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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aRate-induced tipping in complex high-dimensional ecological networks<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n
\u8bba\u6587\u6765\u6e90\uff1aPNAS<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/section>\n
\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2308820120<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u901f\u7387\u8bf1\u5bfc\u4e34\u754c\u76f8\u53d8\uff08Rate-induced tipping\uff09\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0R-tipping\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
\u4e0e\u5206\u5c94\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff08B-tipping\uff09\u6216\u7531\u566a\u58f0\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff08N-tipping\uff09\u662f\u516c\u8ba4\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c14\u5019\u7a81\u53d8\u7684\u673a\u5236\u3002Ashwin\u7b49\u57282012\u5e74\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u7c7b\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4e0e\u5206\u5c94\u6216\u566a\u58f0\u6709\u5173\u7684\u968f\u901f\u7387\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff08R-tipping\uff09\uff0c\u5373\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8f93\u5165\u6216\u53c2\u6570\u53d1\u751f\u8db3\u591f\u5feb\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7cfb\u7edf”\u503e\u659c”\u6216\u504f\u79bb\u5438\u5f15\u5b50\u5206\u652f\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
Ashwin, Peter, et al. “Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences<\/em> 370.1962 (2012): 1166-1184.<\/span><\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5173\u6ce8\u901f\u7387\u8bf1\u5bfc\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u76f8\u53d8<\/span>\uff08Rate-induced tipping\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0R-tipping\uff09<\/span>\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u5373\u53c2\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u901f\u7387\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bfc\u81f4\u7cfb\u7edf\u4ece\u6b63\u5e38\u8fd0\u884c\u5230\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u5c40\u90e8\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u5168\u5c40\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u5206\u6790\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u5171\u5b58\u5438\u5f15\u5b50\u5438\u5f15\u57df\u7684\u8003\u8651\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u80fd\u591f\u9488\u5bf9\u6574\u4e2a\u76f8\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e2d\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u6761\u4ef6\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5e76\u5f15\u5165R-tipping\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4e4b\u524d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5173\u4e8eR-tipping\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u90fd\u662f\u5206\u6790\u4f4e\u7ef4\u73a9\u5177\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u800c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5219\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u9ad8\u7ef4\u4e92\u60e0\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0a\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u51e0\u4f55\u5206\u6790\u5e76\u63a8\u5bfc\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u4e8e\u53c2\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u901f\u7387\u7684R-tipping\u6982\u7387\u7684\u6807\u5ea6\u5f8b\u3002\u8be5\u6807\u5ea6\u5f8b\u5305\u542b\u5728\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9ad8\u7ef4\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u503c\u62df\u5408\u6765\u786e\u5b9a\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6807\u5ea6\u5f8b\u4e2d\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6240\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u8fc7\u7684\u5341\u4e2a\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u6807\u5ea6\u5f8b\u4e0e\u76f4\u63a5\u6570\u503c\u6a21\u62df\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u975e\u5e38\u543b\u5408\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u867d\u7136\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4e92\u60e0\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u5168\u5c40R-tipping\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u7f29\u653e\u5b9a\u5f8b\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u7531\u4e8e\u5fae\u5c0f\u7684\u975e\u96f6\u53c2\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u901f\u7387\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ece\u751f\u5b58\u72b6\u6001\u5230\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u706d\u7edd\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u5177\u6709\u666e\u9002\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


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\u90e8\u5206\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u89e3\u91caR-tipping\u6e10\u8fd1\u6982\u7387\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53ca\u5176\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n
\u4e0e\u4f20\u7c89\u6606\u866b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u690d\u7269\u7269\u79cd\u5f80\u5f80\u5bf9\u7f51\u7edc\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u8d77\u7740\u66f4\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u690d\u7269\u706d\u7edd\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u4f20\u7c89\u6606\u866b\u7684\u5171\u540c\u706d\u7edd\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u76f8\u53cd\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
M. Schleuning et al., Ecological networks are more sensitive to plant than to animal extinction under climate change. Nat. Commun.<\/em> 7<\/strong>, 13965 (2016).<\/span><\/section>\n
\u5177\u6709\u660e\u663e\u62d3\u6251\u7279\u5f81\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u706d\u7edd\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
A. J. Vanbergen, B. A. Woodcock, M. S. Heard, D. S. Chapman, Network size, structure and mutualism dependence affect the propensity for plant-pollinator extinction cascades. Funct. Ecol.<\/em> 31<\/strong>, 1285\u20131293 (2017).<\/span><\/section>\n
T. M. Lewinsohn, P. I. Prado, P. Jordano, J. Bascompte, J. M. Olesen, Structure in plant-animal interaction assemblages. Oikos<\/em> 113<\/strong>, 174\u2013184 (2006).<\/span><\/section>\n
\u7a33\u5065(rubust)\u7684\u690d\u7269\u6388\u7c89\u8005\u4e92\u60e0\u7f51\u7edc\u5f80\u5f80\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u533a\u9694(compartmentalized)\u548c\u5d4c\u5957\u6a21\u5f0f(nested patterns)\u7684\u7ed3\u5408\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
T. M. Lewinsohn, P. I. Prado, P. Jordano, J. Bascompte, J. M. Olesen, Structure in plant-animal interaction assemblages. Oikos<\/em> 113<\/strong>, 174\u2013184 (2006).<\/span><\/section>\n
\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u7684\u4e92\u4f5c\u7f51\u7edc\u5728\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u53c2\u6570\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u6bcf\u79cd\u7f51\u7edc\u90fd\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u6216\u4e24\u79cd\u6216\u6240\u6709\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u5bc6\u5ea6(interaction density)\u3001\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6(specialization)\u3001\u6bcf\u79cd\u690d\u7269\u7684\u6388\u7c89\u8005\u6570\u91cf\u8f83\u5c11\u3001\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u5d4c\u5957\u6027(nestedness)\u548c\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6(modularity)\u7b49\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
A. J. Vanbergen, B. A. Woodcock, M. S. Heard, D. S. Chapman, Network size, structure and mutualism dependence affect the propensity for plant-pollinator extinction cascades. Funct. Ecol. 31, 1285\u20131293 (2017).<\/span><\/section>\n
T. M. Lewinsohn, P. I. Prado, P. Jordano, J. Bascompte, J. M. Olesen, Structure in plant-animal interaction assemblages. Oikos 113, 174\u2013184 (2006).<\/span><\/section>\n
D. P. V\u00e1zquez, N. Bl\u00fcthgen, L. Cagnolo, N. P. Chacoff, Uniting pattern and process in plant-animal mutualistic networks: A review. Ann. Bot. 103, 1445\u20131457 (2009).<\/span><\/section>\n
C. E. Aslan, E. S. Zavaleta, B. Tershy, D. Croll, Mutualism disruption threatens global plant biodiversity: A systematic review. PLoS One 8, e66993 (2013).<\/span><\/section>\n
S. Sheykhali et al., Robustness to extinction and plasticity derived from mutualistic bipartite ecological networks. Sci. Rep. 10, 9783 (2020).<\/span><\/section>\n
M. M. Pires et al., The indirect paths to cascading effects of extinctions in mutualistic networks. Ecology 101 (2020).<\/span><\/section>\n
J.-G. Young, F. S. Valdovinos, M. E. J. Newman, Reconstruction of plant-pollinator networks from observational data. Nat. Commun. 12, 3911 (2021).<\/span><\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u6700\u65b0\u8bba\u6587<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u96c6\u667a\u6591\u56fe\u9876\u520a\u8bba\u6587\u901f\u9012\u680f\u76ee\u4e0a\u7ebf\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u6536\u5f55\u6765\u81eaNature\u3001Science<\/span>\u7b49\u9876\u520a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u8ffd\u8e2a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u7684\u524d\u6cbf\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5f0f\u63a8\u51fa\u8ba2\u9605\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u6bcf\u5468\u901a\u8fc7\u5fae\u4fe1\u670d\u52a1\u53f7\u300c\u6211\u7684\u96c6\u667a\u300d\u63a8\u9001\u8bba\u6587\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u626b\u63cf\u4e0b\u65b9\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801\u5373\u53ef\u4e00\u952e\u8ba2\u9605\uff1a<\/span>
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\u200d<\/span>\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
1. <\/strong>PNAS\u524d\u6cbf\uff1a\u975e\u5e73\u8861\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
2. <\/strong>\u62d3\u5c55\u5bf9\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
3.<\/strong><\/strong> Science\uff1a\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u91cd\u5efa13\u4e07\u5e74\u751f\u6001\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u63ed\u793a\u9876\u7ea7\u6355\u98df\u8005\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u706d\u7edd<\/a><\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
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4. <\/strong><\/strong><\/span>\u5f20\u6c5f\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u53ef\u5fae\u5206\u7f16\u7a0b\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406 | \u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5168\u65b0\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
5. <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56edVIP\uff0c\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u83b7\u53d6\u96c6\u667a\u5e73\u53f0\u6240\u6709\u5185\u5bb9\u8d44\u6e90<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
6. <\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/section>\n

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\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u8ffd\u8e2a\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u9876\u520a\u8bba\u6587<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\uff1a\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff0c\u901f\u7387\u8bf1\u5bfc\u4e34\u754c\u76f8\u53d8\uff0c\u9ad8\u7ef4\u4e92\u60e0\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\uff0c\u6807\u5ea6\u5f8b \u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aRate-induced tipping in complex high-dimensional ecological networks \u8bba\u6587\u6765\u6e90\uff1aPNAS \u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":47268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47274"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47274\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/47268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47274"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=47274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}