{"id":48641,"date":"2024-02-29T21:49:09","date_gmt":"2024-02-29T13:49:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=48641"},"modified":"2024-02-29T21:49:09","modified_gmt":"2024-02-29T13:49:09","slug":"science-advances%e9%80%9f%e9%80%92%ef%bc%9a%e5%9f%ba%e4%ba%8e%e7%89%a9%e7%90%86%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%84%e8%ad%a6%e4%bf%a1%e5%8f%b7%e8%a1%a8%e6%98%8e%ef%bc%8c%e5%a4%a7%e8%a5%bf%e6%b4%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=48641","title":{"rendered":"Science Advances\u901f\u9012\uff1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u7269\u7406\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u73af\u6d41\u906d\u9047\u5371\u673a"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aPhysics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8bba\u6587\u671f\u520a\uff1aScience Advances<\/em>
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\u8bba\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/sciadv.adk1189<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7ecf\u5411\u7ffb\u8f6c\u73af\u6d41<\/span>\uff08AMOC\uff09<\/span>\u662f\u6700\u7a81\u51fa\u7684\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u4e34\u754c\u56e0\u7d20\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5b83\u901a\u8fc7\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u6d0b\u6709\u6548\u5730\u8f93\u9001\u70ed\u91cf\u548c\u76d0\u5206\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u529b\u8c03\u8282\u5317\u534a\u7403\u4e43\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u81ea 2004 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u6570\u636e\u68c0\u6d4b\u5df2\u7ecf\u5bf9AMOC\u7684\u51cf\u5f31\u53d1\u51fa\u9884\u8b66\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5df2\u7ecf\u5904\u4e8e\u8fd1\u5343\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5f31\u6c34\u5e73\u3002AMOC \u5bf9\u6d77\u6d0b\u7684\u6de1\u6c34\u5f3a\u8feb<\/span>\uff08Freshwater forcing\uff09<\/span>\u7279\u522b\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5730\u8868\u6de1\u6c34\u901a\u91cf<\/span>\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u964d\u6c34\uff09<\/span>\u8fd8\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u6cb3\u6d41\u5f84\u6d41\u6216\u51b0\u878d\u5316<\/span>\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u6765\u81ea\u683c\u9675\u5170\u51b0\u76d6\uff09<\/span>\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u6de1\u6c34\u8f93\u5165\u3002\u6de1\u6c34\u8f93\u5165\u53ef\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6d77\u6c34\u7684\u76d0\u5ea6\u548c\u5bc6\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u5f71\u54cd\u6d77\u6d0b\u7684\u5bc6\u5ea6\u9a71\u52a8\u6d41\u52a8\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8fd1\u671f\u8377\u5170\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u53d1\u8868\u5728Science Advances<\/em>\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u5728\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230AMOC\u5d29\u6e83\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5e76\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u7269\u7406\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u7684AMOC\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u8b66\u793a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5357\u90e8\u8fb9\u754cAMOC\u8bf1\u5bfc\u7684\u6700\u5c0f\u6de1\u6c34\u8f93\u9001\u91cf\u3002\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5b9e\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5f53\u4eca\u7684AMOC\u6b63\u8d70\u5411\u5d29\u6e83\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6de1\u6c34\u5f3a\u8feb\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0cAMOC\u5f3a\u5ea6\u9010\u6e10\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u81ea\u7136\u53d8\u5f02\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u5185\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e86AMOC\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u6301\u7eed\u8fed\u4ee3\u540e\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6de1\u6c34\u5f3a\u8feb\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u8d1f\u5411\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8fed\u4ee3\u540e\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86AMOC\u7684\u7a81\u7136\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u4e4b\u524d\u4f7f\u7528\u6781\u5927\u6de1\u6c34\u5f3a\u8feb\u6216\u5927\u521d\u59cb\u76d0\u5ea6\u6270\u52a8\u7684GCM\u6a21\u578b\u6a21\u62df\u6709\u663e\u8457\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u6a21\u62df\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u5185\u90e8\u53cd\u9988\u54cd\u5e94\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u8b66\u793a\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u7269\u7406\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u7684\uff0c\u4e0e\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u65e9\u671f\u8b66\u793a\u6307\u6807\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5b83\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u7f13\u6162\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5f3a\u8feb\u4e0b\uff0cAMOC\u53ef\u80fd\u7ecf\u5386\u76f8\u5bf9\u5feb\u901f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u610f\u4e49\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe1 \u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7ecf\u5411\u7ffb\u8f6c\u73af\u6d41\uff08AMOC\uff09\u3002AMOC \u5d29\u6e83\u5c06\u6781\u5927\u5730\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u70ed\u91cf\uff08\u548c\u76d0\uff09\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5206\u914d\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5317\u534a\u7403\u53d8\u51b7\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u534a\u7403\u7565\u6709\u53d8\u6696\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u200d<\/span>\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
1. <\/strong>\u5730\u7403\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u7684\u591a\u7c73\u8bfa\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1a\u4ece\u4e34\u754c\u7ea7\u8054\u5230\u5efa\u7acb\u97e7\u6027<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
2. <\/strong>\u5982\u4f55\u91cf\u5316\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\uff1f\u57fa\u4e8e\u7b80\u5316\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u5f52\u56e0\u65b9\u6cd5<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
3.<\/strong> \u6c14\u5019\u7ec8\u5c40\u4e4b\u6218\uff1a\u63a2\u7d22\u707e\u96be\u6027\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u666f<\/a><\/a><\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
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4. <\/strong><\/strong><\/span>\u5f20\u6c5f\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u53ef\u5fae\u5206\u7f16\u7a0b\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406 | \u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5168\u65b0\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
<\/strong><\/strong>5.<\/strong> \u9f99\u5e74\u5927\u8fd0\u8d77\uff0c\u5b66\u4e60\u6b63\u5f53\u65f6\uff01\u89e3\u9501\u96c6\u667a\u5168\u7ad9\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u5f00\u542f\u65b0\u5e74\u5b66\u4e60\u8ba1\u5212<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
6. <\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/section>\n


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\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7 \u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aPhysics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course \u8bba\u6587\u671f\u520a\uff1aScience Advances \u8bba\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.science.org\/d…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":48634,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48641"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/48634"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48641"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=48641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}