{"id":57290,"date":"2025-03-25T21:30:54","date_gmt":"2025-03-25T13:30:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=57290"},"modified":"2025-03-25T21:30:54","modified_gmt":"2025-03-25T13:30:54","slug":"%e5%8d%83%e9%92%a7%e4%b8%80%e5%8f%91%ef%bc%9a%e5%9c%a8%e8%81%94%e7%b3%bb%e6%97%a5%e7%9b%8a%e5%af%86%e5%88%87%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e4%b8%ad%e9%87%8d%e6%96%b0%e5%ae%a1%e8%a7%86%e4%b8%b4%e7%95%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=57290","title":{"rendered":"\u5343\u94a7\u4e00\u53d1\uff1a\u5728\u8054\u7cfb\u65e5\u76ca\u5bc6\u5207\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u4e34\u754c\u8106\u5f31\u6027"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u5728\u5f53\u4eca\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\uff0c\u9690\u85cf\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u88ab\u4eba\u4eec\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5373\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u53d7\u7ade\u4e89\u538b\u529b\u7684\u5f3a\u5316\uff0c\u77ed\u89c6\u5730\u4f18\u5316\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u65e0\u610f\u4e2d\u5c06\u6574\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u9762\u5bf9\u6270\u52a8\u53d8\u5f97\u6781\u5176\u8106\u5f31\uff0c\u8fd9\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u4e34\u754c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u201d<\/span>\uff08Critical fragility\uff09<\/span>\u3002PNAS<\/em>\u8fd1\u65e5\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u8be5\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u6210\u56e0\u4e0e\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u547c\u5401\u91c7\u7528\u7cfb\u7edf\u8bba\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\uff0c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e34\u754c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u79ef\u6781\u52a0\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aCritical fragility in sociotechnical systems<\/span><\/section>\n
\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2415139122<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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\u4f18\u5316\u6548\u7387+\u77ed\u89c6<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

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\u7cfb\u7edf\u5982\u4f55\u8d70\u5411\u5d29\u6e83\u8fb9\u7f18<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u8bf8\u5982\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u96c6\u7fa4\u4e2d\uff0c\u5404\u4e2a\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u662f\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u89c1\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7ade\u4e89\u538b\u529b\u8feb\u4f7f\u5404\u4e2a\u4f01\u4e1a\u79ef\u6781\u4f18\u5316\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u6210\u672c\u548c\u65f6\u95f4\u6548\u7387\u3002\u5f53\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u8fd0\u884c\u987a\u7545\u65f6\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u53bb\u9664\u5197\u4f59\u3001\u4ece\u7279\u5b9a\u5730\u70b9\u91c7\u8d2d\u539f\u6750\u6599\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u6700\u4f4e\u5e93\u5b58\u6765\u4f18\u5316\u5176\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u3002\u5f53\u8bb8\u591a\u4f01\u4e1a\u2014\u2014\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u2014\u2014\u540c\u65f6\u8fdb\u884c\u8fd9\u79cd\u77ed\u89c6\u7684\u4f18\u5316\u65f6\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u751f\u4ea7\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c06\u88ab\u63a8\u5411\u60ac\u5d16\u8fb9\u7f18\uff0c\u53d8\u5f97\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u8d8a\u77ed\u89c6\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u5c31\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u4e34\u754c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u663e\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u5927\u578b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u663e\u8457\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e\u4f20\u7edf\u5747\u8861\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u901a\u5e38\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e4b\u8c1c\u201d\u6216\u201c\u5c0f\u51b2\u51fb\u3001\u5927\u5546\u4e1a\u5468\u671f\u4e4b\u8c1c\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5747\u8861\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a\u5b83\u4eec\u901a\u5e38\u5047\u8bbe\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u80fd\u5b8c\u7f8e\u534f\u8c03\uff0c\u5e76\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u4f9b\u9700\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u5173\u6ce8\u751f\u4ea7\u7f51\u7edc\u7ed3\u6784\u5728\u653e\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u5e38\u4ecd\u57fa\u4e8e\u7cfb\u7edf\u5904\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u72b6\u6001\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u7814\u7a76\u5f88\u5c11\u6269\u5c55\u5230\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u96be\u4ee5\u5168\u9762\u63ed\u793a\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5f53\u7cfb\u7edf\u7ec4\u4ef6\u9ad8\u5ea6\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e14\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8db3\u591f\u7f13\u51b2\u65f6\uff0c\u5fae\u5c0f\u7684\u5c40\u90e8\u6ce2\u52a8\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u7f51\u7edc\u8fde\u63a5\u88ab\u9010\u7ea7\u653e\u5927\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u50cf\u97f3\u54cd\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u5faa\u73af\u2014\u2014\u5f53\u9ea6\u514b\u98ce\u6355\u6349\u5230\u626c\u58f0\u5668\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\u5e76\u518d\u6b21\u653e\u5927\u65f6\uff0c\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u523a\u8033\u7684\u5578\u53eb\u58f0\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\uff0c\u521d\u59cb\u7684\u5c0f\u6270\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u53cd\u9988\u673a\u5236\u88ab\u653e\u5927\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f15\u53d1\u5168\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8fd9\u79cd\u653e\u5927\u6548\u5e94\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u770b\u4f3c\u7a33\u5065\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6709\u65f6\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5c0f\u51b2\u51fb\u505a\u51fa\u8fc7\u5ea6\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f20\u7edf\u98ce\u9669\u6a21\u578b\u5e38\u5e38\u4f4e\u4f30\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7efc\u5408\u542f\u793a\uff1a\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u4e0e\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u5e73\u8861<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9610\u660e\u5bfc\u81f4\u793e\u4f1a\u6280\u672f\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u3001\u5931\u8d25\u548c\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5371\u673a\u7684\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u627e\u5230\u8865\u6551\u63aa\u65bd\u3001\u7f13\u89e3\u63aa\u65bd\u548c\u63d0\u51fa\u9002\u5f53\u6cd5\u89c4\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ecd\u9700\u8fdb\u884c\u5927\u91cf\u7814\u7a76\u4ee5\u627e\u5230\u201c\u53cd\u8106\u5f31\u201d\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4f7f\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u906d\u53d7\u5de8\u5927\u51b2\u51fb\u65f6\u80fd\u591f\u81ea\u53d1\u6539\u8fdb\uff0c\u81ea\u6211\u5b8c\u5584\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u672c\u6587\u4e3a\u79d1\u666e\u4e2d\u56fd-\u521b\u4f5c\u57f9\u80b2\u8ba1\u5212\u6276\u6301\u4f5c\u54c1<\/section>\n
\u4f5c\u8005 | \u90ed\u745e\u4e1c<\/section>\n
\u5ba1\u6838 | \u5f20\u6c5f\uff08\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u5b66\u9662\u6559\u6388\uff09<\/span><\/section>\n
\u51fa\u54c1 | \u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u534f\u79d1\u666e\u90e8<\/section>\n
\u76d1\u5236 | \u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u6280\u672f\u51fa\u7248\u793e\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u4e2d\u79d1\u661f\u6cb3\u6587\u5316\u4f20\u5a92\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n
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\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/section>\n
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-\u76f4\u64ad\u9884\u544a-<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u5408\u80a5\u5de5\u4e1a\u5927\u5b66\u7269\u7406\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u674e\u660e\u3001\u540c\u6d4e\u5927\u5b66\u526f\u6559\u6388\u5f20\u6bc5\u8d85\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u7279\u8058\u526f\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u53f2\u8d35\u5143\u4e0e\u5728\u8bfb\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u90b1\u4ef2\u666e\u3001\u5f20\u7ae0\u5171\u540c\u53d1\u8d77<\/span>\u300c\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u300d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/a>\u3002\u672c\u6b21\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u5c06\u63a2\u8ba8\uff1a\u540c\u6b65\u76f8\u53d8\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u6027\u3001\u5982\u4f55\u666e\u9002\u5730\u523b\u753b\u591a\u7a33\u6001\u4e0e\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u3001\u5982\u4f55\u8bc6\u522b\u5e76\u9884\u6d4b\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\u3001\u5982\u4f55\u901a\u8fc7\u5c40\u90e8\u5e72\u9884\u6765\u8c03\u63a7\u7cfb\u7edf\u4fdd\u6301\u6216\u56de\u5230\u671f\u671b\u7a33\u6001\u3001\u7206\u70b8\u903e\u6e17\u4e34\u754c\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u5173\u952e\u7279\u5f81\u3001\u4e0d\u540c\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u7ea7\u8054\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5bf9\u903e\u6e17\u76f8\u53d8\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u4f55\u5f02\u540c\u3001\u9ad8\u9636\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u80fd\u5426\u7b49\u6548\u4e3a\u82e5\u5e72\u7b80\u5355\u673a\u5236\u7684\u53e0\u52a0\u3001\u5982\u4f55\u6709\u6548\u5730\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e2a\u4f53\u95f4\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0a\u7684\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e0e\u96c6\u4f53\u884c\u4e3a\uff1a\u4ece\u6269\u6563\u3001\u76f8\u53d8\u5230\u535a\u5f08 | \u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
<\/strong><\/section>\n
1. <\/strong>\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u8bc6\u522b\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ca\u5178\u578b\u4e34\u754c\u70b9<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
2. <\/strong>Science\u7efc\u8ff0\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u9884\u6d4b\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\uff1f<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
3. <\/strong>PRE\u901f\u9012\uff1a\u7528\u8fde\u7eed\u76f8\u53d8\u63cf\u8ff0\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e34\u754c\u6027<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
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4. <\/strong><\/span>\u5f20\u6c5f\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u53ef\u5fae\u5206\u7f16\u7a0b\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406 | \u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5168\u65b0\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
<\/strong>5. <\/strong>\u89e3\u9501\u96c6\u667a\u5168\u7ad9\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u5f00\u542f\u65b0\u5e74\u5b66\u4e60\u8ba1\u5212<\/a><\/strong><\/section>\n

6. <\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n


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\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/span><\/section>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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