{"id":36535,"date":"2022-08-16T22:23:19","date_gmt":"2022-08-16T14:23:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=36535"},"modified":"2022-08-16T22:23:19","modified_gmt":"2022-08-16T14:23:19","slug":"%e5%8f%a3%e7%bd%a9%e4%b8%8e%e7%96%ab%e6%83%85%e7%9a%84%e5%8d%9a%e5%bc%88%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%ba%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e4%bc%a0%e6%9f%93%e7%8e%87%e4%bd%8e%e5%8f%8d%e8%80%8c%e6%84%9f%e6%9f%93%e6%9b%b4%e5%a4%9a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=36535","title":{"rendered":"\u53e3\u7f69\u4e0e\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u535a\u5f08\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f20\u67d3\u7387\u4f4e\u53cd\u800c\u611f\u67d3\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u8fd1\u65e5\u53d1\u8868\u5728 PNAS \u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u591a\u5c42\u7f51\u7edc\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u884c\u4e3a\u548c\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u7684\u535a\u5f08\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u53d1\u75c5\u6570\u91cf\u4e0e\u4f20\u67d3\u7387\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5f53\u4f20\u67d3\u7387\u589e\u52a0\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u7684\u9608\u503c\u65f6\uff0c\u53d7\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u4f1a\u7a81\u7136\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4f20\u67d3\u7387\u4f4e\u53cd\u800c\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u6570\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u53cd\u76f4\u89c9\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5404\u5730\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u4f20\u64ad\u52a8\u6001\u76f8\u543b\u5408\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u7ee7\u7eed\u6267\u884c\u4f69\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5e76\u6709\u6548\u9632\u6b62\u5176\u6b7b\u7070\u590d\u71c3\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u4e34\u754c\uff0c\u591a\u5c42\u7f51\u7edc\u52a8\u529b\u5b66<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u5218\u5fd7\u822a<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong> <\/span>| \u4f5c\u8005<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9093\u4e00\u96ea<\/span> <\/span>| <\/strong><\/span>\u7f16\u8f91<\/strong><\/p>\n


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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span>Understanding the coevolution of mask wearing and epidemics: A network perspective<\/span><\/p>\n

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https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2123355119<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u56fe1. \u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u884c\u4e3a\u548c\u75ab\u60c5\u535a\u5f08\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u56fe\u3002\u7bad\u5934\u8868\u793a\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6b63\u53f7\u548c\u8d1f\u53f7\u5206\u522b\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\u548c\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\u53cd\u800c<\/span><\/strong><\/strong>\u66f4\u9ad8<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u56fe2.  \u6a21\u578b\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u884c\u4e3a\u793e\u4f1a\u4f20\u67d3\u4f4d\u4e8e\u9876\u5c42\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5e95\u5c42\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u5c42\u5171\u4eab\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u4f5c\u8005\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u884c\u4e3a\u548c\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u67d3\u7684\u8026\u5408\u52a8\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b<\/strong><\/span>\uff08\u5373\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u653b\u51fb\u7387\uff0cattack rate\uff09<\/span>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u67d3\u7387 p \u7684\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5b58\u5728\u4e24\u4e2a\u663e\u8457\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9<\/strong><\/span>\uff08\u56fe2A\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u73b0\u8c61\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8fd8\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e34\u754c\u73b0\u8c61\u5728\u6539\u53d8\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u8bbe\u7f6e\u3001\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u548c\u6269\u5c55\u4e2d\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe2. \uff08A\uff09\u5c06\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u884c\u4e3a\u4f20\u67d3\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e SIR \u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u884c\u4e3a\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u84dd\u7ebf\uff09\u548c SIR \u6a21\u578b\uff08\u6a59\u7ebf\uff09\u3002\uff08B\uff09\u884c\u4e3a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u3002\u884c\u4e3a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u7528\u7ea2\u8272\u663e\u793a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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2. \u4e34\u754c\u4e4b\u524d\u75ab\u60c5\u4e0e\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u7684\u8026\u5408\u6ce2\u52a8<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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3. \u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u6570\u5cf0\u503c\u548c\u75ab\u60c5\u6301\u4e45\u6027\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6743\u8861<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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 <\/span><\/section>\n

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\u9ad8\u9636\u7f51\u7edc\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u63a2\u7d22\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u9ad8\u9636\u4ea4\u4e92\u7684\u5965\u79d8 | \u9ad8\u9636\u7f51\u7edc\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n


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\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n