{"id":64345,"date":"2025-09-09T18:18:59","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T10:18:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=64345"},"modified":"2025-09-09T18:18:59","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T10:18:59","slug":"%e8%b4%9d%e5%8f%b6%e6%96%afx%e9%9d%9e%e7%ba%bf%e6%80%a7-%e5%9f%ba%e4%ba%8e%e5%8a%a8%e6%80%81%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e7%9a%84%e5%a4%8d%e6%9d%82%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f%e8%87%aa%e5%8a%a8%e5%bb%ba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/?p=64345","title":{"rendered":"\u8d1d\u53f6\u65afX\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u52a8\u6001\u56e0\u679c\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u81ea\u52a8\u5efa\u6a21\u65b9\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='wxsyncmain'>\n<section data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\">\n<section>\n<section>\n<section>\n<section>\n<section data-mpa-powered-by=\"yiban.io\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 15px\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 661px;vertical-align: top\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;text-align: center\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-backh=\"385\" data-backw=\"578\" data-galleryid=\"114734192767565824\" data-gallerysupplier=\"4\" data-imgfileid=\"100235134\" data-ratio=\"0.66640625\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1280\" style=\"width:100%\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-4aee12ee73c4068e90b2a82c3590f055.jpeg\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 10px 0px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 661px\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 3px 0px 0px;max-width: 100%;float: left;line-height: 1\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: left\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 0px 0px 10px;max-width: 100%;width: auto;vertical-align: top;min-width: 10%;height: auto;line-height: 0\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 25px;height: 10px;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;line-height: 0;border-style: solid solid none;border-width: 3px 3px 2px;border-radius: 0px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.5\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span>\u5bfc\u8bed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 24px;height: 10px;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;line-height: 0;border-style: solid solid none;border-width: 3px 3px 2px;border-radius: 0px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 4px;max-width: 100%;clear: right;min-height: 4.5em !important\">\n<section style=\"margin: 5px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px 8px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;line-height: 2;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: none;min-height: 1em\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><\/strong><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 0em;font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"meu1itizseb\"><span>\u5728\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u7406\u89e3\u5927\u8111\u5404\u533a\u57df\u95f4\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u5bf9\u4e8e\u63ed\u793a\u8111\u529f\u80fd\u673a\u5236\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u8111\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u6d3b\u52a8\u975e\u5e38\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u65e2\u8003\u8651\u56e0\u679c\u6027\u53c8\u5305\u542b\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u624d\u80fd\u6df1\u5165\u523b\u753b\u8111\u533a\u4e92\u4f5c\u3002\u52a8\u6001\u56e0\u679c\u5efa\u6a21\uff08Dynamic Causal Modelling, DCM\uff09\u6b63\u662f\u7528\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u65b9\u6cd5\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u5229\u7528\u5927<\/span><span>\u8111\u751f\u7406\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u4ece\u8111\u6210\u50cf\u6570\u636e\uff08\u5982EEG\/MEG\u6216fMRI\uff09\u4e2d\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e0d\u540c\u8111\u533a\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6709\u6548\u8fde\u63a5\u5173\u7cfb[1][2][3]\u3002\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u53d1\u8868\u5728 \u300a\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u754c\u9762\u671f\u520a\u300b \u7684\u4e00\u9879\u6700\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u5c06\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u8bed\u8a00\u5f15\u5165DCM\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\uff0c\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u6a21\u578b\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u6548\u7387\u548c\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u63a8\u65ad\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e86\u4ee5\u5f80\u65b9\u6cd5\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u591a\u89e3\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7b49\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u8ba9\u501f\u52a9\u8111\u6210\u50cf\u6570\u636e\u63a2\u7a76\u795e\u7ecf\u56e0\u679c\u673a\u5236\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u53ef\u9760\u548c\u9ad8\u6548\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: none;min-height: 1em\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: start\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 0em;font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\uff1a\u52a8\u6001\u56e0\u679c\u5efa\u6a21\uff0c\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u795e\u7ecf\u56e0\u679c\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 10px 0px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;width: 661px\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;line-height: 0\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;line-height: 0;width: 0px\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 10px 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 15px;text-align: center\">\n<section style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;line-height: 0\"><span><img alt=\"\u56fe\u7247\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.07314814814814814\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;height: auto !important;vertical-align: middle;width: 677px !important\" src=\"\" \/><\/span><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right;font-size: 13px\"><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0pt 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;line-height: 1.7;font-size: 11pt;font-family: PingFangSC-light;text-align: right\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\"><span style=\"font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;line-height: 1.7;clear: both;min-height: 1em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\" data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: right;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\">Zequan Liu<\/span><span style=\"font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;line-height: 1.7;clear: both;min-height: 1em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\">.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;line-height: 1.7;clear: both;min-height: 1em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\"><strong><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span>| \u4f5c\u8005<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\"><span>\u5468\u8389<\/span><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 13px;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span>&nbsp;| \u5ba1\u6821<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: right\"><span style=\", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 13px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\" data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;text-align: right; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; color: rgb(63, 63, 63); font-family: PingFangSC-light; font-size: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; vertical-align: middle; display: inline-block; line-height: 0; visibility: visible;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.6746987951807228\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1328\" style=\"background-color: transparent\" data-width=\"1328\" data-height=\"896\" data-imgfileid=\"100235125\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-03c1cabc1e90d72f51f465f9c67bb9ef.png\" \/><\/section>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: left\"><span>\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aDynamic Causal Modeling in Probabilistic Programming Languages&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left\"><span>\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/royalsocietypublishing.org\/doi\/full\/10.1098\/rsif.2024.0880<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<h3 style=\", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\n<section style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right;font-size: 13px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center\">\n<section style=\"vertical-align: middle\">\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: -2px;, Arial, sans-serif\">\n<section style=\"float: left;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"float: right;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"clear: both;line-height: 0\">\n<section style=\"line-height: 0;width: 0px\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.4\">\n<p><strong><strong style=\"text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\", Arial, sans-serif\"><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.578px\"><span>\u52a8\u6001\u56e0\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u6311\u6218<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-top: -2px;, Arial, sans-serif\">\n<section style=\"float: left;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"float: right;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u8981\u4ece\u8111\u7535\u3001\u8111\u78c1\u7b49\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u63a8\u65ad\u9690\u85cf\u7684\u8111\u7f51\u7edc\u56e0\u679c\u8fde\u63a5\uff0c\u5e76\u975e\u6613\u4e8b\u3002DCM\u5efa\u7acb\u5728<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u751f\u7269\u7269\u7406\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u65b9\u7a0b<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7528\u5fae\u5206\u65b9\u7a0b\u63cf\u8ff0\u8111\u533a\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u901a\u8fc7\u6a21\u578b\u53cd\u6f14\u6765\u4f30\u8ba1\u65b9\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u53c2\u6570<\/span><span>\uff08\u5982\u8111\u533a\u95f4\u8fde\u63a5\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7b49\uff09<\/span><span>\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\u8ba1\u7b97\u91cf\u5de8\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6a21\u578b\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u4e14\u7ef4\u5ea6\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u6c42\u89e3\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u5e38\u5e38\u4e0d\u53ef\u884c\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>DCM\u7684\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u63a8\u65ad\u6838\u5fc3\u516c\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.15185185185185185\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"width:291px;height:44px\" data-imgfileid=\"100235137\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-37de0d06d29e3dc55762560dbc376f8c.png\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u5176\u4e2d &nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span data-meta-block-props=\"{&quot;blockId&quot;:&quot;d52bd01e-5145-4929-b9e1-bd98723c4ab7&quot;,&quot;blockType&quot;:&quot;EQUATION_BLOCK&quot;,&quot;initData&quot;:{},&quot;props&quot;:{&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;equation&quot;:&quot;\u03b8n&quot;},&quot;displayMode&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;,&quot;viewType&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;}}\"><span><span>\u03b8<\/span><\/span><\/span><span><span>\u662f\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\uff0c&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span data-meta-block-props=\"{&quot;blockId&quot;:&quot;6e08b2a0-c107-4dce-b6e3-2a73b46f5e10&quot;,&quot;blockType&quot;:&quot;EQUATION_BLOCK&quot;,&quot;initData&quot;:{},&quot;props&quot;:{&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;equation&quot;:&quot;yn&quot;},&quot;displayMode&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;,&quot;viewType&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;}}\"><span><span>y<\/span><\/span><\/span><span><span>\u662f\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span data-meta-block-props=\"{&quot;blockId&quot;:&quot;0e760276-a8d2-440e-8bad-9502109c2b63&quot;,&quot;blockType&quot;:&quot;EQUATION_BLOCK&quot;,&quot;initData&quot;:{},&quot;props&quot;:{&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;equation&quot;:&quot;p(\u03b8)n&quot;},&quot;displayMode&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;,&quot;viewType&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;}}\"><span><span>p(\u03b8)<\/span><\/span><\/span><span><span>\u4e3a\u5148\u9a8c\uff0c&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span data-meta-block-props=\"{&quot;blockId&quot;:&quot;bfe37d4e-0634-4972-8c25-456d01c7ad28&quot;,&quot;blockType&quot;:&quot;EQUATION_BLOCK&quot;,&quot;initData&quot;:{},&quot;props&quot;:{&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;equation&quot;:&quot;p(y|\u03b8)n&quot;},&quot;displayMode&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;,&quot;viewType&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;}}\"><span><span>p(y|\u03b8)<\/span><\/span><\/span><span><span>\u4e3a\u4f3c\u7136\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u4f20\u7edf\u4e0a\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u7814\u7a76\u91c7\u7528<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u53d8\u5206\u63a8\u65ad<\/span><span>&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>(Variational Inference, VI)&nbsp;<\/span><span>\u6765\u8fd1\u4f3c\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c06\u6c42\u89e3\u9ad8\u7ef4\u79ef\u5206\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u4f18\u5316\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u4f4e\u8ba1\u7b97\u6210\u672c\u3002\u4f8b\u5982DCM\u65e9\u671f\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u56fa\u5b9a\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u8fd1\u4f3c\u5206\u5e03<\/span><span>\uff08\u5982\u53d8\u5206\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u65b9\u6cd5\uff09<\/span><span>\u6765\u903c\u8fd1\u53c2\u6570\u540e\u9a8c\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u53c2\u6570\u5316\u8fd1\u4f3c<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e5f\u6709\u660e\u663e\u7f3a\u9677\uff1a\u5f53\u771f\u5b9e\u540e\u9a8c\u662f<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u5206\u5e03<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff08\u5b58\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u5cf0\uff09<\/span><span>\u65f6\uff0c\u53d8\u5206\u8fd1\u4f3c\u5f80\u5f80\u96be\u4ee5\u540c\u65f6\u6355\u83b7\u591a\u4e2a\u89e3\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u4f4e\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u6362\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6709\u591a\u7ec4\u4e0d\u540c\u53c2\u6570\u90fd\u80fd\u89e3\u91ca\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u8fd1\u4f3c\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u627e\u5230\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u89e3\uff0c\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u5176\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u7ed9\u51fa\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u591a\u5e74\uff0c\u4e0d\u5c11\u5b66\u8005\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7528<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u9a6c\u5c14\u53ef\u592b\u94fe\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff08Markov chain Monte Carl, MCMC\uff09<\/span><span>\u91c7\u6837\u6765\u66ff\u4ee3\u53d8\u5206\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u66f4\u5b8c\u6574\u5730\u63a2\u7d22\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e86\u968f\u673a\u6e38\u8d70\u3001\u5207\u7247\u91c7\u6837\u3001\u81ea\u9002\u5e94MCMC\u7b49\u591a\u79cd<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u65e0\u68af\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u91c7\u6837\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u53d1\u73b0\u5b83\u4eec\u96be\u4ee5\u9ad8\u6548\u63a2\u7d22\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u80fd\u5728\u5408\u7406\u7cbe\u5ea6\u4e0b\u62df\u5408\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u83b7\u5f97\u5145\u5206\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u6837\u672c\u4ee5\u51c6\u786e\u63a8\u65ad\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u53c2\u6570\u4ecd\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5c06\u76ee\u5149\u8f6c\u5411\u5229\u7528\u68af\u5ea6\u4fe1\u606f\u7684MCMC\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>Langevin\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u91c7\u6837<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u548c<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u54c8\u5bc6\u987f\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>(Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, HMC)&nbsp;<\/span><span>[4]\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u501f\u52a9\u6a21\u578b\u8054\u5408\u6982\u7387\u7684\u68af\u5ea6\u6765\u52a0\u901f\u6536\u655b\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0cHMC\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u53c2\u6570\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u91c7\u6837\u5f15\u5165\u201c\u52a8\u91cf\u201d\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u7269\u7406<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u54c8\u5bc6\u987f\u52a8\u529b\u5b66<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u8f85\u52a9\u968f\u673a\u6e38\u8d70\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5728\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u9ad8\u6548\u5730\u63a2\u7d22\u9ad8\u7ef4\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728DCM\u8fd9\u6837\u590d\u6742\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u6001\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662fHMC\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u6311\u6218\uff1a\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6bcf\u6b21\u91c7\u6837\u8fed\u4ee3\u9700\u8981\u6570\u503c\u89e3ODE\u5e76\u8ba1\u7b97\u68af\u5ea6\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f00\u9500\u5de8\u5927\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0cHMC\u7b97\u6cd5\u672c\u8eab\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u9700\u8981\u4eba\u5de5\u8bbe\u7f6e\u7684<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u8d85\u53c2\u6570<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff08\u5982\u6b65\u957f\u548c\u6a21\u62df\u6b65\u6570\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e0d\u5f53\uff0c\u91c7\u6837\u8981\u4e48\u65e0\u6cd5\u5145\u5206\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u6570\u503c\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u5bfc\u81f4\u91c7\u6837\u53d1\u6563\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u54c8\u5bc6\u987f\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6838\u5fc3\u65b9\u7a0b\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.09074074074074075\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"width:445px;height:40px\" data-imgfileid=\"100235138\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-39a267cad58a706c36b5c79b472e5c89.png\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u5176\u4e2d<\/span><\/span><span data-meta-block-props=\"{&quot;blockId&quot;:&quot;f2089378-a478-422c-8b6f-b9c6e5a176df&quot;,&quot;blockType&quot;:&quot;EQUATION_BLOCK&quot;,&quot;initData&quot;:{},&quot;props&quot;:{&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;equation&quot;:&quot;K(\\rho)n&quot;},&quot;displayMode&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;,&quot;viewType&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;}}\"><span><span>K(\u03c1)<\/span><\/span><\/span><span><span>\u8868\u793a\u52a8\u80fd<\/span><span>\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u5047\u8bbe\u4e3a\u9ad8\u65af\u5f62\u5f0f\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span data-meta-block-props=\"{&quot;blockId&quot;:&quot;ae415086-c95e-472d-a564-d4d1ec0d0fca&quot;,&quot;blockType&quot;:&quot;EQUATION_BLOCK&quot;,&quot;initData&quot;:{},&quot;props&quot;:{&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;equation&quot;:&quot;V(\\theta)n&quot;},&quot;displayMode&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;,&quot;viewType&quot;:&quot;inline&quot;}}\"><span><span>V(\u03b8)<\/span><\/span><\/span><span><span>\u4e3a\u52bf\u80fd\uff0c\u5bf9\u5e94\u76ee\u6807\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u8d1f\u5bf9\u6570\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u4e3a\u4e86\u5728\u6709\u9650\u8ba1\u7b97\u6b65\u6570\u5185\u8fd1\u4f3c\u8fde\u7eed\u8f68\u8ff9\uff0cHMC \u4f7f\u7528 Leapfrog \u79ef\u5206\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u6570\u503c\u6a21\u62df\uff0c\u5176\u66f4\u65b0\u89c4\u5219\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"text-align: center\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.20555555555555555\" data-s=\"300,640\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"width:399px;height:82px\" data-imgfileid=\"100235140\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-8d820c3171bd49a1e221c0bcd9d07214.png\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u4e3a\u51cf\u8f7bHMC\u53c2\u6570\u8c03\u6821\u7684\u96be\u9898\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u5176\u81ea\u9002\u5e94\u53d8\u4f53\u2014\u2014<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u65e0U\u8f6c\u91c7\u6837\u5668<\/span><span>&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>(No-U-turn Sampler, NUTS)<\/span><span>&nbsp;[6]\uff0c\u5b83\u80fd\u4f9d\u636e\u76ee\u6807\u5206\u5e03\u51e0\u4f55\u5f62\u72b6\u81ea\u52a8\u8c03\u6574\u6b65\u957f\u548c\u8def\u5f84\u957f\u5ea6\u3002NUTS\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u8c03\u53c2\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5904\u7406<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u5fae\u5206\u65b9\u7a0b<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u3001\u53c2\u6570\u9ad8\u5ea6\u76f8\u5173\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u89c2\u6d4b\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5907\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u65f6\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6709NUTS\u4e5f\u96be\u514d\u51fa\u73b0\u6536\u655b\u7f13\u6162\u751a\u81f3\u65e0\u6cd5\u6536\u655b\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5148\u524d\u9488\u5bf9DCM\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u5408\u7406\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\uff0c\u8981\u517c\u987e\u91c7\u6837\u6570\u76ee\u548c\u53c2\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u7cbe\u5ea6\u6781\u5177\u6311\u6218\uff1aHMC\u7c7b\u65b9\u6cd5\u4ea7\u751f\u7684<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u6709\u6548\u6837\u672c\u6570<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u504f\u4f4e\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002\u66f4\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u8111\u7cfb\u7edf\u5b58\u5728<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u53c2\u6570\u7b80\u5e76<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u73b0\u8c61<\/span><span>\uff08\u5373\u591a\u7ec4\u53c2\u6570\u4ea7\u751f\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8f93\u51fa\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6a21\u578b<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u975e\u8fa8\u8bc6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u91c7\u6837\u8fd0\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u6536\u655b\u5230\u53c2\u6570\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u533a\u57df<\/span><span>\uff08\u5c40\u90e8\u6781\u503c\uff09<\/span><span>\u800c\u5404\u81ea\u90fd\u80fd\u89e3\u91ca\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51fa\u73b0<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u591a\u6a21\u6001<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u5bf9\u63a8\u65ad\u7b97\u6cd5\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u91cd\u590d\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4f1a\u7ed9\u51fa\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u89e3\u96c6\uff0c\u8ba9\u4eba\u96be\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u54ea\u4e00\u4e2a\u624d\u662f\u5bf9\u7684\uff0c\u6d6a\u8d39\u5927\u91cf\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0cDCM\u7684\u63a8\u65ad\u7cbe\u5ea6\u548c\u6548\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u53d7\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u74f6\u9888\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.3209677419354839\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color:transparent;width:100%\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"199\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"180\" data-imgfileid=\"100235127\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-91550e08875c722bbb53369249afec0d.png\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megiyh1z7gc\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe1<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>&nbsp;\u52a8\u6001\u56e0\u679c\u6a21\u578b(DCM)\u793a\u610f\u4f8b\u3002\uff08A\uff09\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u7528\u4e8e\u4ea7\u751f\u4e8b\u4ef6\u76f8\u5173\u7535\u4f4d(ERP)\u7684\u7b80\u5316\u795e\u7ecf\u8d28\u70b9\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e92\u76f8\u8fde\u63a5\u7684\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\u79cd\u7fa4\uff1a\u5174\u594b\u6027<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u9525\u4f53\u795e\u7ecf\u5143<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff08Pyramidal cells\uff09\u3001<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u6291\u5236\u6027\u4e2d\u95f4\u795e\u7ecf\u5143<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff08Inhibitory Interneuron\uff09\u548c\u63a5\u6536\u5916\u90e8\u8f93\u5165\u7684<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u6709\u68d8\u661f\u72b6\u7ec6\u80de<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\uff08Spiny stellate\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u795e\u7ecf\u7fa4\u4f53\u901a\u8fc7\u82e5\u5e72\u8fde\u63a5\u53c2\u6570\u8026\u5408\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u5916\u90e8\u523a\u6fc0\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8f93\u5165\u9a71\u52a8\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08\u89c1\u9ed1\u8272\u7bad\u5934\u6240\u793a\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff09\u3002(B) \u6a21\u578b\u4eff\u771f\u751f\u6210\u7684\u9525\u4f53\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\u7535\u538b\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u7070\u8272\u66f2\u7ebf\uff09\u53ca\u52a0\u5165\u89c2\u6d4b\u566a\u58f0\u5e76\u4e0b\u91c7\u6837\u540e\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\uff08\u7ea2\u70b9\uff09\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u4ee5\u6b64\u865a\u62df\u6a21\u578b\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0d\u540c\u63a8\u65ad\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u5df2\u77e5\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u6062\u590d\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u5bf9\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u7684\u62df\u5408\u51c6\u786e\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3 style=\", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\n<section style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right;font-size: 13px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center\">\n<section style=\"vertical-align: middle\">\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: -2px;, Arial, sans-serif\">\n<section style=\"float: left;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"float: right;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"clear: both;line-height: 0\">\n<section style=\"line-height: 0;width: 0px\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.4\">\n<p><strong><strong style=\"text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\", Arial, sans-serif\"><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.578px\"><span>\u65b0\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u7ed3\u5408DCM\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u63a8\u65ad<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-top: -2px;, Arial, sans-serif\">\n<section style=\"float: left;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"float: right;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u9762\u5bf9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u5c1d\u8bd5\u4e86\u4e00\u6761\u4e0d\u540c\u8def\u5f84\uff1a\u5229\u7528<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u8bed\u8a00<\/span><span>&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>(PPL)&nbsp;<\/span><span>\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u80fd\u529b\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0DCM\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u63a8\u65ad\u3002\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u8bed\u8a00\u662f\u4e00\u7c7b\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u7f16\u7a0b\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4f20\u7edf\u7f16\u7a0b\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u6982\u7387\u6a21\u578b\u63cf\u8ff0\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u4f7f\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u9ad8\u5c42\u4ee3\u7801\u65b9\u4fbf\u5730\u5b9a\u4e49\u590d\u6742\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u8c03\u7528\u5185\u7f6e\u7684\u5148\u8fdb\u63a8\u65ad\u7b97\u6cd5\u3002\u501f\u52a9PPL\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u9700\u624b\u63a8\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u63a8\u5bfc\uff0c\u53ea\u9700\u7528\u8fd1\u4f3cPython\u6216Stan\u7b49\u8bed\u8a00\u7f16\u5199\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e95\u5c42\u5c31\u80fd\u81ea\u52a8\u5b8c\u6210<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u68af\u5ea6\u8ba1\u7b97<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u3001<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u91c7\u6837\u63a8\u65ad<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u7b49\u7e41\u7410\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u5e38\u89c1\u7684PPL\u5982Stan[7]\u3001PyMC\u548cNumPyro\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u5185\u7f6e\u4e86\u5982\u53d8\u5206\u63a8\u65ad\u548cHMC-NUTS\u91c7\u6837\u7b49\u9ad8\u6548\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e76\u9488\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u5927\u578b\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6027\u80fd\u4f18\u5316<\/span><span>\uff08\u5229\u7528\u81ea\u52a8\u5fae\u5206\u548c\u786c\u4ef6\u52a0\u901f\u7b49\u6280\u672f\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u7075\u6d3b\u3001\u9ad8\u6027\u80fd\u3001\u53ef\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u4f18\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u5728\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5c06DCM\u7684\u795e\u7ecf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u5206\u522b\u7528\u591a\u4e2a\u4e3b\u6d41\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u5e73\u53f0\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u63a8\u65ad\u7684<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u6548\u7387<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u548c<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u7cbe\u5ea6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u7a81\u51fa\u4eae\u70b9\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5145\u5206\u5229\u7528\u4e86<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>JAX<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u5e93\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u5fae\u5206\u548cGPU\u52a0\u901f\u529f\u80fd[9]\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u91c7\u7528HMC-NUTS\u7b97\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u91c7\u6837\u65f6\uff0c\u6bcf\u5355\u4f4d\u65f6\u95f4\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u6709\u6548\u6837\u672c\u6570\u76f8\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002\u6362\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u501f\u52a9\u73b0\u4ee3\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u9886\u57df\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0cHMC\u8fd9\u7c7b\u68af\u5ea6\u91c7\u6837\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u201c\u9ad8\u6602\u4ee3\u4ef7\u201d\u6b63\u5728\u88ab\u5927\u5e45\u524a\u51cf\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728JAX\u652f\u6301\u7684NumPyro[8]\u7b49\u6846\u67b6\u4e2d\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u5feb\u6536\u655b\u5e76\u53d6\u5f97\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u6837\u672c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3a\u5c06\u9ad8\u7cbe\u5ea6\u91c7\u6837\u5e94\u7528\u4e8eDCM\u5960\u5b9a\u4e86\u57fa\u7840\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ec5\u6709\u66f4\u5feb\u7684\u91c7\u6837\u5e76\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u89e3\u51b3<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u6536\u655b<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e09\u9879\u5173\u952e\u7b56\u7565\u6765\u589e\u5f3a\u63a8\u65ad\u53ef\u9760\u6027\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ol style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\" class=\"list-paddingleft-1\" start=\"1\">\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u4f18\u5316\u91c7\u6837\u8d85\u53c2\u6570<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff1a\u9488\u5bf9NUTS\u91c7\u6837\u5668\uff0c\u7ec6\u81f4\u8c03\u6574\u5176\u7b97\u6cd5\u53c2\u6570<\/span><span>\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u76ee\u6807\u63a5\u53d7\u7387\u3001\u6700\u5927\u6811\u6df1\u7b49\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u4e3a\u91c7\u6837\u8fc7\u7a0b\u201c\u8c03\u6559\u9a6c\u529b\u201d\u3002\u5408\u7406\u7684\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u8bbe\u7f6e\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u8f68\u8ff9\u8fc7\u77ed\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u4f4e\u6548\u63a2\u7d22\uff0c\u4e5f\u907f\u514d\u8f68\u8ff9\u8fc7\u957f\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u91cd\u590d\u91c7\u6837\u548c\u8ba1\u7b97\u6d6a\u8d39\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5728\u6709\u9650\u8ba1\u7b97\u91cf\u4e0b\u66f4\u5145\u5206\u5730\u63a2\u7d22\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u503c\u8bbe\u5b9a<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff1a\u5c06\u591a\u4e2a\u5e73\u884c\u9a6c\u5c14\u53ef\u592b\u94fe\u7684\u8d77\u59cb\u70b9\u968f\u673a\u7f6e\u4e8e\u53c2\u6570\u5148\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u5c3e\u90e8<\/span><span>\uff08\u6781\u7aef\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff09<\/span><span>\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u505a\u6cd5\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u94fe\u4e0e\u94fe\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u591a\u6837\u6027\uff0c\u9632\u6b62\u6240\u6709\u91c7\u6837\u90fd\u4ece\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fd1\u4f3c\u89e3\u9644\u8fd1\u51fa\u53d1\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u94fe\u6216\u8bb8\u4f1a\u63a2\u7d22\u5230\u6b64\u524d\u88ab\u5ffd\u7565\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u9ad8\u627e\u5230\u5168\u5c40\u6700\u4f18\u89e3\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5c06\u521d\u59cb\u503c\u9009\u5728\u5148\u9a8c\u5c3e\u90e8\u53ef\u6709\u6548\u7f13\u89e3\u4ee5\u5f80\u90e8\u5206\u94fe\u9677\u5165\u5c40\u90e8\u6781\u503c\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f7f\u66f4\u591a\u94fe\u6536\u655b\u5230\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u57fa\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u52a0\u6743\u5806\u53e0<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff1a\u9488\u5bf9\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u591a\u4e2a\u9a6c\u5c14\u53ef\u592b\u94fe\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u6df7\u5408<\/span><span>\uff08\u90a3\u53ef\u80fd\u63ba\u5165\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u6b21\u4f18\u89e3\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u91c7\u7528\u4e00\u79cd\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u540e\u9a8c\u5806\u53e0\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u6bcf\u6761\u94fe\u751f\u6210\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u6027\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u8fd9\u4e00<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u9884\u6d4b\u6307\u6807<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u7ed9\u4e88\u94fe\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0d\u540c\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u518d\u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u52a0\u6743\u878d\u5408\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u53ef\u4ee5\u7a81\u51fa\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u9ad8\u7684\u89e3\u3001\u6de1\u5316\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u6b21\u6a21\u6001\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u7cbe\u786e\u7a33\u5065\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u901a\u8fc7\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6539\u8fdb\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a9\u7ef4\u72b6\u6001\u300110\u4e2a\u53c2\u6570\u7684\u5178\u578bDCM\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\u6210\u529f\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u63a8\u65ad\u3002\u5728\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u9996\u5148\u7528\u8f83\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u5148\u9a8c\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u94fe\u786e\u5b9e\u4f1a\u7531\u4e8e\u53c2\u6570\u7b80\u5e76\u800c\u6536\u655b\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cd\u73b0\u4e86<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u591a\u6a21\u6001<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.7612903225806451\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color:transparent;width:100%\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"472\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"428\" data-imgfileid=\"100235126\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-1b420788f50e90f0e883b542cb67cfdb.png\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megiz9f667t\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe2<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>&nbsp;\u63a8\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u63a8\u65ad\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4f1a\u8dd1\u51fa\u591a\u7ec4\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u591a\u6a21\u6001=\u6536\u655b\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u5cf0\uff1b\u53ea\u6709\u843d\u5728\u6b63\u786e\u6a21\u6001\u7684\u94fe\u624d\u91cd\u73b0\u771f\u5b9e\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u3002\u84dd\u8272\u94fe\u2192\u5c40\u90e8\u6781\u503c\u3001\u62df\u5408\u5dee\uff1b\u9ec4\u8272\u94fe\u2192\u5168\u5c40\u6a21\u6001\u3001\u62df\u5408\u597d\uff1b\u6d45\u84dd\u94fe\u2192\u975e\u7a33\u6001\u76f4\u63a5\u8e22\u6389\u3002A) 24 \u6761 NUTS \u94fe\u5728\u540e\u9a8c\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u5e03\uff1bB) \u62df\u5408\u597d\u7684 vs \u843d\u5230\u5c40\u90e8\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u94fe\u5728\u65f6\u95f4\u57df\u7684\u52a8\u6001\uff1bC) \u94fe\u7684\u7a33\u6001\u68c0\u67e5\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u968f\u540e\u5f15\u5165\u4f18\u5316\u7b56\u7565\uff1a\u8c03\u6574NUTS\u53c2\u6570\u5e76\u589e\u52a0\u94fe\u521d\u59cb\u591a\u6837\u6027\u540e\uff0c\u91c7\u6837\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u8457\u6539\u5584\uff0c<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>80\u6761\u5e76\u884c\u94fe<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u5168\u90e8\u6210\u529f\u6536\u655b\u5e76\u51c6\u786e\u91cd\u73b0\u4e86\u5408\u6210\u6570\u636e\u3002\u518d\u901a\u8fc7\u540e\u9a8c\u5806\u53e0\u6574\u5408\u94fe\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6709\u6548\u6ee4\u9664\u4e86\u4f2a\u89e3\u6a21\u5f0f\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u6570\u636e\u7684\u62df\u5408\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u80fd\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.8\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color:transparent;width:100%\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"496\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"450\" data-imgfileid=\"100235124\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-c756977cdbde2a6130a7826d8079b5a2.png\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megizfgd1ley\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe3<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>&nbsp;\u8d85\u53c2\u6570\u7f51\u683c\u641c\u7d22\u3002\u8c03 NUTS \u7684\u201c\u6b65\u957f\/\u6811\u6df1\/\u63a5\u53d7\u7387\u201d\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u76ee\u6807\u63a5\u53d7\u7387 0.6 + \u6811\u6df1 2\u2078 \u21d2 \u5168\u90e8\u94fe\u6536\u655b\uff1b\u592a\u9ad8\u63a5\u53d7\u7387\u2192\u6b65\u957f\u8fc7\u5c0f\uff0c\u63a2\u7d22\u4e0d\u591f\u3002\u7cbe\u7ec6\u8c03\u53c2\u53ef\u4ee5\u6c42\u6536\u655b\uff0c\u4f46\u4ee3\u4ef7\u9ad8\u3001\u4e0d\u901a\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.8193548387096774\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color:transparent;width:100%\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"508\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"460\" data-imgfileid=\"100235128\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-dabc893f69e36fdf0dc0c58cab777190.png\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em;text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe4<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>&nbsp;\u5c3e\u90e8\u521d\u59cb\u5316\u3002\u4e0d\u7528\u8c03\u53c2\u4e5f\u8ba9 NUTS \u5168\u90e8\u6536\u655b\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>A) 80 \u6761\u201c\u5c3e\u90e8\u521d\u59cb\u5316\u201d\u94fe\u5168\u90e8\u62df\u5408\u6210\u529f\uff1bB) \u521d\u59cb\u5316\u793a\u610f\uff1bC\u2013D) RMSE \u548c\u5931\u8d25\u94fe=0\uff1bE\u2013I) \u540c Fig 3 \u7684\u8bca\u65ad\u6307\u6807\u3002\u628a\u521d\u59cb\u70b9\u4e22\u5230\u5148\u9a8c 2.5% \u5c3e\u533a \u21d2 100% \u6536\u655b\uff0c\u4e14\u63a2\u7d22\u66f4\u5927\u80c6\uff08\u6b65\u957f\u5927\uff09\u3002\u5148\u9a8c\u5c3e\u90e8\u8d77\u6b65\u662f\u4e00\u952e\u7a33\u6536\u655b\u7684\u7b80\u6d01\u6280\u5de7\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.617741935483871\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color:transparent;width:100%\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"383\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"347\" data-imgfileid=\"100235131\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-7225743703cb69338e944cd67c362eaf.jpeg\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em;text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe5&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u540e\u9a8c\u5806\u53e0\u3002\u94fe\u5206\u6210\u4e0d\u540c\u6a21\u6001\u540e\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u81ea\u52a8\u5254\u9664\u6b21\u4f18\u89e3\uff1f<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>A) \u591a\u6a21\u6001\u94fe\u793a\u610f\uff1bB) \u5747\u6743 pooling \u4ecd\u542b\u4f2a\u5cf0\uff1bC) \u57fa\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u7cbe\u5ea6\u52a0\u6743 stacking \u6d88\u9664\u4f2a\u5cf0\u3002Stacking\u2192\u9ec4\u8272\u66f2\u7ebf\u5e73\u6ed1\u4e14\u66f4\u8d34\u771f\u503c\uff1bPool\u2192\u84dd\u8272\u4ecd\u6709\u5e7b\u5f71\u6a21\u6001\u3002\u5c06\u94fe\u6309\u9884\u6d4b\u597d\u574f\u52a0\u6743\u5806\u53e0\uff0c\u53ef\u81ea\u52a8\u6ee4\u566a\u7559\u7cbe\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e86\u53d8\u5206\u63a8\u65ad\u4e0eMCMC\u5728\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5f53\u91c7\u7528\u5145\u5206\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u53d8\u5206\u8fd1\u4f3c<\/span><span>\uff08\u5982\u5168\u9636\u534f\u65b9\u5dee\u7684\u53d8\u5206\u65b9\u6cd5\u6216\u81ea\u52a8\u62c9\u666e\u62c9\u65af\u8fd1\u4f3c\uff09<\/span><span>\u65f6\uff0c\u5176\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u4e0eNUTS\u91c7\u6837\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u90fd\u80fd\u591f\u6355\u6349\u5230\u771f\u5b9e\u53c2\u6570\u5e76\u5448\u73b0\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7ed3\u6784\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.5258064516129032\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color:transparent;width:100%\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"326\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"296\" data-imgfileid=\"100235129\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-77d495c6ea5267cd59333ac2a3907e89.jpeg\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj09yu1zsk\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe6&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>VI\u202f\u4e0e\u202fNUTS \u540e\u9a8c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u9009\u53d6\u7684\u82e5\u5e72\u5173\u952e\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4e24\u4e24\u7ed8\u5236\u6563\u70b9\u5bc6\u5ea6\u3002NUTS\uff08\u6d45\u68d5\uff09\u3001\u81ea\u52a8\u202fLaplace\u202f\uff08\u7d2b\u7070\uff09\u3001Full\u2011rank ADVI\uff08\u9ec4\uff09\u3001Mean\u2011field ADVI\uff08\u6df1\u68d5\uff09\u3002\u7ea2\u70b9\uff1a\u771f\u5b9e\u751f\u6210\u53c2\u6570\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002NUTS\u540e\u9a8c\u5f62\u72b6\u692d\u5706\/\u5f2f\u66f2\uff0c\u8ddf\u968f\u76f8\u5173\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u51e0\u4f55\u6355\u83b7\u6700\u5b8c\u6574\uff0c\u4f46\u8ba1\u7b97\u8f83\u6162\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u82e5\u4f7f\u7528\u8fc7\u4e8e\u7b80\u5316\u7684\u53d8\u5206\u65b9\u6cd5<\/span><span>\uff08\u5982\u5747\u503c\u573a\u8fd1\u4f3c\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c\u5219\u4f1a\u4f4e\u4f30\u53c2\u6570\u65b9\u5dee\u3001\u5ffd\u7565\u53c2\u6570\u95f4\u76f8\u5173\u6027\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u7ed9\u51fa\u8fc7\u5ea6\u81ea\u4fe1\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4e0e\u771f\u5b9e\u503c\u5b58\u5728\u504f\u5dee\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5bf9\u6bd4\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u9ad8\u7ea7\u63a8\u65ad\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\uff1a\u53ea\u6709\u5145\u5206\u63a2\u7d22\u548c\u7075\u6d3b\u8fd1\u4f3c\u624d\u80fd\u6b63\u786e\u8868\u5f81\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.8290322580645161\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color:transparent;width:100%\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"514\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"466\" data-imgfileid=\"100235132\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-65b5874f93ad00f72e63f182b8c4a76c.jpeg\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em;text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe7<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>&nbsp;\u6a21\u578b\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u5220\u6389\u54ea\u6761\u8fde\u63a5\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u5f71\u54cd\u6700\u5927\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>A) 4 \u4e2a\u5220\u8fb9\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u62df\u5408\u66f2\u7ebf\uff1bB) AIC\/BIC\/WAIC\/LOO \u6307\u6807\uff1bC) \u53d8\u5206 Free-energy\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5220 g\u2081 \u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e\u5168\u6a21\u578b\u540c\u6837\u597d\uff1b\u5220 g\u2082 \u6700\u5dee\uff1b\u6307\u6807\u4e00\u81f4\u7ed9\u51fa\u76f8\u540c\u6392\u540d\u3002\u591a\u79cd\u51c6\u5219\u4e00\u81f4\u9501\u5b9a\u4e86g\u2081 \u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a 0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center\"><img class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.40161290322580645\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"620\" style=\"background-color: transparent\" data-width=\"620\" data-height=\"249\" data-imgfileid=\"100235130\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/wxsync-2025-09-0225da726f1d93543aa94f7790085c28.jpeg\" \/><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em;text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>\u56fe8&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>PPL \u6027\u80fd\u57fa\u51c6\u3002\u4e0d\u540c\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u6846\u67b6\u7b97\u540c\u4e00\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\/\u8d28\u91cf\u5dee\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.5em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>A) \u8fd0\u884c\u65f6\u95f4\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1bB) ESS\/\u62bd\u6837\u603b\u91cf\uff1bC) \u5e73\u5747\u3002NumPyro\u2248PyMC(BlackJAX) &#8211;&gt; \u6bd4 Stan \u5feb ~16\u00d7\u3002\u7528 JAX \u540e\u7aef\u7684 PPL\uff08NumPyro \/ PyMC\uff09\u65e2\u5feb\u53c8\u7a33\uff0c\u662f\u9996\u9009\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><br \/><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3 style=\", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px\">\n<section style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: right;font-size: 13px\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center\">\n<section style=\"vertical-align: middle\">\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: -2px;, Arial, sans-serif\">\n<section style=\"float: left;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"float: right;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"clear: both;line-height: 0\">\n<section style=\"line-height: 0;width: 0px\"><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.4\">\n<p><strong><strong style=\"text-align: left;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\", Arial, sans-serif\"><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.578px\"><span>\u4e3b\u8981\u53d1\u73b0<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-top: -2px;, Arial, sans-serif\">\n<section style=\"float: left;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"float: right;width: 8px;height: 3px;line-height: 0\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/h3>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>\u7efc\u5408\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u4eec\u5728DCM\u6a21\u578b\u63a8\u65ad\u7684\u878d\u5408\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u548c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u6709\u4e86\u591a\u91cd\u8fdb\u5c55\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\" class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u63a8\u65ad\u6548\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u5347<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff1a\u501f\u52a9PPL\u6846\u67b6\u548c\u81ea\u52a8\u5fae\u5206\uff0c\u9ad8\u7ea7\u91c7\u6837\u7b97\u6cd5<\/span><span>\uff08\u5982NUTS\uff09<\/span><span>\u5728\u5355\u4f4d\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u83b7\u53d6\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6837\u672c\u663e\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u62a5\u544a\u76f8\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u624b\u5de5\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u65b9\u6848\u4f7f\u6709\u6548\u6837\u672c\u6570\/\u65f6\u95f4\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u6781\u5927\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u91c7\u6837\u65b9\u6cd5\u201c\u8ba1\u7b97\u6162\u201d\u7684\u74f6\u9888\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u591a\u89e3\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5f97\u5230\u89e3\u51b3<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u4f18\u91c7\u6837\u53c2\u6570\u3001\u968f\u673a\u521d\u59cb\u5316\u548c\u7ed3\u679c\u5806\u53e0\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u514b\u670d\u4e86\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6240\u6709\u5e76\u884c\u94fe\u51e0\u4e4e\u90fd\u80fd\u6536\u655b\u5230\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u5168\u5c40\u89e3\uff0c\u63a8\u65ad\u51fa\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u65e2\u80fd\u826f\u597d\u62df\u5408\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53c8\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u751f\u6210\u771f\u503c\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5e38\u5e38\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u94fe\u9677\u5165\u5c40\u90e8\u6b21\u4f18\u89e3\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u4eba\u5de5\u7504\u522b\u3002\u65b0\u65b9\u6848\u4ee4\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u663e\u8457\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u63a8\u65ad\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 16px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u63a8\u65ad\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u6027<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff1a\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7b97\u6cd5\u8db3\u591f\u5f97\u5f53\uff0cMCMC\u91c7\u6837\u4e0e\u53d8\u5206\u63a8\u65ad\u6700\u7ec8\u53ef\u4ee5<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u8d8b\u540c<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u4e8e\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u540e\u9a8c\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u5728\u6210\u529f\u5e94\u7528\u65f6\uff0c\u4e24\u7c7b\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u8bc1\u636e\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e5f\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e00\u81f4<\/span><span>\uff08\u5982\u5168\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u4fe1\u606f\u51c6\u5219\u4e0e\u81ea\u7531\u80fd\u51c6\u5219\u7ed3\u679c\u76f8\u7b26\uff09<\/span><span>\u3002\u8fd9\u4e3a\u4e60\u60ef\u4e8e\u53d8\u5206\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff1a\u5f15\u5165\u91c7\u6837\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e0e\u65e2\u6709\u7ed3\u8bba\u76f8\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u76f8\u4e92\u6821\u9a8c\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u4e5f\u8bf4\u660e\u8be5DCM\u6a21\u578b\u63a8\u65ad\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u5f97\u5230\u5145\u5206\u8ba1\u7b97\u652f\u6301\u65f6\uff0c\u5176\u89e3\u7684\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u66f4\u5f3a\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><strong><span><span>\u8de8\u5e73\u53f0\u7684\u53ef\u590d\u73b0\u5b9e\u73b0<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\uff1a\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u7f16\u7a0b\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00DCM\u63a8\u65ad\u6d41\u7a0b\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u4ee3\u7801\u5f00\u653e\u90e8\u7f72\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u4eba\u8111\u8ba1\u5212\u7684EBRAINS\u4e91\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u795e\u7ecf\u6210\u50cf\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u65e0\u9700\u6df1\u539a\u7684\u7f16\u7a0b\u529f\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u5728\u4e91\u7aef\u8c03\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5bf9\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6267\u884c<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u7684DCM\u5206\u6790<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u3002\u8de8\u5e73\u53f0\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd8\u786e\u4fdd\u4e86\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u53ef\u91cd\u590d\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u65b9\u4fbf\u4e0d\u540c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u91c7\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u719f\u6089\u7684\u8bed\u8a00<\/span><span>\uff08\u5982Python\u6216C++\u63a5\u53e3\uff09<\/span><span>\u91cd\u73b0\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/span><span>\uff08&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">https:\/\/ebrains.eu<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">\uff1b<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span>https:\/\/github.com\/ins-amu\/DCM_PPLs\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>DCM\u4f5c\u4e3a\u89e3\u6790\u8111\u7f51\u7edc\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u6b63\u56e0\u4e3a\u63a8\u65ad\u96be\u5ea6\u9ad8\u800c\u4e00\u5ea6\u4ee4\u4eba\u751f\u754f\u3002\u800c\u5982\u4eca\u501f\u52a9\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u548c\u5148\u8fdb\u91c7\u6837\u6280\u672f\uff0c<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u81ea\u52a8\u5316DCM<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u6210\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u516c\u5f00\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u76f8\u5e94\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u8ba9\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4ee5\u66f4\u4f4e\u95e8\u69db\u5e94\u7528DCM\u6765\u5206\u6790<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u8111\u6210\u50cf\u6570\u636e<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u766b\u75eb\u7b49\u8111\u7f51\u7edc\u5f02\u5e38\u6d3b\u52a8\u65f6\uff0c\u65b0\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u5730\u8fa8\u8bc6\u75c5\u7076\u533a\u57df\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e34\u5e8a\u51b3\u7b56\u63d0\u4f9b\u4f9d\u636e\uff1b\u5728\u8ba4\u77e5\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b66\u8005\u4eec\u6216\u53ef\u501f\u6b64\u63a2\u7d22\u4e0d\u540c\u8111\u533a\u5bf9\u67d0\u9879\u8ba4\u77e5\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u8d21\u732e\uff0c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u5047\u8bbe\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><span>\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u6280\u672f\u878d\u5408\u7684\u5a01\u529b\u3002\u6982\u7387\u7f16\u7a0b\u4e0e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u9886\u57df\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u751f\u7269\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u7a81\u7834\u8ba1\u7b97\u684e\u688f\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u539f\u672c\u65e0\u6cd5\u4f01\u53ca\u7684\u63a8\u65ad\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u8111\u79d1\u5b66\uff0c\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u7b49\u6d89\u53ca<\/span><\/span><strong><span><span>\u90e8\u5206\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u52a8\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span><span>\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u53ef\u4ee5\u501f\u9274\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u601d\u8def\u6539\u8fdb\u6a21\u578b\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u66f4\u7075\u6d3b\u3001\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u671b\u5728\u5404\u79cd\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u53d1\u73b0\u9690\u85cf\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u673a\u7406\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;line-height: 1.75em\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold\">\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>[1] Friston, K.J. et al. (2003). Dynamic causal modelling.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><em><span><span>NeuroImage<\/span><\/span><\/em><span><span>, 19(4), 1273\u20131302.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>[2] Daunizeau, J., David, O., &amp; Stephan, K.E. (2011). Dynamic causal modelling: A critical review of the biophysical and statistical foundations.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><em><span><span>NeuroImage<\/span><\/span><\/em><span><span>, 58(2), 312\u2013322.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>[3] Fr\u00e4ssle, S. et al. (2021). Regression dynamic causal modeling for resting-state fMRI.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><em><span><span>Human Brain Mapping<\/span><\/span><\/em><span><span>, 42(7), 2159\u20132180.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>[4] Betancourt, M. (2017). A conceptual introduction to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><em><span><span>arXiv preprint arXiv:1701.02434<\/span><\/span><\/em><span><span>.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>[5] Vehtari, A., Gelman, A., &amp; Gabry, J. (2017). Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><em><span><span>Statistics and Computing<\/span><\/span><\/em><span><span>, 27(5), 1413\u20131432.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>[6] Hoffman, M.D. &amp; Gelman, A. (2014). The No-U-Turn Sampler: Adaptively setting path lengths in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><em><span><span>J. Mach. Learn. Res.<\/span><\/span><\/em><span><span>, 15(1), 1593\u20131623.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>[7] Carpenter, B. et al. (2017). Stan: A probabilistic programming language.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><em><span><span>Journal of Statistical Software<\/span><\/span><\/em><span><span>, 76(1), 1\u201332.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;line-height: 1em;text-align: left\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"megj1wjecx\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span><span>[8] Phan, D. et al. (2019). Composable effects for flexible and accelerated probabilistic programming in NumPyro.&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><em><span><span>arXiv preprint arXiv:1912.11554<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13px\"><span>. [9] Jax team. (2022). JAX: composable transformations of Python+NumPy programs. https:\/\/github.com\/google\/jax<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section><span style=\"font-size:15px;letter-spacing:0.544px\" data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;powered-by&quot;:&quot;xiumi.us&quot;,&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-bottom: 0px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<section>\n<section>\n<section data-pm-slice=\"8 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;powered-by&quot;:&quot;xiumi.us&quot;,&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-bottom: 0px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\">\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 14px;, Arial, sans-serif\" data-pm-slice=\"7 2 []\">\n<section><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px\"><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-right: 8px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; line-height: 2em;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-size: 15px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 0px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;justify-content: center\">\n<section style=\"width: auto;vertical-align: top;min-width: 10%;height: auto\">\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: -15px\">\n<section style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2;letter-spacing: 3px\">\n<p><strong><span>\u8ba1\u7b97\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 14px;, Arial, sans-serif\"><span><strong><span style=\"font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px\"><span data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-right: 8px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; line-height: 2em;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-size: 15px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 24px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"mdqyjmwhnyi\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\">\u4ece\u5355\u4e2a\u795e\u7ecf\u5143\u7684\u653e\u7535\u5230\u5168\u8111\u8303\u56f4\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u6d8c\u73b0\uff0c\u7406\u89e3\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u4e0e\u6f14\u5316\u59cb\u7ec8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u4e8e\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u66f4\u503c\u5f97\u6df1\u601d\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u5fae\u89c2\u7684\u7a81\u89e6\u53ef\u5851\u6027\u3001\u4ecb\u89c2\u7684\u76ae\u5c42\u6a21\u5757\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u5b8f\u89c2\u7684\u5168\u5c40\u4fe1\u606f\u5e7f\u64ad\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u8fc7\u7a0b\u90fd\u5728\u5171\u540c\u5851\u9020\u7740\u8ba4\u77e5\u4e0e\u610f\u8bc6\u3002\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u5bf9\u5fc3\u667a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4ece\u6700\u521d\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u76f4\u9762\u4e00\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u6311\u6218\uff1a\u5c40\u90e8\u7684\u795e\u7ecf\u6d3b\u52a8\u5982\u4f55\u6574\u5408\u4e3a\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u4f53\u9a8c\uff1f\u5c40\u57df\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u8fde\u63a5\u53c8\u5982\u4f55\u652f\u6491\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u884c\u4e3a\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 24px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px\" data-mpa-action-id=\"mdqyjmwhnyi\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\">\u7ee7\u300c<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247632732&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=4deb2051aeb31d1cbf3ad70732911a30&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u795e\u7ecf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6a21\u578b<\/a>\u300d\u4e0e\u300c<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247680541&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=3e8f6f04ff96462f44cf772c3b6c01f7&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8ba1\u7b97\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66<\/a>\u300d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u540e\uff0c\u96c6\u667a\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u8054\u5408\u6765\u81ea\u6570\u5b66\u3001\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u3001\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u4e00\u7ebf\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5171\u540c\u53d1\u8d77<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247719202&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f6a8c5d5428bdd12818f59d2796d464d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u300c\u4ece\u795e\u7ecf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u5230\u610f\u8bc6\uff1a\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u8ba1\u7b97\u3001\u6f14\u5316\u4e0e\u6d8c\u73b0\u300d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a<\/a>\uff0c\u8de8\u8d8a\u5fae\u89c2\u3001\u4ecb\u89c2\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\uff0c\u63a2\u7d22\u610f\u8bc6\u4e0e\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u8ba1\u7b97\u3001\u6f14\u5316\u4e0e\u6d8c\u73b0\u3002\u91cd\u70b9\u63a2\u8ba8\u7269\u7406\u89c4\u5f8b\u4e0e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5982\u4f55\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u8bc6\u795e\u7ecf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u795e\u7ecf\u6d3b\u52a8\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e0e\u6f14\u5316\u5982\u4f55\u6784\u5efa\u5fae\u89c2\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u3001\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u529f\u80fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6865\u6881\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 24px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><img alt=\"\u56fe\u7247\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.5722222222222222\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"width:100%\" data-backw=\"562\" data-backh=\"322\" src=\"\" \/><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 14px;, Arial, sans-serif\" data-pm-slice=\"4 4 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;powered-by&quot;:&quot;xiumi.us&quot;,&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-bottom: 0px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;data-pm-slice&quot;:&quot;7 3 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;powered-by&quot;:&quot;xiumi.us&quot;,&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-bottom: 0px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, \\&quot;Helvetica Neue\\&quot;, \\&quot;PingFang SC\\&quot;, \\&quot;Hiragino Sans GB\\&quot;, \\&quot;Microsoft YaHei UI\\&quot;, \\&quot;Microsoft YaHei\\&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;section&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;powered-by&quot;:&quot;xiumi.us&quot;,&quot;style&quot;:&quot;margin-bottom: 0px;white-space: normal;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\">\n<section style=\"margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px\" data-pm-slice=\"3 3 []\"><span style=\"margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px\"><span style=\"margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\" data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [&quot;para&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;p&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px 8px 5px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;widows: 2;word-spacing: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;white-space: normal;text-decoration-thickness: initial;text-decoration-style: initial;text-decoration-color: initial;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, &quot;PingFang SC&quot;, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei UI&quot;, &quot;Microsoft YaHei&quot;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;},&quot;node&quot;,{&quot;tagName&quot;:&quot;span&quot;,&quot;attributes&quot;:{&quot;style&quot;:&quot;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;color: rgb(63, 63, 63);font-size: 15px;&quot;},&quot;namespaceURI&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xhtml&quot;}]\">\u8be6\u60c5\u8bf7\u89c1\uff1a<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247719202&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f6a8c5d5428bdd12818f59d2796d464d&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4ece\u795e\u7ecf\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u5230\u610f\u8bc6\uff1a\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u8ba1\u7b97\u3001\u6f14\u5316\u4e0e\u6d8c\u73b0\u4e28\u8ba1\u7b97\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u00b7\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a\u542f\u52a8<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 16px;text-align: center;, Arial, sans-serif\"><strong style=\"text-align: left;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 16px;text-align: center;, Arial, sans-serif\"><strong style=\"text-align: left;font-family: PingFangSC-light;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong><span>1.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247718614&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=996172506f7b04e7bc1eb1c4f20e1d3f&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u9a6c\u5c14\u79d1\u592b\u94fe\uff5c\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong><span><br \/><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span data-mpa-action-id=\"me3j1z7u9p2\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><span>2.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247715066&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=b8dd67b94cf426260b59001f1cbf05fa&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u9a6c\u5c14\u79d1\u592b\u94fe\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u65e0\u635f\u5730\u7c97\u7c92\u5316\uff1f\uff5c\u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1<\/span><\/a><\/span><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span>3.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247556247&amp;idx=3&amp;sn=a4bb0cf5f15cfcfd6c0fec10d8ae59e2&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7f51\u7edc\uff1a\u56fe\u6a21\u578b\u3001\u63a8\u7406\u4e0e\u5b66\u4e60 | \u96c6\u667a\u767e\u79d1<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 8px;margin-left: 8px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><\/strong><\/section>\n<section data-pm-slice=\"4 5 []\" style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">4.&nbsp;<\/span><a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247710871&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=f572fc0ff9abbc6b32185b835ed39122&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u6d8c\u73b0\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u5982\u4f55\u7528\u6765\u5206\u6790\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1f | \u65b0\u8bfe\u4e0a\u7ebf<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-decoration: underline\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><br \/><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<section style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><\/strong><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">5.&nbsp;<\/span><\/strong><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247715376&amp;idx=2&amp;sn=e9b6f441a1a3615be72bb0b60594c015&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"11\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u96c6\u667a\u5b66\u56ed\u7cbe\u54c1\u8bfe\u7a0b\u514d\u8d39\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u89e3\u9501\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e AI \u65b0\u4e16\u754c<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\">6.&nbsp;<a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247716932&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=1fcb8a78a7f0157ad35a15d99f7ee9c1&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u9ad8\u8003\u5206\u6570\u53ea\u662f\u5f20\u5165\u573a\u5238\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u5192\u9669\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u542f\u822a\uff01<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 8px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">7.<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><span style=\"text-decoration: none\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;text-decoration: underline\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><strong style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none\" data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\"><strong data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;font-style: normal;text-align: justify;text-indent: 0px;text-transform: none;letter-spacing: 0.544px\"><span style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;max-width: 100%\"><a class=\"normal_text_link\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;text-decoration: none;cursor: default;max-width: 100%\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIzMjQyNzQ5MA==&amp;mid=2247716805&amp;idx=1&amp;sn=176d16c8f5fd5045f380e90ff9c16416&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u91cd\u6574\u5316\u7fa4\u4e0e\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u7269\u7406\uff0c\u5bfb\u627e\u590d\u6742\u7cfb\u7edf\u8de8\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e28\u65b0\u8bfe\u53d1\u5e03<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 2em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 8px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 8px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 2em\"><span style=\", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-indent: 0em\"><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;line-height: 2em;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px\"><span style=\"text-indent: 0em;font-family: PingFangSC-light;font-size: 15px;font-weight: 700;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: left\"><span>\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u9605\u8bfb\u539f\u6587\u201d\uff0c\u62a5\u540d\u8bfb\u4e66\u4f1a&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bfc\u8bed \u5728\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u7406\u89e3\u5927\u8111\u5404\u533a\u57df\u95f4\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u5bf9\u4e8e\u63ed\u793a\u8111\u529f\u80fd\u673a\u5236\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5927\u8111\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u6d3b\u52a8\u975e\u5e38\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u65e2\u8003\u8651\u56e0\u679c\u6027\u53c8\u5305\u542b\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u624d\u80fd\u6df1\u5165\u523b\u753b\u8111\u533a\u4e92\u4f5c\u3002\u52a8\u6001\u56e0\u679c\u5efa\u6a21\uff08Dynamic Causal Modelling, DCM\uff09\u6b63\u662f\u7528\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u65b9\u6cd5\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u5229\u7528\u5927\u8111\u751f\u7406\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6a21\u578b&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":64327,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"special":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64345"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=64345"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64345\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/64327"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=64345"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=64345"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=64345"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swarma.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fspecial&post=64345"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}