{"id":63650,"date":"2025-08-19T18:06:48","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T10:06:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=63650"},"modified":"2025-08-19T18:06:48","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T10:06:48","slug":"%e6%9c%89%e6%95%88%e5%a4%8d%e6%9d%82%e6%80%a7%e7%9a%84%e8%be%b9%e7%95%8c%ef%bc%9a%e5%9c%a8%e6%9c%89%e5%ba%8f%e4%b8%8e%e6%97%a0%e5%ba%8f%e4%b9%8b%e9%97%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=63650","title":{"rendered":"\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\uff1a\u5728\u6709\u5e8f\u4e0e\u65e0\u5e8f\u4e4b\u95f4"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u5f20\u6c5f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u9648\u7ece\u5b89\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u9676\u5982\u610f\uff0c\u90b1\u4ef2\u666e\u3001\u6e05\u534e\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u540e\u5218\u5bb6\u81fb\u5171\u540c\u53d1\u8d77\u300c\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u00b7\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u7ecf\u5178\u8bba\u6587\u7814\u8bfb\u00b7\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u300d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/a>\uff0c\u805a\u7126\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6587\u96c6\u300aFoundational Papers in Complexity Science\u300b\uff0c\u8fd9\u672c\u6587\u96c6\u6536\u5f55\u4e86 20 \u4e16\u7eaa\u590d\u6742\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df 89 \u7bc7\u91cd\u8981\u6587\u732e\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u71b5\u3001\u6f14\u5316\u4e0e\u9002\u5e94\u3001\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4e0e\u8ba1\u7b97\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u4e3b\u9898\u3002\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u81ea2025\u5e748\u670822\u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u4e94\u665a\u4e0a7:30-9:00\uff0c\u9080\u8bf7\u60a8\u6765\u53c2\u4e0e\u7b2c\u4e00\u671f\u5206\u4eab\uff1a\u201c\u8d70\u8fd1\u5723\u5854\u83f2\uff0c\u6211\u4e0e\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u201d\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Murray Gell-Mann\u4e28\u4f5c\u8005<\/span><\/span>
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\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aWhat is Complexity? <\/span><\/p>\n

\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/complexity.martinsewell.com\/Gell95.pdf<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n


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AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u4e5f\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u7b97\u6cd5\u968f\u673a\u6027\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7279\u6027\u5bfc\u81f4\u5176\u5e76\u4e0d\u9002\u5408\u4f5c\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7684\u5ea6\u91cf\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u838e\u58eb\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4f5c\u54c1\u53cd\u800c\u6bd4\u8c1a\u8bed\u4e2d\u201c\u7531\u4e00\u5c4b\u5b50\u7334\u5b50\u201d\u968f\u673a\u6572\u51fa\u7684\u76f8\u540c\u957f\u5ea6\u7684\u4e71\u7801\u5177\u6709\u66f4\u4f4e\u7684<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u5e38\u5bf9\u8bdd\u548c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bba\u8ff0\u4e2d\u6240\u63d0\u53ca\u7684\u201c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u201d\u7684\u5ea6\u91cf\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5bf9\u5b9e\u4f53\u6700\u7b80\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u957f\u5ea6<\/span>\uff08\u5927\u81f4\u5982\u540c<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff09<\/span>\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5bf9\u8be5\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u96c6\u5408\u7684\u7b80\u6d01\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u957f\u5ea6\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u51e0\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u968f\u673a\u3001\u4e0d\u5177\u5907\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\uff0c\u5176<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08effective complexity\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e8e\u96f6\uff1b\u800c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b8c\u5168\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e00\u6761\u5168\u75310\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\uff0c\u5176<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u540c\u6837\u4e5f\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e8e\u96f6\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u5b8c\u5168\u6709\u5e8f\u548c\u5b8c\u5168\u65e0\u5e8f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e2d\u95f4\u5730\u5e26\uff0c\u624d\u5b58\u5728\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/section>\n

\u201c\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u5b8c\u5168\u6709\u5e8f\u548c\u5b8c\u5168\u65e0\u5e8f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e2d\u95f4\u5730\u5e26\uff0c\u624d\u5b58\u5728\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u201d\uff08\u56fe\u7247\u7531AI\u751f\u6210\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u7a0b\u5e8f\u53ef\u4ee5\u627e\u51fa\u5173\u4e8e\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u6240\u6709\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u7c7b\u522b\u80fd\u88ab\u8bc6\u522b\u3002\u53d1\u73b0\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a\u5728\u83b7\u53d6\u5173\u4e8e\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u53ef\u7528\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u5904\u7406\u6210\u5982\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\u7684\u67d0\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u65b9\u5f0f\u5c06\u8be5\u4e32\u5206\u5272\u6210\u82e5\u5e72\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5e76\u5bfb\u627e\u5404\u90e8\u5206\u95f4\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u91cf\uff08mutural AIC\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u88ab\u5206\u6210\u4e24\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\uff0c\u5b83\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u91cf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5373\u4e3a\u5404\u90e8\u5206<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e4b\u548c\u51cf\u53bb\u6574\u4f53\u7684<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u6240\u5f97\u7684\u5dee\u3002\u8d85\u8fc7\u7279\u5b9a\u9608\u503c\u7684<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u53ef\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u51fa\u73b0\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u5224\u5b9a\u4f9d\u636e\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5df2\u8bc6\u522b\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5bf9\u5176\u6240\u4f5c\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5373\u4e3a\u4e0e\u4e4b\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u8bf4\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5c06\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u5b9e\u4f53\u5d4c\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u4eab\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5f8b\u3001\u4ec5\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u6240\u5dee\u5f02\u7684\u5b9e\u4f53\u96c6\u5408\u4e2d\u3002\u901a\u5e38\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5f8b\u4f1a\u4e3a\u96c6\u5408\u4e2d\u7684\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5b9e\u4f53\u8d4b\u4e88\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span>\uff08\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5404\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u6982\u7387\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u5b9e\u4f53\u95f4\u6982\u7387\u76f8\u5f02\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\uff09<\/span>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5219\u53ef\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u63cf\u8ff0\u8be5\u5b9e\u4f53\u96c6\u5408\u53ca\u5176\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u7684<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u9700\u8be6\u8ff0\u7279\u5b9a\u5b9e\u4f53\uff0c\u5982\u539f\u59cb\u5b9e\u4f53\uff0c\u5219\u9700\u8981\u989d\u5916\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f5c\u8005\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7<\/span><\/span>\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>(mutual algorithmic information)<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u76f8\u5e94\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u7b80\u6d01\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u957f\u5ea6\u6765\u523b\u753b\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5ea6\u91cf\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u4e0e\u201c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u201d\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u542b\u4e49\u5e76\u4e0d\u600e\u4e48\u76f8\u7b26\u3002\u4e3e\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b8c\u5168\u753100\u5bf9\u548c11\u5bf9\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\uff0c\u90fd\u6709\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u5e76\u80fd\u7528\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u77ed\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fdb\u884c\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5373\u7531\u5947\u6570\u4f4d\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u5e8f\u5217\u4e0e\u7531\u5076\u6570\u4f4d\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u5e8f\u5217\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e8f\u5217\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u91cf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u662f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u3002\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7528\u7b80\u77ed\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u957f\u5ea6\u6765\u8868\u5f81\u590d\u6742\u6027\uff0c\u6bd4\u7528\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u91cf\u4e4b\u591a\u5be1\u6765\u8868\u793a\u66f4\u4e3a\u6070\u5f53\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u65e2\u7136\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u627e\u51fa\u67d0\u4e00\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u6240\u6709\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u95ee\u9898\u5c31\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\uff1a\u7531\u8c01\u6216\u7531\u4ec0\u4e48\u6765\u51b3\u5b9a\u54ea\u4e9b\u7c7b\u522b\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u9700\u8981\u88ab\u8bc6\u522b\uff1f\u7b54\u6848\u4e4b\u4e00\u6307\u5411\u4e00\u7c7b\u6781\u5176\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u90fd\u5728\u8bc6\u522b\u5230\u8fbe\u5b83\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6d41\u4e2d\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5f8b\u538b\u7f29\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u6d01\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u96c6\u3002\u6570\u636e\u6d41\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u7cfb\u7edf\u81ea\u8eab\u3001\u5176\u6240\u5904\u73af\u5883\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u7cfb\u7edf\u884c\u4e3a\u4e4b\u95f4\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4fe1\u606f\u96c6\u6216\u201c<\/span><\/span>\u56fe\u5f0f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08schema\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u201d\u4f1a\u7ecf\u5386\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c<\/span><\/span>\u56fe\u5f0f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e4b\u95f4\u8fd8\u4f1a\u5b58\u5728\u7ade\u4e89\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a<\/span><\/span>\u56fe\u5f0f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0e\u90e8\u5206\u6570\u636e\u4e00\u8d77\u88ab\u7528\u4e8e\u63cf\u8ff0\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ca\u5176\u6240\u5904\u7684\u73af\u5883\u3001\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3a\u7cfb\u7edf\u8bbe\u5b9a\u884c\u4e3a\u89c4\u8303\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u63cf\u8ff0\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0e\u66f4\u591a\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u5bf9\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u540e\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/span>\u56fe\u5f0f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u89c4\u8303\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u4f1a\u5bf9\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u4ea7\u751f\u5b9e\u9645\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u7ade\u4e89\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u56fe\u5f0f\u4e0d\u65ad\u6f14\u5316\u3002\u5176\u6f14\u5316\u603b\u4f53\u8d8b\u5411\u4e8e\u4f5c\u51fa\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u5730\u987a\u5e94\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08complex adaptive systems\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5728\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u8fd0\u4f5c\u7684\u5b9e\u4f8b\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u751f\u7269\u8fdb\u5316\u3001\u52a8\u7269<\/span>\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4eba\u7c7b\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\u4e0e\u601d\u8003\u3001\u54fa\u4e73\u52a8\u7269\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u810a\u690e\u52a8\u7269\u7684\u514d\u75ab\u7cfb\u7edf\u529f\u80fd\u3001\u4eba\u7c7b\u79d1\u5b66\u4e8b\u4e1a\u7684\u8fd0\u4f5c\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u90a3\u4e9b\u88ab\u8bbe\u8ba1\u6216\u7f16\u7a0b\u4ee5\u751f\u6210\u7b56\u7565<\/span>\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u901a\u8fc7\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u6216\u9057\u4f20\u7b97\u6cd5\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf\u5177\u6709\u50ac\u751f\u5176\u4ed6\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u503e\u5411\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/section>\n

\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u6570\u636e\u4ea4\u4e92\uff0c\u751f\u6210\u56fe\u5f0f\uff08\u56fe\u7247\u7531AI\u751f\u6210\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u503c\u5f97\u5411\u672c\u520a\u8bfb\u8005\u8bf4\u660e\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u970d\u5170<\/span>\uff08John Holland\uff09<\/span>\u5c31\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u672f\u8bed\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002\u4ed6\u7528\u201c<\/span><\/span>\u9002\u5e94\u4e3b\u4f53<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08adaptive agent\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u201d\u6765\u6307\u79f0\u4e0a\u9762\u5b9a\u4e49\u7684\u590d\u6742\u81ea\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u800c\u7528\u201c<\/span><\/span>\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u201d\u6765\u6307\u79f0\u7531\u8bb8\u591a\u53ef\u5bf9\u5f7c\u6b64\u884c\u4e3a\u505a\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u81ea\u9002\u5e94\u4e3b\u4f53\u7ec4\u6210\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u590d\u5408\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08composite complex adaptive system\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u5982\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6216\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u6211\u6240\u8bf4\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u56fe\u5f0f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u4ed6\u79f0\u4e3a<\/span><\/span>\u672c\u8d28\u6a21\u578b\uff08<\/span><\/span><\/strong>internal <\/span><\/span><\/strong>model\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4fe9\u90fd\u9075\u4ece\u4e00\u53e5\u8001\u8bdd\uff1a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5b81\u53ef\u7528\u522b\u4eba\u7684\u7259\u5237\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7528\u53e6\u4e00\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u63d0\u5021\u7684\u672f\u8bed\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55<\/span><\/span>\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5728\u53d1\u73b0\u89c4\u5f8b\u65f6\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u72af\u9519\u3002\u5bb9\u6613\u8ff7\u4fe1\u3001\u5e76\u4e14\u7ecf\u5e38\u5426\u8ba4\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u6211\u4eec<\/span>\uff08\u4eba\u7c7b\uff09<\/span>\u5bf9\u8fd9\u7c7b\u9519\u8bef\u518d\u719f\u6089\u4e0d\u8fc7\u4e86\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86\u51fa\u9519\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u5e94\u8003\u8651\u8ba1\u7b97\u96be\u5ea6\u3002\u4ece\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ad8\u5ea6\u538b\u7f29\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u56fe\u5f0f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u4e00\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\uff09<\/span>\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u9644\u52a0\u6570\u636e<\/span>\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u8fb9\u754c\u6761\u4ef6\uff09<\/span>\u4e2d\u63a8\u5bfc\u51fa\u5b9e\u9645\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u82b1\u8d39\u591a\u5c11\u65f6\u95f4\uff1f\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u201c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u201d\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5ea6\u91cf\u3002\u4ee5\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6\u4e3a\u4f8b\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c<\/span><\/span>\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08logical depth\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e0e\u7528\u6807\u51c6\u901a\u7528\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u8ba1\u7b97\u8be5\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\u3001\u5c06\u5176\u6253\u5370\u51fa\u6765\u5e76\u505c\u6b62\u8fd0\u884c\u6240\u9700\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6709\u5173\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u80fd\u591f\u5b8c\u6210\u8be5\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u7a0b\u5e8f\u6c42\u5747\u503c\u5f97\u5230\u3002\u6c42\u5747\u503c\u65f6\uff0c\u8f83\u77ed\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\u88ab\u7ed9\u4e88\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6743\u91cd\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u5c06\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u9002\u5f53\u7c97\u7c92\u5316\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u7f16\u7801\u6210\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a2\u8ba8\u4efb\u4f55\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u9006\u5411\u6982\u5ff5\u662f<\/span><\/span>\u9690\u79d8\u5ea6\uff08crypticity\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u5b83\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u662f\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u4ece\u6bd4\u7279\u4e32\u53cd\u63a8\u751f\u6210\u5b83\u7684\u8f83\u77ed\u7a0b\u5e8f\u4e4b\u4e00\u6240\u9700\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5728\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u4e8b\u4e1a\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06<\/span><\/span>\u9690\u79d8\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5927\u81f4\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u4ece\u4e00\u7ec4\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u6784\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u597d\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u96be\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c<\/span><\/span>\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5219\u662f\u5bf9\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u51fa\u53d1\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u96be\u5ea6\u7684\u7c97\u7565\u8861\u91cf\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u901a\u5e38\u5f88\u96be\u5224\u65ad\u4e00\u4e2a\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u590d\u6742\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u5177\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4ec5\u4ec5\u53cd\u6620\u5176\u5185\u5728\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u66fc\u5fb7\u5c14\u5e03\u7f57\u7279\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5206\u5f62\u96c6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u76f8\u5f53\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u56fe\u6848\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u5230\u5b83\u5176\u5b9e\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u751f\u6210\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u5177\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5b83\u5177\u6709\u7684\u662f<\/span>\uff08\u751a\u81f3\u5e76\u4e0d\u5de8\u5927\u7684\uff09<\/span><\/span>\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u800c\u975e<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002\u5728\u601d\u8003\u81ea\u7136\u73b0\u8c61\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7ecf\u5e38\u9700\u8981\u533a\u5206<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u548c<\/span><\/span>\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u539f\u5b50\u6838\u80fd\u7ea7\u7684\u770b\u4f3c\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u9519\u8bef\u5730\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u57fa\u672c\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u7684\u67d0\u79cd\u590d\u6742\u5b9a\u5f8b\uff0c\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\u4eba\u4eec\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b83\u9075\u5faa\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u4e8e\u5938\u514b\u3001\u80f6\u5b50\u548c\u5149\u5b50\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u624d\u80fd\u4ece\u57fa\u672c\u65b9\u7a0b\u63a8\u5bfc\u51fa\u5176\u8be6\u7ec6\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6a21\u5f0f\u5177\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u5927\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u903b\u8f91\u6df1\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u800c<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u5374\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u73b0\u5728\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5b87\u5b99\u4e2d\u6240\u6709\u7269\u8d28\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5373\u6240\u6709\u57fa\u672c\u7c92\u5b50\u53ca\u5176\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u7edf\u4e00\u91cf\u5b50\u573a\u8bba\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u3002<\/span>(\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e86\u8d85\u5f26\u7406\u8bba\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8c8c\u4f3c\u5408\u7406\u7684\u5019\u9009\u7406\u8bba\u3002\uff09<\/span>\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u63cf\u8ff0\u5b87\u5b99\u5728\u5176\u81a8\u80c0\u4e4b\u521d\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u72b6\u6001\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u6761\u4ef6\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u547d\u9898\u90fd\u662f\u771f\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u662f\u5426\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5b87\u5b99\u4e2d\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u4efb\u4f55<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff1f\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u662f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5076\u7136\u6027\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u65ad\u5730\u8d77\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5373\u4fbf\u7ed9\u5b9a\u4e86\u57fa\u672c\u89c4\u5f8b\u548c\u521d\u59cb\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4e5f\u7edd\u975e\u6ce8\u5b9a\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u89c4\u5f8b\u662f\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u7684\uff0c\u5b83\u53ea\u80fd\u7ed9\u51fa\u5404\u79cd\u5386\u53f2\u7248\u672c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u53ea\u6709\u88ab\u5145\u5206\u5730\u7c97\u7c92\u5316\u4ee5\u663e\u793a\u9000\u76f8\u5e72\u65f6<\/span>\uff08\u5373\u5b83\u4eec\u4e4b\u95f4\u6ca1\u6709\u5e72\u6d89\u9879\uff09<\/span>\u624d\u80fd\u88ab\u8d4b\u4e88\u6982\u7387\u503c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8d85\u51fa\u4e0e\u6d77\u68ee\u5821\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u539f\u7406\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u3001\u5fae\u4e0d\u8db3\u9053\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u6982\u7387\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u8fd1\u4f3c\u3002\u4f46\u5373\u4fbf\u5728\u7ecf\u5178\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u89c4\u5f8b\u548c\u521d\u59cb\u6761\u4ef6\u90fd\u88ab\u7cbe\u786e\u6307\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u4e3a\u5bf9\u5148\u524d\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u65e0\u77e5\u800c\u88ab\u5f15\u5165\u3002\u8fdb\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u65e0\u77e5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u73b0\u8c61\u6240\u653e\u5927\u3002\u5728\u6df7\u6c8c\u73b0\u8c61\u4e2d\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u5fae\u5c0f\u53d8\u5316\u6781\u5176\u654f\u611f\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u5b87\u5b99\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u7c97\u7c92\u5316\u5386\u53f2\u60f3\u8c61\u4e3a\u5f62\u6210\u4e00\u9897\u5177\u6709\u5206\u652f\u7684\u6811\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5206\u652f\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002\u6ce8\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u662f<\/span><\/span>\u5148\u9a8c\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08priori probability\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u800c\u975e<\/span><\/span>\u7edf\u8ba1\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08statistical probability\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5b87\u5b99\u89c6\u4e3a\u7531\u8bb8\u591a\u5b87\u5b99\u6784\u6210\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u96c6\u5408\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u5458\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5f62\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a”\u591a\u91cd\u5b87\u5b99”\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5355\u4e00\u5b87\u5b99\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/span>\uff08\u5982\u7269\u7406\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u5148\u9a8c\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4f20\u7edf\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u7edf\u8ba1\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u5468\u56f4\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5b9e\u4f53\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e2a\u4f53\uff0c\u5176\u5b58\u5728\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u7269\u7406\u5b9a\u5f8b\u548c\u65e9\u671f\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u4e5f\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4e00\u8fde\u4e32\u957f\u5f97\u4e0d\u53ef\u601d\u8bae\u7684\u6982\u7387\u6027\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4e2d\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u539f\u672c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6c14\u4f53\u4e2d\u67d0\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u5206\u5b50\u5728\u5206\u5b50\u78b0\u649e\u4e2d\u5411\u53f3\u800c\u975e\u5411\u5de6\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5728\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7c97\u7c92\u5316\u5386\u53f2\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u4ea7\u751f\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f71\u54cd\u901a\u5e38\u5c40\u9650\u4e8e\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u65f6\u7a7a\u533a\u57df\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c<\/span><\/span>\u51bb\u7ed3\u7684\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08frozen accident\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u201d\u4f1a\u5728\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u67d0\u4e2a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7c97\u7c92\u5316\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\u6216\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u4e4b\u95f4\u4ea7\u751f\u5927\u91cf\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8bb8\u591a\u6b64\u7c7b\u5386\u53f2\u53ca\u5176\u5404\u79cd\u5212\u5206\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ea7\u751f\u5927\u91cf<\/span><\/span>\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u8bf4\u5230\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u7b26\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5b87\u5b99\u5386\u53f2\u4e2d\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/span>\uff08\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u5404\u79cd\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff09<\/span>\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c<\/span><\/span>\u51bb\u7ed3\u7684\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u89c4\u5f8b\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u5bf9\u90a3\u4e9b<\/span><\/span>\u51bb\u7ed3\u7684\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u53ca\u5176\u540e\u679c\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684<\/span><\/span>AIC<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u800c\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u5c0f\u90e8\u5206\u6765\u81ea\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u5b9a\u5f8b<\/span>\uff08\u57fa\u672c\u7c92\u5b50\u5b9a\u5f8b\u548c\u81a8\u80c0\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5b87\u5b99\u4e2d\u7684\u7ed9\u5b9a\u5b9e\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u90a3\u4e9b\u9020\u6210\u5176\u81ea\u8eab\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684<\/span><\/span>\u51bb\u7ed3\u7684\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u624d\u4f1a\u4e0e\u57fa\u672c\u5b9a\u5f8b\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u5bf9\u5176<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u6709\u8d21\u732e\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/section>\n

\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u5206\u652f\u5386\u53f2\u4e0e\u51bb\u7ed3\u7684\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6\u793a\u610f\u56fe\uff08\u56fe\u7247\u7531AI\u751f\u6210\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u5b87\u5b99\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u53e4\u8001\uff0c<\/span><\/span>\u51bb\u7ed3\u7684\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e0d\u65ad\u5806\u79ef\uff0c\u4f7f<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u4e5f\u6301\u7eed\u79ef\u7d2f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u5916\u5ef6\u5448\u6269\u5f20\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4efb\u4f55\u7ed9\u5b9a\u5b9e\u4f53\u5728\u7ed9\u5b9a\u65f6\u95f4\u6bb5\u5185\u5176\u590d\u6742\u6027\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u52a0\u6216\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u590d\u6742\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ec5\u5728<\/span><\/span>\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u6f14\u5316\u4e2d\u624d\u80fd\u89c1\u5230\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5bf9\u4e8e<\/span><\/span>\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u7279\u5b9a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u590d\u6742\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u6f14\u5316\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u70ed\u529b\u5b66\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b9a\u5f8b\u8981\u6c42\u5e73\u5747\u71b5<\/span>\uff08\u6216\u65e0\u5e8f\u5ea6\uff09<\/span>\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u59a8\u788d\u5c40\u90e8\u7684\u6709\u5e8f\u901a\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u673a\u5236\u4ea7\u751f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u673a\u5236\u80fd\u5c06\u5076\u7136\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u5176\u51bb\u7ed3\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u673a\u5236\u4e5f\u5e76\u975e\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e<\/span><\/span>\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5b9e\u4f53\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u590d\u6742\u6027\u65b9\u9762\u53ef\u80fd\u5177\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u5728<\/span><\/span>\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u65b9\u9762\u4e0e\u540c\u7c7b\u4e8b\u7269\u6ca1\u6709\u663e\u8457\u533a\u522b\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e8b\u7269\uff0c\u5374\u4f1a\u56e0\u5176\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u800c\u53d8\u5f97\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u201c<\/span><\/span>\u6f5c\u5728\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08potential complexity\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u201d\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u51fd\u6570\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5176\u76f8\u5bf9\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u65f6\u523b<\/span>\uff08\u6bd4\u5982\u73b0\u5728\uff09<\/span>\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u91cf\u8868\u793a\u5b9e\u4f53\u5728\u672a\u6765\u67d0\u65f6\u523b\u7684\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u5b87\u5b99\u5728\u73b0\u5728\u5230\u672a\u6765\u90a3\u4e2a\u65f6\u523b\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u7c97\u7c92\u5316\u5386\u53f2\u8fdb\u884c\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u5f97\u5230\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u590d\u6742\u5f62\u5f0f\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u63a8\u79fb\u4e0d\u65ad\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6c38\u8fdc\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002\u5728\u6781\u5176\u9065\u8fdc\u7684\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5b87\u5b99\u4e2d\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u539f\u5b50\u6838\u90fd\u8870\u53d8\u4e3a\u7535\u5b50\u548c\u6b63\u7535\u5b50\u3001\u4e2d\u5fae\u5b50\u548c\u53cd\u4e2d\u5fae\u5b50\u4ee5\u53ca\u5149\u5b50\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4ee5\u754c\u9650\u5206\u660e\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u4e3a\u7279\u5f81\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8d70\u5411\u7ec8\u7ed3\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u53d8\u5f97\u7a00\u6709\uff0c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u840e\u7f29\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4f5c\u8005\u7b80\u4ecb<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/section>\n

\u83ab\u91cc\u00b7\u76d6\u5c14\u66fc<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\uff08Murray Gell-Mann\uff0c1929\u20142019\uff09\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c1964\u5e74\u63d0\u51fa\u5938\u514b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u88ab\u8a89\u4e3a\u201c\u5938\u514b\u4e4b\u7236\u201d\uff0c1969\u5e74\u56e0\u5176\u5bf9\u4e9a\u539f\u5b50\u7c92\u5b50\u7684\u5206\u7c7b\u53ca\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u83b7\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u30021984\u5e74\uff0c\u76d6\u5c14\u66fc\u6210\u4e3a\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u8054\u5408\u53d1\u8d77\u4eba\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4ed6\u57281994\u5e74\u7684\u77ed\u6587\u300aLet\u2019s Call It Plectics\u300b\u4e2d\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u5b66\u79d1\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u57281995\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u5938\u514b\u548c\u7f8e\u6d32\u8c79\u300b\u4e2d\u5168\u9762\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u5176\u5bf9\u57fa\u672c\u7269\u7406\u89c4\u5f8b\u4e0e\u751f\u547d\u6d8c\u73b0\u73b0\u8c61\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u601d\u8003\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u300c\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u524d\u6cbf\u300d\u7cfb\u5217\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u8054\u5408\u5317\u5e08\u5927\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u5b66\u9662\u5f00\u8bbe<\/span>\u300c\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u524d\u6cbf\u300d\u7cfb\u5217\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/span><\/a>\uff0c\u4ee5\u65b9\u798f\u5eb7\u5148\u751f\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u6587\u96c6\u4e3a\u601d\u60f3\u57fa\u77f3\uff0c\u6c47\u805a\u5317\u5e08\u5927\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u5341\u4f4d\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u6574\u5408\u7edf\u8ba1\u7269\u7406\u3001\u751f\u547d\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u884c\u4e3a\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u5efa\u6a21\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4e0e\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u4ea4\u53c9\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u4e00\u6761\u4ece\u5fae\u89c2\u673a\u5236\u5230\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ed3\u6784\u3001\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u5206\u6790\u5230\u5b9e\u9645\u5e94\u7528\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u8109\u7edc\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\"\u56fe\u7247\"<\/span><\/a><\/section>\n

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\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n
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1. \u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u524d\u6cbf\u5341\u8bb2\uff1a\u7406\u89e3\u81ea\u7136\u3001\u751f\u547d\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong>
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2. \u201c\u96c6\u667a\u201d\u5171\u5b66\uff0c\u6d1e\u89c1\u590d\u6742\uff1a\u300a\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u524d\u6cbf\u300b\u8bfe\u7a0b\u6df1\u5ea6\u5171\u8bfb\u8ba1\u5212<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong>
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3. \u90dd\u67cf\u6797\uff1a\u5723\u5854\u83f2\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e0e\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7814\u7a76<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
4. \u7406\u89e3\u751f\u547d\u3001\u7406\u89e3\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u901a\u8fc7\u8054\u7cfb\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u63a2\u7d22\u4e16\u754c<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
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5. <\/span>\u6d8c\u73b0\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u5982\u4f55\u7528\u6765\u5206\u6790\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1f | \u65b0\u8bfe\u4e0a\u7ebf<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span>
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<\/strong>6. <\/span><\/strong>\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u7cbe\u54c1\u8bfe\u7a0b\u514d\u8d39\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u89e3\u9501\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e AI \u65b0\u4e16\u754c<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n

7. \u9ad8\u8003\u5206\u6570\u53ea\u662f\u5f20\u5165\u573a\u5238\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5192\u9669\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u542f\u822a\uff01<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

8.<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span> <\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span>\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u524d\u6cbf\u5341\u8bb2\uff1a\u7406\u89e3\u81ea\u7136\u3001\u751f\u547d\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfe\u7a0b <\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6458\u8981 \u672c\u6587\u4ee5\u8ba8\u8bba\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7684\u5ea6\u91cf\u4e3a\u4e3b\u7ebf\uff0c\u8d2f\u7a7f\u4e86\u5bf9\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3001\u89c4\u5f8b\u3001\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf\u3001\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u4e0e\u6f14\u5316\u7b49\u8bae\u9898\u7684\u601d\u8003\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u65e2\u975e\u5168\u7136\u6709\u5e8f\u53c8\u975e\u5168\u7136\u65e0\u5e8f\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u4e2d\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u8c61\u7684\u6709\u6548\u590d\u6742\u6027\u53ef\u7528\u5176\u6240\u5177\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u7b80\u6d01\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u91cf\u6765\u5ea6\u91cf\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u89c4\u5f8b\u53ef\u7528\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e92\u7b97\u6cd5\u4fe1\u606f\u91cf\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6c42\u5f97\u3002\u800c\u590d\u6742\u9002\u5e94\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08\u5982\u751f\u7269…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":63639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63650"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63650"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63650\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/63639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63650"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63650"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63650"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=63650"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}