{"id":3633,"date":"2017-12-02T01:00:00","date_gmt":"2017-12-01T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/swarma.org\/%swarma-paper%\/"},"modified":"2018-12-08T11:40:30","modified_gmt":"2018-12-08T03:40:30","slug":"%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e6%8e%b7%e9%aa%b0%e5%ad%90-%e4%b8%89%e7%a7%8d%e6%a6%82%e7%8e%87%e7%90%86%e8%ae%ba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=3633","title":{"rendered":"\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5982\u4f55\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50\u2014\u2014\u4e09\u79cd\u6982\u7387\u7406\u8bba"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"bpp-post-content\">\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" >\n<p style=\"white-space:normal;text-align:left;\"><img  style=\"box-shadow: none;width: 100%;height: auto;visibility: visible !important;\"  class=\"\"   src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma10-1534231780.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"white-space:normal;text-align:left;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"quote\">\n<section  style=\"background-color:#f7f7f7;\">\n<section style=\"float: left;opacity: 0.5;transform: translate(-15px, -15px);width: 30px;height: 30px;background-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" ><\/section>\n<p style=\"padding:30px;font-size:14px;color:#4f4f4f;\" mpa-is-content=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u624b\u7a3f\u300a\u81ea\u590d\u5236\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u7406\u8bba\u300b\uff0c\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5148\u9a71 Arthur Burks \u6574\u7406\u6210\u4e66\u3002\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8d44\u6df1\u7c89\u4e1d\u201c\u4e1c\u65b9\u548c\u5c1a\u201d\u5c06\u5168\u4e66\u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u7ffb\u8bd1\u6210\u4e2d\u6587\uff0c\u5f20\u6c5f\u505a\u4e86\u8be6\u7ec6\u70b9\u8bc4\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5176\u6574\u7406\u6210\u201c\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u5668\u7406\u8bba\u201d\u7cfb\u5217\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4ee5\u98e8\u8bfb\u8005\u3002\u672c\u6587\u662f\u7b2c\u56db\u7bc7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:30px;font-size:14px;color:#4f4f4f;\" mpa-is-content=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><strong>\u7231\u56e0\u65af\u5766\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e0a\u5e1d\u4e0d\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50\u201d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u79d1\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u57fa\u7840\u7269\u7406\u5230\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u3002\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u654f\u9510\u5730\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u7edd\u5bf9\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u65f6\u523b\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u4e0e\u5927\u81ea\u7136\u4e2d\u7684\u5076\u7136\u6027\u8fdb\u884c\u6597\u4e89\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6765\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u5236\u9020\u51fa\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u66f4\u52a0\u53ef\u9760\u3002<\/strong>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7406\u89e3\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u7406\u8bba\uff1a\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u5219\u4ece\u8bde\u751f\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u7cbe\u795e\u5206\u88c2\u201d\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6982\u7387\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5185\u5fc3\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u4fe1\u5ff5\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u6211\u4eec\u719f\u6089\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u9891\u7387\u3002\u4e0d\u76f8\u4fe1\uff1f\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u8bf7\u505a\u505a\u8457\u540d\u4e3b\u6301\u4ebaMonty Hall\u7ed9\u4f60\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u9898\uff1a<\/span><img   class=\"\"   style=\"box-shadow: none;width: 100%;visibility: visible !important;\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma9-1534231780.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">Monty Hall\u7cbe\u5fc3\u5e03\u7f6e\u4e86\u4e09\u6247\u95e8\uff0c\u4e24\u6247\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u90fd\u662f\u7f8a\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u6247\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u4e2a\u8c6a\u534e\u8dd1\u8f66\u3002\u4e0b\u9762\uff0c\u8bf7\u4f60\u9009\u62e9\u54ea\u4e2a\u662f\u8dd1\u8f66\uff0c\u9009\u5bf9\u4e86\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u5b83\u5f00\u8d70\u3002\u5f53\u4f60\u8bf4\u51fa\u4f60\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7acb\u5373\u63ed\u9732\u8c1c\u5e95\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6253\u5f00\u4e86\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u6247\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u7f8a\u7684\u95e8\uff0c\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u95ee\u51fa\u4e86\u90a3\u4e2a\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u8bdd\uff1a\u201c\u4f60\u8be5\u575a\u6301\u4f60\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u5417\uff1f\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:30px;font-size:14px;color:#4f4f4f;\" mpa-is-content=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5751\u7239\u7684\u7535\u89c6\u5a31\u4e50\u8282\u76ee\u66fe\u7ecf\u8ba9\u65e0\u6570\u6570\u7406\u82f1\u96c4\u201c\u7ade\u6298\u8170\u201d\u54e6\uff5e<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\"    style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<section class=\"Powered-by-XIUMI V5\"  style=\"line-height: 25.6px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"padding: 0.3em 0.5em;display: inline-block;border-radius: 0.5em;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-shadow: rgb(165, 165, 165) 0.2em 0.2em 0.1em;background-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\n<section>\n<p><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\u5168\u4e66\u7eb2\u8981\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;text-indent: 2em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486516&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=5980d8015d5ea6454ab73321902abbcb&amp;chksm=e89456b9dfe3dfaf9b2f1c1a395defa26e22bba965c6b689ebe8e4c981b39a0e666687032070&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u9057\u4ea7\uff1a\u5bfb\u627e\u4eba\u5de5\u751f\u547d\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u6839\u6e90<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;text-indent: 2em;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486559&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=9ee4bf73ad1624f85591c86aaa2d71e9&amp;chksm=e89456d2dfe3dfc4b2a79f391a7c131aed4f93edc9ebae48101c58d455a1d0d06269c6564a6c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;\">\u63a2\u5bfb\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u201c\u539f\u529b\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;text-indent: 2em;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486573&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=fec3f3008bb56db965289eaba13a30e6&amp;chksm=e89456e0dfe3dff625b5426605e5006790923a4d6902d5e339ebcbc113b3f64b8a9d026b15dc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0e\u56fe\u7075\u673a\u7684\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u535a\u5f08<\/a><br  \/><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e09\u5802\u8bfe\uff1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5982\u4f55\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50<\/span><\/p>\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u56db\u5802\u8bfe\uff1a\u5927\u6570\u4e4b\u9053<br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e94\u5802\u8bfe\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u8003\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u5173\u4e8e\u5c42\u6b21\u4e0e\u8fdb\u5316\u7684\u95ee\u9898<\/span><\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\"    style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<section class=\"\"   >\n<section class=\"\"   style=\"font-size: 16px;border-width: 0px;border-style: none;border-color: initial;\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 5px;padding: 10px;border-style: none none none solid;border-color: rgb(195, 206, 189);line-height: 25px;color: rgb(153, 153, 153);box-shadow: rgb(153, 153, 153) 1px 1px 2px 0px;border-left-width: 10px;background-color: rgb(243, 243, 243);\">\n<p class=\"\"  mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 14px;font-weight: bold;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size: 14px;\">\u5728\u7ffb\u8bd1\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u505a\u4e86\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u6dfb\u52a0\u548c\u4fee\u6539\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\"  mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 14px;font-weight: bold;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">1\u3001\u4e3a\u4e86\u65b9\u4fbf\u9605\u8bfb\uff0c\u4e3a\u539f\u6587\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5206\u6bb5\uff0c\u5e76\u52a0\u4e0a\u4e86\u6bb5\u6807\u9898\uff1b<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\"  mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 14px;font-weight: bold;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">2\u3001\u4e3a\u4e86\u8ba9\u8bfb\u8005\u611f\u89c9\u66f4\u4eb2\u5207\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u4e86\u82e5\u5e72\u526f\u63d2\u56fe\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\"  mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 14px;font-weight: bold;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">3\u3001\u4e3a\u539f\u6587\u6dfb\u52a0\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\uff0c\u4e1c\u65b9\u548c\u5c1a\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u548c\u5f20\u6c5f\u8001\u5e08\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u90fd\u4f1a\u6807\u6ce8\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u662f\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u52a9\u624b Arthur W. Burks(\u9057\u4f20\u7b97\u6cd5\u4e4b\u7236 John Holland \u7684\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u5bfc\u5e08)\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5728\u6846\u4e2d\u7684\u6587\u5b57\u662f\u7f16\u8005\u52a0\u7684\u6ce8\u89e3\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u5206\u8fa8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"title\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px;display: -webkit-box;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" >\n<section  style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6;\" >\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;padding: 0px 10px;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" ><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-is-content=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u7684\u9c81\u68d2\u6027<span style=\"font-size: 16px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u5230\u6b64\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u4e25\u683c\u95ee\u9898\u8ba8\u8bba\u5df2\u7ecf\u544a\u4e00\u6bb5\u843d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ece\u7edf\u8ba1\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u8ba8\u8bba\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u3002\u81f3\u5c11\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u660e\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u6982\u7387\u95ee\u9898\u5bf9\u4e8e\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u548c\u5176\u529f\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u662f\u5341\u5206\u91cd\u8981\u7684\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u53ef\u80fd\u663e\u5f97\u6709\u4e9b\u4efb\u610f\u4e14\u79bb\u9898\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6211\u5e76\u4e0d\u8fd9\u6837\u8ba4\u4e3a\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u5219\u66f4\u52a0\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4e0b\u9762\u6211\u5206\u522b\u52a0\u4ee5\u8bf4\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><br  \/><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff1a\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u8bbe\u60f3\u4e00\u53f0\u7edd\u5bf9\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u5047\u5982\u4f60\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e86\u4e00\u53f0\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e25\u683c\u5730\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u5b83\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u4e00\u5b9a\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u91cd\u8981\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u624b\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e00\u53f0\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fd0\u884c\u5728\u5b8c\u5168\u786e\u5b9a\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u7ec3\u4e60\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u53ea\u8981\u7a0d\u5177\u5b9e\u9645\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u4f1a\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b65\u8fd8\u4ec5\u662f\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u6700\u521d\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u8003\u8651\u7edf\u8ba1\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u89c2\u5bdf\u4e00\u53f0\u4eba\u9020\u7684\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u81ea\u7136\u754c\u4e2d\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u4f60\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u90a3\u4e9b\u88ab\u4e25\u683c\u7a0b\u5e8f\u6240\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ec6\u8282\u7ed3\u6784\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u662f\u4ee5\u4e00\u79cd\u5141\u8bb8\u9519\u8bef\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u9519\u8bef\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\u5019\u91c7\u53d6\u8865\u6551\u63aa\u65bd\uff08\u591a\u5c11\u6709\u6548\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u8bf4\u5b83\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u9884\u9632\u5931\u8bef\u8fd8\u6709\u4e9b\u5938\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u79cd\u673a\u5236\u5176\u5b9e\u6839\u672c\u5c31\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6d88\u9664\u6240\u6709\u9519\u8bef\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u53d1\u751f\u4e2a\u522b\u7684\u5931\u8bef\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u5173\u7d27\u8981\u7684\u5bb9\u9519\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u673a\u5236\u4e0b\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u8fd8\u662f\u5931\u8bef\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u540e\u679c\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u88ab\u5f7b\u5e95\u6d88\u9664\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u52aa\u529b\u53bb\u505a\u5230\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e00\u53f0\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u8ba9\u5b83\u5728\u9047\u5230\u901a\u5e38\u9519\u8bef\u540e\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u7167\u5e38\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u51cf\u5c0f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53bb\u6d88\u9664\u9519\u8bef\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5e38\u89c1\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u7684\u6784\u9020\u548c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5c5e\u4e8e\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5bb9\u9519\u578b\u7684\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u5141\u8bb8\u9519\u8bef\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u5bf9\u8c61\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u518d\u4ee5\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u8868\u8ff0\u516c\u7406\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u516c\u7406\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u5199\u6210\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c A \u548c B \u53d1\u751f\uff0cC \u5c31\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u201d\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\uff1b\u800c\u662f\u201c\u5982\u679c A \u548cB \u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e0b C \u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u6982\u7387 D \u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u7b49\u7b49\u201d\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002<strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u6bcf\u79cd\u7ed9\u5b9a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u90fd\u4f1a\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5404\u81ea\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u4ece\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u5199\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5404\u79cd\u72b6\u6001\u4e4b\u95f4\u53d1\u751f\u8f6c\u6362\u7684\u5bf9\u5e94\u6982\u7387\u4e3a\u4f55\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u95ee\u9898\u5199\u6210\u8fd9\u6837\u201c\u5982\u679c A \u548c B \u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u63a5\u4e0b\u53bb\u53d1\u751f C \u7684\u6982\u7387\u6709\u591a\u5927\uff1f\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u77e9\u9635\u5c31\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u4ee5\u6982\u7387\u8868<span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px;\">\u793a\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u4eba\u5de5\u8fd8\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7275\u6d89\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u90fd\u5e94\u8be5\u653e\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u6211\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u4f1a\u8c08\u5230\u4e3a\u4f55\u9047\u5230\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u653e\u5f03\u4e25\u683c\u903b\u8f91\u800c\u6539\u7528\u6982\u7136\u903b\u8f91\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\"   >\n<section  class=\"\"  style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;widows: 1;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\"  style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 10px 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 10px;display: inline-block;width: 670px;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(192, 200, 209);background-color: rgb(239, 239, 239);\">\n<section class=\"\"  style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 12px;\"><\/p>\n<p mpa-is-content=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><strong>\u7f16\u8005Arthur W. Burks\u6ce8\uff1a<br  \/><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\">\u5047\u5982\u5355\u4e2a\u5143\u4ef6\u51fa\u6545\u969c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u56fa\u5b9a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u8d8a\u662f\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e5f\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u53ef\u53c2\u89c1\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff1a\u300a\u6982\u7136\u903b\u8f91\uff1a\u7528\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u7ec4\u4ef6\u6784\u5efa\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08Probabilistic Logics and the Synthesis of Reliable Organs from Unreliable Components\uff09\u300b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"title\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px;display: -webkit-box;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" >\n<section  style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6;\" >\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;padding: 0px 10px;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" ><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-is-content=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">\u6982\u7387\u4f5c\u4e3a\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u6269\u5c55<span style=\"font-size: 16px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u4e0a\u8ff0\u539f\u56e0\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u628a\u6982\u7387\u903b\u8f91\u770b\u4f5c\u4e00\u822c\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u7684\u4e25\u683c\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u6269\u5c55\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u628a\u6982\u7387\u672c\u8eab\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u65e2\u975e\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4e3a\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u6240\u5e7f\u6cdb\u63a5\u53d7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u8fdc\u79bb\u4e86\u5bf9\u6982\u7387\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u5374\u6b63\u662f\u6982\u7387\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u89e3\u91ca\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u76f8\u5bf9\u7684\u662f\u6982\u7387\u7684\u9891\u7387\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u5373\u8ba4\u4e3a\u903b\u8f91\u672c\u8eab\u662f\u7edd\u5bf9\u4e25\u683c\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e2a\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u80fd\u7528\u51fa\u73b0\u9891\u7387\u5927\u5c0f\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u89e3\u91ca\u7684\u533a\u522b\uff0c<strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u62c9\u666e\u62c9\u65af\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u662f\u5341\u5206\u6e05\u695a\u7684\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u6307\u51fa\u5b58\u5728\u4e24\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u770b\u5f85\u6982\u7387\uff1a\u9891\u7387\u548c\u903b\u8f91\u65b9\u5f0f\u3010\u300aA philosophical Essay on Probabilities\u300b\u3011\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u5728\u8fd1\u4ee3\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u51ef\u6069\u65af\u4e5f\u66fe\u64b0\u8ff0\u6982\u7387\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u3010\u300aA Treatise on Probability\u300b\u3011\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u533a\u522b\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u6b64\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4ed6\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u51ef\u6069\u65af\u76f8\u5f53\u8be6\u7ec6\u5730\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u6982\u7387\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u9664\u4e86\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u9891\u7387\u89e3\u91ca\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ece\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u89e3\u91ca\u6982\u7387\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u8bd5\u56fe\u628a\u4e25\u683c\u903b\u8f91\u548c\u6982\u7387\u533a\u5206\u5f00\u6765\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u89c2\u5bdf\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6 A \u548c B \u7684\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e8f\u5217\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u91cf\u201cB \u7d27\u8ddf\u7740 A\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u201d\u6765\u523b\u753b\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u540c\u4e25\u683c\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u8054\u7cfb\u4e4b\u5904\u5c31\u662f\u5982\u679c\u6b64\u6982\u7387\u7b49\u4e8e 1\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4 A \u5bfc\u81f4 B \u7684\u8574\u6db5\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6982\u7387\u662f 0\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48 A \u7684\u53d1\u751f\u5c31\u6392\u9664\u4e86 B \u7684\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5f53\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u63a5\u8fd1 0 \u6216\u8005 1 \u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u4f60\u8fd8\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4e00\u79cd\u6a21\u7cca\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fdb\u884c\u63a8\u7406[59]\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">&nbsp;\u4e0d\u53ef\u5426\u8ba4\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u5206\u6790\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u6709\u5176\u56fa\u6709\u5f0a\u75c5\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u96f6\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\u660e\u660e\u5728\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u5426\u8ba4\u5176\u5b58\u5728\u662f\u5f88\u8352\u8c2c\u7684[60]\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u5728\u4f55\u79cd\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c0f\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8868\u793a\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u51ef\u6069\u65af\u8fd8\u662f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u81ea\u6d3d\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f53\u7cfb[61]\u3002\u73b0\u4ee3\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u7814\u7a76\uff0c \u5982\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u63a5\u53d7\u8fd9\u79cd\u81ea\u6d3d\u5f0f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6982\u7387\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u8fdc\u8fdc\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9a\u8bba\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u957f\u671f\u5f97\u4e0d\u5230\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u5728\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u6539\u53d8\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u800c\u628a\u6982\u7387\u770b\u6210\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u5185\u5728\u7ec4\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\"   >\n<section  class=\"\"  style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;widows: 1;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\"  style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 10px 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 10px;display: inline-block;width: 670px;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(192, 200, 209);background-color: rgb(239, 239, 239);\">\n<section class=\"\"  style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section class=\"\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 12px;\"><\/p>\n<p mpa-is-content=\"t\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><strong>\u7f16\u8005Arthur W. Burks\u6ce8\uff1a<\/strong><br  \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 15px;\">\u5728\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u91cf\u5b50\u903b\u8f91\uff08\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u4e0e\u6982\u7136\u7684\u903b\u8f91\uff09\u300b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u505a\u51fa\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u201c\u6982\u7136\u903b\u8f91\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fd8\u539f\u6210\u4e25\u683c\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u5e94\u8be5\u88ab\u770b\u6210\u6bd4\u540e\u8005\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\u66f4\u5e7f\u4e49\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5f62\u5f0f P(a,b)=\u0424(o&lt;\u0424&lt;1)\u672c\u8eab\u5e94\u8be5\u88ab\u770b\u6210\u81ea\u7acb\u81ea\u8db3\u7684\u7269\u7406\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u6982\u7387\u903b\u8f91\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u4e25\u683c\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5ef6\u4f38\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u89c2\u5ff5\uff0c\u5373\u6240\u8c13\u201c\u903b\u8f91\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u201d\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u51ef\u6069\u65af\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u201d\u53ef\u53c2\u9605\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u548c Birkhoff \u5408\u8457\u300aThe Logic of Quantum Mechanics\u300b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u540c\u6469\u6839\u65af\u5766\u5408\u8457\u7684\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b3.3.3 \u8282<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"title\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 20px;display: -webkit-box;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\" >\n<section  style=\"min-width: 60px;text-align: center;padding: 0 30px 0 30px;border-bottom-width: 100px;border-bottom: 2px solid #e8e6e6;\" >\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;padding: 0px 10px;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" ><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-is-content=\"t\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">Jake&nbsp;\u70b9\u8bc4<span style=\"font-size: 16px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ae0\u867d\u7136\u6bd4\u8f83\u77ed\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5b83\u6db5\u76d6\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u91cf\u5374\u975e\u5e38\u5927\uff0c\u5b9e\u5219\u6a2a\u8de8\u4e86\u81f3\u5c11\u4e09\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5b66\u79d1\u3002<span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9605\u8bfb\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ae0\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4f60\u4f1a\u89c9\u5f97\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u6545\u5f04\u7384\u865a\u3001\u8a00\u4e4b\u65e0\u7269\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ae0\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u975e\u540c\u5c0f\u53ef\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u51e0\u4e4e\u6307\u660e\u4e86\u590d\u6742\u6027\u79d1\u5b66\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/strong><\/span>\u5c31\u62ff\u6211\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u63a2\u7d22\u7ecf\u5386\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u5728 2004 \u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u5c31\u8bfb\u8fc7\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ae0\uff0c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u611f\u89c9\u5c31\u662f\u5934\u6655\u773c\u82b1\uff0c\u4e0d\u77e5\u6240\u4e91\u3002\u4e8e\u662f\uff0c\u628a\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u6482\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u8fb9\u3002\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5927\u6982 4 \u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5076\u7136\u95f4\u8bfb\u5230\u4e86 E.T.Jaynes \u5bf9\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u7684\u65b0\u89c1\u89e3\uff0c\u4f7f\u6211\u5bf9\u70ed\u529b\u5b66\u3001\u71b5\u7b49\u6982\u5ff5\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u3002\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5f53\u6211\u518d\u6b21\u7ffb\u770b\u4e86\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ae0\u8282\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u773c\u775b\u4e00\u4eae\uff0c\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u65e9\u5c31\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u4e3b\u89c2\u6982\u7387\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u3001\u70ed\u529b\u5b66\u7b49\u7b49\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u53c8\u8fc7\u53bb 2 \u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u5f53\u6211\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8981\u7406\u89e3\u6982\u7387\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u5fc5\u987b\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u53c8\u4e00\u6b21\u770b\u5230\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ae0\u91cc\u65e9\u5c31\u8868\u8fbe\u8fc7\u6b64\u7c7b\u89c2\u70b9\u4e86\u3002\u6211\u5df2\u5206\u4e0d\u6e05 2004 \u5e74\u7684\u9605\u8bfb\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u7ecf\u6f5c\u79fb\u9ed8\u5316\u5730\u88ab\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\uff1b\u8fd8\u662f\u6211\u7684\u63a2\u7d22\u8f68\u8ff9\u6070\u5de7\u4e0e\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u601d\u8def\u4e00\u81f4\uff1f\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u6211\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ae0\u4ece\u67d0\u79cd\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u8bf4\u7684\u786e\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u5171\u632f\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u6211\u5bf9\u8fd9\u77ed\u5c0f\u7cbe\u6e5b\u7684\u4e00\u7ae0\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u559c\u6b22\u4e86\u3002\u4e0b\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u5c06\u5206\u522b\u4ece\u6982\u7387\u3001\u70ed\u529b\u5b66\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u8bba\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u5c42\u9762\u7efc\u8ff0\u4e00\u4e0b\u76f8\u5bf9\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6587\u732e\u548c\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"secondTitle\">\n<section style=\"padding:1px 5px;font-size:14px;white-space:normal;\">\n<h2 style=\"border-left: 5px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);font-weight: bold;line-height: 32px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;margin: 5px;\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">\u6982\u7387<\/h2>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u867d\u7136\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u6700\u65e9\u53d1\u6e90\u4e8e 17 \u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u5c06\u8fd1 400 \u5e74\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6982\u7387\u672c\u8d28\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u5374\u4ecd\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u505c\u606f\u3002\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u4ece\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u5c31\u5206\u6210\u5ba2\u89c2\u6982\u7387\u7684\u9891\u7387\u5b66\u6d3e\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3b\u89c2\u6982\u7387\u7684\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5b66\u6d3e\u3002\u4e3b\u6d41\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\u5c06\u6982\u7387\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\u67d0\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u9891\u7387\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u4e8b\u7269\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u5ba2\u89c2\u5c5e\u6027\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u575a\u6301\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u4e3b\u89c2\u610f\u8bc6\u4e2d\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u8bf4\u660e\u5929\u5c06\u4f1a\u4e0b\u96e8\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f 50%\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u6211\u4eec\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5bf9\u660e\u5929\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u4e0b\u96e8\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\uff0c\u800c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u8bf4\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u505a 100 \u6b21\u91cd\u590d\u8bd5\u9a8c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6709 50 \u6b21\u660e\u5929\u4e0b\u96e8\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u5f97\u51fa\u660e\u5929\u4e0b\u96e8\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f 50%\u7684\u5462\uff1f\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u6839\u636e\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u60c5\u51b5\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u662f\u5426\u9634\u5929\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u7eaa\u5f55\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u5929\u662f\u5426\u5904\u4e8e\u96e8\u5b63\uff09\u7b49\u7b49\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u660e\u5929\u4e0b\u96e8\u8fd9\u4e00\u547d\u9898\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u63a8\u65ad\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u660e\u5929\u4e0b\u96e8\u7684\u6982\u7387 50%\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5ba2\u89c2\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u6ee1\u8db3\u6982\u7387\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u6cd5\u5219\u7684\u63a8\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\n<section style=\"white-space:normal;text-align:left;\"><img  style=\"box-shadow: none;width: 100%;height: auto;visibility: visible !important;\"  class=\"\"   src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma3-1534231780.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: center;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">&nbsp;Monty Hall \u95ee\u9898<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4f60\u4ecd\u7136\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u79cd\u8ba4\u8bc6\u53ea\u662f\u770b\u5f85\u6982\u7387\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u54f2\u5b66\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u7684\u533a\u522b\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u8bf7\u770b\u4e00\u4e2a\u8457\u540d\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff1aMonty Hall \u95ee\u9898\u3002Monty Hall \u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e00\u6b3e\u8457\u540d\u5a31\u4e50\u8282\u76ee\u7684\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u3002\u4ed6\u66fe\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5047\u5982\u821e\u53f0\u4e0a\u6709\u4e09\u6247\u5173\u95ed\u7684\u95e8\uff0c\u5df2\u77e5\u8fd9\u4e09\u6247\u95e8\u540e\u9762\u5206\u522b\u662f\u7f8a\u3001\u7f8a\u3001\u6c7d\u8f66\uff0c\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba Monty Hall \u77e5\u9053\u6bcf\u6247\u95e8\u540e\u9762\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u7684\u4f60\u5e76\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u4f60\u6765\u9009\u62e9\u4e00\u6247\u95e8\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8be5\u95e8\u540e\u9762\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u5c31\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u5927\u5956\uff0c\u628a\u6c7d\u8f66\u5f00\u56de\u5bb6\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u662f\u7f8a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u5f97\u4e0d\u5230\u3002\u95ee\u9898\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u505a\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u4f60\u9009\u4e86 3 \u53f7\u95e8\uff0cMonty Hall \u5e76\u4e0d\u628a 3 \u53f7\u95e8\u6253\u5f00\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6253\u5f00\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u6247\u540e\u9762\u662f\u7f8a\u7684\u95e8\u7ed9\u4f60\u770b\uff08\u56e0\u4e3a\u6709 2 \u53ea\u7f8a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u603b\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u662f\u4f60\u7684\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u53c8\u662f\u7f8a\u7684\u95e8\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982 1 \u53f7\u95e8\uff09\u3002\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba Monty \u95ee\u4f60\uff0c\u4f60\u8fd8\u8981\u4e0d\u8981\u575a\u6301\u4f60\u7684\u9009\u62e9 3 \u53f7\u95e8\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u7684\u6982\u7387\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6309\u7167\u5e38\u7406\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c3 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f 1\/3\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba Monty \u6253\u5f00 1 \u53f7\u95e8\u7ed9\u4f60\u770b\u90a3\u662f\u4e00\u53ea\u5c71\u7f8a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8 3 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff08\u56e0\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u662f\u5ba2\u89c2\u5b58\u5728\u7684\uff0c\u56fa\u5b9a\u6b7b\u7684\u6570\u5b57\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u4e0e\u76f4\u89c9\u76f8\u6096\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u6070\u6070\u662f\u6539\u9009 2 \u53f7\u95e8\uff0c\u4f60\u8d62\u5f97\u6c7d\u8f66\u5927\u5956\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\"     style=\"\" class=\"\"   width=\"200\" height=\"200\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma8-1534231780.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u82f1\u56fd\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af ( Thomas Bayes 1702-1761 )<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u4f60\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u5e76\u975e\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6240\u56fa\u6709\u7684\u5ba2\u89c2\u5c5e\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u89c2\u6d4b\u8005\u5224\u65ad\u67d0\u4e8b\u60c5\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e3b\u89c2\u4fe1\u5ff5\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u624d\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u7ed9\u4f60\u770b\u4e86 1 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u5c71\u7f8a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u800c\u53d1\u751f\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u539f\u7406\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u6211\u4eec\u8bb0 A \u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e3a 3 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\uff0cB \u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f 2 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\uff0cC \u8868\u793a 1 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0cX \u8868\u793a\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba Monty \u6253\u5f00\u4e86 1 \u53f7\u95e8\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053<strong>P(A)=P(B)=P(C)=1\/3\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u96be\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e X \u7684\u6982\u7387\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0cX \u53d1\u751f\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u6709 3 \u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff1a\uff081\uff09\u5982\u679c A \u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u5373 3 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\uff0c\u5219\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u6253\u5f00 1 \u53f7\u95e8\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6253\u5f00 2 \u53f7\u95e8\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837 X \u5728 A \u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f P(X|A)=1\/2\uff1b\uff082\uff09\u5982\u679c B \u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\uff0cX \u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u662f P(X|B)=1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f60\u9009\u62e9\u4e86 3 \u53f7\u95e8\uff0c\u800c 2 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\uff0c\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u662f\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u53ea\u80fd\u9009\u62e9\u6253\u5f00 1 \u53f7\u95e8\u800c\u4e0d\u662f 2 \u53f7\u95e8\u3002\uff083\uff09\u5982\u679c C \u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\uff0cX \u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u662f 0\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u6253\u5f00 2 \u53f7\u95e8\uff0c<span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px;\">\u800c\u4e0d\u662f 1 \u53f7\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u786e\u8ba4\u5230 X \u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u4e4b\u540e\uff0cA \u4e8b\u4ef6\u4ecd\u7136\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u6309\u7167\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u6cd5\u5219\u8ba1\u7b97\uff1a<\/span><img   class=\"\"   style=\"letter-spacing: 0px;\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma9-1534231780.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b83\u4ecd\u7136\u662f 1\/3\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6539\u53d8\u9009\u62e9 2 \u53f7\u95e8\u4f1a\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u8d62\u5f97\u6c7d\u8f66\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6b64\u65f6B \u4e8b\u4ef6\uff082 \u53f7\u95e8\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u6c7d\u8f66\uff09\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5374\u53d8\u6210\uff1a<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\n<section style=\"white-space:normal;text-align:left;\"><img  style=\"box-shadow: none;width: 100%;height: auto;visibility: visible !important;\"  class=\"\"   src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma8-1534231780.png\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u51b3\u7b56\u662f\u6539\u9009 2 \u53f7\u95e8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u662f\u4f60\u575a\u6301\u9009\u62e9 3 \u53f7\u95e8\u6982\u7387\u7684 2 \u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong>\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6e05\u6670\u5730\u770b\u5230\u540e\u9a8c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6539\u53d8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6982\u7387\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u3002<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0px;\">\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u5728\u672c\u7ae0\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u201c\u6982\u7387\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u5ef6\u4f38\u201d\u5c31\u662f\u6307\u6982\u7387\u7684\u4e3b\u89c2\uff08\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\uff09\u5b66\u6d3e\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5b66\u6d3e\u4e2d\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u7684\u4e00\u4f4d\u96c6\u5927\u6210\u8005\u662f\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6 E.T. Jaynes\uff08\u4ed6\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e3b\u9875\uff1ahttp:\/\/bayes.wustl.edu\/\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ece\u4e3b\u89c2\u6982\u7387\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u51fa\u53d1\uff0c\u5c06\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u4fe1\u606f\u8bba\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5206\u652f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u5c06\u6982\u7387\u89c6\u4f5c\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u5ef6\u4f38\u3002\u6709\u5173 E.T. Jaynes \u7684\u5b66\u672f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c2\u770b\u4ed6\u7684\u8457\u4f5c\uff1a\u300a\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u6c89\u601d\u5f55\u300b\uff08Probability theory \u2013 the Logic of Science\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7269\u7406\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u63a2\u7d22\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u9010\u6e10\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8bba\uff1a\u91cf\u5b50\u6982\u7387\u3002\u4e0e\u7ecf\u5178\u6982\u7387\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u5c31\u5728\u4e8e\u91cf\u5b50\u6982\u7387\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u79f0\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u5e45\u7684\u91cf\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d6\u590d\u6570\u503c\uff0c\u800c\u5f53\u4f60\u89c2\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u590d\u6570\u5c31\u4f1a\u201c\u584c\u7f29\u201d\u6210\u7ecf\u5178\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/strong>(\u5173\u4e8e\u91cf\u5b50\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u8bfb\u8005\u53ef\u53c2\u8003\u6211\u5199\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u79d1\u666e\u6587\u7ae0\uff1a\u300a\u5f53\u6982\u7387\u6210\u4e3a\u590d\u6570\u2014\u2014\u91cf\u5b50\u6982\u7387\u7b80\u4ecb\u300b<strong>\u70b9\u51fb\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u5373\u53ef\u4e0b\u8f7d<\/strong>)\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u8d77\u521d\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u5fae\u89c2\u7c92\u5b50\u4e16\u754c\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u88ab\u91cf\u5b50\u6982\u7387\u8fd9\u5957\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u9b54\u6cd5\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u53bb\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u4ece\u6570\u5b66\u548c\u903b\u8f91\u5b66\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u51fa\u53d1\uff0c\u5c06\u8fd9\u5957\u6570\u5b66\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5927\u80c6\u7684\u62bd\u8c61\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5960\u5b9a\u4e86\u91cf\u5b50\u903b\u8f91\u8fd9\u95e8\u5b66\u79d1\uff08\u8bfb\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c2\u8003\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u8457\u4f5c\uff1a\u300aMathematical Foundations of Quantum Mechanics\u300bPrinceton University Press; Translation &#8211; from German edition (October 28, 1996)\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u91cf\u5b50\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u91cf\u5b50\u8ba1\u7b97\u3001\u91cf\u5b50\u901a\u8baf\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u7684\u957f\u8db3\u53d1\u5c55\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u91cf\u5b50\u6cd5\u5219\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u7a81\u7834\u7ecf\u5178\u8ba1\u7b97\u548c\u7ecf\u5178\u901a\u4fe1\u7684\uff08\u53ef\u53c2\u8003\uff1a Michael A. Nielsen, Isaac L. Chuang: Quantum Computation and Quantum Information,Cambridge University Press, 2000\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u4eba\u4eec\u53c8\u91cd\u65b0\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u65e9\u5728 20 \u5e74\u4ee3\u5c31\u5960\u5b9a\u7684\u91cf\u5b50\u903b\u8f91\u6570\u5b66\u57fa\u7840\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"title\" style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<section  style=\"margin-top: 20px;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\">\n<section   style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\">\n<section  style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<span style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u4ee5\u4e0b\u8bd1\u8005\u6309\u5747\u6307\u4e1c\u65b9\u548c\u5c1a\u7684\u6ce8\u89e3<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">[59]\u8bd1\u8005\u6309\uff1a\u5f53\u65f6\u6a21\u7cca\u903b\u8f91\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u88ab\u53d1\u660e\uff0c\u8981\u7b49\u5230 1965 \u5e74\u4fc4\u88d4\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6 Zadeh \u63d0\u51fa\u6a21\u7cca\u96c6\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6a21\u7cca\u6570\u5b66\u548c\u6a21\u7cca\u63a7\u5236\u624d\u9010\u6e10\u5927\u884c\u4e8e\u4e16\u3002\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u660e\u663e\u6697\u793a\u4e86\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u53ea\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u540c\u4e3b\u9898\u4e0d\u662f\u592a\u6709\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u6df1\u5165\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">[60]\u8bd1\u8005\u6ce8\uff1a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fde\u7eed\u6027\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5355\u4e2a\u5177\u4f53\u70b9\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5bc6\u5ea6\u503c\u4e3a\u4e00\u6709\u754c\u5e38\u6570\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u503c\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u4efb\u610f\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u4e3a\u70b9\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u957f\u5ea6\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8be5\u70b9\u7684\u6982\u7387\u6d4b\u5ea6\u4e3a 0\uff0c\u5373\u8be5\u70b9\u6240\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a 0\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5728\u4e8b\u4ef6\u57df\u5185\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u6982\u7387\u4e3a 0 \u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\">[61]\u8bd1\u8005\u6309\uff1a\u51ef\u6069\u65af\u662f\u4e3b\u89c2\u6982\u7387\u5b66\u6d3e\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u4eba\u7269\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u5ba2\u89c2\u5b9a\u4e49\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ece\u67d0\u79cd\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u6982\u7387\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5c31\u662f\u6982\u7387\u672c\u8eab\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u5177\u6709\u67d0\u79cd\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u770b\u6cd5\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e8b\u60c5\u5982\u6b64\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u6545\u6982\u7387\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u81ea\u6d3d\u7684\u4f53\u7cfb\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5f15\u81ea\u51ef\u6069\u65af\u300a\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u300b\u524d\u8a00\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 5px 0px;text-align: left;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);letter-spacing: 0px;font-size: 15px;line-height: 1.75;\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\"     class=\"\"   width=\"548\" height=\"548\" style=\"width: 188.889px;\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma1-1534231781.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><strong>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aJohn von Neumann&nbsp;<\/strong>20\u4e16\u7eaa\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5728\u73b0\u4ee3\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u3001\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u3001\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u548c\u751f\u5316\u6b66\u5668\u7b49\u8bf8\u591a\u9886\u57df\u5185\u6709\u6770\u51fa\u5efa\u6811\u7684\u6700\u4f1f\u5927\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u5168\u624d\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u88ab\u540e\u4eba\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u4e4b\u7236\u201d\u548c\u201c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e4b\u7236\u201d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;text-align: center;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;\"><img loading=\"lazy\"     class=\"\"   width=\"597\" height=\"597\" style=\"width: 200px;\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma9-1534231781.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><strong>\u7f16\u8005\uff1aArthur W. Burks &nbsp;<\/strong>\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u52a9\u624b\uff0c\u9057\u4f20\u7b97\u6cd5\u4e4b\u7236 John Holland \u7684\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u5bfc\u5e08<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"white-space: normal;\"><br  \/><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\"     class=\"\"   width=\"900\" height=\"900\" style=\"width: 200px;\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma7-1534231781.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><strong>\u8bd1\u8005\uff1a\u4e1c\u65b9\u548c\u5c1a&nbsp;<\/strong>\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u795e\u79d8\u7c89\u4e1d \u66fe\u4e0e\u5f20\u6c5f\u5728\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7684\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u4e92\u76f8\u8fc7\uff08hu\uff09\u62db\uff08dui\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img    class=\"\"        style=\"width: 500.391px;\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma5-1534231781.jpg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p mpa-paragraph-type=\"body\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;letter-spacing: 0px;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.75;\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;\"><strong>\u6ce8\u8005\uff1aJake\u5f20\u6c5f&nbsp;<\/strong>\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\uff0c\u96c6\u667aAI\u5b66\u56ed\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\uff0c\u5317\u5e08\u5927\u6559\u6388<\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section class=\"mpa-template\"    style=\"white-space: normal;\">\n<section  style=\"margin-top: 20px;display: flex;-webkit-box-pack: center;justify-content: center;-webkit-box-align: center;align-items: center;\">\n<section   style=\"padding-right: 30px;padding-left: 30px;min-width: 60px;text-align: center;border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(232, 230, 230);\">\n<section  style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-bottom: 2px solid rgb(123, 12, 0);transform: translate(0px, 2px);border-top-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-left-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);border-right-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><span mpa-is-content=\"t\" style=\"font-size: 16px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\u63a8\u8350<span style=\"border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><\/span>\u9605\u8bfb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486573&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=fec3f3008bb56db965289eaba13a30e6&amp;chksm=e89456e0dfe3dff625b5426605e5006790923a4d6902d5e339ebcbc113b3f64b8a9d026b15dc&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0e\u56fe\u7075\u673a\u7684\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u535a\u5f08<\/strong><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486559&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=9ee4bf73ad1624f85591c86aaa2d71e9&amp;chksm=e89456d2dfe3dfc4b2a79f391a7c131aed4f93edc9ebae48101c58d455a1d0d06269c6564a6c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\uff1a\u63a2\u5bfb\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u201c\u539f\u529b\u201d<\/a><\/strong><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486516&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=5980d8015d5ea6454ab73321902abbcb&amp;chksm=e89456b9dfe3dfaf9b2f1c1a395defa26e22bba965c6b689ebe8e4c981b39a0e666687032070&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u9057\u4ea7\uff1a\u5bfb\u627e\u4eba\u5de5\u751f\u547d\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u6839\u6e90<\/a><\/strong><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486382&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=245c2cd23db8b33a6b8e4e0de731b081&amp;chksm=e8945123dfe3d8351587ee9f3bf3337adeddf68931e1b60f21d8d1efc170ec35f002e9f279f4&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">Google AutoML\u9879\u76ee\uff1a\u81ea\u521b\u751f\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5<\/a><\/strong><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><strong><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486217&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=51c1eee6866e3201d951f83226ca1e02&amp;chksm=e8945184dfe3d892826683ff5e96ff1befd4f4b6c208b62a37f7d305dd29343c61eadd853a5c&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u5f15\u529b\u3001\u91cf\u5b50\u4e0e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u5bf9\u8bdd | \u5c24\u4ea6\u5e84<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486183&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=89ec87a2b3317ba8bb2e32c2c14edc13&amp;chksm=e894506adfe3d97c8ff8b85c7a98c4f32d9235f2e62a7d2d5a31cb69993b24943ad21a0390de&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>\u4e3a\u4eba\u7c7b\u7f16\u7a0b<\/strong><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486209&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=56103336c57f9eb10ad2f772a51d5502&amp;chksm=e894518cdfe3d89a1187c992b6c56404dbb1e15f7eb3555dd1a252f427cd988a1938f4184c8f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u91cf\u5b50\u8ba1\u7b97\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60<\/a><\/strong><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247485943&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=0d3669e104f21ac7116a32f597519f5b&amp;chksm=e894537adfe3da6c03ef63babab5f21ea10a67edf1f402c0782d8ba085352c43189448a9106b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\uff0d\u672a\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u5174\u5b66\u79d1\uff1f<\/strong><\/a><br  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486108&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f3eab6e1dfa67ced65b1501a312f0e6b&amp;chksm=e8945011dfe3d907d690ebfd0cb446e32671e9c22f8c44b57c6f1c7f36fce07c1e6e90a11c37&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>\u8bed\u8a00\u4e2d\u9690\u85cf\u7684\u51e0\u4f55 | \u5f20\u6c5f<\/strong><\/a><strong style=\"text-decoration: underline;font-size: 13px;\"><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><span style=\"color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247484332&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=59e00ee5ac19bc4bb8c1acb16508a350&amp;chksm=e8945921dfe3d03743b5483f257b0ee5c3b8573761774e6764b53ff2b6c1f2ab93746b34a42b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u7edf\u4e00\u4e4b\u8def\uff1a\u91cf\u5b50\u7ea0\u7f20\u3001\u65f6\u7a7a\u51e0\u4f55\u4e0e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 10px 0.5em;white-space: normal;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247486065&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=cdd5ffb1f5b43c81dfa92ba0d9d315e2&amp;chksm=e89450fcdfe3d9ea697342dcd6c87e840a33bd7bad06a16bfa93008e196945659f232ded7a24&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u3001\u7406\u8bba\u7269\u7406\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7684\u78b0\u649e&nbsp;<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><br  \/><\/p>\n<section  class=\"mpa-template\" mpa-paragraph-type=\"ignored\">\n<hr style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;widows: 1;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\"  \/>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;widows: 1;text-align: center;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\"><img class=\"__bg_gif\"     style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.5px;height: auto !important;visibility: visible !important;width: 64px !important;\" width=\"100%\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma7-1534231781.gif\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><br  \/><\/p>\n<section   style=\"margin: 0px 0.5em;padding: 0px;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);font-size: 16px;line-height: 25.6px;white-space: normal;widows: 1;letter-spacing: 0.5px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\">\n<section   style=\"margin: 0px 0.5em;padding: 0px;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center;outline: none;\">\n<section   style=\"margin: 0px 0.5em;padding: 0px;line-height: 25.6px;outline: none;\">\n<section   style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: none;\">\n<section  style=\"margin: 0px 0.5em;padding: 0px;font-size: 15px;outline: none;\">\n<section  style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;line-height: 25.6px;border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\">\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;padding-right: 3px;padding-left: 3px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);border-color: rgb(123, 12, 0);line-height: 1.5em;\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">\u96c6\u667aQQ\u7fa4\uff5c292641157<br style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\"  \/>\u5546\u52a1\u5408\u4f5c\uff5czhangqian@swarma.org<br style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\"  \/>\u6295\u7a3f\u8f6c\u8f7d\uff5cwangting@swarma.org<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<section   style=\"margin: 0px 0.5em;padding: 0px;outline: none;\">\n<h1 style=\"margin: 10px 0px;padding: 0px;font-weight: 400;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 14px;white-space: pre-wrap;color: rgb(0, 112, 192);line-height: 25.6px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;line-height: 28px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(61, 170, 214);font-size: 20px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(255, 76, 0);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(0, 128, 255);\">\u25c6&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(61, 170, 214);\">\u25c6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h1>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(123, 12, 0);\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 14px;\">\u641c\u7d22\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 14px;\"><br style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\"  \/><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0.5em;margin-left: 0.5em;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-size: 19px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 23.2727px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 14px;\">\u52a0\u5165\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u56f4\u5899\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 0.5em;padding: 0px;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(71, 193, 168);line-height: 20px;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 5px auto;padding: 10px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;width: 180px;border-width: 2px;border-style: dashed;border-color: rgb(132, 132, 132);line-height: normal;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\"><img class=\"\"      style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;height: auto !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;width: auto !important;\" width=\"auto\" src=\"http:\/\/swarma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/swarma8-1534231781.jpeg\" alt=\"\u96c6\u667a\" title=\"\u96c6\u667a\"  \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"clear: both;min-height: 1em;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;font-size: 14px;\">\u8ba9\u82f9\u679c\u7838\u5f97\u66f4\u731b\u70c8\u4e9b\u5427\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<blockquote class='keep-source'>\n<p>\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff1a                         \u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8                      <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f9d\u66fc\u7684\u624b\u7a3f\u300a\u81ea\u590d\u5236\u81ea\u52a8\u673a\u7406\u8bba\u300b\uff0c\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5148\u9a71 Arthur Burks 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