{"id":54790,"date":"2025-01-07T18:25:19","date_gmt":"2025-01-07T10:25:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=54790"},"modified":"2025-01-07T18:25:19","modified_gmt":"2025-01-07T10:25:19","slug":"pnas-%e9%80%9f%e9%80%92%ef%bc%9a%e5%85%b7%e6%9c%89%e5%be%ae%e8%a7%82-%e5%ae%8f%e8%a7%82%e5%8f%8c%e5%90%91%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%8d%e6%9d%82%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e5%8a%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=54790","title":{"rendered":"PNAS \u901f\u9012\uff1a\u5177\u6709\u5fae\u89c2-\u5b8f\u89c2\u53cc\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7406\u8bba"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aDynamical theory of complex systems with two-way micro\u2013macro causation<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2408676121<\/span><\/section>\n
\u671f\u520a\u540d\u79f0\uff1aPNAS<\/em><\/span><\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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\u81ea\u7136\u754c\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5206\u5b50\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5316\u5b66\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\uff0c\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u591a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u5fae\u89c2\u53d8\u91cf<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u4e2a\u4f53\u884c\u4e3a\u3001\u5206\u5b50\u8fd0\u52a8\uff09<\/span>\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u53d8\u91cf<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u79cd\u7fa4\u6570\u91cf\u3001\u7cfb\u7edf\u80fd\u91cf\uff09<\/span>\u95f4\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u5c24\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7406\u8bba\u591a\u91c7\u7528\u5355\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u8981\u4e48\u81ea\u4e0b\u800c\u4e0a\uff0c\u7531\u5fae\u89c2\u673a\u5236\u51b3\u5b9a\u5b8f\u89c2\u73b0\u8c61\uff1b\u8981\u4e48\u81ea\u4e0a\u800c\u4e0b\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5b8f\u89c2\u53d8\u91cf\u63a8\u65ad\u5fae\u89c2\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5355\u5411\u5206\u6790\u5728\u591a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4ea4\u4e92\u4e2d\u6709\u660e\u663e\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8fd1\u671f\u53d1\u8868\u4e8ePNAS<\/em>\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u63d0\u51fa\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6700\u5927\u71b5\u7406\u8bba\uff08DyMES\uff09<\/strong>\uff0c\u4e3a\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u65b0\u601d\u8def\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u7ed3\u5408\u4fe1\u606f\u8bba\u6700\u5927\u71b5\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0e\u5fae\u89c2\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u673a\u5236\u5efa\u6a21\uff0c\u521b\u5efa\u80fd\u6355\u6349\u5fae\u89c2\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u53cc\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong>\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u3002DyMES \u901a\u8fc7\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7ea6\u675f\u63cf\u8ff0\u5b8f\u89c2\u53d8\u91cf\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u5fae\u89c2\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u5e76\u63a8\u5bfc\u5fae\u89c2\u53d8\u91cf\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6f14\u5316\u89c4\u5f8b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7814\u7a76\u6838\u5fc3\u662f\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6700\u5927\u71b5\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u6269\u5c55\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u6700\u5927\u71b5\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f18\u5316\u5206\u5e03\u71b5\u503c\u4ee5\u63a8\u65ad\u5fae\u89c2\u53d8\u91cf\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u5e38\u5047\u8bbe\u7cfb\u7edf\u5904\u4e8e\u5e73\u8861\u6216\u7a33\u6001\u3002DyMES\u901a\u8fc7\u5f15\u5165\u65f6\u95f4\u5bfc\u6570\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ea6\u675f\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u5728\u975e\u5e73\u8861\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u540c\u65f6\u8ba1\u7b97\u5fae\u89c2\u5206\u5e03\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u72b6\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u8f68\u8ff9<\/strong>\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u62c9\u683c\u6717\u65e5\u4e58\u5b50\u548c\u8f6c\u79fb\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u8be5\u7406\u8bba\u663e\u5f0f\u7eb3\u5165\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4ea4\u4e92\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u9759\u6001\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u6027\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u9ad8\u9ad8\u7ef4\u7cfb\u7edf\u8ba1\u7b97\u6548\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u6587\u7ae0\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u9645\u6a21\u578b\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86 DyMES \u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u9002\u7528\u6027\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\uff0c\u79cd\u7fa4\u6570\u91cf\u901a\u8fc7\u7ade\u4e89\u548c\u6392\u6324\u6548\u5e94\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2a\u4f53\u7e41\u6b96\u7387\uff0c\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u6574\u4f53\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u3002DyMES \u6210\u529f\u9884\u6d4b\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u5916\u754c\u6270\u52a8\u540e\u7f13\u6162\u6062\u590d\u548c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7ea2\u5316<\/span>\uff08reddened\uff09<\/span>\u7b49\u7279\u6027\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5316\u5b66\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u975e\u5e73\u8861\u6001\u5206\u5e03\u4e5f\u5f97\u4ee5\u7cbe\u786e\u6a21\u62df\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0cDyMES\u63ed\u793a\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u6270\u52a8\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u4e24\u7c7b\u7a33\u6001\uff1a\u4e0e\u8f6c\u79fb\u51fd\u6570\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u62c9\u683c\u6717\u65e5\u4e58\u6570\u4e3a\u96f6\u548c\u975e\u96f6\u7684\u7a33\u6001<\/strong>\u3002\u524d\u8005\u4e3a\u4f20\u7edf\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u5c55\u73b0\u4e86\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u65b0\u7ef4\u5ea6\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u9645\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0cDyMES\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u6548\u7387\u4e5f\u660e\u663e\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u9ad8\u7ef4\u751f\u6001\u6a21\u578b\u8ba1\u7b97\u65f6\u95f4\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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DyMES\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u5728\u4e8e\u89e3\u6790\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u5bf9\u6270\u52a8\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u4e0e\u4f20\u7edf\u6a21\u578b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u6062\u590d\u901f\u5ea6\u66f4\u6162\u4f46\u603b\u54cd\u5e94\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u80fd\u6355\u6349\u6270\u52a8\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u7a33\u6001\u8f6c\u53d8\u548c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7279\u6027\u3002\u7279\u6709\u7684\u8fdf\u6ede\u6548\u5e94\u548c\u9891\u8c31\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e3a\u7406\u89e3\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u63d0\u4f9b\u7406\u8bba\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4e5f\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u4f30\u5177\u6709\u6307\u5bfc\u610f\u4e49\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u672a\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u5305\u62ec\u6269\u5c55 DyMES \u5904\u7406\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u63a2\u7d22\u8f6c\u79fb\u71b5\u7b49\u4fe1\u606f\u6d4b\u5ea6\u7684\u9002\u7528\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u91cf\u5316\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u94fe\u6761\u3002DyMES \u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\u8fd8\u9700\u901a\u8fc7\u8de8\u9886\u57df\u5b9e\u9a8c\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u8ba4\u5176\u9002\u7528\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe1. Dynamic Maxent across Entwined Scales (DyMES) \u4e2d\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u6982\u5ff5\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe2. DyMES\u793a\u610f\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u6270\u52a8\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe3. \u603b\u4e30\u5ea6 N \u5bf9\u968f\u673a\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u56fe4. \u5728\u4e0e\u56fe3\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u6270\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u603b\u4e30\u5ea6N(t) \u7684\u8c31\u5bc6\u5ea6\u51fd\u6570 (sdf) \u7684\u529f\u7387\u8c31\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n


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\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u81ea\u52a8\u5efa\u6a21\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\uff1a\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u9a71\u52a8\u5230\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\uff0c\u63a2\u7d22\u7cfb\u7edf\u5185\u5728\u89c4\u5f8b\uff5c\u5185\u964475\u7bc7\u9886\u57df\u5fc5\u8bfb\u6587\u732e<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

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\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
1. <\/strong>PRE\u524d\u6cbf\u901f\u9012\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u6709\u5411\u8fb9\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u8d21\u732e\u503c<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
2. <\/strong>Science\u7ecf\u5178\u8bba\u6587\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u6d4b\u590d\u6742\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1f<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
3. <\/strong>Nat.Commun.\u524d\u6cbf\uff1a\u53d8\u5206\u81ea\u56de\u5f52\u7f51\u7edc\u6c42\u89e3\u975e\u5e73\u8861\u6001\u7edf\u8ba1\u529b\u5b66\u548c\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u76f8\u53d8<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
4. <\/strong><\/span>\u5f20\u6c5f\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u53ef\u5fae\u5206\u7f16\u7a0b\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406 | \u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5168\u65b0\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
<\/strong>5. <\/strong>\u9f99\u5e74\u5927\u8fd0\u8d77\uff0c\u5b66\u4e60\u6b63\u5f53\u65f6\uff01\u89e3\u9501\u96c6\u667a\u5168\u7ad9\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u5f00\u542f\u65b0\u5e74\u5b66\u4e60\u8ba1\u5212<\/a><\/strong><\/section>\n

6. <\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n


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\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/span><\/section>\n

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