{"id":43864,"date":"2023-07-19T22:34:43","date_gmt":"2023-07-19T14:34:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=43864"},"modified":"2023-07-19T22:34:43","modified_gmt":"2023-07-19T14:34:43","slug":"2023pcic%e6%b3%9b%e5%a4%aa%e5%b9%b3%e6%b4%8b%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e6%8e%a8%e6%96%ad%e5%a4%a7%e4%bc%9a%e6%8a%a5%e5%90%8d%e8%bf%9b%e8%a1%8c%e4%b8%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=43864","title":{"rendered":"2023PCIC\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927\u4f1a\u62a5\u540d\u8fdb\u884c\u4e2d"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n

\u5bfc\u8bed<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
2023\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4f1a<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u662f\u81ea2019\u5e74\u8d77\u7531\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u8bb2\u5e2d\u6559\u6388\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u5317\u4eac\u56fd\u9645\u6570\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u4e3b\u4efb\u5468\u6653\u534e\u7b49\u53d1\u8d77\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u4e00\u5e74\u4e00\u5ea6\u7684\u76db\u4f1a\u3002\u76db\u4f1a\u5c06\u4e8e9\u670816\u65e5\u81f317\u65e5\u4ee5\u7ebf\u4e0b+\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u4e3e\u529e\uff0c\u9762\u5411\u6240\u6709\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\uff0c\u63a2\u7d22\u65b0\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u671f\u5f85\u70ed\u7231\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u4f60\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u8d77\u6500\u767b\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66<\/span><\/span>\u7684\u9636\u68af\uff01\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7ec4\u59d4\u4f1a\u7cbe\u5fc3\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e86<\/span>\u4f1a\u524d\u77ed\u8bfe\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u4e0d\u5b8c\u7f8e\u968f\u673a\u5316\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad<\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u73b0\u573a\u8bbe\u7acb<\/span>\u8bba\u6587\u6d77\u62a5\u5c55\u793a\u533a<\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u9080\u8bf7\u5728\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u505a\u51fa\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4f60\u62a5\u540d\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u80cc\u666f\u7b80\u4ecb<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n

<\/section>\n

\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u5c06\u5916\u90e8\u77e5\u8bc6\u4e0e\u5b66\u4e60\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u5f97\u5230\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u906d\u9047\u74f6\u9888\u7684\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u53d7\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u91cd\u89c6\uff0c\u5b83\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u7269\u533b\u5b66\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3001\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u548c\u5404\u79cd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u63a8\u52a8\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u5b66\u79d1\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u805a\u96c6\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u4e00\u7ebf\u79d1\u7814\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u8ba8\u8bba\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u8bb2\u5e2d\u6559\u6388\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u5317\u4eac\u56fd\u9645\u6570\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u4e3b\u4efb\u5468\u6653\u534e\u7b49\u53d1\u8d77\u4e86\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927\u4f1a\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u96c6\u4e2d\u8ba8\u8bba\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8be5\u4f1a\u8bae\u66fe\u7ecf\u9080\u8bf7\u8fc7Donald B. Rubin, James M. Robins, Bernhard Sch\u00f6lkopf, Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Xiao-Hua Zhou, Peng Cui, Kun Zhang, Peng Ding\u7b49\u6d77\u5185\u5916\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u5927\u62ff\u5171\u540c\u5206\u4eab\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u6df1\u5ea6\u63a2\u8ba8\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5c4a-\u7b2c\u56db\u5c4a\u5927\u4f1a\u5185\u5bb9\u56de\u987e\u53c2\u89c1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

2020\u5e74\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927\u4f1a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u4e00\uff09<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

2020\u5e74\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927\u4f1a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u4e8c\uff09<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

2021\u5e74\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927\u4f1a\u56de\u987e<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

2022\u5e74\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927\u4f1a\u56de\u987e<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\u66f4\u591a\u5927\u4f1a\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u8bf7\u8bbf\u95ee\u5927\u4f1a\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u7f51\u7ad9\uff1ahttps:\/\/pattern.swarma.org\/pcic\/<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/span><\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u5927\u4f1a\u65e5\u7a0b<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n

<\/section>\n

\u4f1a\u8bae\u65f6\u95f4<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n
\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4e8e\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u95f49\u670816\u65e5\u81f39\u670817\u65e5\u91c7\u53d6\u7ebf\u4e0a+\u7ebf\u4e0b\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e3e\u529e\uff0c\u7ebf\u4e0a\u901a\u8fc7ZOOM\u4f1a\u8bae\u5168\u7403\u540c\u6b65\u5206\u4eab\uff0c\u6d77\u5916\u53c2\u4f1a\u7684\u540c\u5b66\u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\u65f6\u5dee\u5408\u7406\u5b89\u6392\u53c2\u4f1a\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n
\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u95f4Beijing(UTC\/GMT +8.00)<\/span><\/section>\n
\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e1c\u6d77\u5cb8\u65f6\u95f4EST(UTC\/GMT -4.00)<\/span><\/section>\n
\u7f8e\u56fd\u897f\u6d77\u5cb8\u65f6\u95f4PST(UTC\/GMT -7.00)<\/span><\/section>\n
\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u5927\u4f1a\u5c06\u4f1a\u57289\u670815\u65e5\u4e3e\u529e\u77ed\u8bfe\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u4e1a\u754c\u670b\u53cb\u3001\u8001\u5e08\u3001\u540c\u5b66\u62a5\u540d\u53c2\u4e0e\uff01<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/span><\/h2>\n

\u65e5\u7a0b\u5b89\u6392<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n
<\/section>\n

<\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u4e0a\u662f\u5927\u4f1a\u521d\u6b65\u65e5\u7a0b\u4e0e\u9080\u8bf7\u5609\u5bbe\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u8bf7\u4ee5\u6d3b\u52a8\u5f53\u5929\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e3a\u51c6<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u77ed\u8bfe\uff1a\u4e0d\u5b8c\u7f8e\u968f\u673a\u5316\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n

<\/section>\n

\u6388\u8bfe\u8001\u5e08<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

<\/p>\n

\u5468\u6653\u534e\uff0c\u4e2d\u7ec4\u90e8\u56fd\u5bb6\u6d77\u5916\u9ad8\u5c42\u6b21\u4eba\u624d\u5f15\u8fdb\u8ba1\u5212\uff08\u521b\u65b0\u957f\u671f\u9879\u76ee\uff09\u7279\u8058\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u8bb2\u5e2d\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u5bfc\u5e08\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u5317\u4eac\u56fd\u9645\u6570\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u53ca\u751f\u7269\u4fe1\u606f\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u4e3b\u4efb\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u5bb6\u836f\u54c1\u533b\u7597\u5668\u68b0\u76d1\u7ba1\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u526f\u9662\u957f\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u91cd\u5e86\u5927\u6570\u636e\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u526f\u9662\u957f\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5206\u4f1a\u7406\u4e8b\u957f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6570\u5b66\u4f1a\u533b\u5b66\u6570\u5b66\u4e13\u4e1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4efb\u59d4\u5458\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4f1a(AAAS)\u4f1a\u58eb\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4f1a(ASA)\u4f1a\u58eb\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u6570\u7406\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4f1a\uff08IMS\uff09\u4f1a\u58eb\u7b49\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u9093\u5b87\u660a\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u3001\u4e34\u5e8a\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bfc\u5e08\u4e3a\u5468\u6653\u534e\u6559\u6388<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8bfe\u7a0b\u7b80\u4ecb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u9762\u5411\u5bf9\u8c61<\/strong>\uff1a\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\u9762\u5411\u9ad8\u5e74\u7ea7\u672c\u79d1\u751f\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u3001\u533b\u836f\u754c\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u5c06\u4e3a\u5b8c\u6210\u8bfe\u7a0b\u7684\u5b66\u5458\u9881\u53d1\u8bc1\u4e66<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8bfe\u7a0b\u76ee\u6807<\/strong>\uff1a\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\u65e8\u5728\u63d0\u4f9b\u5173\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\uff08causal inference\uff09\u7684\u6e05\u6670\u5168\u9762\u8ba4\u8bc6\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5b66\u4e60\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\uff0c\u5b66\u5458\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5c06\u719f\u6089\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5b66\u79d1\uff08\u7279\u522b\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\uff09\u8fd1\u4e94\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7406\u8bba\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5c06\u5177\u5907\u5728\u590d\u6742\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u8bd5\u9a8c\u4e2d\u5206\u6790\u56e0\u679c\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8bfe\u7a0b\u7279\u8272\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\u4f1a\u5728\u6bcf\u4e2a\u8bfe\u7a0b\u73af\u8282\u5b89\u6392\u82e5\u5e72\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u5b9e\u6218\u73af\u8282<\/strong>\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u5927\u5bb6\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u638c\u63e1\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u7406\u8bba\u53ca\u5b9e\u9645\u5e94\u7528\u3002\u57f9\u8bad\u7ed3\u675f\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u5c06\u4e3a\u5b8c\u6210\u8bfe\u7a0b\u7684\u5b66\u5458\u9881\u53d1\u8bc1\u4e66\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\u89e3\u91ca\u6743\u5f52\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u6240\u6709\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u8bfe\u7a0b\u80cc\u666f<\/strong>\uff1a\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u968f\u673a\u5316\u8bd5\u9a8c\u662f\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e0\u679c\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u201c\u91d1\u6807\u51c6\u201d\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5728\u5b9e\u9645\u573a\u666f\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u83b7\u5f97\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u968f\u673a\u5316\u8bd5\u9a8c\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u975e\u968f\u673a\u5316\u8bd5\u9a8c\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e0\u679c\u4f5c\u7528\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e00\u56e0\u679c\u4f5c\u7528\u6709\u4f55\u610f\u4e49\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8bfe\u7a0b\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/strong>\uff1a\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\u57fa\u4e8e\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u4ecb\u7ecd\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u6982\u5ff5<\/strong>\u7684\u7531\u6765\u548c\u57fa\u672c\u8bbe\u5b9a\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e24\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u4e2d\u4ecb\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\u548c\u4e3b\u5206\u5c42<\/strong>\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u4e0d\u5b8c\u7f8e\u968f\u673a\u5316\u8bd5\u9a8c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7406\u8bba\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\u8003\u8651\u968f\u673a\u5316\u8bd5\u9a8c\u88ab\u7834\u574f\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u5177\u4f53\u573a\u666f\uff1a\u975e\u4f9d\u4ece\u3001\u6b7b\u4ea1\u622a\u65ad\u3001\u7f3a\u5931\u6570\u636e<\/strong>\u3002\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u76ee\u6807\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u9700\u8981\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u548c\u63a8\u65ad\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u662f\u5426\u6ee1\u8db3\u975e\u6df7\u6dc6\u6027\uff08\u53ef\u5ffd\u7565\u6027\uff09\uff0c\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\u8003\u5bdf\u4ece\u7b80\u5355\u5230\u590d\u6742\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u6027\u7814\u7a76<\/strong>\uff0c\u5e76\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e00\u4e9b\u5229\u7528\u89c2\u5bdf\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u8bc4\u4f30\u56e0\u679c\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u672c\u8bfe\u7a0b\u5c06\u7a7f\u63d2\u4ecb\u7ecd\u9488\u5bf9\u5404\u79cd\u573a\u666f\u8fdb\u884c\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5de5\u5177<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8bfe\u7a0b\u5927\u7eb2<\/strong>\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n
<\/section>\n

\u77ed\u8bfe\/\u5927\u4f1a\u62a5\u540d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n
\u6b22\u8fce\u5bf9\u77ed\u8bfe\u548c\u5927\u4f1a\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u4e1a\u754c\u670b\u53cb\u3001\u8001\u5e08\u3001\u540c\u5b66\u62a5\u540d\u53c2\u4e0e\uff01<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u8bba\u6587\u6d77\u62a5\u62db\u52df<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n

<\/section>\n
\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u91cc\u6709\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8bda\u631a\u5730\u9080\u8bf7\u4f60\u5728PCIC\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u6d77\u62a5\u5c55\u793a\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6\u5c06\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u9876\u5c16\u4e13\u5bb6\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u4e0d\u9650\u4e8e\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u4f5c\u54c1\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u65f6\u95f4\u5c06\u6839\u636e\u4f1a\u8bae\u65e5\u7a0b\u8fdb\u884c\u901a\u77e5\u3002\u5982\u6709\u610f\u613f\uff0c\u8bf7\u626b\u63cf\u4e0b\u65b9\u7684\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801\u586b\u5199\u57fa\u672c\u4fe1\u606f\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u6ce8\u518c\u3002\u522b\u5fd8\u4e86\u6dfb\u52a0\u8054\u7cfb\u4eba\u7684\u5fae\u4fe1\uff0817613438759\uff09\uff01<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/p>\n


<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u62db\u52df<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n

<\/section>\n
\u672c\u6b21\u5927\u4f1a\u62db\u52df\u7ebf\u4e0a\u3001\u7ebf\u4e0b\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\uff0c\u4f1a\u7ed9\u987a\u5229\u901a\u8fc7\u8003\u6838\u5e76\u5b8c\u6210\u5bf9\u5e94\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u529e\u6cd5\u5927\u4f1a\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u8bc1\u4e66\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6709\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3001\u8fd0\u8425\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u62a5\u540d\u53c2\u4e0e\uff01<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/p>\n


<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u4e3b\u529e\u5355\u4f4d<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n

<\/section>\n

\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u5317\u4eac\u56fd\u9645\u6570\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u6570\u5b66\u79d1\u5b66\u5b66\u9662<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u7edf\u8ba1\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/span><\/p>\n

\u56fd\u9645\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4f1a-\u4e2d\u56fd\u5206\u4f1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u73b0\u573a\u7edf\u8ba1\u7814\u7a76\u4f1a\u751f\u7269\u533b\u5b66\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4f1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u6570\u5b66\u4f1a\u533b\u5b66\u6570\u5b66\u4e13\u59d4\u4f1a<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u534f\u529e\u5355\u4f4d<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n

<\/section>\n

\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u56e0\u679c\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/section>\n

\u968f\u7740\u201c\u56e0\u679c\u9769\u547d\u201d\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4e0e\u5927\u6570\u636e\u9886\u57df\u5f90\u5f90\u5c55\u5f00\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8fde\u63a5\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u6865\u6881\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5907\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u524d\u6cbf\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\u5728\u6570\u636e\u964d\u7ef4\u4e2d\u4fdd\u7559\u4fe1\u606f\u5e76\u8fc7\u6ee4\u566a\u97f3\uff0c\u65b0\u5174\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u5219\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\u4e0e\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4e8c\u8005\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\u6709\u671b\u50ac\u751f\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u4ee3AI\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4ee5\u201c\u56e0\u679c\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\u201d\u4e3a\u4e3b\u9898\u3001\u4e3a\u671f\u5341\u5468\u7684\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff0c\u805a\u7126\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u76f8\u5173\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5171\u5b66\u5171\u7814\u76f8\u5173\u6587\u732e\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u4ece\u4e8b\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4e0e\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7b49\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u6216\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u5e94\u7528\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u5404\u754c\u670b\u53cb\u62a5\u540d\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e09\u5b63\u201c\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u201d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc7\u5343\u4eba\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u793e\u533a\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/a>\u662f\u5176\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u52a0\u5165\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u5373\u53ef\u53c2\u4e0e\u56e0\u679c\u793e\u533a\u5404\u7c7b\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4e0b\u4ea4\u6d41\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8fde\u63a5\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u6865\u6881\uff1a\u56e0\u679c\u8868\u5f81\u5b66\u4e60\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span>
<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u7531\u667a\u6e90\u793e\u533a\u3001\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u4e3e\u529e\u7684<\/span>\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0eCausal AI\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63<\/a>\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u9762\u5411\u4e24\u7c7b\u4eba\u7fa4\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u4ece\u4e8b\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u76f8\u5173\u65b9\u5411\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u5f15\u5165\u65b0\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5927\u6570\u636e\u3001\u65b0\u7b97\u6cd5\u5f97\u5230\u65b0\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u5404\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u56e0\u679c\u95ee\u9898\u4ecb\u7ecd\u548c\u8bba\u6587\u63a8\u8350\u5feb\u901f\u5165\u624b\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u4ece\u4e8b\u5176\u4ed6\u7406\u5de5\u79d1\u6216\u4eba\u6587\u793e\u79d1\u9886\u57df\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u6240\u5c5e\u9886\u57df\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u7814\u7a76\u7efc\u8ff0\u4ecb\u7ecd\u548c\u7814\u8ba8\u5df2\u6709\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u793a\u4f8b\u4ee3\u7801\uff0c\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5feb\u901f\u5f00\u59cb\u5c1d\u8bd5\u90e8\u7f72\u7ed3\u5408\u56e0\u679c\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\u3002\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u76f4\u64ad\u5df2\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u52a0\u5165\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u793e\u533a\uff0c\u56de\u770b\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u76f4\u64ad\uff0c\u52a0\u5165\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u56e0\u679c+X\uff1a\u89e3\u51b3\u591a\u5b66\u79d1\u9886\u57df\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u95ee\u9898 | \u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u542f\u52a8<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66 CausalAI \u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u4e3b\u4efb Elias Bareinboim \u5728\u5176 ACM \u9080\u8bf7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf\u662f\u5b89\u5168\u7684\uff0c\u7a33\u5065\u7684\uff0c\u4e0e\u4eba\u7c7b\u517c\u5bb9\u7684\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u7949\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u628a\u56e0\u679c\u4e4b\u68af\u548c\u4eba\u7c7b\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8fde\u63a5\u8d77\u6765\u662f\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6b65\u9aa4\u201d\u3002\u56de\u987e\u4eba\u7c7b\u4ece\u4e9a\u91cc\u58eb\u591a\u5fb7\u5f00\u59cb\u7684 2000 \u591a\u5e74\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u7814\u7a76\u5386\u7a0b\uff0c\u63a2\u6c42\u4e8b\u7269\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u662f\u54f2\u5b66\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7b49\u4f17\u591a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u8ffd\u6c42\u7684\u7ec8\u6781\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u5982\u4f55\u8ba9 AI \u7cfb\u7edf\u8d85\u8d8a\u66f2\u7ebf\u62df\u5408\uff0c\u6500\u767b\u56e0\u679c\u4e4b\u68af\u601d\u8003\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528\u56e0\u679c\u5efa\u6a21\u56de\u7b54\u56e0\u679c\u95ee\u9898\uff1f\u662f\u672c\u6b21\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u5e0c\u671b\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n


<\/h1>\n

\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8fde\u63a5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u3001\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u4e0e\u81ea\u52a8\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u65b0\u5174\u4ea4\u53c9\u9886\u57df\u2014\u2014\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u518d\u8d77\u822a<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n

\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u7531\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u793e\u533a\u6210\u5458\u9f9a\u9e64\u626c\u3001\u9ad8\u4ea6\u658c\u548c\u90ed\u745e\u4e1c\u7b49\u4eba\u5171\u540c\u53d1\u8d77\uff0c\u4ece2020\u5e748\u670826\u65e5\u52302021\u5e741\u67082\u65e5\uff0c\u5171\u6709\u5d14\u9e4f\u3001\u5468\u6653\u534e\u7b49\u8001\u5e08\u540c\u5b66\u5728\u5185\u768432\u4f4d\u8bb2\u8005\uff0c\u5206\u4eab\u4e8632\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\uff0cB\u7ad9\u4eba\u6c14\u7d2f\u79ef10\u4e07+\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u6d77\u5185\u5916\u4e0d\u540c\u9ad8\u6821\u6216\u8005\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u4e00\u7ebf\u79d1\u7814\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005273\u540d\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u501f\u52a9\u96c6\u4f53\u667a\u6167\uff0c\u5728100\u591a\u5929\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u64ac\u52a8\u4e86\u6570\u5341\u4e07\u4eba\u6b21\u7684\u5171\u540c\u53c2\u4e0e\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u98ce\u66b4\uff01<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

<\/span><\/a><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e Causal AI \u7cfb\u5217\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a | \u4f17\u5305\u51fa\u4e66<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span>
<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u5373\u53ef<\/span>\u62a5\u540d\u53c2\u4e0e<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n

<\/mp-style-type><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5bfc\u8bed 2023\u6cdb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u5927\u4f1a\u662f\u81ea2019\u5e74\u8d77\u7531\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u8bb2\u5e2d\u6559\u6388\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u7cfb\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u5317\u4eac\u56fd\u9645\u6570\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u4e3b\u4efb\u5468\u6653\u534e\u7b49\u53d1\u8d77\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u4e00\u5e74\u4e00\u5ea6\u7684\u76db\u4f1a\u3002\u76db\u4f1a\u5c06\u4e8e9\u670816\u65e5\u81f317\u65e5\u4ee5\u7ebf\u4e0b+\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u4e3e\u529e\uff0c\u9762\u5411\u6240\u6709\u5bf9\u56e0\u679c\u79d1\u5b66\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\uff0c\u63a2\u7d22\u65b0\u7684…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":43850,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43864"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43864"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43864\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/43850"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43864"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43864"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43864"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=43864"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}