Bailey M (2011) Risk and natural catastrophes: the long view. In: Skinns L, Scott M, Cox M (eds) Risk. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Barabasi A-L, Frangos J (2002) Linked: the new science of networks science of networks, 1st edn. Perseus Books Group, Cambridge, Mass
Bentley et al., 2014 Bentley RA, Maddison EJ, Ranner PH, Bissell J, Caiado CCS, Bhatanacharoen P, Clark T et al (2014) Social tipping points and earth systems dynamics. Front Environ Sci 2. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2014.00035
Birley AR (2000) Hadrian to the Antonines. In: Bowman AK, Rathbone D, Garnsey P (eds) The Cambridge Ancient History: Volume 11: The High Empire, AD 70–192, edited by, 2nd ed, 11:132–94. The Cambridge Ancient History. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://doi.org/10.1017/CHOL9780521263351.004
Bossomaier T, Barnett L, Harré M (2013) Information and phase transitions in socio-economic systems. Complex Adapt Syst Model 1. https://doi.org/10.1186/2194-3206-1-9
Bostrom N, Cirkovic MM (2008) Global catastrophic risks, Illustrated. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Brauer D (2018) Theory and practice of historical writing in times of globalization. In: Brauer D, Roldán C, Rohbeck J (eds) Philosophy of globalization, pp 397–408. De Gruyter. https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110492415-029/html
Brown P (1976) The making of late antiquity. 5th Printing edition. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Mass
Cambridge Global Risk Index 2019: Executive Summary (2018) University of Cambridge: Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies. https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/faculty-research/centres/risk/publications/managing-multi-threat/cambridge-global-risk-index/cambridge-global-risk-index-2019-executive-summary/
Centeno MA, Nag M, Patterson TS, Shaver A, Jason Windawi A (2015a) The emergence of global systemic risk. Ann Rev Sociol 41(1):65–85. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-soc-073014-112317
Centeno M, Callahan P, Patterson T (2015b) Systemic risk in global agriculture: conference report. PIIRS Global Systemic Risk & Agriculture and Food Security Center, Princeton, New Jersey. https://risk.princeton.edu/img/Princeton-Columbia_Agriculture_Conf_Report_2014-10-24_(v2016-09-27).pdf
Coggan P (2020) More: the 10,000-year rise of the world economy. Main edition. Economist Books
Crucitti P, Latora V, Marchiori M (2004) Model for cascading failures in complex networks. Phys Rev E Stat Nonlinear Soft Matter Phys 69:045104. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.69.045104
Dakos V, Matthews B, Hendry AP, Levine J, Loeuille N, Norberg J, Nosil P, Scheffer M,
De Meester L (2019) Ecosystem tipping points in an evolving world. Nat Ecol Evolut 3(3):355–362. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-0797-2
Danku Z, Perc M, Szolnoki A (2019) Knowing the past improves cooperation in the future. Sci Rep 9(1):262. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-36486-xADSCASCrossRefPubMedPubMed Central
Demandt A (1984) Der Fall Roms: Die Auflösung des römischen Reiches im Urteil der Nachwelt. Beck, München
Epstein JM (2009) Modelling to contain pandemics. Nature 460(7256):687–687. https://doi.org/10.1038/460687aADSCASCrossRefPubMedPubMed Central
Evans B, Reid J (2013) Dangerously exposed: the life and death of the resilient subject. Resilience 1(2):83–98. https://doi.org/10.1080/21693293.2013.770703
Ferguson N (2006) The war of the world: history’s age of hatred. Allen Lane, London
Foreman-Peck J (2007) European historical economics and globalisation. J Philos Econ 1(1):23–53
Gunderson LH, Holling CS (2002) Panarchy: understanding transformations in human and natural systems. Island Press
Haldon J, Chase A, Eastwood W, Medina-Elizalde M, Izdebski A, Ludlow F, Middleton
G, Mordechai L, Nesbitt J, Turner BL (2020) Demystifying collapse: climate, environment, and social agency in pre-modern societies. Millennium 17(November):1–33. https://doi.org/10.1515/mill-2020-0002
Hardin G (1968) The tragedy of the commons. Science 162(3859):1243–1248. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.162.3859.1243ADSCASCrossRefPubMed
Helbing D (2009) Managing complexity in socio-economic systems*. Europ Rev 17(2):423–438. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1062798709000775
Hernández-Lemus E, Siqueiros-García J (2013) Information theoretical methods for complex network structure reconstruction. Complex Adapt Syst Model 1(April):8. https://doi.org/10.1186/2194-3206-1-8
Hoffman PT (2015) Why did europe conquer the world?, 1st edn. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Holovatch Y, Kenna R, Thurner S (2017) complex systems: physics beyond physics. Eur J Phys 38(2):023002.https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6404/aa5a87
Homer-Dixon T, Walker B, Biggs R, AS Crépin, Folke C, Lambin E, Peterson G et al (2015) Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis. Ecol Soc 20(3). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07681-200306
Kauffman S (2013) Evolution beyond Newton, Darwin, and Entailing Law: the origin of complexity in the evolving biosphere. In: Lineweaver CH, Davies PCW, Ruse M (eds)
Complexity and the arrow of time. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139225700
Kauffman SA (1993) The origins of order: self-organization and selection in evolution. Oxford University Press, New York
Kelly W (1971) Pogo cartoon. Ink and blue pencil on paper
Khaldûn I (2015) The Muqaddimah. Dawood NJ (ed) Translated by Franz Rosenthal. Princeton University Press, Princeton N.J
Kolmes SA (2008) The social feedback loop. Environ Sci Policy Sustain Dev 50(2):57–58. https://doi.org/10.3200/ENVT.50.2.57-58
Korkali M, Veneman JG, Tivnan BF, Bagrow JP, Hines PDH (2017) Reducing cascading failure risk by increasing infrastructure network interdependence. Sci Rep 7(1):44499. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep44499ADSCASCrossRefPubMedPubMed Central
Ledwoch A, Brintrup A, Mehnen J, Tiwari A (2018) Systemic risk assessment in complex supply networks. IEEE Syst J 12(2):1826–1837. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSYST.2016.2596999ADS
Lessard C (2009) Basic feedback controls in biomedicine: synthesis lectures on biomedical engineering, 1st edn. Morgan and Claypool Publishers, San Rafael, Calif.
Levin SA, Lubchenco J (2008) Resilience, robustness, and marine ecosystem-based management. Bioscience 58(1):27–32. https://doi.org/10.1641/B580107
Mango C (ed) (2002) The oxford history of byzantium. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Manheim D (2020) The fragile world hypothesis: complexity, fragility, and systemic existential risk. Futures 122:102570.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2020.102570
Martin LA (1997) An introduction to feedback. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Merriam-Webster. n.d. System. In Mirriam-Webster. https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/system
Meyer P, Ponthiere G (2020) Human lifetime entropy in a historical perspective (1750–2014). Cliometrica J Hist Econ Econ Hist 1:129–167
Middleton G (2013) That old devil called collapse. E-International Relations (blog). https://www.e-ir.info/2013/02/06/that-old-devil-called-collapse/
Middleton GD (2017) Understanding collapse: ancient history and modern myths. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY
Milkoreit M, Hodbod J, Baggio J, Benessaiah K, Calderón-Contreras R, Donges JF,
Mathias JD, Rocha JC, Schoon M, Werners SE (2018) Defining tipping points for social-ecological systems scholarship: an interdisciplinary literature review. Environ Res Lett 13(3):033005.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaaa75
Nicoll K, Zerboni A (2019) Is the past key to the present? Observations of cultural continuity and resilience reconstructed from geoarchaeological records. Quaternary International. https://agris.fao.org/agris-search/search.do?recordID=US201900215845
Nuzzo JB, Mullen L, Snyder M, Cicero A, Inglesby TV (2019) Preparedness for a high-impact respiratory pathogen pandemic. The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/publications/preparedness-for-a-high-impact-respiratory-pathogen-pandemic
Ord T (2020) The precipice: existential risk and the future of humanity. Hachette Books
Oughton EJ, Usher W, Tyler P, Hall JW (2018) Infrastructure as a complex adaptive system. Research article. Complexity. Hindawi. https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/3427826
Parker G (2013) global crisis: war, climate change and catastrophe in the seventeenth century. Yale University Press, New Haven. http://www.yalebooks.com/book.asp?isbn=9780300153231
Pastor-Satorras R, Castellano C, Van Mieghem P, Vespignani A (2015) Epidemic
processes in complex networks. Rev Mod Phys 87(3):925–979. https://doi.org/10.1103/RevModPhys.87.925ADSMathSciNet
Perrow C (1984) Normal accidents: living with high-risk technologies. Basic Books, New York
Renfrew C (1973) Explanation of culture change: models in prehistory. University of Pittsburgh Press, Pittsburgh
Roberts A (2020) It’s the end of the world: but what are we really afraid of? Elliott & Thompson
Robinson E (2017) Thucydides on the causes and outbreak of the peloponnesian war. In: Forsdyke S, Foster E, Balot R (eds) The oxford handbook of thucydides. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199340385.001.0001
Roser M, Ortiz-Ospina E, Ritchie H (2013) Life expectancy. Our world in data. https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy
Schwab K (2019) Globalization 4.0: a new architecture for the fourth industrial revolution. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/world/2019-01-16/globalization-40
Shelley PB (1818) Ozymandias. Poem
Siskin C (2016) System: the shaping of modern knowledge, 1st edn. The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts
Smil V (2019) Growth: from microorganisms to megacities, Illustrated. The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts
Stephen Hawking’s Universe (2010)
Sweezy PM (1943) Professor Schumpeter’s theory of innovation. Rev Econ Stat 25(1):93–96. https://doi.org/10.2307/1924551
Tainter J (1988) The collapse of complex societies. Cambridge University Press
Taleb N (2007) The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable, 1st edn. Random House, New York
Taleb NN (2012) Antifragile: things that gain from disorder. Random House
Vespignani A (2010) The fragility of interdependency. Nature 464(7291):984–985. https://doi.org/10.1038/464984aADSCASCrossRefPubMed
Walker J, Cooper M (2011) Genealogies of resilience: from systems ecology to the political economy of crisis adaptation. Secur Dialogue 42(2):143–160. https://doi.org/10.1177/0967010611399616
Walker SI, Packard N, Cody GD (2017) Re-Conceptualizing the origins of life. Philos Trans Royal Soc Math Phys Eng Sci 375(2109):20160337. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0337ADSCAS
West G (2017) Scale: the universal laws of life, growth, and death in organisms, cities, and companies. Reprint edition. Penguin Books
Wildavsky A, Dake K (1990) Theories of risk perception: who fears what and why? Daedalus 119(4):41–60
Yoffee N (2005) Myths of the archaic state: evolution of the earliest cities, states, and civilizations. Cambridge University Press, New York
Yoffee N, Cowgill GL (1988) The collapse of ancient states and civilizations. University of Arizona Press
Zanden JL, Baten J, Mira d’Ercole M, Rijpma A, Smith C, Timmer M eds (2014) How was life?: Global well-being since 1820. OECD Publishing, Paris. https://www.oecd.org/statistics/how-was-life-9789264214262-en.htm