{"id":47261,"date":"2023-12-25T20:33:38","date_gmt":"2023-12-25T12:33:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=47261"},"modified":"2023-12-25T20:33:38","modified_gmt":"2023-12-25T12:33:38","slug":"nature%e9%80%9f%e9%80%92%ef%bc%9a%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96%e5%af%b9%e8%87%aa%e7%84%b6%e8%b5%84%e6%9c%ac%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e4%bb%b7%e5%80%bc%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%8d%e5%b9%b3%e7%ad%89%e5%bd%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=47261","title":{"rendered":"Nature\u901f\u9012\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u5f71\u54cd"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/p>\n


<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\uff0c\u52a8\u6001\u5168\u7403\u690d\u88ab\u6a21\u578b<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n


<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aUnequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n
\u671f\u520a\u6765\u6e90\uff1aNature<\/em><\/span><\/section>\n
\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-023-06769-z<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n
\u6591\u56fe\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/pattern.swarma.org\/paper\/b014b2ce-9df9-11ee-bc79-0242ac17000e<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

<\/section>\n
\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e3a\u4eba\u7c7b\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u7684\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u672a\u76f4\u63a5\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e2d\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5c06\u6539\u53d8\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u5e76\u6539\u53d8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u4eba\u7c7b\u798f\u7949\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u5f71\u54cd\u4ecd\u4e0d\u660e\u786e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u3001\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u4ee5\u53ca\u793e\u533a\u798f\u7949\u5bf9\u81ea\u7136\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u4f30\u7b97\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u9646\u5730\u690d\u88ab\u53d8\u5316\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u751f\u4ea7\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u6548\u76ca\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u7531\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u6d41\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u5168\u7403\u690d\u88ab\u6a21\u578b<\/span>\uff08dynamic global vegetation models\uff0cDGVMs\uff09<\/span>\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u3002\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e0e\u57fa\u7ebf\u65e0\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u60c5\u666f\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5728 SSP2-6.0 \u7684\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5230 2100 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u8d22\u5bcc\u8d26\u6237\u4e2d\u4f30\u4ef7\u7684\u5168\u7403\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u6548\u76ca\u7684\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11 9.2%\uff0c\u5230 2100 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c<\/span>\uff08GDP\uff09<\/span>\u53d8\u5316\u4e3a\u57fa\u7ebf GDP \u7684-1.3%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u4f9d\u8d56\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9bGDP\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u9012\u589e\u7684\u3002\u7ea6 90% \u7684\u635f\u5931\u7531\u6700\u8d2b\u7a77\u7684 50% \u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u627f\u62c5\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684 10% \u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u4ec5\u627f\u53d7 2% \u7684\u635f\u5931<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
\u4eba\u7c7b\u798f\u7949\u53ef\u5206\u4e3a\uff1a\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u4ea4\u6362\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52a1<\/span>\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b80\u79f0\u5e02\u573a\u6548\u76ca\uff09<\/span>\uff1b\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u4ea4\u6362\u7684\u6765\u81ea\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u6548\u76ca<\/span>\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b80\u79f0\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u6548\u76ca\uff09<\/span>\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u548c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u975e\u4f7f\u7528\u4ef7\u503c<\/span>\uff08\u56fe1\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u524d\u4e24\u4e2a\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u798f\u7949\u6e90\u4e8e\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u5b58\u91cf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u3001\u4eba\u9020\u8d44\u672c\u548c\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u3002\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u6269\u5c55\u4e86\u533a\u57df\u6548\u76ca\u6210\u672c\u6c14\u5019\u7efc\u5408\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a2\u8ba8\u6c14\u5019\u5f71\u54cd\u5bf9\u9646\u5730\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u798f\u5229\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5206\u7c7b\u7684\u5168\u7403\u5206\u6790\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u751f\u7269\u7fa4\u843d\u7a7a\u95f4\u8303\u56f4\u7f29\u5c0f\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u635f\u5931\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5404\u56fd\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u65b9\u5f0f\u627f\u62c5\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
<\/section>\n

\u56fe1\uff1a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c42\u9762\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u7c7b\u578b\u4e0e\u5730\u7406\u533a\u57df\u3002\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u4e3a\u4eba\u7c7b\u798f\u7949\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u4e0e\u4eba\u9020\u8d44\u672c\u548c\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u5e02\u573a\u6548\u76ca\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6548\u76ca\u53d7\u5230\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u8c03\u8282\u548c\u7ef4\u62a4\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u8c03\u8282\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u4e5f\u4ea7\u751f\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u6548\u76ca\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u6587\u5316\u670d\u52a1\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/section>\n
<\/section>\n
\u56fe2\uff1a\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u5728 2\u00b0C \u5347\u6e29\u9884\u6d4b\u5404\u5730\u533a\u751f\u7269\u91cf\u7684\u53d8\u5316<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
<\/section>\n
\u56fe3\uff1a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c42\u9762\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\u540e\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u53ca\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u751f\u7269\u7fa4\u843d\u8303\u56f4\u8f6c\u79fb\u5c06\u666e\u904d\u964d\u4f4e\u5168\u7403\u9646\u5730\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u6548\u76ca\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5c11\u6570\u5730\u533a\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u51c0\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6309\u7167\u4fdd\u5b88\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u635f\u5931\u4e5f\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u9020\u6210\u7684\u603b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u7684 10% \u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u635f\u5931\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u5168\u7403\u5357\u90e8\u56fd\u5bb6\u627f\u62c5\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u751f\u4ea7\u4e2d\u5360\u6709\u76f8\u5bf9\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u635f\u5931\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u6709\u5173\u8d23\u4efb\u548c\u8865\u6551\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u5236\u5b9a\u7efc\u5408\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u5e94\u627f\u8ba4\u5e76\u8003\u8651\u5230\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
\u7f16\u8bd1\uff5c\u90ed\u745e\u4e1c<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/section>\n
<\/span><\/a><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8\uff1a\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u4e0e\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u4ea4\u53c9\u524d\u6cbf<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\u200d<\/span>1. <\/strong>Nat. Commun.\u901f\u9012\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u65b9\u6cd5\u7814\u7a76\u5317\u6781\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u8fde\u901a\u6027<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
2. <\/strong>\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u589e\u52a0\u5168\u7403\u6b66\u88c5\u51b2\u7a81\u98ce\u9669<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
3.<\/strong><\/strong> Nature\uff1a\u9884\u77e5\u672a\u6765\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u8f68\u8ff9\uff0c\u4e14\u770b\u6c14\u5019-\u793e\u4f1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u590d\u5408\u53cd\u9988<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
4. <\/strong><\/strong><\/span>\u5f20\u6c5f\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u53ef\u5fae\u5206\u7f16\u7a0b\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406 | \u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5168\u65b0\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
5. <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56edVIP\uff0c\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u83b7\u53d6\u96c6\u667a\u5e73\u53f0\u6240\u6709\u5185\u5bb9\u8d44\u6e90<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
6. <\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/section>\n

<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
\n

<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
<\/strong><\/section>\n

<\/mp-style-type><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u672c\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\uff0c\u52a8\u6001\u5168\u7403\u690d\u88ab\u6a21\u578b \u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aUnequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital \u671f\u520a\u6765\u6e90\uff1aNature \u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s4158…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":47254,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47261"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47261"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47261\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/47254"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47261"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47261"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47261"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=47261"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}