{"id":37635,"date":"2022-10-03T14:44:31","date_gmt":"2022-10-03T06:44:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=37635"},"modified":"2022-10-03T14:44:31","modified_gmt":"2022-10-03T06:44:31","slug":"nature-physics%ef%bc%9a%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e4%b8%ad%e7%9a%84%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e9%9f%a7%e6%80%a7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=37635","title":{"rendered":"Nature Physics\uff1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\uff0c\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u529b\u5b66<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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William Hynes, Benjamin D. Trump, Alan Kirman, Andrew Haldane & Igor Linkov<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong> <\/span>| \u4f5c\u8005<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5218\u5fd7\u822a<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong> <\/span>| \u8bd1\u8005<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u9093\u4e00\u96ea<\/span> <\/span>| <\/strong><\/span>\u7f16\u8f91<\/strong><\/p>\n


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Systemic resilience in economics<\/span><\/p>\n

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https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41567-022-01581-4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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2021\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u88ab\u6388\u4e88\u4e24\u4f4d\u6c14\u5019\u5b66\u5bb6\u514b\u52b3\u65af\u00b7\u54c8\u585e\u5c14\u66fc<\/span>\uff08Klaus Hasselmann\uff09<\/span>\u548c\u771f\u9505\u6dd1\u90ce<\/span>\uff08Syukuro Manabe\uff09<\/span>\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e00\u4f4d\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e54\u6cbb\u00b7\u5e15\u91cc\u897f<\/span>\uff08Giorgio Parisi\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u5411\u6240\u6709\u5173\u5fc3\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4eba\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u628a\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u6574\u4e2a\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f02\u6784\u7684\u5143\u7d20\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5e76\u6d8c\u73b0\u51fa\u6574\u4f53\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u73b0\u8c61\u751a\u81f3\u65e0\u6cd5\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u4e2a\u5355\u72ec\u5143\u7d20\u7684\u6700\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u8fd9\u4f3c\u4e4e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u7cbe\u786e\u63cf\u8ff0\u8fd9\u79cd\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u8fd0\u884c\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u662f\u5e0c\u671b\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u80fd\u7cbe\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u95f4\u70b9\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\u5f80\u5f80\u6700\u719f\u6089\u83f2\u5229\u666e\u00b7\u5b89\u5fb7\u68ee<\/span>\uff08Philip Anderson\uff09<\/span>\u5728\u51761972\u5e74\u9898\u4e3a\u201c\u591a\u8005\u5f02\u4e5f<\/span>\uff08More is different\uff09<\/span>\u201d[1]\u7684\u8457\u540d\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5173\u4e8e\u6d8c\u73b0\u7684\u8bba\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u4e5f\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u63a2\u8ba8[2]\u2014\u2014\u5f17\u91cc\u5fb7\u91cc\u5e0c\u00b7\u54c8\u8036\u514b<\/span>\uff08Friedrich Hayek\uff09<\/span>\u4e5f\u8bb8\u6700\u7b80\u6d01\u5730\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a[3] \u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u6a21\u5f0f<\/span>\uff08there are no laws in economics, just patterns\uff09<\/span>\u201d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u56fe1. \u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b | \u6765\u6e90: https:\/\/insidehpc.com\/2015\/10\/wrf-microphysics-optimization\/<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e24\u5e74\u4e2d\u6240\u770b\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u66b4\u9732\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e0d\u582a\u4e00\u51fb\u4ee5\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u8d56\u4ee5\u751f\u5b58\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027[4]\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e94\u5bf9\u8be5\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u7cfb\u7edf\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u88ab\u7ba1\u63a7\u6216\u7981\u6b62\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u90e8\u95e8\u5728 2020 \u5e74\u53d7\u5230\u5168\u9762\u9650\u5236\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u4e00\u76f4\u5e76\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u53d7\u5230\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u5426\u6062\u590d\u201c\u6b63\u5e38\u201d\u6216\u5b9e\u73b0\u7ed3\u6784\u8f6c\u578b\u4ee5\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9762\u5bf9\u73b0\u6709\u548c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6311\u6218<\/span>\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u5bf9\u57fa\u672c\u653f\u7b56\u8fa9\u8bba\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u6027\u7b54\u6848\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u52a0\u5f3a\u6211\u4eec\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u3001\u5438\u6536\u3001\u6062\u590d\u548c\u9002\u5e94\u5404\u79cd\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u80fd\u529b<\/span>\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b80\u79f0\u201c\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\uff08systemic resilience\uff09\u201d[4]\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u6784\u5efa\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5b9e\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea7\u51fa\u4ee5\u53ca\u4eba\u7c7b\u548c\u73af\u5883\u5065\u5eb7\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u591a\u79cd\u76ee\u6807[5]\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u97e7\u6027\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\uff1f\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u662f\u4ee5\u4e24\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u4f46\u53c8\u76f8\u4e92\u5173\u8054\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u3002<\/strong>\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u7531\u4fdd\u62a4\u7cfb\u7edf\u514d\u53d7\u5916\u6765\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6240\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\uff1b\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u6e90\u81ea\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u8d44\u6e90\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5b9e\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u4f7f\u7528\u548c\u8f6c\u79fb\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5982\u5efa\u7acb\u5e93\u5b58\uff0c\u5c06\u8d44\u6e90\u8f6c\u79fb\u7ed9\u4eba\u4eec\uff0c\u6551\u52a9\u516c\u53f8\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u4f5c\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u6709\u9650\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u4fdd\u62a4\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u5176\u4ed6\u90e8\u5206\u51fa\u73b0\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u4ee5\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u770b\u5f85\u6574\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u5b83\u5c06\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u800c\u81ea\u6211\u6f14\u53d8\u548c\u4fee\u6b63\uff0c\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u5f15\u5bfc\u6216\u5f71\u54cd\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u5f15\u5bfc\u7cfb\u7edf\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u6240\u9700\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u5e72\u9884\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u53ef\u89c2\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u5916\u6d41\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u6301\u91d1\u878d\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u652f\u6301\u53d7\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ed9\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5065\u5eb7\u5e26\u6765\u76f8\u5f53\u5927\u7684\u6301\u4e45\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u5c40\u9650\u6027\uff1a\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u6210\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8d85\u8fc7\u653f\u6cbb\u6216\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u6216\u610f\u613f\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u6240\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u503a\u52a1\uff1b\u5e72\u9884\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6210\u529f\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u65e0\u53ef\u6311\u5254\u7684\u65f6\u673a\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u4f55\u65f6\u4f55\u5730\u8fdb\u884c\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u7cbe\u786e\u8bc6\u522b\u3002<\/strong>\u540e\u8005\u5c24\u5176\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5e72\u9884\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e0d\u826f\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u6027\u540e\u679c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6291\u5236\u5c31\u4e1a\u521b\u9020\u3001\u90e8\u95e8\u589e\u957f\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u957f\u671f\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u56fe\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e2a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u5e76\u52a0\u4ee5\u6539\u5584\u65f6\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u90e8\u5206\u4ea7\u751f\u610f\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u53ea\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u5904\u7684\u6574\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6709\u6548\u7684\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u6062\u590d\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8981\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd8\u8981\u770b\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u80fd\u591f\u4fc3\u8fdb\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u5b50\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u76f8\u8fde\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u4ee5\u53ca\u73af\u5883\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8981\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u901a\u8fc7\u8bbe\u8ba1\u8d4b\u4e88\u97e7\u6027<\/strong><\/span>\uff08resilience by design, RBD\uff09<\/span>\u548c\u901a\u8fc7\u5e72\u9884\u8d4b\u4e88\u97e7\u6027<\/strong><\/span>\uff08resilience by intervention, RBI\uff09<\/span>[6, 7] \u4e4b\u95f4\u627e\u5230\u9002\u5f53\u548c\u53ef\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u8868 1 \u533a\u5206\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e24\u7c7b\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u7279\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8868 1 RBD \u548c RBI \u7684\u6d3b\u52a8\u3001\u76ee\u6807\u3001\u6210\u672c\u548c\u5173\u6ce8\u70b9<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
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2. \u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u5747\u8861\u72b6\u6001\u4e0b\u7684\u6548\u7387<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5728\u201c\u5747\u8861<\/span>\uff08equilibrium\uff09<\/span>\u201d\u601d\u7ef4\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5bf9\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u884c\u6982\u5ff5\u5316\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u53d7\u5230\u5e72\u6270\u540e\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u6062\u590d\u5230\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\u72b6\u6001[8]\u3002\u798f\u5229\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u672c\u5b9a\u7406\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u5747\u8861\u72b6\u6001\u4e0b\u662f\u201c\u6709\u6548\u7684<\/span>\uff08efficient\uff09<\/span>\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u4eec\u5047\u8bbe\u6709\u4e00\u53ea\u201c\u770b\u4e0d\u89c1\u7684\u624b\u201d<\/span>\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\u201c\u5e02\u573a\u201d\uff09<\/span>\u5c06\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6216\u5e02\u573a\u5e26\u5230\u5747\u8861\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u4e2d\u5e7f\u6cdb\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u6838\u5fc3–\u5931\u8861\u72b6\u6001\u548c\u6536\u655b\u3002\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e00\u76f4\u65e0\u6cd5\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ece\u5931\u8861\u72b6\u6001\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u6216\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5230\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u6548\u72b6\u6001\u300220\u4e16\u7eaa70\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u968f\u7740 Sonnenschein[9]\u3001Mantel[10] \u548cDebreu[11] \u5f97\u51fa\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u505c\u6ede\u4e0d\u524d\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u662f\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u5047\u8bbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5904\u4e8e\u5747\u8861\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u80fd\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u50cf\u7406\u60f3\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u58f0\u79f0\u901a\u8fc7\u52a0\u5f3a\u7ade\u4e89\u548c\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u6548\u7387\u548c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u4e2d\u76f8\u5bf9\u5e73\u7a33\u7684\u589e\u957f [12] \u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u6210\u529f\u7684\u8bc1\u660e\u3002\u4ece 80 \u5e74\u4ee3\u4e2d\u671f\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5408\u4f5c\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u6709\u9650\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f \u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u547c\u5401\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u7ed3\u675f\u201d[13]\u3002\u8fd9\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e86\u57fa\u4e8e\u4ee5\u4e0b\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u7406\u8bba\uff1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u6cbf\u7740\u4e00\u6761\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u9053\u8def\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u6280\u672f\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u201c\u793e\u4f1a\u201d\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u624d\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u504f\u5dee\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u8bba\u8ff0\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u9650\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5df2\u7ecf\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6270\u52a8\u5982\u4f55\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u5bf9\u6574\u4f53\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u7834\u574f[7, 14]\uff1b\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5916\u751f\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u968f\u673a\u6f14\u53d8\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5fae\u89c2\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u5e76\u88ab\u7cfb\u7edf\u6240\u653e\u5927\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u5185\u751f\u7684\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u566a\u97f3\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ea7\u51fa\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5728\u5927\u8427\u6761<\/span>\uff081929-1930\u5e74\u4ee3\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a<\/span>\uff082007-2009\u5e74\uff09<\/span>\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5371\u673a<\/span>\uff082019\u5e74\u81f3\u4eca\uff09<\/span>\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5c40\u90e8\u7684\u6270\u52a8\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7834\u574f\u7684\u591a\u7c73\u8bfa\u9aa8\u724c\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u539f\u672c\u7684\u4e2a\u522b\u95ee\u9898\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u5728\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u4e4b\u521d\uff0c\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u652f\u6301\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5c06\u5404\u79cd\u88ab\u7834\u574f\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u8054\u7cfb\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u5230\u5c31\u4e1a\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe2. \u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u6742\u6027\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd 2020 \u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u7a7a\u95f4\u7f51\u7edc | https:\/\/atlas.cid.harvard.edu\/<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5f53\u653f\u5e9c\u5206\u914d\u5927\u91cf\u8d44\u672c\u6765\u4fdd\u62a4\u4ece\u5bb6\u5ead\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5230\u5de5\u8d44\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u3001\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u4e1a\u63f4\u52a9\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u5404\u79cd\u6838\u5fc3\u5fc5\u9700\u54c1\u65f6\uff0c\u5176\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u8d4b\u4e88\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u6765\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e00\u4e2a\u53d7\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8981\u907f\u514d\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8981\u523a\u6fc0\u66f4\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5e72\u9884\u8d4b\u4e88\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027<\/span>\uff08RBI\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5371\u673a\u4e2d\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u9700\u8981 RBI\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4f7f RBI \u6709\u6548\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u5fc5\u987b\u7eb3\u5165\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u8bbe\u8ba1<\/span>\uff08RBD\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5176\u56f4\u7ed5\u4e2d\u65ad\u540e\u6062\u590d\u7684\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6784\u5efa\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u4f7f\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7edf\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5b9a\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c3d\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u91cd\u5efa\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u7cfb\u7edf\u6240\u9700\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5e76\u540c\u65f6\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5982\u679c\u5168\u7403\u793e\u4f1a\u8981\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u52aa\u529b\u5b9e\u73b0\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5f15\u9886\u6f6e\u6d41\u30022015 \u5e74\uff0c\u7531\u5bb9\u514b\u3001\u56fe\u65af\u514b\u3001\u8fea\u585e\u5c14\u5e03\u6d1b\u59c6\u3001\u5fb7\u62c9\u5409\u548c\u8212\u5c14\u8328\u7b49\u201c\u4e94\u4f4d\u603b\u7edf\u201d\u64b0\u5199\u7684\u201c\u5b8c\u6210\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u8054\u76df<\/span>\uff08Completing Europe\u2019s Economic and Monetary Union<\/em>\uff09<\/span>\u201d\u62a5\u544a [18] \u547c\u5401\u5f00\u5c55\u5177\u6709\u7ea6\u675f\u529b\u7684\u878d\u5408\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u66f4\u5177\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u8be5\u8bba\u70b9\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\u662f\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u201c\u66f4\u597d\u201d\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u62b5\u5fa1\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u5bf9\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u547c\u5401\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u5728\u547c\u5401\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u52a0\u201c\u6709\u6548\u548c\u7075\u6d3b\u201d\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c20 \u56fd\u96c6\u56e2\u6210\u5458\u540c\u610f\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4ee5\u52a0\u5f3a\u5404\u81ea\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u573a\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u540e\u53d1\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u573a\u5371\u673a\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u7531\u4f7f\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u5c11\u7684\u9650\u5236\u548c\u66f4\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002<\/strong>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8981\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5c31\u8981\u9010\u6b65\u6d88\u9664\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6d88\u9664\u90a3\u4e9b\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5bfc\u81f4\u201c\u5e02\u573a\u5931\u7075\u201d\u7684 \u201c\u963b\u529b\u201d\u6216\u201c\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5584\u201d\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u90fd\u4e0e\u8fd9\u79cd\u5efa\u8bae\u80cc\u9053\u800c\u9a70\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u660e G20 \u63d0\u5230\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u97e7\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8bf7\u770b\u4e24\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5de5\u4eba\u662f\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u627f\u5305\u5546\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u88ab\u90a3\u4e9b\u9700\u8981\u4ed6\u4eec\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u4eba\u652f\u4ed8\u62a5\u916c\u6765\u627f\u62c5\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u7a33\u6b65\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u4fdd\u62a4\u3001\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u969c\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u798f\u5229\u5e76\u4e0d\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5de5\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u5e02\u573a\u6781\u4e3a\u7075\u6d3b\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u4f7f\u76f8\u5f53\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5f88\u5c11\u6216\u6ca1\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u83b7\u5f97\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u6b63\u5982 Weil [20] \u6240\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\uff0c\u5176\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5de5\u8d44\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u798f\u5229\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u5065\u5eb7\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u73b0\u8c61\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5927\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\uff0c\u97e7\u6027\u6d89\u53ca\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6240\u6709\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u67d0\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u9636\u5c42\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u662f\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5de5\u4eba\u5f52\u7c7b\u4e3a\u96c7\u5458\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u91cd\u65b0\u4f7f\u7528\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u9010\u6e10\u5931\u53bb\u7684\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u516c\u5171\u7269\u54c1\u3002\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u8bd5\u56fe\u4ee5\u6548\u7387\u7684\u540d\u4e49\u6d88\u9664\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9650\u5236\u56e0\u7d20\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5148\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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4. \u5e94\u7528\u6700\u597d\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u4e3a\u901a\u8fc7\u8bbe\u8ba1\u8d4b\u4e88\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u662f\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u53cd\u590d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u6062\u590d\u548c\u9002\u5e94\u7834\u574f\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u7269\u8d28\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u65f6\u671f\u5185\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u7269\u7406\u4e16\u754c\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u8bf4\u662f\u52a8\u6001\u6f14\u53d8\u7684\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u5e76\u9002\u5e94\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6fc0\u52b1\u548c\u7ea6\u675f\u3002\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5b9a\u5f8b\u901a\u8fc7\u52a8\u6001\u8fc7\u6e21\u6765\u8ffd\u8e2a\u80fd\u91cf\u548c\u7269\u8d28\u7684\u5b88\u6052\uff0c\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\u53d7\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b9a\u5f8b\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\u3002\u800c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u56e0\u7d20\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u9759\u6001\u7684\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5e72\u9884\u5f80\u5f80\u4e0d\u53d7\u4efb\u4f55\u7269\u7406\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u5236\u7ea6<\/span>\uff08\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u95f4\u5c24\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\uff09<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u7f51\u7edc\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\u4e0e\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5176\u4ed6\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e92\u52a8\u3002\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5371\u673a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8bf4\u660e\u7cfb\u7edf\u5982\u4f55\u76f8\u4e92\u6539\u53d8\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u30022020 \u5e74\u7684\u536b\u751f\u5371\u673a\u56e0 2008 \u5e74\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u800c\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u8bf4\uff0c\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\u4f7f\u8bb8\u591a\u536b\u751f\u7cfb\u7edf\u6ca1\u6709\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5982\u5e94\u5bf9\u7a81\u7136\u6fc0\u589e\u7684\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u91cf\u6240\u9700\u7684\u9632\u62a4\u670d [7]\u3002\u968f\u7740\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0b\u4ee4\u9694\u79bb\u548c\u81ea\u6211\u9694\u79bb\u540e\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7684\u7834\u574f\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u5404\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5355\u4e00\u7684\u7834\u574f\u6240\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u6027\u8870\u9000\u9700\u8981\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c3d\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u5e7f\u6cdb\u751a\u81f3\u6c38\u4e45\u7684\u591a\u7cfb\u7edf\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u4f46\u786e\u4fdd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6062\u590d\u5c06\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u89e3\u51b3\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u56e0\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u673a\u800c\u52a0\u5267\u7684\u73b0\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u97e7\u6027\u59cb\u4e8e\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5728\u51b2\u51fb\u540e\u8bd5\u56fe\u91cd\u65b0\u5206\u914d\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u5de5\u4eba\u548c\u516c\u6c11\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5c01\u63a7\u3001\u9694\u79bb\u548c\u5931\u53bb\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7684\u538b\u529b\u548c\u7126\u8651\u3002\u836f\u7269\u548c\u9152\u7cbe\u6ee5\u7528\u4ee5\u53ca\u57fa\u4e8e\u6027\u522b\u7684\u66b4\u529b\u968f\u7740\u5931\u4e1a\u548c\u5c01\u63a7\u800c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5fc3\u7406\u97e7\u6027\u662f\u5438\u6536\u548c\u9002\u5e94\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u8bc1\u5b9e\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u4ee5\u52a0\u901f 2019 \u5e74\u540e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf [22]\uff0c\u800c\u53f2\u5bc6\u65af\u7b49\u4eba [23] \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u548c\u6280\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e8e 2019 \u5e74\u540e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u548c\u957f\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u97e7\u6027\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u901a\u8fc7\u8bbe\u8ba1\u8d4b\u4e88\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\u548c\u901a\u8fc7\u5e72\u9884\u8d4b\u4e88\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5b9e\u65bd\u5f97\u5f53\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u5185\u90e8\u548c\u5916\u90e8\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u5728\u4e0d\u5f71\u54cd\u957f\u671f\u6548\u7387\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c06\u97e7\u6027\u7eb3\u5165\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf [25]\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u5c06\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6539\u53d8\u76ee\u5149\u77ed\u6d45\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u6700\u5927\u9650\u5ea6\u5730\u5229\u7528\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u5185\u90e8\u57fa\u672c\u73af\u8282\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5e76\u5229\u7528\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u66f4\u5177\u97e7\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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  1. \n

    Anderson, P. W. More is different. Science<\/em>177, 393\u2013396 (1972).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    F\u00f6llmer, H. Random economies with many interacting agents. J. Math. Econ.<\/em>1, 51\u201362 (1974).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  3. \n

    Kirman, A. in OECD Complexity and Policymaking<\/em> (OECD, 2016).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  4. \n

    Linkov, I., Keenan, J. & Trump, B. D. COVID-19: Systemic Risk and Resilience<\/em> (Springer, 2021).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  5. \n

    Trump, B. T., Hynes, W. & Linkov, I. Combine efficiency and resilience in post-COVID societies. Nature<\/em>588, 220 (2020).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  6. \n

    Linkov,  I., Trump, B. D., Golan, M. & Keisler, J. Enhancing resilience in  post-COVID societies: by design or by intervention? Environ. Sci. Technol.<\/em>55, 4202\u20134204 (2021).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  7. \n

    Kott, A. S., Golan, M. S., Trump, B. D. & Linkov, I. Cyber resilience: by design or by intervention? Computer<\/em>54, 112\u2013117 (2021).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  8. \n

    Simmie, J. & Martin, R. The economic resilience of regions: towards an evolutionary approach. Camb. J. Reg. Econ. Soc.<\/em>3, 27\u201343 (2010).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  9. \n

    Sonnenschein, H. Market excess demand functions. Econometrica<\/em>40, 549\u2013563 (1972).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  10. \n

    Mantel, R. On the characterisation of aggregate excess demand. J. Econ. Theory<\/em>7, 348\u2013353 (1974).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  11. \n

    Debreu, G. Excess demand functions. J. Math. Econ.<\/em>1, 15\u201323 (1974).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  12. \n

    Beaudry, P., Galizia, D. & Portier, F. Reviving the Limit Cycle View of Macroeconomic Fluctuations<\/em> (NBER, 2015).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  13. \n

    Portier, F. The instability of market economies. Rev. OFCE<\/em>157, 225\u2013233 (2018).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  14. \n

    Gabaix, X. The granular origins of aggregate fluctuations. Econometrica<\/em>79, 733\u2013772 (2011).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  15. \n

    Bak,  P., Chen, K., Scheinkman, J. & Woodford, M. Aggregate fluctuations  from independent sectoral shocks: self-organized criticality in a model  of production and inventory dynamics. Ric. Econ.<\/em>47, 3\u201330 (1993).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  16. \n

    Scheinkman, J. & Woodford, M. Self-organised criticality and economic fluctuations. Am. Econ. Rev.<\/em>84, 417\u2013421 (1994).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  17. \n

    Guzman, M. & Stiglitz, J. E. Towards a Dynamic Disequilibrium Theory with Randomness<\/em> Working Paper No. w27453 (NBER, 2020).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  18. \n

    Juncker, J.-C., Tusk, D., Dijsselbloem, J., Draghi, M. & Schulz, M. The Five Presidents\u2019 Report: Completing Europe\u2019s Economic and Monetary Union<\/em> (European Commission, 2015); https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/info\/publications\/five-presidents-report-completing-europes-economic-and-monetary-union_en<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  19. \n

    Sondermann, D. Towards more resilient economies: the role of well-functioning economic structures. J. Policy Model.<\/em>40, 97\u2013117 (2018).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  20. \n

    Weil, D. The Fissured Workplace<\/em> (Harvard Univ. Press, 2017).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  21. \n

    Shiller, R. Irrational Exuberance<\/em> (Princeton Univ. Press, 2000).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  22. \n

    Pfeffer, J. & Williams, L. Mental health in the workplace: the coming revolution. McKinsey Quarterly<\/em> (8 December 2020); https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/industries\/healthcare-systems-and-services\/our-insights\/mental-health-in-the-workplace-the-coming-revolution<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  23. \n

    Smith, E. et al. A brain capital grand strategy: toward economic re-imagination. Mol. Psychiatr.<\/em>26, 3\u201322 (2021).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  24. \n

    Haldane, A. Rethinking the Financial Network<\/em> (2009).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  25. \n

    Hynes,  W., Trump, B., Love, P. & Linkov, I. Bouncing forward: a resilience  approach to dealing with COVID-19 and future systemic shocks. Environ. Syst. Decis.<\/em>25, 1\u201311 (2020).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

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