{"id":57315,"date":"2025-03-24T18:26:57","date_gmt":"2025-03-24T10:26:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=57315"},"modified":"2025-03-24T18:26:57","modified_gmt":"2025-03-24T10:26:57","slug":"%e7%94%9f%e6%80%81%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e4%b8%b4%e7%95%8c%e7%82%b9%e8%af%86%e5%88%ab%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95%e5%8f%8a%e5%85%b8%e5%9e%8b%e4%b8%b4%e7%95%8c%e7%82%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=57315","title":{"rendered":"\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u8bc6\u522b\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ca\u5178\u578b\u4e34\u754c\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff5c\u300aEarth’s Tipping Points: Understanding Climate Change and Our Path to a Sustainable Future\u300b\u5c01\u9762<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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2.2 \u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5728\u300aTipping detection using climate networks\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u6765\u68c0\u6d4b\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7f51\u7edc\u6307\u6807\u4f5c\u4e3a\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u7ed3\u5408\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u7a7a\u95f4\u4fe1\u606f\u6784\u5efa\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u6765\u68c0\u6d4b\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff0c\u5f25\u8865\u4e86\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7\u96be\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7a7a\u95f4\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u5730\u7403\u8868\u9762\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u7f51\u683c\u70b9<\/span>\uff08\u8282\u70b9\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u5e76\u6839\u636e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u91cf<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u6e29\u5ea6\u3001\u6e7f\u5ea6\u7b49\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u6765\u5b9a\u4e49\u8282\u70b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8fde\u63a5<\/span>\uff08\u8fb9\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u4e24\u79cd\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u6784\u5efa\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\uff1a\u76ae\u5c14\u900a\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u2014\u2014\u7528\u4e8e\u68c0\u6d4b\u7ebf\u6027\u76f8\u5173\u6027\uff0c\u4e92\u4fe1\u606f\u2014\u2014\u7528\u4e8e\u63ed\u793a\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u7f51\u7edc\u6307\u6807\u5305\u62ec\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u5ea6\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6027<\/span>\uff08Normalized Degree Centrality\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u5c40\u90e8\u805a\u7c7b\u7cfb\u6570<\/span>\uff08Local Clustering Coefficient\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u8def\u5f84\u957f\u5ea6<\/span>\uff08Average Path Length\uff09<\/span>\u548c\u4ecb\u6570\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6027<\/span>\uff08Betweenness Centrality\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u4f7f\u7528\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u6d41\u6a21\u578b<\/span>\uff08MITgcm\uff09<\/span>\u8fdb\u884c\u6a21\u62df\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u96ea\u7403\u5730\u7403<\/span>\uff08snowball\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u6c34\u5e26<\/span>\uff08waterbelt\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u51b7\u6001<\/span>\uff08cold\uff09<\/span>\u3001\u6696\u6001<\/span>\uff08warm\uff09<\/span>\u548c\u70ed\u6001<\/span>\uff08hot\uff09<\/span>\u4e94\u79cd\u6c14\u5019\u72b6\u6001\u5438\u5f15\u5b50\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6539\u53d8\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6d53\u5ea6\u6765\u8bf1\u5bfc\u6c14\u5019\u72b6\u6001\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8f6c\u6362\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5f3a\u8feb\u901f\u7387\u5bf9\u7f51\u7edc\u6307\u6807\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u95f4\u7a97\u53e3\u5927\u5c0f\u5bf9\u7f51\u7edc\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u6307\u6807\u80fd\u591f\u6709\u6548\u68c0\u6d4b\u5230\u5168\u7403\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u8f6c\u6362\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6307\u6807\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u65f6\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u663e\u8457\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u6bd4\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u57fa\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u53f7\u66f4\u4e3a\u654f\u611f\u548c\u53ef\u9760\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u4e0d\u540c\u7eac\u5ea6\u533a\u57df<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u6781\u5730\u3001\u4e2d\u7eac\u5ea6\u548c\u8d64\u9053\u533a\u57df\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u53d1\u73b0\u67d0\u4e9b\u533a\u57df<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u8d64\u9053\u533a\u57df\uff09<\/span>\u5728\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u8f6c\u6362\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u66f4\u5f3a\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u7a7a\u95f4\u4fe1\u606f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u68c0\u6d4b\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4e14\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u80fd\u591f\u63ed\u793a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u533a\u57df\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u8fd8\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u6001\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u6bd4\u8f83\u76ae\u5c14\u900a\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u548c\u4e92\u4fe1\u606f\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u53d1\u73b0\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u5728\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u8f6c\u6362\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4e3a\u663e\u8457\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u4ece\u51b7\u6001\u5230\u70ed\u6001\u7684\u8f6c\u6362\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u6c14\u7f57\u65af\u8d1d\u6ce2<\/span>\uff08Rossby waves\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u6210\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u6587\u7ae0\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u65b9\u6cd5\u80fd\u591f\u7ed3\u5408\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u7a7a\u95f4\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4e3a\u68c0\u6d4b\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e2d\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0d\u4ec5\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u8f6c\u6362\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u6269\u5c55\u5230\u533a\u57df\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u68c0\u6d4b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u7f51\u7edc\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u63ed\u793a\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u6001\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e3a\u7406\u89e3\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u63d0\u4f9b\u65b0\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u3002\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u63a2\u7d22\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7814\u7a76\u5176\u4ed6\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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2.3 \u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u6cd5\u80fd\u591f\u5904\u7406\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u3001\u9ad8\u7ef4\u5ea6\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u5f3a\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u6355\u6349\u590d\u6742\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5728\u300aMachine learning prediction of tipping in complex dynamical systems\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u50a8\u5907\u6c60\u8ba1\u7b97<\/span>\uff08reservoir computing\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u590d\u6742\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u3002\u8be5\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\u5229\u7528\u566a\u58f0\u6765\u8bad\u7ec3\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u566a\u58f0\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u7a33\u5b9a\u72b6\u6001\u4e0b\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5e2e\u52a9\u6a21\u578b\u5b66\u4e60\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u6d4b\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u50a8\u5907\u6c60\u8ba1\u7b97\u6846\u67b6\u5305\u62ec\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u90e8\u5206\uff1a\u2460\u8f93\u5165\u5c42\uff1a\u5c06\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7cfb\u7edf\u53c2\u6570\u8f93\u5165\u5230\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u3002\u2461\u9690\u85cf\u5c42<\/span>\uff08\u50a8\u5907\u6c60\uff09<\/span>\uff1a\u5305\u542b\u591a\u4e2a\u52a8\u6001\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u968f\u673a\u751f\u6210\u7684\u8fde\u63a5\u77e9\u9635\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u4e92\u3002\u2462\u8f93\u51fa\u5c42\uff1a\u5c06\u9690\u85cf\u5c42\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u6620\u5c04\u4e3a\u8f93\u51fa\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u672a\u6765\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u8f93\u5165\u5c42\u5c06\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u548c\u53c2\u6570\u8f93\u5165\u5230\u9690\u85cf\u5c42\uff0c\u9690\u85cf\u5c42\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u72b6\u6001\u901a\u8fc7\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u6fc0\u6d3b\u51fd\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u66f4\u65b0\u3002\u8f93\u51fa\u5c42\u901a\u8fc7\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u4f18\u5316\u8f93\u51fa\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u672a\u6765\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u566a\u58f0\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u8d77\u5230\u4e86\u5173\u952e\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5176\u53ef\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4f7f\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u63a2\u7d22\u76f8\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5b66\u4e60\u5230\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u566a\u58f0\u6c34\u5e73\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6cdb\u5316\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u8fc7\u62df\u5408\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u6587\u7ae0\u901a\u8fc7\u591a\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u8be5\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u9884\u6d4b\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7ecf\u5411\u7ffb\u8f6c\u73af\u6d41<\/span>\uff08AMOC\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5d29\u6e83\u3001\u751f\u6001\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u7b49\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u56db\u79cd\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u50a8\u5907\u6c60\u8ba1\u7b97\u6846\u67b6\u9884\u6d4b\u4e86AMOC\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u7a97\u53e3\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793aAMOC\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5d29\u6e83\u65f6\u95f4\u7a97\u53e3\u96c6\u4e2d\u57282040\u5e74\u81f32065\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u4e0e\u73b0\u6709\u6587\u732e\u4e2d\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u8fd8\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9645\u7684\u690d\u7269-\u4f20\u7c89\u8005\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u50a8\u5907\u6c60\u8ba1\u7b97\u6846\u67b6\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u751f\u6001\u7f51\u7edc\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u6574\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u7684\u53c2\u6570<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u4f20\u7c89\u8005\u7684\u8870\u51cf\u7387\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u591f\u6210\u529f\u9884\u6d4b\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u672c\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u7f3a\u4e4f\u632f\u8361\u6570\u636e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7ba1\u7406\u7b49\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u548c\u5e94\u5bf9\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u4e09\u3001\u5178\u578b\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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3.1 \u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u662f\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u8d85\u8fc710%\u7684\u9646\u5730\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u548c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u5168\u740315-20\u5e74CO\u2082\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u7684\u78b3\u50a8\u91cf\u3002\u5b83\u901a\u8fc7\u84b8\u6563\u53d1\u4f5c\u7528\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u4ea7\u751f\u51b7\u5374\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u63d0\u4f9b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6c34\u5206\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u3001\u6781\u7aef\u5e72\u65f1\u3001\u68ee\u6797\u780d\u4f10\u548c\u706b\u707e\u7b49\u591a\u91cd\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u6b63\u5728\u53d7\u5230\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u5185\u8fbe\u5230\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5728\u300aCritical transitions in the Amazon forest system\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u53ca\u5176\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u751f\u6001\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u7efc\u5408\u53e4\u751f\u6001\u8bb0\u5f55\u3001\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6a21\u578b\u6a21\u62df\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u7cfb\u7edf\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u538b\u529b\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u3001\u5e74\u964d\u6c34\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u964d\u6c34\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3001\u65f1\u5b63\u957f\u5ea6\u548c\u7d2f\u79ef\u68ee\u6797\u780d\u4f10\u7b49\uff0c\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u4e34\u754c\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u5411\u4e34\u754c\u72b6\u6001\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53cd\u9988\u673a\u5236\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u7ed3\u5408\u7a7a\u95f4\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u5e72\u6270\u56e0\u7d20\u5bf9\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u6d4b\u4e86\u52302050\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u68ee\u6797\u533a\u57df\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u768410%\u523047%\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u590d\u5408\u5e72\u6270\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e72\u6270\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u610f\u5916\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u52a0\u5267\u533a\u57df\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5728\u590d\u5408\u5e72\u6270\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\uff0c\u68ee\u6797\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f6c\u53d8\u53ef\u80fd\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u4e09\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8f68\u8ff9\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u9000\u5316\u7684\u68ee\u6797<\/span>\uff08degraded forest\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u767d\u6c99\u7a00\u6811\u8349\u539f<\/span>\uff08white-sand savanna\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u9000\u5316\u7684\u5f00\u9614\u6797\u51a0\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span>\uff08degraded open-canopy ecosystem\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u51e0\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u66961.5\u00b0C\u4ee5\u5185\uff0c\u5e74\u964d\u6c34\u91cf1800 mm\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u7d2f\u79ef\u6c34\u8d64\u5b57<\/span>\uff08MCWD\uff09<\/span>-350 mm\uff0c\u65f1\u5b63\u957f\u5ea6\u4e3a\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7d2f\u8ba1\u68ee\u6797\u780d\u4f10\u4e3a\u539f\u59cb\u68ee\u6797\u8986\u76d6\u768410%\u3002\u8d85\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9608\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u68ee\u6797\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u3001\u571f\u58e4\u80a5\u529b\u548c\u690d\u7269\u8986\u76d6\u5ea6\u7684\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u578b\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u5185\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5d29\u6e83\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u540c\u5e72\u6270\u56e0\u7d20\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u548c\u534f\u540c\u6548\u5e94\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u89e6\u53d1\u610f\u5916\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u91c7\u53d6\u9884\u9632\u6027\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u68ee\u6797\u5728\u5b89\u5168\u8fb9\u754c\u5185\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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3.2 \u5e72\u65f1\u533a\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5e72\u65f1\u533a<\/span>\uff08drylands\uff09<\/span>\u662f\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u6700\u6613\u53d7\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u571f\u5730\u9000\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u8986\u76d6\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u56db\u6210\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u9646\u5730\u9762\u79ef\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u662f\u8d85\u8fc720\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5bb6\u56ed\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5e72\u65f1\u5316\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5e72\u65f1\u533a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u663e\u8457\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e72\u65f1\u5316\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c5e\u6027\u7684\u6e10\u8fdb\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u8fd8\u662f\u7a81\u53d8\u6027\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u5426\u5177\u6709\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u6216\u7279\u5b9a\u6027\u4ecd\u77e5\u4e4b\u751a\u5c11\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5728\u300aGlobal ecosystem thresholds driven by aridity\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4eec\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u5168\u7403\u5e72\u65f1\u5730\u533a20\u4e2a\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u529f\u80fd\u5c5e\u6027\u5bf9\u5e72\u65f1\u5316\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\uff0c\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u5e72\u65f1\u5316\u5bf9\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5e72\u65f1\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c5e\u6027\u53d1\u751f\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u548c\u7a81\u53d8\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u6309\u987a\u5e8f\u5206\u4e3a\u4e09\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5bf9\u5e94\u690d\u7269\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u3001\u571f\u58e4\u80a5\u529b\u548c\u690d\u7269\u8986\u76d6\u5ea6\u53ca\u4e30\u5bcc\u5ea6\u7684\u6025\u5267\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u571f\u5730\u9000\u5316\u548c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u4e27\u5931\u3002\u5f53\u5e72\u65f1\u503c\u8d85\u8fc70.54\u65f6\uff0c\u5e72\u65f1\u533a\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5904\u4e8e\u690d\u88ab\u8870\u9000\u9636\u6bb5<\/span>\uff08Vegetation Decline Phase\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u690d\u88ab\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff1b\u5f53\u5e72\u65f1\u503c\u8d85\u8fc70.7\u65f6\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u5904\u4e8e\u571f\u58e4\u7834\u574f\u9636\u6bb5<\/span>\uff08Soil Disruption Phase\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u571f\u58e4\u80a5\u529b\u76f8\u5173\u53d8\u91cf\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u690d\u88ab\u4e0e\u571f\u58e4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u663e\u8457\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u5f53\u5e72\u65f1\u503c\u8d85\u8fc70.8\u65f6\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u5904\u4e8e\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\u9636\u6bb5<\/span>\uff08Ecosystem Breakdown Phase\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u690d\u7269\u8986\u76d6\u5ea6\u6025\u5267\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u53cd\u7167\u7387\u6307\u6570\u6027\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u690d\u7269\u7269\u79cd\u4e30\u5bcc\u5ea6\u663e\u8457\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a<\/span>\uff08IPCC\uff09<\/span>\u7684RCP8.5\u60c5\u666f\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u52302100\u5e74\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc720%\u7684\u9646\u5730\u8868\u9762\u5c06\u8de8\u8d8a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e72\u65f1\u9608\u503c\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6216\u591a\u4e2a\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u529f\u80fd\u548c\u7ed3\u6784\u5c5e\u6027\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u5f71\u54cd\u5176\u63d0\u4f9b\u5173\u952e\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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3.3 \u73ca\u745a\u7901<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5bf9\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u65e5\u76ca\u663e\u8457\u3002\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u5bf9\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u6781\u4e3a\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u5f53\u6d77\u6c34\u6e29\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u65f6\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u4f1a\u5931\u53bb\u5176\u5171\u751f\u85fb\u7c7b\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u73ca\u745a\u767d\u5316\u3002\u767d\u5316\u7684\u73ca\u745a\u751f\u7406\u53d7\u635f\uff0c\u82e5\u767d\u5316\u4e25\u91cd\u4e14\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u957f\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u5f53\u7d2f\u79ef\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u5b9a\u9608\u503c\u65f6\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u7684\u73ca\u745a\u8986\u76d6\u7387\u548c\u529f\u80fd\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u6d77\u6d0b\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u5728\u300aGlobal warming transforms coral reef assemblages\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u8be6\u7ec6\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5bf9\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u5bf9\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u7fa4\u843d\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u54cd\u5e94\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u901a\u8fc7\u7a7a\u4e2d\u8c03\u67e5\u3001\u6c34\u4e0b\u8c03\u67e5\u3001\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u91cf\u5316\u3001\u957f\u671f\u73ca\u745a\u635f\u5931\u8bc4\u4f30\u3001\u529f\u80fd\u7279\u5f81\u5206\u6790\u7b49\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e86\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u5f53\u7d2f\u79ef\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u8d85\u8fc73-4\u00b0C\u5468\u65f6\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u5f00\u59cb\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u57284-10\u00b0C\u5468\u7684\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u4e0b\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u8986\u76d6\u5ea6\u5728\u516b\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u4e0b\u964d\u4e8640%-90%\u30026\u00b0C\u5468\u6216\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u5bfc\u81f4\u73ca\u745a\u7fa4\u843d\u7ed3\u6784\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u533a\u57df\u6027\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u73ca\u745a\u7fa4\u843d\u7684\u4e09\u7ef4\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u751f\u6001\u529f\u80fd\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u7fa4\u843d\u4ece\u4ee5\u5feb\u901f\u751f\u957f\u3001\u4e09\u7ef4\u3001\u5206\u652f\u72b6\u548c\u677f\u72b6\u7269\u79cd\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u4ee5\u5f62\u6001\u7b80\u5355\u3001\u751f\u957f\u7f13\u6162\u7684\u7269\u79cd\u4e3a\u4e3b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6025\u6027\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u662f\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u30022016\u5e74\u7684\u5927\u5821\u7901\u767d\u5316\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u70ed\u5e94\u6fc0\u5bf9\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8fdc\u8d85\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u6700\u504f\u8fdc\u548c\u53d7\u4fdd\u62a4\u7684\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u4e5f\u672a\u80fd\u5e78\u514d\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u767d\u5316\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u9891\u7387\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6062\u590d\u524d\u666f\u9eef\u6de1\u3002\u9664\u975e\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u9000\u5316\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f62\u6210\u9002\u5e94\u9ad8\u6e29\u7684\u65b0\u7fa4\u843d\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
1. Berdugo, M., Delgado-Baquerizo, M., Soliveres, S., Hern\u00e1ndez-Clemente, R., Zhao, Y., Gait\u00e1n, J. J., Gross, N., Saiz, H., Maire, V., Lehman, A., Rillig, M. C., Sol\u00e9, R. V., & Maestre, F. T. (2020). Global ecosystem thresholds driven by aridity. Science<\/em>, 367<\/em>(6479), 787\u2013790. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.aay5958<\/span><\/section>\n
2. Flores, B. M., Montoya, E., Sakschewski, B., Nascimento, N., Staal, A., Betts, R. A., Levis, C., Lapola, D. M., Esqu\u00edvel-Muelbert, A., Jakovac, C., Nobre, C. A., Oliveira, R. S., Borma, L. S., Nian, D., Boers, N., Hecht, S. B., ter Steege, H., Arieira, J., Lucas, I. L., \u2026 Hirota, M. (2024). Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system. Nature<\/em>, 626<\/em>(7999), 555\u2013564. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41586-023-06970-0<\/span><\/section>\n
3. Hughes, T. P., Kerry, J. T., Baird, A. H., Connolly, S. R., Dietzel, A., Eakin, C. M., Heron, S. F., Hoey, A. S., Hoogenboom, M. O., Liu, G., McWilliam, M. J., Pears, R. J., Pratchett, M. S., Skirving, W. J., Stella, J. S., & Torda, G. (2018). Global warming transforms coral reef assemblages. Nature<\/em>, 556<\/em>(7702), 492\u2013496. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41586-018-0041-2<\/span><\/section>\n
4. Moinat, L., Kasparian, J., & Brunetti, M. (2024). Tipping detection using climate networks<\/em>. March 2022<\/em>. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1063\/5.0230848<\/span><\/section>\n
5. Panahi, S., Kong, L. W., Moradi, M., Zhai, Z. M., Glaz, B., Haile, M., & Lai, Y. C. (2024). Machine learning prediction of tipping in complex dynamical systems. Physical Review Research<\/em>, 6<\/em>(4), 43194. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1103\/PhysRevResearch.6.043194<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u65b0\u8303\u5f0f\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4ea4\u53c9\u524d\u6cbf | \u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
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1. <\/strong>\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\uff1a\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u7a81\u7834\u5230\u5730\u7403\u751f\u6001\u7684\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u5bf9\u8bdd<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
2. <\/strong>\u91cd\u78c5\u7efc\u8ff0\uff1a\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u6a21\u578b\u7b80\u53f2\u4e0e\u672a\u6765\u516b\u5927\u6311\u6218<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
3. <\/strong>\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u7b80\u53f2\u53ca\u91cd\u5927\u6311\u6218<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
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4. <\/strong><\/span>\u5f20\u6c5f\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u53ef\u5fae\u5206\u7f16\u7a0b\u5230\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406 | \u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u5168\u65b0\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
<\/strong>5. <\/strong>\u89e3\u9501\u96c6\u667a\u5168\u7ad9\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u5f00\u542f\u65b0\u5e74\u5b66\u4e60\u8ba1\u5212<\/a><\/strong><\/section>\n

6. <\/strong>\u52a0\u5165\u96c6\u667a\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u590d\u6742\uff01<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

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\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/span><\/section>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff5c\u300aEarth’s Tipping Points: Understanding Climate Change and Our Path to a Sustainable Future\u300b\u5c01\u9762 \u5bfc\u8bed \u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u4e4e\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7a33\u5b9a\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u4eba\u7c7b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":57309,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57315"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57315"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57315\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/57309"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57315"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57315"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57315"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=57315"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}