\u540e\u5947\u70b9\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u4f1a\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u5b50<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u6280\u672f\u9884\u8a00\u5bb6\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5bf9\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u662f\u5426\u6216\u4f55\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8d85\u8d8a\u5b58\u5728\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u7c7b\u8ba4\u77e5\u5c40\u9650\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u63a8\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u5c06\u8fdb\u5316\u6216\u76f4\u63a5\u6539\u53d8\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u751f\u7269\u6027\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u5b9e\u73b0\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u672a\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u573a\u666f\u7ed3\u5408\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5143\u7d20\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4eba\u7c7b\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e0e\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u4ea4\u4e92\uff0c\u6216\u4ee5\u5c06\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u4e0a\u4f20\u5230\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b9e\u73b0\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u76ca\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u975e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5947\u70b9<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
    \u4e00\u4e9b\u4f5c\u5bb6\u66f4\u5bbd\u6cdb\u5730\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u5947\u70b9\u201d\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u6307\u4ee3\u4efb\u4f55\u6211\u4eec\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\u7531\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5267\u70c8\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5982\u5206\u5b50\u7eb3\u7c73\u6280\u672f\uff0c<\/span>\u5c3d\u7ba1Vernor Vinge\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4f5c\u5bb6\u660e\u786e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6539\u53d8\u5c31\u4e0d\u80fd\u7b97\u4f5c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5947\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n

    \u901f\u5ea6\u8d85\u667a\u80fd<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n
    \u901f\u5ea6\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd speed superintelligence\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u7c7b\u80fd\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u533a\u522b\u662f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u673a\u5668\u8fd0\u884c\u5f97\u66f4\u5feb\u3002<\/span>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e0e\u4eba\u7c7b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5b83\u4fe1\u606f\u5904\u7406\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u4e00\u767e\u4e07\u500d\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u89c2\u5e74\u5c06\u572830\u4e2a\u7269\u7406\u79d2\u5185\u8fc7\u53bb\u3002<\/span>[20]<\/span>\u8fd9\u79cd\u5728\u4fe1\u606f\u5904\u7406\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5947\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n


    <\/span><\/h2>\n
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    <\/p>\n

    \n
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    <\/section>\n

    <\/section>\n
    \n
    <\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
    \n

    \u5408\u7406\u6027<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

    \n

    <\/section>\n
    <\/strong>
    <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

    <\/section>\n
    \u8bb8\u591a\u8457\u540d\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4e13\u5bb6\u548c\u5b66\u8005\u90fd\u5bf9\u6280\u672f\u5947\u70b9\u7684\u5408\u7406\u6027\u63d0\u51fa\u8d28\u7591\uff0c\u5305\u62ecPaul Allen\u3001Jeff Hawkins\u3001John Holland\u3001Jaron Lanier\u548cGordon Moore\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u6469\u5c14\u5b9a\u5f8b\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u5f15\u7528\u6765\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u5927\u591a\u6570\u521b\u9020\u8d85\u4eba\u6216\u8d85\u8d8a\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5206\u4e3a\u4e24\u7c7b\uff1a\u4eba\u8111\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u548c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3002\u636e\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u751f\u7269\u5de5\u7a0b\u3001\u57fa\u56e0\u5de5\u7a0b\u3001\u76ca\u667a\u836f\u7269\u3001AI \u52a9\u624b\u3001\u76f4\u63a5\u8111\u673a\u63a5\u53e3\u548c\u601d\u7ef4\u4e0a\u4f20\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u4eba\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u63a2\u7d22\u901a\u5411\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8\u7684\u591a\u79cd\u9014\u5f84\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u5947\u70b9\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u5927\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u5947\u70b9\u4e0d\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u90fd\u5fc5\u5c06\u5931\u8d25\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    Robin Hanson\u5bf9\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u8868\u793a\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u63d0\u9ad8\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u529b\u7684\u201c\u553e\u624b\u53ef\u5f97\u7684\u201d\u7b80\u5355\u65b9\u6cd5\u7528\u5c3d\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u96be\u3002<\/span>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u5404\u79cd\u63d0\u9ad8\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u975e\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08\u7279\u522b\u662f\u79cd\u5b50\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff09\u4ecd\u662f\u6240\u6709\u80fd\u63a8\u8fdb\u5947\u70b9\u7684\u5047\u8bf4\u4e2d\u6700\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8\u662f\u5426\u53d1\u751f\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4e09\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/span>\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u52a0\u901f\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u6539\u8fdb\u90fd\u4f7f\u65b0\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u6210\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u62b5\u6d88\u667a\u529b\u589e\u957f\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u5e73\u5747\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u6539\u8fdb\u90fd\u5e94\u8be5\u81f3\u5c11\u5e26\u6765\u4e00\u6b21\u6539\u8fdb\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u7ee7\u7eed\u671d\u7740\u5947\u70b9\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u7269\u7406\u5b9a\u5f8b\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u963b\u6b62\u4efb\u4f55\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u667a\u80fd\u6539\u8fdb\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u903b\u8f91\u4e0a\u72ec\u7acb\u4f46\u53c8\u76f8\u4e92\u52a0\u5f3a\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u63d0\u9ad8\u548c\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\u3002<\/span>[27]<\/span>\u524d\u8005\u7531\u6469\u5c14\u5b9a\u5f8b\u548c\u786c\u4ef6\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c<\/span>\u4e0e\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u6bd4\u8f83\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u4f46\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8f6f\u4ef6\u6bd4\u786c\u4ef6\u66f4\u91cd\u8981<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u57282017\u5e74\uff0c\u4e00\u9879\u5bf92015\u5e74 NeurIPS \u548c ICML \u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u7535\u5b50\u90ae\u4ef6\u8c03\u67e5\u8be2\u95ee\u4e86\u667a\u80fd\u7206\u70b8\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u5728\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u4e2d\uff0c12% \u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u201d\uff0c17% \u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u201d\uff0c21%\u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e2d\u7b49\u201d\uff0c24%\u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u201d\uff0c26%\u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u201d\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u901f\u5ea6\u6539\u8fdb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
    \u65e0\u8bba\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u80fd\u8fd8\u662f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u786c\u4ef6\u6539\u8fdb\u90fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u672a\u6765\u786c\u4ef6\u6539\u8fdb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u8bf4\uff0c<\/span>\u6469\u5c14\u5b9a\u5f8b\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u901f\u5ea6\u7ffb\u500d\u9700\u898118\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u5219\u9700\u898118\u4e2a\u6708\uff1b\u6216\u8005\u989d\u5916\u76849\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c4\u4e2a\u6708\u30012\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u7c7b\u63a8\uff0c\u8d70\u5411\u901f\u5ea6\u5947\u70b9<\/span>\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\u6700\u7ec8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fbe\u5230\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd8\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u8fd9\u4f1a\u6709\u591a\u9ad8\u3002\u6770\u592b\u00b7\u970d\u91d1\u65af Jeff Hawkins\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u81ea\u6211\u5b8c\u5584\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\u4f1a\u9047\u5230\u8ba1\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\uff1a\u201c\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u90fd\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u5728\u505c\u7559\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u65b9\uff1b\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u4f1a\u66f4\u5feb\u5230\u8fbe\u90a3\u91cc\u3002\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u5947\u70b9\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n
    \u5f88\u96be\u76f4\u63a5\u5c06\u57fa\u4e8e\u7845\u7684\u786c\u4ef6\u4e0e\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\u76f8\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u4f46\u662fBerglas\uff082008<\/span>\u51fa\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u8bed\u97f3\u8bc6\u522b\u6b63\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u79cd\u80fd\u529b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u53ea\u9700\u89810.01%\u7684\u8111\u5bb9\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7c7b\u6bd4\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u786c\u4ef6\u4e0e\u4eba\u8111\u4e00\u6837\u5f3a\u5927\uff0c\u53ea\u5dee\u51e0\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n

    \u6307\u6570\u589e\u957f<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n
    <\/section>\n
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    <\/section>\n
    \u96f7\u00b7\u5e93\u5179\u97e6\u5c14\uff08Ray Kurzweil\uff09\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8303\u5f0f\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u6469\u5c14\u5b9a\u5f8b\u4ece\u96c6\u6210\u7535\u8def\u6269\u5c55\u5230\u66f4\u65e9\u7684\u6676\u4f53\u7ba1\u3001\u771f\u7a7a\u7ba1\u3001\u7ee7\u7535\u5668\u548c\u673a\u7535\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u3002\u4ed6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u7ea7\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u90fd\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\uff08\u672a\u589e\u5f3a\u7684\uff09\u4eba\u8111\uff0c\u4e0e\u8d85\u4eba\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u65f6\u95f4\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
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    <\/span><\/section>\n
    Ray Kurzweil\u5047\u8bbe\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u52a0\u901f\u56de\u62a5\u5b9a\u5f8b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6280\u672f\u53d8\u9769\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\uff08\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5730\u8bf4\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u8fdb\u5316\u8fc7\u7a0b<\/span>\uff09\u6025\u5267\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4ece1986\u5e74\u52302007\u5e74\uff0c\u6469\u5c14\u5b9a\u5f8b\u4ee5\u4e0e\u83ab\u62c9\u7ef4\u514b\u63d0\u6848\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5448\u6307\u6570\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u5305\u62ec\u6750\u6599\u6280\u672f\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u7eb3\u7c73\u6280\u672f\uff09\u3001\u533b\u7597\u6280\u672f\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6280\u672f\uff0c<\/span>\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u8ba1\u7b97\u4eba\u5747\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u5e94\u7528\u80fd\u529b\u5927\u7ea6\u6bcf14\u4e2a\u6708\u7ffb\u4e00\u756a\uff1b\u4e16\u754c\u901a\u7528\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u5bb9\u91cf\u6bcf18\u4e2a\u6708\u7ffb\u4e00\u756a\uff1b\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u5747\u7535\u4fe1\u5bb9\u91cf\u6bcf34\u4e2a\u6708\u7ffb\u4e00\u756a\uff1b\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u5747\u5b58\u50a8\u5bb9\u91cf\u6bcf40\u4e2a\u6708\u7ffb\u4e00\u756a\u3002<\/span> \u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4ee521\u4e16\u7eaa\u5947\u70b9\u4e3a\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u5168\u7403\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u6a21\u5f0f\u5e94\u8be5\u88ab\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u53cc\u66f2\u7ebf\u589e\u957f\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6307\u6570\u578b\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n
    \u5e93\u5179\u97e6\u5c14\u5c06\u201c\u5947\u70b9\u201d\u4e00\u8bcd\u7528\u4e8e\u63cf\u8ff0\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u6280\u672f\uff09\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u5947\u70b9\u5c06\u5141\u8bb8\u6211\u4eec\u8d85\u8d8a\u751f\u7269\u4f53\u548c\u5927\u8111\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u2026\u2026\u540e\u5947\u70b9\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e0e\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u95f4\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u6709\u533a\u522b\u3002\u201d<\/span>\u5e93\u5179\u97e6\u5c14\u76f8\u4fe1\u5947\u70b9\u5c06\u5728\u5927\u7ea62045\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6\u57fa\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u5c06\u660e\u663e\u8d85\u8d8a\u4eba\u7c7b\u8111\u529b\u7684\u603b\u548c\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65e5\u671f\u4e4b\u524d\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u6280\u672f\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\u201c\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u5947\u70b9\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u4eec\u201c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u667a\u6167\u7684\u6df1\u523b\u6269\u5c55\u201d\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/span><\/section>\n

    \u52a0\u901f\u53d8\u9769<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n
    <\/section>\n
    \u6839\u636e\u5e93\u5179\u97e6\u5c14\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ed6\u768415\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u5386\u53f2\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8303\u5f0f\u8f6c\u53d8\u5217\u8868\u7684\u5bf9\u6570\u56fe\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u6307\u6570\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

    <\/section>\n
    \u4e00\u4e9b\u5947\u70b9\u8bba\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u8fc7\u53bb\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u7f29\u51cf\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u6709\u5173\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5947\u70b9\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\u3002\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u8f83\u65e9\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u5947\u70b9\u201d\u4e00\u8bcd\u65f6\uff0cStanislaw Ulam\u8bb2\u8ff0\u4e86\u4e0e\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u5173\u4e8e\u52a0\u901f\u53d8\u9769\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u8c08\u8bdd\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n