{"id":53560,"date":"2024-11-15T18:31:25","date_gmt":"2024-11-15T10:31:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=53560"},"modified":"2024-11-15T18:31:25","modified_gmt":"2024-11-15T10:31:25","slug":"pre-%e9%80%9f%e9%80%92%ef%bc%9a%e7%bb%9f%e8%ae%a1%e7%89%a9%e7%90%86%e5%92%8c%e5%8a%a8%e5%8a%9b%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e8%a7%86%e8%a7%92%e4%b8%8b%e7%9a%84%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e7%89%a9%e7%90%86%e6%9e%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=53560","title":{"rendered":"PRE \u901f\u9012\uff1a\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u548c\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7684\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
<\/strong><\/section>\n
\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\uff1a\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\uff0c\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u5b50\uff0c\u5927\u504f\u5dee\u7406\u8bba<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/span>
<\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/section>\n
\n
\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aStatistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events<\/span><\/section>\n

\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/journals.aps.org\/pre\/abstract\/10.1103\/PhysRevE.110.041001<\/span><\/p>\n

\u671f\u520a\u540d\u79f0\uff1aPhysical Review E<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n


<\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u9891\u7387\u548c\u5f3a\u5ea6\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5982\u6781\u7aef\u9ad8\u6e29\u3001\u98d3\u98ce\u548c\u5730\u78c1\u98ce\u66b4\u7b49\uff0c\u6b63\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u53d1\u8868\u5728Physical Review E<\/em>\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4ece\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u548c\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6df1\u5165\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u6846\u67b6\u63ed\u793a\u5176\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u590d\u6742\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f\u6307\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f68\u8ff9\u7684\u77ed\u6682\u504f\u79bb\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5f62\u5f0f\u591a\u6837\uff0c\u5982\u70ed\u6d6a\u3001\u98d3\u98ce\u6216\u5730\u9707\u7b49\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u5f80\u5f80\u6e90\u4e8e\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u5373\u7cfb\u7edf\u4ece\u6b63\u5e38\u72b6\u6001\u7684\u7a81\u7136\u504f\u79bb\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u6781\u503c\u7406\u8bba<\/span>\uff08EVT\uff09<\/span>\u867d\u7136\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u4f46\u65e0\u6cd5\u89e3\u91ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u7269\u7406\u673a\u5236\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0cEVT \u53ea\u80fd\u8ba1\u7b97\u6e29\u5ea6\u6216\u964d\u6c34\u7b49\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u6781\u5927\u503c\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u5374\u65e0\u6cd5\u63ed\u793a\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6839\u6e90\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u5f25\u8865\u8fd9\u4e00\u77e5\u8bc6\u7a7a\u767d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u7ed3\u5408\u4e86\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u5b66\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u65b0\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u6846\u67b6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6846\u67b6\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e0e\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u5b50\u70b9\u5bc6\u5207\u76f8\u5173<\/strong>\uff0c\u8fd8\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8f68\u8ff9\u91cd\u73b0\u6027\u548c\u90e8\u5206\u540c\u6b65\u6027\u7b49\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u590d\u6742\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u65f6\u7a7a\u53d8\u5f02\u6027\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u67d0\u4e9b\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u5438\u5f15\u5b50\u70b9\u7684\u77ed\u6682\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u70b9\u5f80\u5f80\u80fd\u591f\u89e3\u91ca\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u751f\u6210\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8fc7\u5e9e\u52a0\u83b1\u56de\u5f52\u5b9a\u7406\u548c\u5927\u504f\u5dee\u7406\u8bba<\/span>\uff08Large deviations theory\uff0cLDT\uff09<\/span>\u7b49\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6df1\u5165\u91cf\u5316\u4e86\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u7a00\u6709\u6027\u548c\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5e9e\u52a0\u83b1\u56de\u5f52\u5b9a\u7406\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u4fdd\u5b88\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u72b6\u6001\u4f1a\u5728\u8db3\u591f\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u540e\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f68\u8ff9\u7684\u91cd\u73b0\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u80fd\u591f\u63ed\u793a\u51fa\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u7f55\u89c1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u53d1\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u591a\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5728\u6a21\u62df\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5373\u5229\u7528\u5927\u504f\u5dee\u7406\u8bba\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u62df\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u90a3\u4e9b\u5c1a\u672a\u89c2\u6d4b\u5230\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong>\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u6570\u636e\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u63a8\u6f14\u51fa\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8fd8\u901a\u8fc7\u591a\u79cd\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u7ed3\u5408\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u6a21\u62df\u672a\u53d1\u751f\u4e8b\u4ef6\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u5c1a\u672a\u53d1\u751f\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0d\u4ec5\u80fd\u591f\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u63d0\u4f9b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4f9d\u636e\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u79d1\u5b66\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u56fe1. \u6d1b\u4f26\u5179-63 \u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5c40\u90e8\u7ef4\u5ea6\u68af\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/p>\n

\u56fe2. \u6d77\u6d0b\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u6846\u56fe\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u56fe3. \u53d8\u5f02\u7cfb\u6570\u4e0e\u566a\u58f0\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u56fe4. \u6cd5\u56fd 15 \u5929\u6781\u7aef\u70ed\u6d6a\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u56fe5. \u7ecf\u5411\u5927\u6c14\u80fd\u91cf\u4f20\u8f93\u7684 GPD \u53c2\u6570\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u56fe6. \u53f0\u98ce “\u5c24\u5229\u5a1c “\u4ece\u4e2d\u5c3a\u5ea6\u5230\u5bf9\u6d41\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\u4f20\u9012\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

\u9f9a\u94ed\u5eb7<\/span> <\/span>| \u7f16\u8bd1<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/section>\n
<\/span><\/a><\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8\uff1a\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u4e0e\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u4ea4\u53c9\u524d\u6cbf<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
1. <\/strong>\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u7406\u8bba<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
2. <\/strong>\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u9065\u76f8\u5173\u3001\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u540c\u6b65\uff0c\u6d41\u6d6a\u5730\u7403\u79bb\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u8fdc\u5417\uff1f<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
3. <\/strong>Nat. Comput. Sci.\uff1a\u9884\u6d4b\u6781\u7aef\u7f55\u89c1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7b97\u6cd5<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
4. <\/strong><\/span>\u5f20\u6c5f\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u53ef\u5fae\u5206\u7f16\u7a0b\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406 | \u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5168\u65b0\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
<\/strong>5. <\/strong>11.11\u4e00\u5e74\u4e00\u6b21\u9650\u65f6\u7279\u60e0\uff01\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56edVIP\uff0c\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u89e3\u9501\u96c6\u667a\u5e73\u53f0\u6240\u6709\u5185\u5bb9\u8d44\u6e90<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

6. <\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n


<\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/span><\/section>\n

<\/mp-style-type><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\uff1a\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\uff0c\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u5b50\uff0c\u5927\u504f\u5dee\u7406\u8bba \u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aStatistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events \u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/journals.ap…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":53550,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53560"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=53560"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53560\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/53550"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=53560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=53560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=53560"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=53560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}