{"id":39861,"date":"2023-01-15T22:29:09","date_gmt":"2023-01-15T14:29:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=39861"},"modified":"2023-01-15T22:29:09","modified_gmt":"2023-01-15T14:29:09","slug":"sci-adv-%e9%80%9f%e9%80%92%ef%bc%9a%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e4%b8%b4%e7%95%8c%e8%bd%ac%e5%8f%98%e7%9a%84%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0%e5%92%8c%e7%b1%bb%e5%9e%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=39861","title":{"rendered":"Sci. Adv.\u901f\u9012\uff1a\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u548c\u7c7b\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aAnticipating the occurrence and type of critical transitions<\/span><\/section>\n
\u671f\u520a\u540d\u79f0\uff1aScience Advances<\/em><\/span><\/section>\n
\u8bba\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/sciadv.abq4558<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u4eba\u4eec\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u5404\u79cd\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7<\/span>\uff08early warning signals, EWS\uff09<\/span>\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u6216\u533a\u5206\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u7c7b\u578b\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u6709\u6548\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u5b9e\u9645\u7684\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u6839\u636e\u5206\u5c94\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5f53\u7cfb\u7edf\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u65f6\uff0c\u4ece\u5c40\u90e8\u6270\u52a8\u4e2d\u6062\u590d\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u6162\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u4e3b\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u5728\u8fde\u7eed\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u8d8b\u4e8e0\uff0c\u5728\u79bb\u6563\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u8d8b\u4e8e1\uff0c\u8fd9\u53eb\u505a\u4e34\u754c\u6162\u5316<\/span>\uff08critical slowing down\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u8fd1\u65e5\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e Science Advances <\/em>\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7\u2014\u2014\u52a8\u6001\u7279\u5f81\u503c<\/span>\uff08dynamical eigenvalue, DEV\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5206\u5c94\u7406\u8bba\u6765\u4f30\u8ba1\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e3b\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u56fe1. \u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e0d\u540c\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u5206\u5c94\uff0c\u590d\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5206\u5c94\u70b9\u7684\u4e3b\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u3002\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\uff0c\u5206\u5c94\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u96c5\u53ef\u6bd4\u77e9\u9635J\u7684\u4e3b\u7279\u5f81\u503c \u03bb \u5728\u5e73\u8861\u6001\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u6765\u8bc6\u522b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u56fe2. \u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7\u6307\u793a3\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u8868\u660e DEV \u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002\uff08A\uff09Noy-Meir \u6a21\u578b\u3001H\u00e9non \u6620\u5c04\u3001Rosenzweig-MacArthur \u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5178\u578b\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u3002\uff08B\uff09\u5206\u5c94\u56fe\u8868\u793a\u5206\u5c94\u53c2\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\uff08C\uff09\u52a8\u6001\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u503c  |DEV| \u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u63a8\u79fb\u589e\u957f\u5e76\u5728\u5206\u5c94\u70b9\u5904\u8d8b\u4e8e1\u3002\uff08D\uff09\u57fa\u4e8e\u590d\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u7684 |DEV| \u4f30\u8ba1\u503c\u5bf9\u5206\u5c94\u7c7b\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\u3002|DEV| \u9010\u6e10\u4ece\u5355\u4f4d\u5706\u7684\u5185\u90e8\u5411\u8fb9\u754c\u79fb\u52a8\uff0c\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u56fe3. \u7ecf\u9a8c\u8bc4\u4f30\u8868\u660e\uff0c|DEV| \u53ef\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u793a\u5206\u5c94\u7c7b\u578b\u3002|DEV| \u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a\uff08A-C\uff09\u7ecf\u5386\u7a00\u91ca\u6270\u52a8\u548c\u589e\u5f3a\u5149\u5e94\u529b\u7684\u84dd\u85fb\u79cd\u7fa4\u5fae\u89c2\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u7684\u6298\u53e0\u5206\u5c94\uff08fold bifurcation\uff09\uff1b\uff08D-F\uff09\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u6d41\u91cf\uff08\u6d4b\u91cf\u58f0\u95e8\u4e0b\u538b\u529b\uff09\u4e0b\u8bed\u97f3\u5f00\u59cb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u7684 Neimark-Sacker \u5206\u5c94\uff1b\uff08G-I\uff09\u4e0d\u65ad\u7f3a\u6c27\u65f6\u7ec6\u80de\u8d28 ATP \u7684\u4f53\u5185\u751f\u7269\u4f20\u611f\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u7684\u6298\u53e0\u5206\u5c94\uff1b\uff08J-L\uff09\u4ece\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u6e29\u5ba4\u5730\u7403\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u6c89\u79ef\u7269\u4e2dCaCO3<\/sub>\u4e30\u5ea6\u6c14\u5019\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u7684\u6298\u53e0\u5206\u5c94\uff1b\uff08M-O\uff09\u201c1996\u5e74\u5317\u7f8e\u897f\u90e8\u5927\u505c\u7535\u201d\u7535\u529b\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6298\u53e0\u5206\u5c94\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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