{"id":64276,"date":"2025-09-07T18:47:27","date_gmt":"2025-09-07T10:47:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=64276"},"modified":"2025-09-07T18:47:27","modified_gmt":"2025-09-07T10:47:27","slug":"%e7%89%b9%e5%88%8a%e5%90%88%e9%9b%86%ef%bd%9cabm%e5%8f%af%e4%bb%a5%e7%94%a8%e4%bd%9c%e5%a4%8d%e6%9d%82%e7%a4%be%e4%bc%9a%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e5%90%97%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=64276","title":{"rendered":"\u7279\u520a\u5408\u96c6\uff5cABM\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4f5c\u590d\u6742\u793e\u4f1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u5417\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='wxsyncmain'>\n<section data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px 0px 24px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: right\">\n<section data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\">\n<section>\n<section><span><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-backh=\"325\" data-backw=\"578\" data-galleryid=\"78082130093056001\" data-gallerysupplier=\"1\" data-imgfileid=\"100235515\" data-ratio=\"0.5617021276595745\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"940\" style=\"width: 100%;background-color: transparent;height: auto !important\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-3ac4ca225e8308c525361ef1e498e2e8.jpeg\" \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 15px\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 661px;vertical-align: top\">\n<section style=\"margin: 10px 0px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 661px\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 3px 0px 0px;max-width: 100%;float: left;line-height: 1\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 0px 10px;max-width: 100%;width: auto;vertical-align: top;min-width: 10%;height: auto;line-height: 0\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 25px;height: 10px;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;line-height: 0;border-style: solid solid none;border-width: 3px 3px 2px;border-radius: 0px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.5\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span>\u5bfc\u8bed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 24px;height: 10px;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;line-height: 0;border-style: solid solid none;border-width: 3px 3px 2px;border-radius: 0px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 4px;max-width: 100%;clear: right;min-height: 4.5em !important\">\n<section style=\"margin: 5px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;line-height: 2;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: none;min-height: 1em\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><\/strong><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u672c\u6587\u6c47\u603b\u4e86\u56fd\u9645\u5b66\u672f\u671f\u520a\u300aJournal of Social Research Methodology\u300b\u57282023\u5e74\u7684\u7279\u520a\uff0c\u6c47\u805a\u4e86\u9886\u57df\u5185\u4e50\u89c2\u8005\u3001\u5b9e\u7528\u8005\u548c\u60b2\u89c2\u8005\u5bf9ABM\u662f\u5426\u9884\u6d4b\u793e\u4f1a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0e\u601d\u8003\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3b\u9898\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u4f60\u6765\u52a0\u5165<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247714610&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d93fce534b3dc108b690e9ecfe143e57&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u7684Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\uff1a\u5171\u63a2\u4eba\u5de5\u793e\u4f1a\u672a\u6765\u56fe\u666f<\/a>\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u8fdb\u884c\u5b66\u4e60\u3001\u63a2\u7d22\uff01<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: none;min-height: 1em\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: start\"><span>\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\uff1aABM\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 10px 0px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 661px\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;line-height: 0\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 0;width: 0px\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 10px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 15px;text-align: center\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;line-height: 0\"><span><img alt=\"\u56fe\u7247\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.07314814814814814\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;width: 677px !important;height: auto !important\" src=\"\" \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: right\"><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;text-align: right; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; color: rgb(63, 63, 63); font-family: PingFangSC-light; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; vertical-align: middle; display: inline-block; line-height: 0; visibility: visible;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\u793e\u79d1\u5c0f\u767d \u7f16\u7a0b\u83dc\u9e1f<span style=\"font-weight: bold\">\u4e28\u4f5c\u8005<\/span><\/span><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: right;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"2 2 []\" style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: right\"><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: right;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0e\u8ba1\u7b97\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66<\/span><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;text-align: right; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; color: rgb(63, 63, 63); font-family: PingFangSC-light; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; vertical-align: middle; display: inline-block; line-height: 0; visibility: visible;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold\">\u4e28\u6765\u6e90<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u56fd\u9645\u5b66\u672f\u671f\u520a\u300aJournal of Social Research Methodology\u300b\u57282023\u5e74\u7b2c26\u5377\u7b2c2\u671f\u520a\u53d1\u4e86\u7cfb\u5217\u7279\u520a\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u6df1\u5165\u63a2\u8ba8ABM\u548c\u590d\u6742\u793e\u4f1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img js_img_placeholder wx_img_placeholder\" data-ratio=\"0.4046296296296296\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"height: auto !important\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-4e092010cf3182038896d0efd738038d.png\" \/><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" style=\"height: auto !important\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u867d\u7136\u65e9\u671f\u7684ABM\u4e3b\u8981\u9488\u5bf9Morin\uff082007\uff09\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u6709\u9650\u590d\u6742\u6027\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5b9e\u8bc1ABM\uff08Empirical ABM\uff09\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4f20\u7edf\u201c\u7b80\u5355\u201d\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5982\u793e\u4f1a\u9694\u79bb\uff0c\u8206\u60c5\u52a8\u6001\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u56f0\u5883\u4e2d\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u7b49\u7814\u7a76\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u518d\u80fd\u591f\u4ee3\u8868ABM\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u5355\u7684toy models\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u95ee\u9898\u53ef\u80fd\u663e\u5f97\u65e0\u5173\u7d27\u8981\u3002\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u5b9e\u7528\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u6570\u636e\u9a71\u52a8\u5efa\u6a21\u6280\u672f\u7684\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u5b9e\u8bc1ABM\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u590d\u6742\u793e\u4f1a\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u89e3\u91ca\uff08Explanation\uff09\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5f00\u59cb\u9000\u5c45\u5e55\u540e\uff0c\u800c\u9884\u6d4b\uff08Predication\uff09\u95ee\u9898\u5219\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u7d27\u8feb\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u6982\u62ec\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c6\u7bc7\u7279\u520a\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u53ef\u6982\u62ec\u4e3a\u4e09\u5927\u7c7b\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\" class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u79ef\u6781\u4e3b\u4e49\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5229\u7528ABM\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u505a\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u786e\u4fdd\u62e5\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u5408\u9002\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7ecf\u9a8c\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u652f\u6301ABM\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u5b9e\u7528\u4e3b\u4e49\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u8ba4\u4e3aABM\u53ef\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7528\u4e8e\u8c28\u614e\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u4e0d\u80fd\u5c06\u57fa\u4e8eABM\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4ec5\u4ec5\u89c6\u4e3a\u662f\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u8f93\u51fa\uff1b\u76f8\u53cd\uff0cABM\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u6765\u589e\u52a0\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u76ee\u6807\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ca\u5176\u6f5c\u5728\u8fd0\u4f5c\u673a\u5236\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u63a2\u7d22\u672a\u6765\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u6000\u7591\u4e3b\u4e49\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u5426\u5177\u5907\u9884\u6d4b\u65b0\u6570\u636e\uff08\u5373\u5efa\u6a21\u8005\u672a\u77e5\u6570\u636e\uff09\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u5728\u590d\u6742\u793e\u4f1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0cABM\u9884\u6d4b\u5931\u8d25\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u5305\u62ec\uff1a(1)\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5e94\u5f53\u5305\u542b\u54ea\u4e9b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u672a\u77e5\u7684\uff1b(2)\u7f3a\u4e4f\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u4e43\u81f3\u5408\u9002\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<hr style=\"border-style: solid;border-width: 1px 0 0\" \/>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong><span><br \/><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Editorial<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Agent-based modelling as a method for prediction in complex social systems<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Corinna Elsenbroich &amp; J. Gareth Polhill<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Pages: 133-142<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Article<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Is agent-based modelling the future of prediction?<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Edmund Chattoe-Brown<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Pages: 143-155<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Article<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>The practice and rhetoric of prediction \u2013 the case in agent-based modelling<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Bruce Edmonds<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Pages: 157-170<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Article<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>What kind of prediction? Evaluating different facets of prediction in agent-based social simulation<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>David Anzola &amp; C\u00e9sar Garc\u00eda-D\u00edaz<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Pages: 171-191<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Article<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Should we make predictions based on social simulations?<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Frank Dignum<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Pages: 193-206<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Published online: 20 Oct 2022<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Article<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Negotiating a Future that is not like the Past<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Corinna Elsenbroich &amp; Jennifer Badham<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Pages: 207-213<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><strong style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Article<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>The psychometric house-of-mirrors: the effect of measurement distortions on agent-based models\u2019 predictions<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Dino Carpentras &amp; Michael Quayle<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>Pages: 215-231<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px\"><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-right: 8px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; line-height: 2em;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-size: 15px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 0px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;justify-content: center\">\n<section style=\"width: auto;vertical-align: top;min-width: 10%;height: auto\">\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: -15px\">\n<section style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2;letter-spacing: 3px\">\n<p><strong><span>\u300c\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u7684Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u300d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 14px;, Arial, sans-serif\"><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px\"><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-right: 8px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; line-height: 2em;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-size: 15px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"2 2 []\" style=\"margin: 0px 8px 24px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px\">\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u5c71\u4e1c\u5de5\u5546\u5b66\u9662\u526f\u6559\u6388\u9ad8\u5fb7\u534e\u3001\u5929\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u859b\u9704\u3001\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u5f20\u6c5f\u3001\u56fd\u9632\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u66fe\u5229\u5171\u540c\u53d1\u8d77<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247714610&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d93fce534b3dc108b690e9ecfe143e57&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u300c\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u7684Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u300d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/a>\u3002\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u81ea2025\u5e747\u67088\u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u6bcf\u5468\u4e8c\u665a\u4e0a7:30-9:30\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u6301\u7eed\u5206\u4eab8\u5468\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u626b\u7801\u52a0\u5165Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u7684\u524d\u6cbf\u63a2\u7d22\u4e4b\u65c5\uff0c\u4e00\u8d77\u5171\u5b66\u3001\u5171\u521b\u3001\u5171\u5efa\u3001\u5171\u4eab\u300c\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u7684Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u300d\u793e\u533a\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u7545\u60f3\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u56fe\u666f\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px\">\n<section>\n<section>\n<section data-tools=\"135\u7f16\u8f91\u5668\" data-id=\"88077\">\n<section style=\"margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;padding-top: 15px\">\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: -14px;justify-content: flex-end\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: -14px;width: 5px;height: 5px;border-right: none;border-top: none;overflow: hidden\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section data-width=\"100%\" style=\"margin-right: auto;margin-left: auto;width: 578px;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid\">\n<section style=\"padding: 3px\">\n<section style=\"padding: 10px;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid\">\n<section style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 1.5px;line-height: 25px\">\n<p style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.578px\"><span><span style=\"font-weight: bold\">\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u6280\u672f\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u600e\u6837\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\uff1f<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0cAgent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u4f1a\u7ed9\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7406\u8bba\u5e26\u6765\u54ea\u4e9b\u7a81\u7834\uff1f<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u5982\u4f55\u8d4b\u80fdAgent\u5b9e\u73b0\u81ea\u4e3b\u601d\u8003\u4e0e\u52a8\u6001\u9002\u5e94\uff1f<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u9a71\u52a8\u7684Agent\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f1a\u6d8c\u73b0\u51fa\u4ec0\u4e48\u65b0\u578b\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\uff1f<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u5982\u4f55\u6539\u53d8\u91d1\u878d\u3001\u5fc3\u7406\u3001\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u519b\u4e8b\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8303\u5f0f\uff1f<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold\">\u4f60\u5c06\u6536\u83b7<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u68b3\u7406Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u53d1\u5c55\u8109\u7edc\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\uff1b<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u638c\u63e1\u4e00\u5957\u7406\u89e3\u3001\u5206\u6790\u3001\u63a7\u5236\u3001\u9884\u6d4b\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6846\u67b6\uff1b<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 8px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u638c\u63e1\u57fa\u4e8e\u591a\u4e3b\u4f53\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u4f18\u5316\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1b<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u9886\u7565\u9886\u57df\u524d\u6cbf\u5b66\u8005\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e0e\u79d1\u7814\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-top: -5px;width: 5px;height: 5px;border-left: none;border-bottom: none;overflow: hidden\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span><img alt=\"\u56fe\u7247\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-backh=\"322\" data-backw=\"562\" data-ratio=\"0.5731225296442688\" data-w=\"1012\" style=\"width: 100%;height: auto !important\" src=\"\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\" data-pm-slice=\"3 3 []\"><span style=\"margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\" data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px 8px 5px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;widows: 2;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;white-space: normal;text-decoration-thickness: initial;text-decoration-style: initial;text-decoration-color: initial;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(63, 63, 63);font-size: 15px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\">\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247714610&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=d93fce534b3dc108b690e9ecfe143e57&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u7684Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\uff1a\u5171\u63a2\u4eba\u5de5\u793e\u4f1a\u672a\u6765\u56fe\u666f<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;text-align: justify;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 16px;text-align: center;, Arial, sans-serif\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">1.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247717568&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=58201e5fe29f0e3b06d8e8274d1341a3&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Anthropic\u63d0\u51fa\u5de5\u4f5c\u56de\u8def\u8ffd\u8e2a\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a\u7528\u5f52\u56e0\u56fe\u89e3\u5f00\u5927\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e4b\u8c1c<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-decoration: underline\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><br \/><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span data-mpa-action-id=\"me3j1z7u9p2\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">2.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247706047&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=dc1616ccecd48306badf97c55ca7a88b&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Nat. Commun. \u901f\u9012\uff1a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u4e0e\u53ef\u91cd\u6784\u6027\u7684\u5bf9\u5076<\/span><\/a><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">3.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247701439&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=de4b8b81c6741d2b80f9c2ac2c326db6&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Nat. Commun. \u901f\u9012\uff1a\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u9884\u6d4b\u590d\u6742\u7f51\u7edc\u7cfb\u7edf\u97e7\u6027<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><\/strong><\/section>\n<section data-pm-slice=\"4 5 []\" style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">4.&nbsp;<\/span><a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247710871&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f572fc0ff9abbc6b32185b835ed39122&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u6d8c\u73b0\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u5982\u4f55\u7528\u6765\u5206\u6790\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1f | \u65b0\u8bfe\u4e0a\u7ebf<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-decoration: underline\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><br \/><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><\/strong><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">5.&nbsp;<\/span><\/strong><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247715376&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=e9b6f441a1a3615be72bb0b60594c015&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"11\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u7cbe\u54c1\u8bfe\u7a0b\u514d\u8d39\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u89e3\u9501\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e AI \u65b0\u4e16\u754c<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">6.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247716932&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1fcb8a78a7f0157ad35a15d99f7ee9c1&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u9ad8\u8003\u5206\u6570\u53ea\u662f\u5f20\u5165\u573a\u5238\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5192\u9669\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u542f\u822a\uff01<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">7.<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-decoration: underline\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247716805&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=176d16c8f5fd5045f380e90ff9c16416&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u91cd\u6574\u5316\u7fa4\u4e0e\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u7269\u7406\uff0c\u5bfb\u627e\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e28\u65b0\u8bfe\u53d1\u5e03<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 0em\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-indent: 0em;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 15px;font-weight: 700;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: left\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bfc\u8bed \u672c\u6587\u6c47\u603b\u4e86\u56fd\u9645\u5b66\u672f\u671f\u520a\u300aJournal of Social Research Methodology\u300b\u57282023\u5e74\u7684\u7279\u520a\uff0c\u6c47\u805a\u4e86\u9886\u57df\u5185\u4e50\u89c2\u8005\u3001\u5b9e\u7528\u8005\u548c\u60b2\u89c2\u8005\u5bf9ABM\u662f\u5426\u9884\u6d4b\u793e\u4f1a\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0e\u601d\u8003\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3b\u9898\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u4f60\u6765\u52a0\u5165\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u7684Agent\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\uff1a\u5171\u63a2\u4eba\u5de5\u793e\u4f1a\u672a\u6765\u56fe\u666f\u8bfb\u4e66&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":64268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64276"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=64276"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64276\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/64268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=64276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=64276"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=64276"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=64276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}